EURUSD Weekly Reversal DUMPEURUSD potential pullback or complete dump to erase the week move.
Continuously decreasing Cumm.Delta
Divergent LL from high of day into LO Open
Imbalances on the Volume Profile leaving liquidity
Continuous trap candle formations
Bearish VWAP Break (Intraday)
Targeting the volume imbalance or completion of the retail breakout
Double Top
Double Top Trading Pattern: A Classic Reversal SetupHello, Traders! 👋🏻
Have you ever noticed a market attempting to break through the same resistance level twice, only to fail both times?
This formation is known as the double top pattern and often signals a potential bearish reversal. But is a double top bullish or bearish across all markets? Let’s dive into the meaning of the double top pattern and how to identify it on your charts!
What Is a Double Top? 👀
A double top is a chart formation where the price reaches a high, pulls back, and then rallies again to the same or a very close high but fails to break through. This second failure to surpass the previous peak suggests buyers are losing momentum, paving the way for a potential downtrend.
Key Points of the Double Top Chart Pattern:
Two Prominent Highs: The peaks are usually at similar price levels.
Neckline (Support Level): The interim low between the two peaks forms a support line.
Bearish Sentiment: When the price breaks below the neckline, it confirms a potential trend reversal to the downside.
Is a Double Top Bullish or Bearish?
The double top pattern is bearish because it signals that the uptrend is weakening and sellers are gaining control. After the neckline breaks, it often results in a significant price drop.
Key Features of a Bearish Double Top Pattern
The Two Peaks Are Nearly Equal in Height.
Volume Declines on the Second Peak, Showing Reduced Buying Pressure.
A Breakdown Below the Neckline Confirms the Pattern and Triggers the Downtrend.
Advantages of a Double Top Pattern
Clear Trend Reversal Signal: A double-top chart pattern visually indicates a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Defined Resistance Level for Risk Management: The two peaks at similar price levels create a strong resistance zone. This allows traders to place Stop-Loss orders effectively and set profit targets with more confidence.
Volume Confirmation for Stronger Signals: During a valid double top trading pattern, volume often decreases as the second peak forms and increases when the neckline breaks. This helps confirm the authenticity of the breakout and strengthens trade decisions.
Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio: Because the expected price drop is often equal to the pattern's height, the potential reward is typically larger than the initial risk. This can make the double-top pattern an attractive setup for risk-management-focused traders.
Disadvantages of a Double Top Pattern
Not Always Reliable (False Signals): Like any technical pattern, the double top can fail, leading to false breakouts. Prices may temporarily create two peaks but then continue upward instead of reversing.
Subjectivity in Pattern Recognition: Traders may interpret the double top pattern meaning differently based on variations in peak height, neckline positioning, or symmetry. This subjectivity can lead to inconsistent trade execution.
Variations Across Different Markets: Not all double top chart formations look the same. Some may have uneven peaks, wider time frames, or irregular structures, making setting precise entry and exit points harder.
Limited Profit Potential in Some Cases: While the projected price drop is based on the pattern's height, market conditions may prevent the price from reaching the expected target.
Final Thoughts: Why the Double Top Pattern Matters
The double top chart pattern is a bearish reversal signal that helps traders identify when an uptrend is losing momentum. So, traders, have you ever caught a double top trading pattern before a major price drop? Your experiences and strategies are valuable to the trading community. Share them in the comments and let's learn from each other!
GBP/JPY Sell Alert: Double Top Confirmation & Bearish Trend 📉 GBP/JPY Sell Trade Analysis
**Trade Setup Details:**
- **Sell Entry:** **189.500**
- **Stop Loss:** **Above 190.300**
- **Take Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** **189.000** (+50 pips)
- **TP2:** **188.600** (+90 pips)
- **TP3:** **188.300** (final target, +120 pips)
- **Resistance Level:** **189.900**
#### **Technical Analysis Breakdown:**
1. **Double Top Pattern at 190.300:**
- This is a **bearish reversal pattern**, meaning the price tried to break above **190.300** twice but failed.
- It confirms a potential downtrend as sellers step in.
2. **EMA50 Trend Confirmation:**
- The price is moving **below EMA50**, which signals a strong **bearish trend**.
- This supports the idea that sellers are in control.
3. **Resistance Level at 189.900:**
- If price retests this level and **fails to break above**, it confirms further downside potential.
- If price **breaks above 190.300**, it invalidates the sell setup, and **risk management must be applied**.
#### ** Risk Management & Trade Execution:* *
- **Stop Loss Placement:** Above **190.300**, which is the double top resistance. If price breaks above this level, it indicates bullish momentum.
- **Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):**
- TP1: **1:1** (Risk 50 pips for 50 pips gain)
- TP2: **1:1.8** (Risk 50 pips for 90 pips gain)
- TP3: **1:2.4** (Risk 50 pips for 120 pips gain)
### **Conclusion:**
This sell trade is based on a strong **bearish double top pattern** and **EMA50 trend confirmation**. The **189.900 resistance level** is key—if the price stays below it, the trade remains valid. However, if price **breaks 190.300**, it invalidates the setup, and stop-loss protection should be used.
**📊 Monitor price action, stick to your plan, and manage risk carefully!** 🚀🔥
Double Top Pattern – A bearish reversal signalThe Double Top is one of the most well-known bearish reversal patterns in technical analysis. It signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish and can provide traders with strong shorting opportunities when confirmed.
How It Works:
1- Formation: The price reaches a resistance level twice, failing to break higher, creating two peaks at a similar level.
2- Neckline Break: After the second peak, the price falls to the previous support level (neckline). If this level is broken, it confirms the pattern.
3- Bearish Confirmation: A breakdown below the neckline often leads to a strong downward move, as buyers lose control and selling pressure increases.
Key Trading Strategy:
✅ Entry: Enter a short position once the neckline support is broken.
✅ Stop Loss: Set above the second peak to minimize risk.
✅ Profit Target: The expected price drop is usually the same distance as the height of the pattern (from peak to neckline).
In the chart above, we can see a clear Double Top formation in the NASDAQ 100. After failing twice at resistance, the price broke support, confirming a bearish trend reversal.
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level).
From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision.
What’s Next?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline.
📢 Risk Management Reminder:
The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover:
Risk management – protecting your capital.
Entry points – how to build your position gradually.
Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains.
Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside.
By the end, you'll understand:
✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels
✅ How to take profits gradually
✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account
BTC Market Analysis
Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity.
Using Fibonacci analysis:
Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K.
Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K.
Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886.
Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement).
Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K.
These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination.
Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule)
Before placing a trade, you must decide:
📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade)
📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan)
How Much Should You Risk?
Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade.
Example (for a $100K Account):
1% Risk = $1,000 max loss
2% Risk = $2,000 max loss
For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run.
Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In)
Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price.
💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price.
www.tradingview.com
BTC Buy (Entry) Levels
We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages:
Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired
1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072
2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181
3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278
4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430
5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606
6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234
7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974
8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275
9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956
10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352
Total Investment: $30,000
Total BTC Acquired:
0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC
Average Entry Price: $80,150
Stop Loss: Set at $76,500
Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650
Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K)
Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out)
We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows:
Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($)
1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10
2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03
3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15
4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39
5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19
6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19
7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12
8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20
9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71
10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68
Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26
Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26
Return on the Trade:
$3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63%
On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1
Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary
Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account
Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%)
Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%)
Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%)
Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation:
If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500):
Average Entry Price: $80,150
Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650
Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account)
If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets:
Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488
Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488
Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63%
Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1
Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out
Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses.
Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price.
Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way.
Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk.
Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan.
Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally.
Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist
🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone?
🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)?
🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account?
🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined?
🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup?
Conclusion
✅ We protect our money by limiting risk
✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in)
✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out)
✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher
Final Tips:
Common Mistakes to Avoid
👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk!
👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits.
👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
DXY – Break or Bounce? Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY
The DXY has broken below the 106.96 support, establishing a new fractal at 106.14 while testing the major April 2024 fractal resistance forged at 106.51. This price action leaves the dollar in a critical decision zone, with two main scenarios in play:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If the dollar holds above the newly formed support and reclaims the daily fractal resistance at 107.38, it could trigger a recovery attempt, potentially leading to a retest of previous highs and the weekly fractal resistance.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold current levels could push the DXY below the emerging triangle structure, targeting the weekly fractal support at 105.42. A break below this level increases the probability of reaching the 200% Fibonacci extension at 104.59, where a bullish Crab pattern is projected in convergence —a critical area for potential trend reversals.
🔍 Key Technical Factors:
📌 Consolidation Triangle: DXY is stuck below the double top neckline but above the most recent fractal support forged at 106.14.
📌 Fibonacci Levels : The dollar is currently trading at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (106.35) , with projected harmonic patterns aligning near the next 50% retracement level.
📌 Liquidity & Stop Hunts: Multiple bullish harmonic patterns emerging just below the weekly fractal support indicate possible stop-hunting activity against short positions.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 Resistance Levels:
Weekly – 110.17
Daily – 107.38
4H – 106.65
Monthly – 106.51
📉 Support Levels:
4H – 106.17
Daily – 106.14
Weekly – 105.42
Monthly – 100.15
⚠️ Final Thoughts: DXY is at a crucial inflection point. A breakout above 107.38 could fuel a bullish move, while a breakdown below 105.42 may accelerate a bearish extension towards 104.59-104.78.
Until the price confirms direction, it is advisable to remain neutral and wait for a clear signal before committing to a directional bias.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
$HPE – Potential Double Top Reversal in Play?NYSE:HPE
The stock is testing critical support at $20.55 , which serves as the neckline of a potential double top reversal pattern . The stock remains in a broader uptrend since March 2020, but the current price action is showing increasing downside pressure, putting this key level at risk.
🔹 Bearish Scenario – Breakdown in Focus:
A clear break below $20.55 could confirm the double top pattern, opening the door for a move toward $16.78, where the long-term ascending trendline from March 2020 aligns. This would represent a -18% decline and signal a potential shift in market structure.
🔹 Bullish Outlook:
As long as NYSE:HPE holds above $20.55, the uptrend remains valid. A bounce from this level could see price retesting resistances at $21.98, $24.24, and $24.66.
🔹 Resistance and Support Levels:
📉 Support: $20.55 (neckline), $20.34 (most recent fractal support), $15.77
📈 Resistance: $21.98, $24.24, $24.66
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
BTC Potential Drop to $72K: 3 Signs Indicating a Trend BreatherBitcoin has been on an incredible run, but I believe we may be heading for a pullback toward $72K. There are three key signs that suggest a breather is due:
Double Top Formation – We've seen a clear double top pattern forming, signaling a potential reversal.
RSI Divergence – The RSI is showing divergence from price action, often a sign that the momentum is weakening.
Overbought Conditions – Bitcoin has been in overbought territory for a while now, suggesting that a correction could be on the horizon.
Keep an eye on these factors as they could play a big role in where BTC goes next. Stay cautious and be prepared for potential volatility.
I hope you find it helpful!
Take care and keep it shiny.
Kina ♥
$BTCUSD Expansion or Reversal? Key Levels to WatchBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Overview
We explore the key resistance and support levels, potential pattern formations, and what we should monitor in the coming sessions.
Bitcoin appears to be forming an expanding triangle within the broader range of its weekly fractals. Additionally, there is the potential emergence of a double top reversal pattern . This pattern has a critical support level at $89,164, which acts as a neckline. A breakdown below this support could threaten the weekly fractal support positioned at $91,530. If the breakdown confirms , Bitcoin may experience a significant decline, targeting the previously broken monthly fractal resistance at $73,794 , representing a potential 17% drop . This level coincides with the 200% Fibonacci extension, often seen as a default target for a double top reversal.
Despite the downside risks, a corrective move lower may provide a bullish setup. A key support level at $76,368 aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the last bullish swing. A potential Bullish Deep Crab Pattern could form around this level, indicating a possible reversal. If Bitcoin reaches this zone, traders should monitor price reactions for signs of recovery.
Will Bitcoin break higher, or is a deeper correction on the horizon? Stay tuned for further updates!
Key Takeaways
Weekly Fractal Resistance: $109,359
Weekly Fractal Support: $91,530
Daily Fractal Resistance: $98,871 (rejecting 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $98,314)
Daily Support: $93,340 (above weekly fractal support)
Critical Support Level: $89,164 (neckline for a potential double top)
Downside Target: $73,794 (previous monthly fractal resistance, aligning with 200% Fibonacci extension)
Bullish Reversal Zone: $76,368 (161.8% Fibonacci extension, potential Bullish Deep Crab Pattern)
It is important to remain neutral regarding bias unless the price confirms the pattern with a breakdown below the neckline. Until that happens, the market structure remains open to different scenarios, and traders should focus on confirmation signals rather than assumptions.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
Need Bear's Help to Push BTC HigherOnce this breaks below the double top neckline, bears will be pushing this down, below the neckline EVERYONE has been talking about, but the true test will be when it retests the neckline, as resistance. If it fails, then this double top has an 18% drop ahead, but nothing would be better than ripping it higher as bears become net buyers in a short squeeze that may finally help us break out above top of range, or at least tag it!
EURUSD DUMP Easily anticipating a lock for high of week. If not, I will cove to .055
Rapid 1.2.3 (i) (ii) (iii) on Monday's open running straight to previous week highs before bearish ChoCh, BOS and change in market structure.
LO premarket move anticipating to control risk with SL to BE targeting equilibrium or 50% retracement to open the week
***Unfortunately price is currently trading above VWAP. A strong high volume move across is required to validate the move***
-YungEmsi
#ID/USDT#ID
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it upwards strongly and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.3000
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.3322
First target 0.3156
Second target 0.3237
Third target 0.3322
Chart Patterns That Keep Showing Up (Are Traders Predictable?)In the grand theater of financial markets, traders often fancy themselves as rational actors, making decisions based on cold, hard data. Yet, time and again, their collective behavior etches familiar patterns onto price charts, as if choreographed by an unseen hand (the Invisible Hand?)
All across the world economy , markets trade in patterns. The trick is to spot those patterns before they unfold.
These recurring formations, known as chart patterns, are a testament to the predictability of human psychology in trading. Let's rediscover some of these enduring patterns, exploring why they persist and how you can leverage them.
🚿 The Head and Shoulders: More Than a Shampoo Brand
Imagine a market trend as a partygoer who's had one too many. Initially, they're lively (the left shoulder), then they reach peak status of euphoria (the head), but eventually, they slump with one last “let’s go party people” (the right shoulder). This sequence forms the Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Traders spot this pattern by identifying three peaks: a central, higher peak flanked by two lower, similar-sized peaks on each side. The neckline, drawn by connecting the lows between these peaks, becomes the critical support level. A break below this line suggests the party's over, and it's time to exit or short the trading instrument.
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish, resembling a person doing a headstand—a strong sign the market's ready to flip.
Ready to hunt down the charts for some Head and Shoulders? Try out the Head and Shoulders drawing tool .
⛰️ Double Tops and Bottoms: Déjà Vu in Trading
Ever experience déjà vu? The market does too, in the form of Double Tops and Bottoms. A Double Top resembles the letter "M," where the price hits a high, retreats, and then tests that high again before declining. It's the market's way of saying, "I've been here before, and I'm not going higher."
The Double Bottom, shaped like a "W," occurs when the price drops to a low, rebounds, and then retests that low before rising. It's akin to the market finding a sturdy trampoline at support levels, ready to bounce back.
These patterns reflect traders' reluctance to push prices beyond established highs or lows, leading to reversals.
⚠️ Triangles: The Market's Waiting Game
When traders are indecisive, prices often consolidate, forming Triangle patterns. These come in three flavors:
Ascending Triangle : Characterized by a flat upper resistance line and a rising lower support line. Buyers are gaining strength, repeatedly pushing prices up to a resistance level. A breakout above this resistance suggests bullish momentum.
Descending Triangle : Features a flat lower support line and a descending upper resistance line. Sellers are in control, and a break below support signals bearish continuation.
Symmetrical Triangle : Both support and resistance lines converge, indicating a standoff between buyers and sellers. The eventual breakout can go either way, and traders watch closely for directional cues.
Triangles epitomize the market's pause before a storm, as participants gather conviction for the next move.
Feel like looking for some triangles on charts? Jump straight to our easy-to-use Triangle Pattern drawing tool .
🏁 Flags and Pennants: The Market Takes a Breather
After a strong price movement, the market often needs a breather, leading to Flags and Pennants. These are short-term continuation patterns that indicate a brief consolidation before the trend resumes.
Flag : Resembles a parallelogram sloping against the prevailing trend. It's like the market catching its breath before sprinting again.
Pennant : Looks like a small symmetrical triangle that forms after a sharp move. Think of it as the market pitching a tent before continuing its journey.
Recognizing these patterns helps traders position themselves for the next leg of the trend.
🧠 The Psychology Behind Pattern Persistence
Why do these patterns keep appearing? The answer lies in human psychology. Traders, despite access to vast information, are influenced by emotions like fear and greed. This collective sentiment manifests in predictable ways, creating patterns on charts.
For instance, the Head and Shoulders pattern emerges because traders, after pushing prices to a peak, become cautious. Early sellers take profits, causing a dip. A second rally (the head) attracts more participants, but if it fails to sustain, confidence wanes, leading to a sell-off. The final attempt (right shoulder) lacks conviction, and once support breaks, the downtrend ensues.
Understanding the emotional drivers behind these patterns allows traders to anticipate moves and strategize accordingly.
🎯 Using Patterns to Your Advantage
While recognizing patterns is valuable, it's crucial to approach them with a discerning eye:
Confirmation is Key : Don't act on a pattern until it's confirmed. For example, in a Head and Shoulders, wait for a break below the neckline before taking a position.
Volume Matters : Volume often validates a pattern. A genuine breakout is usually accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong participation.
Contextual Awareness : Consider the broader market context. Patterns can yield false signals in volatile or news-driven environments.
Risk Management : Always set stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected moves. Patterns suggest probabilities, not certainties.
🧬 The Evolution of Patterns in Modern Markets
In today's algorithm-driven trading landscape, one might wonder if traditional chart patterns still hold relevance. Interestingly, even sophisticated trading algorithms (those used by hedge funds and investment managers) are programmed based on historical patterns and human behavior, perpetuating the cycle.
Moreover, as long as markets are driven by human participants, emotions will influence decisions, and patterns will emerge. The tools may evolve, but the underlying psychology remains constant.
🤗 Conclusion: Embrace the Predictability
In the volatile world of trading, chart patterns serve as a bridge between market psychology and price action. They offer insights into collective behavior, providing traders with a framework to anticipate movements.
By studying these recurring formations, traders can align their strategies with market sentiment, turning the predictability of human nature into a trading edge.
What’s your go-to technical analysis pattern? Are you and H&S trader or maybe you prefer to trade double tops? Share your approach in the comments!
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
Possible Double Top? What to expect?So BINANCE:BTCUSDT hit and checked 105k-108k area twice in last month. That means it is Double Top pattern in either 4H and 1D timeframe. And there is another thing concerning me and it might lead to 75k. As you can see it is also possible that BINANCE:BTCUSDT made triple top too and MACD is making huge divergence, so we might see new low in next few weeks or months.
A Lot is Happening on Gold!While the price of Gold (XAU/USD) has been rangebound since December 2024, a possible AB=CD harmonic support zone at US$2,471 continues to call for attention. A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio also complements this support at US$2,473. Investors will also likely take note of the double-top pattern around the December 2024 peak of US$2,726. The pattern’s neckline at US$2,605 has been breached, and its profit objective conveniently resides just above the AB=CD support at US$2,483.
So, two patterns indicate that a push lower could materialise before buyers attempt to step in. However, given Gold’s clear uptrend, a bullish move above the December 2024 peak also remains possible.
NVDA - A 90% Short fall to the centerline ($100-$104) or lowerDouble top, failed breakout of the high—call it what you will.
Fact is, NVIDIA has taken a brutal hit and is now trading back inside the fork.
Hagopian—what on earth is a HAGOPIAN?
According to the Fork Framework rulebook, if the market fails to reach its next target (the next line, such as the centerline, lower median line parallel, etc.), it reverses and moves further back than where it started.
This is (not so exactly) what happened in December. Instead of reaching the centerline, the market turned, shot beyond the upper median line parallel (U-MLH), and was supposed to break above the November 21st high. It missed that target as well. And this, my friends, is....?
...again, a HAGOPIAN!
Now, it’s heading south again. But this time, we have an over 90% probability of reaching the centerline. Why? Because when the market breaks above the U-MLH and then falls back into the fork, it’s a very bearish signal.
Of course, nothing works 100%. The market could turn around today and push past the high. But statistically, we’re aiming for the centerline—and there’s an over 90% chance we’ll hit it.
When will it happen?
Sorry, my crystal ball is broken.
All I do is follow the Fork/Median Line rulebook and rely on my experience.
As for me, I’m opening a short position in NVIDIA today and may add to it on the way down to the centerline. And I play this game with Options, so no hard price level stop for me.
Nvidia Stock Double Top Nvidia 📉 **Double Top Pattern in Technical Analysis** 📉
A **Double Top** is a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from upward to downward. It forms after a strong uptrend and consists of two peaks at roughly the same price level, with a valley (or trough) in between.
🔍 **Key Characteristics**:
1. **First peak** – Price hits a high point and retraces.
2. **Second peak** – Price rises again but fails to surpass the first peak.
3. **Neckline break** – A drop below the trough confirms the pattern, signaling a potential downtrend.
🚨 **What it means**: When the price breaks below the neckline (the support level), traders may look for a sell signal, as the pattern suggests weakness and a possible reversal of the current uptrend.
#TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #ChartPatterns #StockMarket #TrendReversal #TradingTips