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Double Top or Bottom

ELPI (VCP - 26W 14/4 3T)Position update: March 25, 2025. Key factors: 1. Confirmed stage 2 uptrend. 2. A textbook double bottom with VCP characteristics. 3. Has gone through its majority line of supply. 4. Moving on its own drummer, the stock consolidates while the index suffers a terrible decline. 5. High relative strength. 6. Volume dries up as less supply coming to the market. 7. Strong fundamentals, with consistent year-over-year earnings growth. Considerations: Despite these strengths, the broader market remains in a bearish phase, down over 20% from its all-time high. Geopolitical risks, persistent net foreign selling, declining investor confidence, and concerns over the government downplaying the stock market's significance continue to contribute to an unstable market environment.
IDX:ELPILong
by rifqonr
Bitcoin Bubble at $70K? Prepare for ImpactBitcoin recently faced strong rejection near the $81,000 level, forming a potential double top pattern on the higher timeframes. This classic bearish reversal setup is now playing out, as price action has begun to decline from the second peak. Adding to the bearish confluence, the MACD has confirmed a bearish crossover, signaling weakening momentum and a potential trend reversal. The rejection at $81K aligns with historical resistance, and price has failed to break above it despite multiple attempts. Going forward, there are two key scenarios to watch: Retest of the $76,700 zone – A minor support area that could offer a bounce or consolidation before the next move. Deeper pullback towards $70,000 – If bearish pressure continues, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could head lower to test this psychological and technical support level.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
2
EUR/GBP - Correction LevelsEUR/GBP is hitting high over the past few days. Looking for the correction now before we continue up higher. These levels look pretty solid for the short term as we did just break and retest the trendline we have bounced off of multiple times so far. On top of the break of the trend we have also set up a nice double top formation signaling for a strong potential for the correction to be coming shortly. The big question here is how big of a correction will we look for? I will trail stops into profit as we progress deeper into the trade. I am taking this trade even though I am bullish overall on the pair for a more long term approach. I am more the less hedging my long position to allow me to not enter drawdown and also secure some additional profits through the coming correction Let me know your thoughts here. Lets make some bread!
by Nicholas_k
1
NZDUSD triple bottom suggests more pain aheadIn this video, I break down a bearish technical setup on NZD, based on a triple bottom and descending triangle pattern, with a potential drop of over 700 pips. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
by ThinkMarkets
Critical zone for Bitcoin – Pump or Dump!(Mid-term Analysis)Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on a weekly time frame so that you can take a mid-term view of BTC. On November 12, 2024 , I shared with you another weekly analysis in which we found the All-Time High(ATH) zone well. Please stay with me. Bitcoin has been on an upward trend for the past 27 months , increasing by about +600% . Have you been able to profit from this upward trend in Bitcoin? During these 27 months , Bitcoin has had two significant corrections , the first correction -20% and the second correction -33% (interestingly, both corrections lasted about 5 months ). Another thing we can understand from the two main corrections is that the second correction is bigger than the first correction , and since Bitcoin is currently in the third correction , we can expect the third correction to be either equal to the second correction or greater than the second correction . Of course, this is just an analysis that should be placed alongside the analyses below . It seems that the start of Bitcoin's correction can be confirmed with the help of the Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . Bitcoin also created a fake breakout above the Resistance lines . Educational tip : The Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT) is a bearish reversal pattern characterized by two sharp, ^-shaped peaks at nearly the same price level. It indicates strong resistance and a potential trend reversal once the price breaks below the neckline between the peaks. Bitcoin appears to be completing a pullback to the broken neckline . According to Elliott's Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . It is a bit early to determine the structure of the corrective waves , but I think it will have a Zigzag Correction . The structure of the corrective waves depends on the news and events of the coming weeks and months. I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) will be a very sensitive zone for Bitcoin. I expect Bitcoin to start correcting again when it approaches $87,000 or $90,000 at most, and fills the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) , and at least approaches the Heavy Support zone($73,800_$59,000) AFTER breaking the uptrend line . In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin goes above $90,500, we should expect further increases and even make a new All-Time High(ATH). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), Weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
41
Dow Jones - Pivotal moment for the bulls and bears!The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently approaching a critical juncture, as it risks breaking below and staying under the neckline of a potential double top pattern. A double top formation is typically a bearish signal, indicating a potential trend reversal after the price tests a key resistance level twice, failing to break higher. The neckline, which forms the base of this pattern, is the level that traders will be watching closely to determine the strength of this bearish signal. If the Dow breaks below and stays under the neckline, it could trigger further downside momentum as liquidity is swept from the market. However, it's essential to note that this initial breakdown could just be a "liquidity sweep," a move designed to trigger stop-loss orders and shake out weaker hands. For the Dow to maintain its bullish potential, it must quickly recover and hold above the neckline after this sweep. If it can do so, the market may find stability and begin to look for higher prices again, as the double top formation would then be invalidated, and a more bullish outlook could emerge. In summary, while the Dow Jones is at a pivotal moment, the key to higher prices will be whether it can hold above the neckline after sweeping liquidity. A failure to do so could signal further downside, but a strong recovery above the neckline would leave the door open for a potential rally. For now the Dow jones swept the liquidity under the neckline. However, it needs a quick recovery to maintain and find support on the neckline again. The risk that it now faces is the resistance of the 50, 100 and 200-day MA. Staying above the neckline and reclaiming these MA could be a massive bullish signal on the Dow Jones. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment! Lets chat in the comment section. See you there :)
BLACKBULL:US30
by Youriverse
16
EUR/GBP Analysis Double Bottom Breakout Toward TargetOverview of the Chart This chart displays a EUR/GBP daily timeframe setup, highlighting a Double Bottom Pattern, a well-known bullish reversal formation. The pattern consists of two consecutive lows at a similar price level, followed by a breakout above a key resistance zone. This setup suggests a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Technical Analysis Breakdown 1. Double Bottom Formation (Reversal Signal) Bottom 1: The first low was established after a prolonged downtrend, where the price found support and bounced higher. Bottom 2: Price revisited the same support area but failed to break lower, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers are stepping in. A double bottom pattern signals that the asset is forming a strong base and is likely to move higher after breaking the neckline (resistance level). 2. Support and Resistance Levels Support Level (~0.8322): This level acted as a demand zone, preventing further downside. It marks the price area where buyers accumulated positions, leading to a reversal. Resistance Level (~0.8500): This level previously acted as a supply zone, where sellers controlled the price. A breakout above this level is crucial to confirm the bullish trend continuation. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest Expectation The price successfully broke above the resistance zone, confirming a bullish reversal. A potential retest of the broken resistance (now turned support) could occur before further upside movement. Traders often wait for this retest to confirm that the breakout is genuine before entering a position. 4. Price Target Projection Based on the measured move strategy, the expected target is calculated by measuring the height of the double bottom pattern and projecting it above the breakout zone. Target Price: 0.8742, aligning with historical resistance levels. 5. Stop Loss Placement Stop loss at ~0.8322 (below the double bottom support). This ensures risk is managed in case of an invalid breakout or a false move. Trading Plan & Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Strategy: ✅ Breakout Entry: Buy after the breakout above resistance. ✅ Retest Entry: Wait for a pullback to the previous resistance (now support) before entering. 📌 Risk Management: 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the recent support at 0.8322 to limit downside risk. 🔹 Take Profit: First target at 0.8742 based on the double bottom structure. 📌 Market Outlook: A successful breakout and bullish momentum could push prices toward the target. If the price fails to hold above the breakout zone, a deeper retracement could occur before continuing higher. Conclusion The EUR/GBP pair has formed a bullish double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential uptrend continuation. The key levels to watch include 0.8500 (resistance turned support) and 0.8742 (target projection). Traders should monitor price action around the breakout zone for confirmation and consider risk management strategies before entering a position.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD Weekly Analysis – Double Top Formation & Breakdown🧱 Chart Pattern Identified: Double Top Formation The chart displays a classic Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal structure typically found at the end of an uptrend. This pattern forms when price reaches a resistance level twice, fails to break above it both times, and eventually breaks the neckline/support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment. 🔍 Key Components of the Chart: 1. Resistance Level (Tops) – ~$34.25 The market formed two significant peaks around the same level — labeled Top 1 and Top 2. This level has proven strong resistance, as price was rejected both times after testing this zone. This zone is marked with a light orange rectangle and a horizontal blue line labeled "Resistance Level". 2. Support Level (Neckline) – ~$28.80 This level served as the neckline of the Double Top. After the second top, the price sharply declined and is currently approaching this key support zone, highlighted again in light orange. A clean break and close below this zone on the weekly timeframe will be a strong confirmation of the bearish reversal. 3. Trendline Break – Bearish Shift in Momentum A rising black dashed trendline supported the prior uptrend. Price action has now broken below this trendline with strong bearish momentum, indicating that buyers have lost control. This trendline break adds confluence to the bearish setup, supporting the validity of the pattern. 4. Bearish Projection Target – ~$22.47 The target is projected using the height of the Double Top pattern. Measured from the resistance level ($34.25) to the support ($28.80), the vertical distance is ~5.45 USD. Subtracting this from the neckline gives us a projected target: 28.80 - 5.45 = ~23.35 (rounded down to ~22.47 for technical cluster support). This target area is marked with a blue arrow and labeled "Target" near the horizontal support at $22.47. 5. Stop Loss – ~$34.25 The logical invalidation point is placed just above the resistance zone and the second top. A move above this level would invalidate the double top pattern, signaling that bulls have regained control. 📈 Price Action and Candlestick Behavior The strong bearish weekly candle that broke below the trendline shows a decisive shift in sentiment. The candle's large body and long range confirm institutional selling interest. Volume (if shown) would likely support the move, but even price structure alone is highly telling here. 🎯 Trading Strategy & Setup Component Details Entry On a confirmed break and retest of $28.80 support (neckline) Stop Loss Above $34.25 (Top 2) Target $22.47 Risk/Reward ~1:2 or better Timeframe Weekly (Swing Trade) Bias Bearish 🧠 Concluding Notes This chart provides a high-probability bearish setup rooted in classical charting principles. The Double Top is one of the most reliable reversal patterns, especially when: Formed after a prolonged uptrend (as seen here), Confirmed with a trendline break, Followed by strong bearish momentum toward the neckline. Traders should monitor the support zone around $28.80 closely for a potential breakdown. If confirmed, the target near $22.47 becomes a realistic medium-term objective.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
ETH Is Oversold Like Never Before !Hello Traders 🐺 In the recent week, we saw a massive long position wipeout, especially in the stock market. However, despite all the rumors, BTC held itself at these levels and is still inside a falling wedge pattern. If you don't know what I’m talking about, you can check my last idea about it. But ETH! In my opinion, this is a huge discounted price for ETH. You know why? 1_ Monthly RSI is currently at 25, which means we’re in an extremely oversold situation, and this usually means bulls are about to come back. Yes — we have all the signs of a reversal from here: (A): BTC.D RSI is at an all-time high and forming a bearish divergence, meanwhile: (B): ETH/BTC is extremely oversold right now. (C): BTC itself has formed a falling wedge pattern right above the weekly Cup & Handle neckline support! Guess what? If you zoom in a little bit on the daily chart, you can see there’s a pattern to break, and price is currently too close to the edge of it — which means time is ticking for ETH, and we are about to see an explosive move. Probably to the upside, because of all the signs we’ve talked about above. I hope you enjoyed this idea — and as always, don’t forget our goal: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, But almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Long
by Kiu_Coin
2
1/17/25 - RS: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/17/25 - RS: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system. RS - BUY Stop Loss @ 264.20 Entry BUY @ 288.06 Target Profit @ 323.11 Analysis: Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed. Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 2B BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is only slightly peaking lower than the preceding bottom price. Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
NYSE:RSLong
by martinmlm
How to Identify Double Top Formation - A Long-Haul Bear?How to identify double top formation? Is the US market still forming this double top formation, or has the pattern already completed, signaling a deeper correction to come? In this discussion, we will focus on the latter question: whether this bear is going to be a long-haul bear. 3 parts of today tutorial: 1. How to Identify Double Top Formation is completed technically? 2. How to cross reference to its related markets? 3. How do the fundamental developments confirm these technical studies? E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures & Options Ticker: YM Minimum fluctuation: 1.00 index point = $5.00 Micro E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by konhow
GBPUSD: Potential Pullback Trade Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBPUSD closed this week, respecting a key daily horizontal support cluster. Analyzing the intraday price action, I spotted a nice double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame. To buy the pair with a confirmation after the market opening, I suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of its neckline. An hourly candle close above will confirm a violation. A bullish move will be expected at least to 1.296 level then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
Detailed Analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) – Double Top BreakoutThe chart represents a technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe (1D). A Double Top pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal formations, is developing. This signals a potential downtrend, with key price levels and trendlines confirming weakness in bullish momentum. Below is a full breakdown of the pattern, price action, and trading setup. 1️⃣ Pattern Formation: Double Top – Bearish Reversal A Double Top pattern occurs when the price reaches a resistance level twice, failing to break higher. It indicates a shift from a bullish trend to a bearish one. 🔹 Characteristics of the Double Top in This Chart: First Peak (Top 1 - Resistance at ~$34.57): The price made a strong move upward, reaching a high near $34.57. Selling pressure at this level pushed the price downward, forming a support level near $30 (Neckline). Pullback & Temporary Support (~$30 Neckline): Buyers stepped in at the support zone, causing a bounce back towards resistance. This level acted as strong demand, preventing further decline temporarily. Second Peak (Top 2 - Rejection at Resistance Again): Price attempted to break above the previous peak but failed. This failure to form a higher high confirms the presence of strong sellers. The second rejection strengthens the resistance level at $34.57, signaling exhaustion in buying momentum. Break of the Trendline Support (Bearish Shift): A previously ascending trendline (black dashed line) was providing support for the uptrend. Price broke below this trendline, indicating a possible trend reversal from bullish to bearish. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Trading Setup 🔸 Resistance Zone (~$34.57 - Stop Loss Area) This is the major resistance level, tested twice and confirmed as a supply zone. A move above $34.57 would invalidate the bearish pattern, making this an ideal stop-loss level. 🔹 Support Level / Neckline (~$30 - Breakdown Confirmation) The neckline acts as a critical level. If the price breaks below $30, the Double Top formation is confirmed. If the price retests this level from below and rejects (fails to reclaim it as support), it becomes a strong short entry signal. 🔻 Target Price (Projected Move - $23.01) The target is based on the measured move rule of a Double Top: Distance from resistance ($34.57) to neckline ($30) ≈ $4.57. Projecting this same distance downward gives a target of ~$23.01. This aligns with historical demand zones, increasing the probability of price reaching this level. 3️⃣ Trading Plan: Short Setup Execution 🔽 Short Entry (Breakdown Confirmation Below $30) Ideal entry point is after the neckline breaks and confirms resistance upon a retest. A breakdown with strong volume enhances the validity of the setup. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement (Above $34.57 Resistance Level) Placing a stop above the second peak ($34.57) ensures protection against invalidation. If price moves back above this level, the pattern fails, indicating a potential return to bullish momentum. 🎯 Target Price ($23.01) – Measured Move Projection The price target aligns with the pattern structure and historical support levels. Traders can take partial profits at intermediary levels ($27–$26) before full target realization. 4️⃣ Additional Confirmation Factors – Confluence for Bearish Bias 1️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI & MACD Bearish Signals If RSI (Relative Strength Index) drops below 50, it confirms weakening bullish momentum. A MACD bearish crossover (signal line crossing below the MACD line) would further validate the downtrend. 2️⃣ Volume Analysis – Breakout Confirmation A high volume breakout below $30 confirms selling pressure. Low-volume breakdowns can lead to false breakouts, making volume a crucial factor to watch. 3️⃣ Fundamental Factors – Macro Outlook on Silver (XAG/USD) Silver prices are influenced by interest rates, inflation, and USD strength. If USD strengthens, silver could face more selling pressure, aligning with this bearish technical setup. Any hawkish monetary policy statements could accelerate the downside movement. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios ✔️ Ideal Risk-Reward Ratio Risk: Stop loss at $34.57 (~4.5% above entry) Reward: Target at $23.01 (~23% move) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (highly favorable for short trades) ⚠️ Bullish Invalidations – When to Avoid the Trade? If Silver reclaims $34.57 and holds above, the pattern fails. A false breakout scenario could occur if price breaks below $30 but quickly moves back above. Watching for bullish divergence on indicators like RSI before entering a short position is recommended. Final Conclusion: Bearish Bias with Strong Downside Potential 📉 Summary of the Bearish Case: ✔️ Double Top pattern confirms a bearish reversal if the neckline breaks. ✔️ Break of ascending trendline signals increasing seller control. ✔️ Key levels: Stop-loss above $34.57 | Entry below $30 | Target $23.01. ✔️ Additional confluence: RSI, MACD, and volume confirmation strengthen the trade setup. 🚀 If price action aligns with this analysis, this setup presents a high-probability short opportunity. Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🔥
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades