ETH: Potential Bullish Signals on the 1-Hour Chart?Hey everyone!
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Ethereum (ETH) is currently showing some interesting signs on the 1-hour timeframe. Let's break down what we're seeing:
Possible Double Bottom: The chart suggests a pattern resembling a double bottom, which can be a bullish technical indicator. However, confirmation is needed.
Descending Triangle: ETH is also forming a descending triangle pattern. This pattern can indicate a breakout in either direction, so further confirmation is required.
Here's what to watch:
Breakout: A clean break and close above the neckline of the descending triangle and the double bottom's resistance level would be a bullish signal, potentially leading to a price increase towards $3300 this week.
Invalidation: An hourly close below $2840 would weaken the bullish case.
What are your thoughts on ETH's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Double Bottom
XAU-USD
The chart for Silver/US Dollar (XAG/USD) on a daily timeframe shows a bullish "Double Bottom" pattern around the 28.60 USD level, indicating potential reversal of the recent downtrend. This pattern suggests strong support, as the price has bounced off this level twice. The current price is approximately 29.038 USD.
A significant resistance level is identified around 32.00 USD, where the price has previously faced selling pressure. If the price breaks above this resistance, it could signal further upward momentum. The chart projects an upward movement towards this resistance, represented by a yellow arrow, suggesting that the price might initially face resistance but is expected to rise.
Historical support around 26.00 USD is also highlighted, providing context for potential price movements. The yellow and red highlighted areas mark these critical support and resistance zones.
In summary, the chart indicates a bullish outlook for XAG/USD, supported by the double bottom pattern and strong support at 28.60 USD. The key resistance level to watch is 32.00 USD. Traders should monitor the support at 28.60 USD to confirm the double bottom pattern and potential upward trajectory.
Stock of the Week: Whirlpool of India with Consistent Dividends
Fundamental Analysis:
NSE:WHIRLPOOL Whirlpool of India has shown consistent financial strength, making it a top pick for this week. The company has maintained higher dividends for the past seven years, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders. As a prominent player in the household consumables sector, Whirlpool benefits from strong market positioning. Additionally, its liquid assets exceed any obligations, ensuring financial stability and flexibility.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, NSE:WHIRLPOOL Whirlpool of India is exhibiting a bullish double bottom pattern, which is a strong indicator of potential upward movement. The stock is currently in a buying zone, following a significant two-year breakout on the back of NSE:HINDUNILVR HUL news. This breakout is supported by higher relative strength compared to the broader market and a good volume range, indicating robust investor interest.
Trade Setup :
• Entry: Buy in the buying zone indicated in the chart
• Stop Loss: 1630.15
• Potential Upside: 2553 (35-40%)
Buy GBP/CAD Double BottomThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Double Bottom Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Double Bottom After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.7433.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.7520
2nd Resistance – 1.7573
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.7395. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
Trading Idea: GBPJPY Buying Opportunity and Bullish OutlookIf you're looking for a buying opportunity on GBPJPY, focus on the double bottom retest zone between 199.62 and 199.37. Overall, I maintain a bullish outlook on GBPJPY.
Key Levels:
- Double Bottom Retest Zone : 199.62 to 199.37
Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity : Look for entry points within the double bottom retest zone between 199.62 and 199.37.
- Bullish Outlook : Given the overall bullish sentiment, consider holding long positions for potential gains.
Stay cautious and trade wisely. What’s your trade plan for GBPJPY? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Renewable energy stocks coming back?I saw some other stocks of the same segment doing bullish patterns. We have a potential double bottom fighting with downtrend line resistance. I think is going to bounce back and forward between the 13.5 support level and the downtrend line until something breaks. The double bottom (inverted HS in the daily timeframe) tells me that the price wants to break up the downtrend from September 2022. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks down and closes under the 13.5 level support.
SYMPHONY: DOUBLE BOTTOMNSE:SYMPHONY is currently forming a double bottom pattern, which indicates a potential bullish reversal.
This pattern typically suggests that the stock has found strong support at the bottom levels and may be preparing for an upward movement. However, traders should exercise caution and consider entering a trade only after a confirmed breakout above the neckline, ensuring the pattern's validity.
The target price can be calculated by measuring the height from the double bottom's lowest point to the neckline and then adding this distance above the neckline. This method provides a projected target for the anticipated upward trend.
ADAUSDT - Possible breakout of resistence on 1h TFIf we close bullish candle above resistance, then successfully rest our resistend we can expect higher bullish movement, who can give us good opportunity to long position with reasonable RRR. But for this idea we need wait little bit for multiple confirmations as mentioned.
AUDIOUSDT - POTENTIAL SETUP
AUDIO is in downtrend since march and now feels like sellers are exhausted,
Currently the price has formed a double bottom on daily with bullish div and now seems like the bulls are getting ready for some strong upside movement.
If the market continue to trend higher , the next optimum target could be 0.2058
followed by 0.2496.
$FTM Possible Double BottomKUCOIN:FTMUSDT - Huge Double Bottom possibly in print
Measured move +40%
Divergence at support in 0.635 levels would be preferred entry provided entry trigger activates via candlestick or candle stick formation.
Neckline break and retest at 0.78 level will provide further impetus for initial Target to 0.94.
Remember UPCOM:FTM can go higher can is dragged around like all altcoins by the ring master $BTC.
Always having Plan A and Plan B scenarios so we can react once the markets provide an opportunity to execute our edge.
If you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
XSWAPUSDT: Attempting to Double Bottom at the 0.618 RetraceXSWAP very recently listed and there's not much yet known about the coin, however, the combination of the lower timeframe price action surrounding the macro 0.618 Fibonacci Retrace and the current trend of decreasing supply on this coin has caught my attention and therefore I see it worth playing to see if we can get some major Bullish Continuation Candles in the near future perhaps taking it up to around 10-12.5 dollars which at its current level of supply would bring the market cap up from 37 million dollars to around 3-4 billion dollars. Assuming the supply keeps going down and the double bottom holds we may even manage to go higher, but that's yet to be seen and I currently do not know why the supply is currently contracting as much as it is, but I can confirm that for whatever reason over the last 24 hours at least 3,299,262 Coins have been burned.
Ichimoku Watch: Walmart Looking at All-Time Highs!Upcoming Earnings Release:
Walmart Inc. (ticker: WMT) is scheduled to report earnings before the market opens on 16 May. The consensus EPS estimate for the fiscal quarter ending April 2024 is $0.52, while the reported EPS for the same quarter a year prior was $0.49.
Strong Technical Evidence Supporting Buyers
Ahead of next week’s earnings, Walmart is offering interesting price action.
Starting at the basics, the trend in this market cannot really be questioned at this point, and following the latest correction from all-time highs of $61.66 set in March, this could be a market that dip-buyers are drawn to over the coming weeks. Adding to the current uptrend’s strength, price has also rebounded from the Ichimoku Cloud (consisting of the Leading Span A and the Leading Span B) and is above both the conversion line and the base line.
You can also see that the conversion line is on the brink of crossing back above the slower-moving base line. Given that price has recently rebounded from the Ichimoku Cloud and the stock is entrenched in a considerable uptrend, a noticeable crossover here would likely prompt buyers to enter the market to challenge the all-time high.
The double-bottom pattern (shown by the green arrows at $58.63) adds weight to a bullish showing here. It was also recently completed by trading beyond the pattern’s neckline at $60.53. If price follows through higher after this breakout, the pattern’s upside target will be $62.59.
Price Direction?
With everything considered, this remains a bullish market and the break of the double-bottom pattern’s neckline emphasises the potential strength of buyers from the Ichimoku Cloud.
Options Blueprint Series: Ratio Spreads for the Advanced TraderIntroduction to Ratio Spreads on E-mini Dow Jones Futures
In the dynamic world of options trading, Ratio Spreads stand out as a sophisticated strategy designed for traders looking to leverage market nuances to their advantage. Regular options on the E-mini Dow Jones Futures are a popular choice (YM).
Defining the E-mini Dow Jones (YM) Futures Contract
Before delving into the specifics of Ratio Spreads, understanding the underlying contract on which these options are based is crucial. The E-mini Dow Jones Futures, symbol YM, offers traders exposure to the 30 blue-chip companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in a smaller, more accessible format. Each YM contract represents $5 per index point.
Key Contract Specifications:
Point Value: $5 per point of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Trading Hours: Sunday - Friday, 6:00 PM - 5:00 PM (Next day) ET with a trading halt from 5:00 PM - 6:00 PM ET daily.
Margins: Varied based on broker but generally lower than the full-sized contracts, providing a cost-effective entry for various trading strategies. CME Group suggests $8,400 per contract at the time of this publication.
Ratio Spread Margins: Often require a careful calculation as they involve multiple positions. Traders must consult with their brokers to understand the specific margin requirements for entering into ratio spreads using YM futures. Margins for Ratio Spreads are often equal to the margin requirement when trading the outright futures contract.
Understanding Ratio Spreads
Ratio Spreads involve buying and selling different amounts of options at varying strike prices, but within the same expiration period. This strategy is typically employed to exploit expected directional moves or stability in the underlying asset, with an additional emphasis on benefiting from time decay.
Types of Ratio Spreads:
Call Ratio Spread: Involves buying calls at a lower strike price and selling a greater number of calls at a higher strike price. This setup is generally used in mildly bullish scenarios.
Put Ratio Spread: Consists of buying puts at a higher strike price and selling more puts at a lower strike price, suitable for mildly bearish market conditions.
Mechanics:
Execution: Traders initiate these spreads by first determining their view on the market direction. For a bullish outlook, a call ratio spread is suitable; for a bearish view, a put ratio spread would be applicable.
Objective: The primary goal is to benefit from the premium decay of the short positions outweighing the cost of the long positions. This is enhanced if the market moves slowly towards the strike price of the short options or remains at a standstill.
Risk Management: It's crucial to manage risks as these spreads can lead to limited losses if the market moves against the trader, or surprisingly to many, to unlimited losses if the market moves sharply in the desired direction. Proper stop-loss settings, adjustments and continual market analysis are imperative.
Focused Strategy: Bullish Call Ratio Spread
In the context of the E-mini Dow Jones, considering the current upward trend with potential slow advancement due to overhead UFO (UnFilled Orders) Resistances, a Bullish Call Ratio Spread can be particularly effective. This strategy allows traders to capitalize on the gradual upward movement while keeping a lid on risks associated with faster, unexpected spikes.
Strategy Setup:
Selecting Strikes: Choose a lower strike where the long calls are bought and a higher strike where more calls are sold. The selection depends on the resistance levels indicated by the UFOs.
Position Sizing: Typically, the number of calls sold is higher than those bought, maintaining a ratio that aligns with the trader's risk tolerance and market outlook.
Market Conditions: Best implemented when expecting a gradual increase in the market, allowing time decay to erode the value of the short call positions advantageously.
Real-time Market Example: Bullish Call Ratio Spread on E-mini Dow Jones Futures
Given the current market scenario where the Dow Jones Index is experiencing a bullish breakout, it’s crucial to align our options trading strategy to take advantage of potential slow upward movements signaled by overhead UFO Resistances. This setup suggests a favorable environment for a Bullish Call Ratio Spread, aiming to maximize the benefits of time decay while managing risk exposure effectively.
Setting Up the Bullish Call Ratio Spread:
1. Selection of Strike Prices:
Long Calls: Choose a strike price near the current market level (Strike = 39000).
Short Calls: Set the higher strike prices right at or above the identified UFO Resistances (Strike = 41000). The rationale here is that these levels are expected to cap the upward movement, thus enhancing the likelihood that these short calls expire worthless or decrease in value, maximizing the time decay benefit.
2. Ratio of Calls:
Opt for a ratio that reflects confidence in the bullish movement but also cushions against an unexpected rally. A common setup might be 1 long call for every 2 short calls.
Execution:
Trade Entry: Enter the trade when you observe a confirmed break above a minor resistance or a pullback that respects the upward trend structure.
Monitoring: Regularly monitor the price action as it approaches the UFO Resistances. Adjust the position if the market shows signs of either stalling or breaking through these levels more robustly than anticipated.
Trade Management:
Adjustments: If the market advances towards the higher strike more quickly than expected, consider buying back some short calls to reduce exposure.
Risk Control: Implement stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses should the market move sharply against the position. This could be set at a level where the market structure changes from bullish to bearish.
This real-time scenario provides a practical example of how advanced traders can utilize Bullish Call Ratio Spreads to navigate complex market dynamics effectively, leveraging both market sentiment and technical resistance points to structure a potentially profitable trade setup.
Advantages of Ratio Spreads in Options Trading
Ratio Spreads offer a strategic advantage in options trading by balancing the potential for profit with a controlled risk management approach. Here are some key benefits of incorporating Ratio Spreads into your trading arsenal:
1. Maximizing Time Decay
Optimized Premium Decay: By selling more options than are bought, traders can capitalize on the accelerated decay of the premium of short positions. This is particularly advantageous in markets exhibiting slow to moderate price movements, as expected with the current Dow Jones trend influenced by UFO resistances.
2. Cost Efficiency
Reduced Net Cost: The cost of purchasing options is offset by the income received from selling options, reducing the net cost of entering the trade. This can provide a more affordable way to leverage significant market positions without a substantial upfront investment. The Net Debit paid is 403.4 (690 – 143.3 – 143.3) = $2,017 since each YM point is worth $5.
Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts.
3. Profit in Multiple Market Conditions
Versatile Profit Scenarios: Depending on the setup, Ratio Spreads can be profitable in a stagnant, slightly bullish, or slightly bearish market. The key is the strategic selection of strike prices relative to expected market behavior, enabling profits through slight directional moves while protected against losses from significant adverse moves.
4. Flexible Adjustments
Scalability and Reversibility: Given their structure, Ratio Spreads allow for easy scaling or reversing positions depending on market movements and trader outlook. This flexibility can be a critical factor in dynamic markets where adjustments need to be swift and cost-effective.
Risk Management in Ratio Spreads
While Ratio Spreads offer several benefits, they are not without risks, particularly from significant market moves that can lead to potentially unlimited losses. Here’s how to manage those risks:
Stop-Loss Orders: Setting stop-losses at predetermined levels can help traders exit positions that move against them, preventing larger losses.
Position Monitoring: Regular monitoring and analysis are crucial, especially as the market approaches or reaches the strike price of the short options.
Adjustments: Being proactive about adjusting the spread, either by buying back short options or by rolling the positions to different strikes or expiries, can help manage risk and lock in profits.
Conclusion
Ratio Spreads, particularly in the format of Bullish Call Ratio Spreads demonstrated with E-mini Dow Jones Futures, offer a sophisticated strategy that balances potential profit with manageable risks. This approach is suited for traders who have a nuanced understanding of market dynamics and can navigate the complexities of options with strategic finesse.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.