Double Top
Market Direction using SPY historical trend patternsFrom a technical perspective, there hasn't been a definitive signal indicating a trend reversal for the SPY 500. Back in May to October 2023, the SPY exhibited a clear "M" pattern or double top, experiencing a drop of approximately 5%, retracing back, and then dropping around 10%, forming the M pattern.
If we compare this M pattern with the current price action, we observe a striking resemblance in the market behavior, as the price retraces from a similar percentage drop of around 5%. The question arises: Is the market genuinely recovering, or are we merely witnessing the formation of another M-shaped pattern!
#ID/USDT#ID
The price is moving in a downward channel trend on the 12-hour frame and sticking to it well
After bouncing from a major support area in green at the 0.560 level, which is a very strong area
We have an upward trend to touch the Moving Average 100 at the third target
We have a downtrend on the RSI that is about to break higher
Entry price is 0.630
First goal: 0.710
The second goal is 0.840
The third goal is 0.970
I'm going to short thisSee the double top? When the markets open today I'll put a sell order, prices is testing the broken support. At the same time SPY is testing the 500 level and I think is going to be rejected again so expect another sell off soon. Is going to take more for the market to break out the 500 level. We will see a lot of volatility in on the upcoming days and I intend to use it in my favor.
AGIX - not looking good! Prepare for more downside.First of all, I acknowledge that I've changed my mind on AGIX short term price prospects (see previous post in link below). I acknowledged a risk of a pullback but the resulting move was much more decisive than I was expecting. The Bitcoin wobble has really sparked some sudden short-term reversals and hurt the technical charts of a vast number of coins, but it has also given hope to the strength of others (e.g. SOL). Unfortunately, AGIX is in the former camp.
Not making any predictions on medium- and long-term prospects (so AGIX hodlers: this is not for you), but from a short-term perspective this chart is now looking decidedly dicey. Some more shenanigans at the BTC front (see second previous post below), could see AGIX dropping into the $0.50s before bouncing. Also note that the AGIX/BTC gives the same impression:
I continue to believe the excitement around AGIX and the merger is not all hype, though and look forward to seeing it recover and mint a new ATH later in the year.
USDJPY UPDATE Also next week outlookUsdjpy showed signes of bearish price action. before market closed thursday i got in usdjpy sells and i was up $230 profit with a floating balance of $333. After USDJPY NFP new came out friday it quickly moved to the upside surpassing my entry by 10 pips or less so i got out at a $30 loss leaving my account with a remaining balance of $112.
* Market outlook and UJ recap
Markets Have Turned Bearish. How Far Do We Pull Back?Traders,
In this market update I am discussing the numerous "M" Patterns that I am seeing on the crypto charts. We'll talk about where we possibly could pull back to. And we'll take a look at the U.S. stock market: DXY, VIX, SPY, and NVIDIA and the impact they are having on crypto right now.
Apologies for the quiet voice. I will ensure this is fixed before the next video.
NEARUSDT / Short / 27,04% (4x Leverage) / DT failing supportStrategy: Short
Entry: 6,74600
TP: 6,29000 (6,76%)
SL: 6,97500 (3,39%)
Decision Making process:
Subtle RSI bearish divergence
EMA crossover
Double Top bouncing off resistance and failing support
Support retested
General (BTC) bearish market
Just A View - BSE Double Top Neckline Support📊 Script: BSE
📊 Sector: Miscellaneous
📊 Industry: Miscellaneous
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is taking support of level 2075 which is neckline of double top.
📈 We may see bounce back from here.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2148
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
GOOGL to Low $100s?Overview
Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is in the dangerous territory of a double top formation. I've discovered this same macro-pattern with a few other assets as well. In combination with a rise in long-term Treasury Yield Curve rates since December 2023, I think a rush of selling pressure could be around the corner.
Technical Analysis
Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels along with historical supports & resistances, the $126-136 range appears to be a key level in the share price. The double top formation is a bearish reversal pattern that resembles the letter "M" and, when valid, the second peak is greeted with significant selling pressure. According to technical indicators GOOGL is beginning to reveal the symptoms of a bearish reversal.
The share price has risen on dwindling volume, Money Flow Index (MFI) is approaching overbought territory, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still under a ceiling created in March 2022. A rising wedge is also visible on the hourly charts with a micro Head & Shoulders in development. Should a high volume breakdown occur then I believe a price target range between $109-126 is probable, however, I am expecting adequate support around $126 as it correlates with both a 61.8% Fibonacci level and has history as a key area of support & resistance.
Speculations
Earnings season is a great time to profit from derivative trading, however, it can also be more treacherous due to the volatility most stocks experience in the days leading up to and immediately following their Quarterly Releases. Because GOOGL is having their Earnings Call in the next few days, I would not be surprised to see sharp price movements in either direction regardless of the current trends. Concrete stop-losses and price targets should be determined before entering any positions.