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Double Top

Possible Monthly Double-TopWe could still see a monthly wick up to an area between 82.5k and 100k, drawing bulls in, prior to the March candle close, giving confirmation of new ATHs, suggesting a prolonged bull run. The monthly candle for February still closed at the exact same high as the October and November 2021 monthly candle close and open. If the March candle closes below ~61350, I would start considering that Bitcoin is topping out and may form a monthly double top. DXY moving up towards its September 2022 monthly high, around 112-115 would lend confluence to this idea, as Bitcoin and DXY are macro negatively correlated. Have been talking about this over the last year or so. Note this could happen faster than drawn if DXY turns up hard over the next month or two; getting above 112-115.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by dudebruhwhoa
MSTR: Likely To Fall Off Due to Heavy Dilution of ShareholdersMSTR is seen as somewhat of a BTC trust given its BTC holdings, however, over the last few years we've seen MSTR engaging in the obsessive dilution of its shareholders and in recent days it was announced that they would further dilute shareholders in order to buy more BTC at the highs. I see this as being totally against the deflationary limited supply spirit of Bitcoin and in my opinion, MSTR seems to be acting as more of a trap asset for those that are ignorant of Bitcoin itself. As a result of all of this dilution, I would expect MSTR to show weakness at these highs and retrace the majority of the move up it has had in recent weeks. I will also add that dilution of shareholders going into a halving cycle, even if you though 1 share of MSTR represented 1 BTC, now would be a really bad time to be adding more shares given that BTC itself would actually be becoming more scarce during the same period, in many ways MSTR is more like your average Binance Smart Chain Scoin with the potential to add an infinite supply while Bitcoin itself has a fixed supply that can never be increased so all in all I find MSTR to be a very bad, misleading, and dangerous way to get Bitcoin exposure. My preferred positioning on MSTR would be bear call spreads or bear put spreads, depending on the deals, I may choose one or the other or both.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by RizeSenpai
9
GOLD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, On Daily: Left Chart GOLD has been bullish trading within the flat channel in blue and it is currently hovering around the upper bound. On M30: Right Chart 📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last major low highlighted in gray. 📉 Meanwhile, XAUUSD would be bullish short-term and can still trade higher to test the $2100. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
3
Mr. Double Top is that you?Following a contracting triangle breakout today, NIFTY zoomed up with a fair amount of pull backs which denote more than just a regular retracement. Over a larger time frame, one can observe NIFTY ultimately forming lower highs since it made the last all time high. Today, near the closing bell NIFTY made a double top and slipped down from what one would consider a healthy retracement. These sharp pull backs show the power of bears to cause a dip and trap for buyers hoping a fresh bull run. However, patterns can break so keeping in mind the risks you should not stick to any particular pattern assuming the holy grail to market formations. On the right axis is Fibonacci retracements we can observe if a sharp fall occurs if the double top pattern holds true.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by nikhilchhabra
SC - Driving towards support | +310% Profit Target#SC/USDT Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + SC is currently moving towards the support line, if the it goes in this direction i'm expecting a nice double top pattern which is more bearish for SC. + I'm expecting this trend to continue and hit the next support before consolidating. + I'm not waiting for double top instead trading while double top is forming. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 0.012568 Stop Loss: 0.014570 ------------------------------ Targets 1: 0.01186 Targets 2: 0.01104 Targets 3:0.009839 Targets 4: 0.008537 ------------------------------ Timeframe: 1D Trade Type: Short Capital: 1-2% of trading capital Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Agree or Disagree with the ideas ? lets discuss in the comments. Like and follow us for more ideas. Regards VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
Why You Should Avoid Trading Standard Patterns: Deeper AnalysisTrading based on technical analysis is a popular way for traders to identify market opportunities. One of the most common methods of technical analysis is the use of chart patterns. These patterns are recognizable formations created by price movements on a chart. Traders use these patterns to identify potential areas of support and resistance, as well as trend reversals. However, there are several reasons why you should avoid trading standard patterns: 1. Widespread Awareness and Anticipation: Standard patterns are well-known and widely anticipated by market participants. This means that they are already priced in, making trading them a low-probability strategy. 2. Potential for False Signals: The formation of a pattern on a chart does not guarantee the expected outcome. In fact, standard patterns can often lead to false breakouts and failed trades. 3. Difficulty in Trading Effectively: Trading standard patterns effectively requires a high level of skill and experience. Without a deep understanding of market structure and price behavior, traders can easily fall victim to false signals and whipsaws. Advantages of Trading Liquidity Patterns: Liquidity patterns offer a more effective and reliable alternative to standard patterns. These patterns are based on the concept of market liquidity, which refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without impacting its price. By identifying areas of high and low liquidity, traders can gain an edge in the market. In-depth Analysis of Popular Patterns: 1. Double Bottom: The classic double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that forms when the price of an asset makes two consecutive lows at the same level, followed by a rally. However, the standard double bottom pattern has a significant drawback: it leaves liquidity below the lows, which can lead to false breakouts and failed trades. A more effective way to trade this pattern is to look for a lower low. This occurs when the price makes a new low below the previous two lows. This indicates that the market is absorbing all the sell liquidity and is ready to move higher. 2. Triangle: A triangle is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price of an asset ranges between two converging trendlines. Traders often look for breakout trades in triangles, but this can be risky. False breakouts are a common occurrence in triangle patterns. This is because market makers often manipulate the price to induce traders to break out of the pattern, only to reverse the price and trap them in losing trades. A more effective way to trade triangles is to look for liquidity grabs. This occurs when the price moves outside of the triangle, only to quickly return back inside. This indicates that market makers are taking liquidity from the market and are preparing to move the price in the opposite direction. Practical Tips for Trading Liquidity Patterns: Always trade with the trend. Liquidity patterns are most effective when they are traded in the direction of the overall trend. Use stop-loss orders to protect your downside. This will help to limit your losses if the trade does not go your way. Be patient and wait for the right setup. Don't force trades and only take those that meet your criteria. Additional Considerations: Market context: It is important to consider the overall market context when trading liquidity patterns. For example, patterns are more likely to be successful in trending markets than in range-bound markets. Risk management : Always use sound risk management principles when trading, regardless of the pattern you are using. This includes using stop-loss orders and position sizing appropriately. False signals: It is important to be aware of the potential for false signals when trading liquidity patterns. Not all patterns will lead to successful trades, and it is important to be prepared for losses.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
3