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Double Top or Bottom

EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Double Top Pattern & Bearish MoveThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The chart displays key technical elements, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, a stop-loss placement, and a take-profit target. Let’s go through an in-depth professional breakdown of this trading setup. 1. Market Structure and Trend Analysis Before identifying the pattern, it’s crucial to analyze the market structure: ✔ The price had been in an uptrend initially, making higher highs and higher lows. ✔ However, the trend began to weaken after hitting resistance at the 1.0950 zone. ✔ This failure to break higher created a double top, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. A double top forms when the price reaches a high twice, fails to break above resistance, and then declines past the neckline (support level), confirming trend reversal. 2. Double Top Pattern Breakdown 🔹 First Peak (Top 1): The price surged upwards, hitting the resistance zone at 1.0950, but faced selling pressure. The rejection resulted in a pullback to the neckline (support level at 1.0800-1.0820). 🔹 Second Peak (Top 2): The price attempted another rally but failed at the same resistance zone, confirming seller dominance. The second rejection suggests a lack of bullish strength, signaling a potential shift in momentum. 🔹 Neckline (Support Breakdown): The key support zone around 1.0800 acted as a pivot level. Once this level was breached, it confirmed bearish continuation. 3. Key Technical Levels & Price Action Signals 🟢 Resistance Level – 1.0950 Zone This level has acted as a strong supply zone where sellers stepped in to push prices lower. The two failed breakout attempts indicate that buyers lost control. 🔵 Support Level (Neckline) – 1.0800-1.0820 Zone Initially, this area provided buyer support, but once broken, it became a resistance level (previous support turns into new resistance). ⚡ Stop-Loss Placement – 1.09190 A well-placed stop-loss above the resistance zone protects against false breakouts. If the price rises above this level, it invalidates the bearish structure. 🎯 Take-Profit Target – 1.06916 The projected target aligns with the measured move (the distance from the resistance to the neckline). The price may find support at this level, where traders should look for a potential reversal or continuation. 4. Confirmation of Bearish Breakdown For a high-confidence short trade, multiple confluences support the bearish bias: ✔ Break & Retest of the Neckline – After breaking support, the price attempted a retest and failed, confirming resistance. ✔ Trendline Break – The trendline supporting the previous uptrend has been decisively broken. ✔ Bearish Price Action – The formation of strong red candles and lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure. ✔ Momentum Shift – Increased bearish volume further confirms the reversal strength. 5. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Entry Criteria Sell after the retest rejection at the previous support (now resistance). Look for a strong bearish candle formation as a confirmation signal. 📉 Risk Management Stop-Loss: Placed slightly above 1.09190, ensuring the pattern remains valid. Take-Profit: Target set at 1.06916, aligning with previous structure support. 💰 Risk-Reward Ratio The setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade. 6. Alternative Scenarios & Market Considerations Although the bearish bias is dominant, traders should be prepared for alternative outcomes: 🔸 Fakeout Risk: If price closes above 1.09190, it could indicate a failed breakdown, invalidating the trade. 🔸 Bounce from 1.06916: If the price reaches the target support zone, buyers might step in, leading to a potential reversal. 🔸 Fundamental Influence: News events (such as FOMC, ECB statements, or US inflation data) can increase volatility and impact price direction. 7. Conclusion – A High-Probability Short Trade This Double Top pattern setup presents a textbook bearish reversal, offering an excellent short-selling opportunity. The combination of technical confirmations, price action signals, and a well-structured risk-reward ratio makes this trade highly reliable. Final Takeaways: ✔ Bearish Confirmation – Double Top breakdown with a retest rejection. ✔ Sell Setup Validity – Below 1.0800 support. ✔ Stop-Loss & Target Defined – Risk-controlled strategy execution. 📊 Verdict: Bearish trade setup with downside potential toward 1.06916. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations! 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Three Possible Scenarios for EURUSDEURUSD has flattened out after its strong upward move from around 1.0350 to 1.0950. The bullish momentum has eased, with Europe’s new spending plans priced in, most of the tariff impact accounted for, and markets digesting the FOMC forecasts. Now, the focus shifts to the next major decision point. There are three possible scenarios: 1-This is a double top formation around 1.0950. If 1.08 breaks, the formation target is at 1.0650, which is also the midpoint of the rally from 1.0350 to 1.0950. It’s a classic technical setup, and fundamentals such as a potential escalation in trade tensions when the April 2 tariffs come into effect could support this move. 2- The second scenario is that this is a consolidation phase before the next leg higher. In this case, the current movement forms a flag pattern, and a breakout would aim for 17 years long downtrend line just above 1.11. For this to materialize, a clear breakout above 1.0950 with strong fundamental support is required. 3- The market may stay indecisive due to the high level of risks and unknowns. In this case, EURUSD would likely continue moving sideways, possibly with minor corrections or false breakouts on both ends, before a clearer direction emerges. Our view favors the first scenario as the most probable outcome, though all three have valid technical and fundamental reasoning behind them. We lean toward the first scenario because sharp upward moves like this typically require a healthy correction, the risk of trade war escalation increases with each new statement from Trump, and the technical setup aligns well with this narrative.
by ftdsystem
NZD/USD sell setup Chart Details & Analysis **Chart Details & Analysis (NZD/USD 15-Minute Chart)** Indicators & Current Price Action: - Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): - 7-period EMA (Blue): 0.58260 - 21-period EMA (Purple): 0.58234 - 50-period EMA (Yellow): 0.58196 - Current Price: 0.58256 - Recent Highs: - Top 1: Previous peak before retracement. - Top 2:** A new high indicating possible resistance. **Key Chart Observations:** 1. **Double Top Formation?** - The **"Top 1" and "Top 2"** levels suggest the possibility of a **double top** pattern, which is typically a **bearish reversal signal** if the price fails to break above **Top 2**. - If confirmed, a drop toward the **target zone** is possible. 2. **Support & Breakdown Potential:** - The price is currently near the **short-term EMAs (7 & 21)**. If it holds above these levels, the uptrend could continue. - A breakdown below the EMAs and recent swing lows could trigger a **bearish move toward the target level (~0.57800 - 0.57900).** 3. **Volume & Momentum:** - Volume appears lower compared to previous spikes, suggesting a possible slowdown in bullish momentum. #### **Possible Trade Scenarios:** - **Bullish Case:** - If the price breaks **above "Top 2"**, it could indicate **continuation of the uptrend**, targeting higher resistance levels (~0.58400+). - **Bearish Case:** - If the price **fails to break above "Top 2" and falls below the EMAs**, a decline toward the **target zone** is likely.
Short
by TradingStar090
USDCHF Correction Due To Produce A Reversal Pattern?OANDA:USDCHF has been in a Correction Wave since the beginning of January and we now see that Price may have finally found Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level of the Correction Wave. With both Lows in March finding Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level, Price is beginning to form what looks like a Reversal Pattern, the Double Bottom! ** Confirmation of Pattern will come when Price Breaks and Closes Above .8863, then we will be looking for a Long Opportunity to present itself as a Break and Retest Set-Up. The Retest will Validate the Trade Idea! If we take the height of the Pattern and apply it to the Break of Confirmation, this puts the Potential Target at Previous Area of Support of the Correction Wave ( Point A ) in the .8975 area. Fundamentals seem to Support the Bullish Idea with: SNB Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Basis points from .5% to .25% FED Holding Interest Rates @ 4.5% due to "Economic Uncertainty" Unemployment Claims for USD came in as expected with no surprise and even 1K below Forecast ( Actual 223K / Forecast 224K ) Also Positive Outlook from Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Existing Home Sales see USD rise. Next Weeks Final GDP on Thursday, March 27th will be the next big News Event to bring some light to how the economy is doing and if USD will continue strengthening!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
A Triple Top Pattern: Signals and StrategiesA Triple Top Pattern: Signals and Strategies Traders are always on the lookout for reliable analysis tools that can help them make informed trading decisions. One such tool is the triple top trading pattern. It is a bearish reversal formation that can help traders identify potential trend reversals and take advantage of market opportunities. In this FXOpen article, we will explore what the triple top pattern is, what it indicates, and how to identify it on price charts. Keep reading to find examples that will help you understand how to use it in a trading strategy. What Is a Triple Top Pattern? A triple top is a technical analysis pattern that signals a potential reversal in a trend. Is the triple top bullish or bearish? It’s a bearish formation. The pattern occurs when the price of an asset hits the same resistance level three times, failing to break above it on each occasion. This indicates that buyers are losing strength and sellers are starting to dominate the market. It is often seen after a sustained uptrend. Identifying a triple top involves spotting three distinct peaks at roughly the same price level, separated by two troughs. The peaks are formed when the price hits resistance but fails to push through, while the troughs occur when the price retraces after each failed attempt. To confirm a valid triple top, the peaks should be close in height, and the troughs should create a roughly horizontal neckline. The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, signalling that sellers have overtaken buyers. Triple Top Chart Pattern Trading Strategy Once traders have identified the triple top formation, they can use various trading strategies to take advantage of it. However, there are common rules that are used as the basis: - Entry: Traders enter a short position when the price breaks below the neckline, which is the level that connects the two troughs that separate the peaks. This level is a critical support level, and when it is broken, it confirms the triple top candlestick pattern and indicates that the trend is reversing. - Stop Loss: To manage risk, traders place a stop-loss order above the neckline. If the price starts to rise again, the stop-loss order will limit potential losses. The theory states that traders can place a stop-loss on the neckline. However, the price often retests the support level after a breakout, so the risk of an early exit rises. - Take Profit: There are several ways of determining a profit target. The most common technique is to measure the distance between the tops and bottoms and subtract it from the triple top breakout point. Another strategy is to identify the target based on the closest support levels. However, this may limit potential returns if the support is too close to the entry point. Therefore, traders sometimes use trailing stops to lock in potential profits as the price continues to fall. Trading Example In the chart above, the price formed the triple top. We could have entered a short position once the price broke below the neckline and closed it either at the point equal to the distance between the peaks and the neckline or at the closest support level, as the levels are almost equal. However, selling volumes were low (1) at the breakout level, so we could have expected an upcoming bullish reversal. Therefore, we wouldn’t have kept the position beyond the initial take-profit target. How Traders Confirm the Triple Top To confirm the triple top pattern and ensure its validity, traders use a combination of technical tools and indicators. These help confirm that the trend is indeed reversing and not just experiencing a temporary pullback. Here are the key methods traders use: - Neckline Break. The most important confirmation comes when the price breaks below the neckline, which is the horizontal level connecting the lows between the peaks. A clean break suggests a stronger reversal. - Volume Analysis. Volume plays a crucial role in confirming the triple top. Traders look for a surge in selling volume when the price breaks the neckline. If the volume is low during the breakout, the pattern may not be reliable, and a bullish reversal could follow. - Momentum Indicators. Traders often use momentum indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). When these indicators show bearish divergence, it signals a potential downward reversal. A negative crossover in the MACD or Stochastic adds further confirmation. - Retest of Neckline. Sometimes, after breaking the neckline, the price may retrace and retest this level as resistance. A failed retest, where the price does not move back above the neckline, confirms that sellers are in control. Triple Top vs Triple Bottom It is important to distinguish between the triple top and the triple bottom chart patterns, as the former is the bearish setup, while the latter is a bullish reversal formation. The triple bottom setup forms when the price hits a particular support level three times and fails to break through it. It suggests that the sellers have lost their strength, and the buyers are starting to take control. The bottoms are separated by two peaks, which occur when the price retraces some of its gains from the support level. Traders use the same principles to trade the triple bottom as they would the triple top but vice versa. They enter a long position when the price breaks above the neckline and set a stop-loss order below it. The take-profit target might equal the distance between bottoms and peaks or be set at the closest resistance level. Triple Top Challenges While the triple top pattern is a valuable tool for spotting reversals, it has its limitations. Traders should be aware of the following challenges: - False Breakouts. The price may break below the neckline only to quickly reverse back, leading to a false signal. This can cause traders to enter losing positions if they act too quickly without further confirmation. - Extended Sideways Movement. Sometimes, the price can stay near the neckline after a breakout, leading to indecision and uncertain market behaviour. This sideways movement can make it difficult to determine if the trend has truly reversed. - Retests Leading to Reversals. After the initial breakout, the price may retest the neckline and move back above it, invalidating the triple top pattern. Traders need to be cautious and set appropriate stop-loss orders to help potentially mitigate risk. Final Thoughts The triple top pattern offers traders a powerful tool for identifying potential market reversals. However, it’s crucial to confirm the pattern and integrate it with other forms of analysis to avoid false signals. Ready to put these insights into action? Open an FXOpen account today, and trade with a broker offering tight spreads, low commissions, and advanced trading platforms. FAQ What Does a Triple Top Mean in Trading? The triple top pattern meaning refers to a bearish reversal formation indicating a potential end to an uptrend. It forms when the price reaches the same resistance level three times without breaking through, suggesting weakening buying momentum and increasing selling pressure. This pattern signals that the asset's price may soon decline. How Do You Confirm the Triple Top Pattern? To confirm a triple top pattern, traders watch for a decisive break below the neckline, which connects the lows between the peaks. Increased trading volume during the breakout strengthens the confirmation, indicating strong seller interest. Technical indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator showing bearish divergence can provide additional validation. Is a Triple Top Bullish? No, a triple top is not bullish; it is a bearish reversal pattern. It signifies that the asset's price has repeatedly failed to surpass a resistance level, indicating diminishing upward momentum. Traders see this as a cue to consider short positions or to exit existing long positions. Is a Triple Top Stronger Than a Double Top? A triple top is generally considered stronger than a double top pattern because the price has failed to break resistance three times instead of two. This extra failed attempt reinforces the strength of the resistance level and increases the likelihood of a significant reversal. However, both patterns are important and should be analysed with other market factors. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Critical zone for Bitcoin – Pump or Dump!(Mid-term Analysis)Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on a weekly time frame so that you can take a mid-term view of BTC. On November 12, 2024 , I shared with you another weekly analysis in which we found the All-Time High(ATH) zone well. Please stay with me. Bitcoin has been on an upward trend for the past 27 months , increasing by about +600% . Have you been able to profit from this upward trend in Bitcoin? During these 27 months , Bitcoin has had two significant corrections , the first correction -20% and the second correction -33% (interestingly, both corrections lasted about 5 months ). Another thing we can understand from the two main corrections is that the second correction is bigger than the first correction , and since Bitcoin is currently in the third correction , we can expect the third correction to be either equal to the second correction or greater than the second correction . Of course, this is just an analysis that should be placed alongside the analyses below . It seems that the start of Bitcoin's correction can be confirmed with the help of the Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . Bitcoin also created a fake breakout above the Resistance lines . Educational tip : The Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT) is a bearish reversal pattern characterized by two sharp, ^-shaped peaks at nearly the same price level. It indicates strong resistance and a potential trend reversal once the price breaks below the neckline between the peaks. Bitcoin appears to be completing a pullback to the broken neckline . According to Elliott's Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . It is a bit early to determine the structure of the corrective waves , but I think it will have a Zigzag Correction . The structure of the corrective waves depends on the news and events of the coming weeks and months. I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) will be a very sensitive zone for Bitcoin. I expect Bitcoin to start correcting again when it approaches $87,000 or $90,000 at most, and fills the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) , and at least approaches the Heavy Support zone($73,800_$59,000) AFTER breaking the uptrend line . In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin goes above $90,500, we should expect further increases and even make a new All-Time High(ATH). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), Weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
39
Fartcoin is ready to let rip!Looks like Fartcoin has reached my Bear Bottom , and is ready for a Breakout above $0.36. Some may even get Liquidated from their Shorts ripping a powerful wet one . If that happens, believe that Fartcoin shall be propelled to da moon ; Making me a Fartcoin Million Air! Not everyone RWA or AI; Not everyone Game; Not everyone Defi; But everyone certainly Fart! It is clear to me that since everyone in the US fart (including the institution people and "smart money"), it is hence effectively a "Made In the USA" crypto, and would undoubtedly be included as part of the US Crypto Reserves eventually. So until then, HODL your Fartcoin tightly in the Bottoms ! Diamond Pants!
Long
by cybernetwork
3
Crude Oil Analysis Based on Chart (Double Bottom Breakdown)Technical Overview: Pattern Formation: The chart suggests a double bottom breakdown setup. A double bottom is typically a bullish reversal pattern, but if the price breaks below the support (previous lows), it invalidates the bullish expectation and turns into a bearish breakdown scenario. Breakdown Confirmation: The neckline (previous low) is crucial in determining whether the pattern will hold or break. If the price sustains below this support, a downward move is likely to continue. Target Calculation: The expected target is derived by measuring the distance between the swing high and the double bottom support, then projecting it downward from the breakdown point. According to the chart, this calculation aligns with a target near $60. Volume Analysis: Increased volume during the breakdown would provide stronger confirmation that the pattern is valid. If volume is low, the breakdown might be a false signal, leading to a potential reversal. Key Levels to Watch: Breakdown Level: The double bottom's support level. Resistance Area: The recent swing high. Target Zone: Around $59 (measured move projection). Invalidation Point: A sustained move above the previous resistance zone would invalidate the bearish outlook. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should conduct their own research and consult with a financial professional before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change, and risk management is essential when implementing any trade strategy.
FX:USOILShort
by shiva560060
AUD/JPY Chart AnalysisAUD/JPY Chart Analysis **Key Patterns Identified:** 1. **Rectangle Pattern (Range-bound Market)** - The price traded within a horizontal range, forming a consolidation zone. - Two clear support touches at the bottom of the range (labeled as Bottom 1 and Bottom 2). - The price respected both support and resistance levels multiple times before breaking out. 2. **Double Bottom Formation** - A classic reversal pattern, signaling potential bullish momentum. - Bottom 1 and Bottom 2 indicate strong support, where buyers stepped in. - The breakout above the rectangle confirms the pattern, suggesting further upside potential. **Breakout Confirmation:** - The price successfully **broke out** above the rectangle's resistance. - Volume increased during the breakout, supporting bullish momentum. - Moving Averages (EMA 7, 21, and 50) are aligned bullishly, confirming the uptrend. **Target Projection:** - The expected target is measured based on the rectangle’s height. - The breakout suggests a potential move towards **97.00** as the next resistance zone. **Key Levels to Watch:** - **Support:** 94.50 (previous range support), 95.00 (psychological level). - **Resistance:** 96.00 (current price zone), 97.00 (breakout target). **Conclusion:** - **Bullish Bias:** Price action and technical indicators favor more upside. - **Watch for Retests:** A pullback to the breakout zone (around 95.00) could offer buying opportunities. - **Risk Management:** If price re-enters the rectangle, the breakout may fail, requiring reassessment.
Long
by elitetrader9090
XAUUSD 15MINTS CHART PATTERN. NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE.This chart is a 15-minute Gold (XAU/USD) price analysis with a technical pattern projection. Key Observations: 1. Support & Resistance: A strong horizontal support level is marked at $3,000.14. Price recently peaked near $3,016.13 and is showing signs of a potential reversal. 2. Price Structure & Pattern: The blue lines indicate wave-like price movements, possibly an Elliott Wave or price action structure. The pattern suggests that the market previously experienced a strong bullish impulse, but now a retracement is expected. 3. Projected Movement: The downward arrows suggest a bearish correction towards $3,000.14, which could act as a key support zone. If price respects this support, a potential bounce-back might occur. Otherwise, a breakdown could lead to further declines. Possible Trading Plan: Short Setup: If price starts rejecting resistance near $3,016 and forms bearish confirmation (e.g., candlestick patterns like engulfing or pin bars). Buy Opportunity: If price reaches $3,000.14 and shows strong support confirmation (like a bullish engulfing or double bottom). Would you like a more detailed trading plan based on this setup?
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by Davidhills_110