WEAT- Wheat ETF at buy point LONGWEAT the Wheat EFT has been volatile of late due to the Bakc Sea shipping deal
falling apart when Russia refused to renew it. Brazil has been trying to increase
whet exports to pick up from the fall off of Ukrainian shipments to Africa and others.
On the 4H chart, WEAT has fallen 15% from the double tops of July demonstrating
the high volatility in what is typically a slow-moving commodity. WEAT is now
5% above the support trendline and about 14% below the horizontal resistance of
those double tops. This is a favorable r:R ratio. I will go long here assuming there
is now breakthrough in the near future with the resumption of the Black Sea grain
deal to impact the supply-demand imbalance and destabilize the price rise. I will
look into a call option trade as well.
Doublebollingerband
SOFI Swing Trade RecapSOFI as a fin tech company has been volatile. Besides the issues of student loan
forgiveness, the federal adjustments of the intrabank overnight rates and inflation
inparting the budgets of its customers, the landscape has landmines and its litterd
with signs of fiscal damage. Knowing it had upcoming earnings and perhaps some
greed competing against fear with traders. I took a trade and the closed it on
earnings. Here are the particulars.
!. the 30 minute bare chart is overlaid with a double set of Bollinger Bands. The settings are
not the default. If you want them, like the idea and then ask. A linear regression line with a
period of 28 is added. The volume is underneath. Finally a MACD indicator in a lower pane.
2. For the entry, on July 27, late in the session, price fell outside the lower bands and then
came back inside them after printing a red Doji bar and a little surge of selling volume
above the running mean. There it was a simple easy entry. Price crosses over the
regression line. MACD lines crossed under the histogram.
3. The swing trade progressed and price action progressed. On the mornings of the report
release traders were freaked out. Was the beat good enough ? Volatity was over the top.
after a bit of a drop, volume came into the trade in a big way and price followed the lead of
volume ( serious money flow). Price shot higher and got beyond those BB upper bands with
hugh volatility topping wicks. Once price got back inside the bands I exited.
4. This trade yielded more than 25% in 3 day pretty good for just a little effort. Of course stop
loss was moved every time a 2% rise occurred the stop loss was moved up 2.2% getting closer
and closer to price gradually.
5. Price dropped into a full pullback within a couple of hours. I would have liked to play
the downside but I was overextended on the number of trades I was managing.
6. As an afterthought, price is now doing what is called a lower bollinger band walk,
That is to say, it is increasingly at risk to reverse and start uptrending. Price is under the
middle BB and a little under the mean VWAP. It is begging to reverse. I am waiting for
an entry on that and the wait will not be long.
( By the way a certain someone, you are a smart trader and you will most certainly know
I uploaded this idea for you).
POSSIBLE FUTURE FOR AUGJPY FIRST OF WEEKHere are some signs of possible bullish bias for next week for the AUDJPY
Day Chart double bollinger bands - price closed above BB midline bullish bias
4H Chart - Macd crossed above zero line and Price closed above 100 sma bullish bias
1H showing possible bearish retracement back to the 50 sma area, macd over bought
15m showing possible bearish retracement back to 50/100 sma, macd over bought
Take Profits will be in updates below
Personal Request - What's my opinion of the GBPNZDDay - Price at BB Dev 1 top band - Watch where day closes
4H - Price needs to breakout of the SMA's range
1H - Watch if 50 sma holds - Price may be retesting support - New fractal high
made
15m - Wath if 50 EMA holds
Watch red/green arrows indicating possible directional choices price can make
4H has possible target prices from breakout
IS DAY SAYING SELL! WHAT DO I DO?Price is inside the inner Bollinger Band Dev. 1 bands.
Possibly heading to 20 sma center line @ 2200.00.
Then to lower BB Dev.1 band @ 1600.00
Be prepared if Market Markers search for more sellers and take price up first.
BCHUSD - Can it Retest Previous Day HighIf your bias is YES (bullish continuation trend) then watch where day candle closes. If closes red below BB dev. 1 band then price still bearish. Wait until price closes green above BB Dev. 1 band.
How to Trade Daily Double Bollinger Band StrategySetup
1st Bollinger Band (BB) default deviation (dev.) 2
2nd BB dev. 1
Upper Range ( UR -7.79% ) is space between the upper dev. 1 and 2 bands
Upper Mid Range (UMR) is space between 20ma and upper dev. 1 band
Lower Mid Range (LMR) is space between 20ma and lower dev. 1 band
Lower Range (LR) is space between the lower dev. 1 and 2 bands
Trade 1 - Green candle opens in UMR and closes in UR -7.79% open long trade
Trade 2 - Red candle opens in UR -7.79% and closes in UMR open short trade
Trade 3 - Candles staying between UMR and LMR create range trading strategy
Trade 4 - Candles staying in UR -7.79% or LR band create trend trading strategy
Trade 5 - Green candle opens in LR and closes in LMR open long trade
Trade 6 - Red candle opens in LMR and closes in LR open short trade
Open trades in 15m chart with appropriate candle patterns