BTC-D1-REVERSAL IN PROGRESS...GLOBAL PICTURE
DAILY (D1)
After having reached, yesterday, an intraday high @ 35'332 and nearly achieved a full Fibonacci retracement (former high @ 45'850), the BTC lost momentum and as a result, closed slightly above the middle of the previous white candle which mean, that yesterday's price action, roughly triggered a DARK CLOUD COVER (Bearish warning signal); today's ongoing downside price action is currently confirming this downward selling pressure and a DAILY CLOSING BELOW 43'000 would weigh further on the BTC and therefore open the door for lower levels.
Daily clouds area is between 42'524 and 39'093
RSI still above 50, @ 57.93
LAGGING LINE failed to enter in the daily clouds and is in progress to reverse too.
The MID BOLLINGER BAND, my own barometer,is currently @ 40'825 and also roughly in the middle of the daily clouds support; this level should be watch at very carefully as a daily closing below this point. would directly put the focus towards the daily clouds bottom around the 39'000 level.
WEEKLY (W1)
A quick look at the weekly char shows , for the time being a failure to breakout the weekly top clouds resistance area !
Watch the clouds in this time frame as a broad indicator for further development.
4 HOURS (H4)
DOUBLE TOP FORMATION IN PROGRESS , coupled with a double doji and a RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE !!!
Trigger level @ 43'220
Technical target (in case of downside breakout confirmed) @ 41'108
Interesting to note that the H4 Kijun-Sen is @ 41'174 and should also be seen as a PIVOT LEVEL in this H4 time frame
1 HOUR (H1)
As for H4, a double top formation is in progress.
Currently, already, below :
1) Kijun-Sen
2) Mid Bollinger Band
3) Tenkan-Sen
4) the clouds
The double top target @ 41'108, coincides also roughly with the H1 clouds bottom support @ 41'241; the 50 % Fibonacci retracement of the 37'015-45'332 recent rally is @ 41'173
LAGGING LINE below TS and KS but still above the clouds.
IRONMAN8848 & Jean-Pierre Burki
Double Top
GBPJPY on a bearish price action🦐GBPJPY after the confluence rejection is trading above an ascending trendline.
The price creates a double top over the weekly resistance and we can expect the development to the lower side of the chart.
How can we approach this scenario?
We will wait for the break of the trendline and in that case, we will move on the 4h chart to search for the entry of a short-order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
GBPJPY Daily Time Frame Analysis >>> Double Top PatternGBPJPY probably make The Double Top pattern, price will do a downside movement, targeting the 1.618 and 2.24 Fibonacci Cluster
Due to oversold momentum shown in the Stochastic Indicator, so price may make a small secondary reaction before it continues down
Entry after price successfully retest the support/resistance line
FX:GBPJPY
-Fibomic International-
AUDCAD | Perspective for the new weekThe scope of a very strong bearish momentum on the daily time frame and a reversal set-up (double top) within the major supply zone at C$0.92400 shares a confluence with the bearish trendline to signal a selling opportunity for us in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. Despite a long term bearish momentum identified on the higher time frame, the last 30 days witnessed a consistent rise in the value of the Aussie over the Canadian dollar but the momentum appears to be thinning out and this can be identified on the chart as a double top structure.
ii. Attempts made by buyers to break above C$0.924 was met with strong resistance during last week's trading session to insinuate that the bullish trendline may no longer be strong enough to hold price action above it.
iii. It is worthy to note here that, the reversal set-up (double to pattern) awaits confirmation at the breakdown of key level @ C$0.91600 to incite the risk of a decline in price value in the coming week(s).
iv. In this regard, I shall be waiting to take advantage of selling the Aussie anywhere below the key level @ C$0.916000... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 3 to 8days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The Great Retrace Nasdaq Futures Standard Fib Pull from ATH to Covid Low PA sitting at .382 fib level and the POC of the entire range .
Loss of the .382 and we descend to the levels below , alternatively we stay within the current range
inside the descending channel .
I have marked an area of resistance for a potential short if the opportunity presents itself where Its
possible we continue to reject off of the 50EMA and print a LH and continue with the bearish MS.
Trade the range and take it level by level , for now support has done its job so set an alert and trade the reaction .
Know your Invalidation and trade your Plan !
Like And Follow
This is why BTC is dropping and will drop moreBTC price may bottom around $19,700 because it formed a double top on larger tf and currently sitting around its neckline. The Ukraine-Russia crisis is helping in dumping the market more. Alts will bleed badly. There are very few chances that it will rally up until 2024. If it does not follow the plan and go up then by making the triple top it will still come to $19,700.
GBP/NZD Double Top in Play as RBNZ Hikes RatesThe New Zealand Dollar gained after the RBNZ raised interest rates to 1% form 0.75% in February.
On the 4-hour chart, GBP/NZD confirmed a close under a bearish Double Top I have been closely following since last week: www.dailyfx.com
This may hint at reversing the uptrend from November, with immediate support as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.9890.
Other levels below include 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% at 1.9691, 1.9492 and 1.9208 respectively.
Overturning the bearish projection entails a confirmatory close above the 2.0487 - 2.0535 resistance zone.
FX_IDC:GBPNZD
SP500 shaking on the news 🦐SP500 after the doubletop over the monthly trendline at the 4800 melt to the support.
The market reacted at the support area and tested twice the resistance area at the 4590 level creating another reversal.
Furthermore, the market reacted to our beloved 0.618 Fibonacci level of the previous impulse.
How can we approach this scenario?
We will monitor the market during the day and if e Plancton's Academy rules will be satisfied we will set a nice short order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Education Post: Double TopBTC has been bearish over the last week or so, but why? On the chart you can see I've attached a photo of a double top pattern, which is exactly what BTC has formed and played out the last couple of days. There's not much to say about this pattern as it's self explanatory. Looking at patterns is a really good way to predict future price movement as you can see this pattern played out exactly like the photo. You can google these patterns as there are loads of them.
Now looking at the chart there's not a lot we can use to infer where BTC will move next, however the RSI is becoming oversold on D1 and is moving towards its support line. I'm looking for a small bounce here but I'll need to do some more analysis tomorrow which I will share.
Hope this post helped:)
Trade safely
USDZAR 15.13150 + 0.09 % SHORT IDEA * CONTINUATION PATTERNS CONTHEY EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the TOP of this structure creating a double top after some strong bullish rally.
- Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this..
- Looking for short entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
lets see how it goes
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GBPJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe price moved exactly 400pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) to set the tone for bearish momentum. In the last week, and with the appearance of a double top pattern; the Pound appears to have found the crucial resistance at JY158 to incite a second downward spiral. The JY158 area already stopped buyers in October 2021 and January 2022. The JY157 area also stopped buyers during the course of last week trading session to signal a bearish momentum.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) | Descending Channel
Observation: i. Despite an overall bullish momentum on this pair (see weekly time frame); the JY157 area has been resisting price action since October 2021 to reveal a bearish tendency at this juncture in the market.
ii. Since testing the JY158 area on the 10th of February 2022, price action has continued to find lower highs which culminated in a breakdown of Key level (JY156.450) at the beginning of last week trading session.
iii. This development gave rise to multiple rejections of the JY157 area to make this area our new supply zone for future selling opportunities.
iv. It is important that we put into consideration that the multiple rejections of the JY157 area share a confluence with the bearish trendline that has been guiding price action since the 10th of February 2022.
v. In this regard, I shall be looking to take a sell position below the key level identified at JY156.450 with an opportunity to add to my existing position at a breakdown/retest of the JY155.450 area in the coming week(s).
vi. Mind you, the early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb to test our new supply zone around the JY157 area to incite further decline... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 3 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Double-Top Coming For Ciena?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on February 15, 2022 with a closing price of 68.53.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 69.51 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.261% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.521% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 27.504% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
SHort Opportunity on AUDCADFX:AUDCAD
As we can see in the analysis Above, The pair has been on a downtrend since April 2021 based on the 200 Moving Average
Currently, it has just touched the 200 MA line again and I expect a sell from on a Daily Timeframe.
There is also a trendline that has been valid since July 2021, and it just touch the trendline resistance.
There is also a Double top pattern on 4hrs Timeframe
NB
The pair just completed the XABCD pattern on a weekly timeframe, meaning the pair just started a bullish run on a weekly TF so trade with care
That is my submission
GBPJPY Analysis Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**GBPJPY - listen to video analysis.
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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