Double Top or Bottom
Ichimoku Watch: Walmart Looking at All-Time Highs!Upcoming Earnings Release:
Walmart Inc. (ticker: WMT) is scheduled to report earnings before the market opens on 16 May. The consensus EPS estimate for the fiscal quarter ending April 2024 is $0.52, while the reported EPS for the same quarter a year prior was $0.49.
Strong Technical Evidence Supporting Buyers
Ahead of next week’s earnings, Walmart is offering interesting price action.
Starting at the basics, the trend in this market cannot really be questioned at this point, and following the latest correction from all-time highs of $61.66 set in March, this could be a market that dip-buyers are drawn to over the coming weeks. Adding to the current uptrend’s strength, price has also rebounded from the Ichimoku Cloud (consisting of the Leading Span A and the Leading Span B) and is above both the conversion line and the base line.
You can also see that the conversion line is on the brink of crossing back above the slower-moving base line. Given that price has recently rebounded from the Ichimoku Cloud and the stock is entrenched in a considerable uptrend, a noticeable crossover here would likely prompt buyers to enter the market to challenge the all-time high.
The double-bottom pattern (shown by the green arrows at $58.63) adds weight to a bullish showing here. It was also recently completed by trading beyond the pattern’s neckline at $60.53. If price follows through higher after this breakout, the pattern’s upside target will be $62.59.
Price Direction?
With everything considered, this remains a bullish market and the break of the double-bottom pattern’s neckline emphasises the potential strength of buyers from the Ichimoku Cloud.
LTC/USD Eyeing Long-Term Double-Top Completion?Longer-term price action for Litecoin (LTC) versus the US dollar (USD) is on the verge of challenging trendline support, extended from the low of $40.18. With price action failing to print any meaningful highs following the previous test of trendline support, a break below the trendline support could be seen and may serve as an early cue for completing a double-top pattern from around $113.80. The neckline for the double-top pattern resides just below at $54.61.
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 8.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
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SKYW 10/25/2023SKYW
Daily chart analysis
On every rally since 2020, the price has continued to form lower highs ever since the impact of COVID-19. The high point was in January 2020, and subsequent rallies in March 2021, October 2021, and August 2023 all failed to surpass the previous high.
After being in a downtrend throughout 2022, the price rallied and then pulled back for the entirety of 2023 so far. It briefly rose above the level it fell below in January 2022, which marked the start of the downtrend. However, the price couldn't sustain this momentum. It began moving sideways between July and early October 2023, forming what appeared to be an M-Top pattern. The price then broke down below the M-Top's neckline, confirming a bearish reversal pattern. Interestingly, this neckline also corresponds to the resistance level established in January 2022 when the price entered the downtrend. This suggests that the price is likely to continue the previous downtrend.
Entering trade short.
Entry: 38.27
Stoploss: 44.17, -15.42%
Target: 14.93, +60.99%, 3.96 RR ratio
GBPUSD: Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan 🇬🇧🇺🇸
On the today's live stream, we discussed GBPUSD.
The pair is currently testing a key horizontal demand zone on a daily.
Our to signal to buy the market with a confirmation, will be a bullish
breakout of a horizontal neckline of a double bottom pattern on 1H time frame.
An hourly candle close above 1.2502 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 1.2527 level then.
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Cipla-Intraday 06.05.2024- Bulls, Are you ready?NSE:CIPLA
Day TF
Healthy Hammer candle formed in day
15 Min TF
Price is under consolidation which is very good sign for further movement
Price has rejected from support level.
Price has reacted well with 200 EMA & 50 EMA today.
Good Recovery after 10 AM
Buy:
Risky trader: Buy at 1428. Target 1%
Direct Gap-up entry should be avoided
Get confirmation from any of the leading indicators before entering trade
Kindy comment below in case of any clarification required on this particular idea.
Please follow for more ideas
“Confidence is not ‘I will profit on this trade.’ Confidence is ‘I will be fine if I don’t profit from this trade.” - Yvan Byeajee
SNS double bottom, next 0.15?So #SNS is an AI narrative coin and my last idea in which I wrote that I expect a correction worked out completely.
I expected a correction to the area of 0.08-0.09$, it came out a little more on the background of the general market decline, but the coin itself showed a good margin of safety and found a good support zone in the area of 0.045-0.053$. The 200 EMA passes there as well.
Now the price of the coin is returning to the zone of interest with a double bottom forming on the chart, the potential of this figure is at the quote of 0.15$, which can bring 77% profit.
Globally, I expect further gradual growth relative to my last idea.
This is not financial advice, everything you do is at your own risk!
Options Blueprint Series: Ratio Spreads for the Advanced TraderIntroduction to Ratio Spreads on E-mini Dow Jones Futures
In the dynamic world of options trading, Ratio Spreads stand out as a sophisticated strategy designed for traders looking to leverage market nuances to their advantage. Regular options on the E-mini Dow Jones Futures are a popular choice (YM).
Defining the E-mini Dow Jones (YM) Futures Contract
Before delving into the specifics of Ratio Spreads, understanding the underlying contract on which these options are based is crucial. The E-mini Dow Jones Futures, symbol YM, offers traders exposure to the 30 blue-chip companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in a smaller, more accessible format. Each YM contract represents $5 per index point.
Key Contract Specifications:
Point Value: $5 per point of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Trading Hours: Sunday - Friday, 6:00 PM - 5:00 PM (Next day) ET with a trading halt from 5:00 PM - 6:00 PM ET daily.
Margins: Varied based on broker but generally lower than the full-sized contracts, providing a cost-effective entry for various trading strategies. CME Group suggests $8,400 per contract at the time of this publication.
Ratio Spread Margins: Often require a careful calculation as they involve multiple positions. Traders must consult with their brokers to understand the specific margin requirements for entering into ratio spreads using YM futures. Margins for Ratio Spreads are often equal to the margin requirement when trading the outright futures contract.
Understanding Ratio Spreads
Ratio Spreads involve buying and selling different amounts of options at varying strike prices, but within the same expiration period. This strategy is typically employed to exploit expected directional moves or stability in the underlying asset, with an additional emphasis on benefiting from time decay.
Types of Ratio Spreads:
Call Ratio Spread: Involves buying calls at a lower strike price and selling a greater number of calls at a higher strike price. This setup is generally used in mildly bullish scenarios.
Put Ratio Spread: Consists of buying puts at a higher strike price and selling more puts at a lower strike price, suitable for mildly bearish market conditions.
Mechanics:
Execution: Traders initiate these spreads by first determining their view on the market direction. For a bullish outlook, a call ratio spread is suitable; for a bearish view, a put ratio spread would be applicable.
Objective: The primary goal is to benefit from the premium decay of the short positions outweighing the cost of the long positions. This is enhanced if the market moves slowly towards the strike price of the short options or remains at a standstill.
Risk Management: It's crucial to manage risks as these spreads can lead to limited losses if the market moves against the trader, or surprisingly to many, to unlimited losses if the market moves sharply in the desired direction. Proper stop-loss settings, adjustments and continual market analysis are imperative.
Focused Strategy: Bullish Call Ratio Spread
In the context of the E-mini Dow Jones, considering the current upward trend with potential slow advancement due to overhead UFO (UnFilled Orders) Resistances, a Bullish Call Ratio Spread can be particularly effective. This strategy allows traders to capitalize on the gradual upward movement while keeping a lid on risks associated with faster, unexpected spikes.
Strategy Setup:
Selecting Strikes: Choose a lower strike where the long calls are bought and a higher strike where more calls are sold. The selection depends on the resistance levels indicated by the UFOs.
Position Sizing: Typically, the number of calls sold is higher than those bought, maintaining a ratio that aligns with the trader's risk tolerance and market outlook.
Market Conditions: Best implemented when expecting a gradual increase in the market, allowing time decay to erode the value of the short call positions advantageously.
Real-time Market Example: Bullish Call Ratio Spread on E-mini Dow Jones Futures
Given the current market scenario where the Dow Jones Index is experiencing a bullish breakout, it’s crucial to align our options trading strategy to take advantage of potential slow upward movements signaled by overhead UFO Resistances. This setup suggests a favorable environment for a Bullish Call Ratio Spread, aiming to maximize the benefits of time decay while managing risk exposure effectively.
Setting Up the Bullish Call Ratio Spread:
1. Selection of Strike Prices:
Long Calls: Choose a strike price near the current market level (Strike = 39000).
Short Calls: Set the higher strike prices right at or above the identified UFO Resistances (Strike = 41000). The rationale here is that these levels are expected to cap the upward movement, thus enhancing the likelihood that these short calls expire worthless or decrease in value, maximizing the time decay benefit.
2. Ratio of Calls:
Opt for a ratio that reflects confidence in the bullish movement but also cushions against an unexpected rally. A common setup might be 1 long call for every 2 short calls.
Execution:
Trade Entry: Enter the trade when you observe a confirmed break above a minor resistance or a pullback that respects the upward trend structure.
Monitoring: Regularly monitor the price action as it approaches the UFO Resistances. Adjust the position if the market shows signs of either stalling or breaking through these levels more robustly than anticipated.
Trade Management:
Adjustments: If the market advances towards the higher strike more quickly than expected, consider buying back some short calls to reduce exposure.
Risk Control: Implement stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses should the market move sharply against the position. This could be set at a level where the market structure changes from bullish to bearish.
This real-time scenario provides a practical example of how advanced traders can utilize Bullish Call Ratio Spreads to navigate complex market dynamics effectively, leveraging both market sentiment and technical resistance points to structure a potentially profitable trade setup.
Advantages of Ratio Spreads in Options Trading
Ratio Spreads offer a strategic advantage in options trading by balancing the potential for profit with a controlled risk management approach. Here are some key benefits of incorporating Ratio Spreads into your trading arsenal:
1. Maximizing Time Decay
Optimized Premium Decay: By selling more options than are bought, traders can capitalize on the accelerated decay of the premium of short positions. This is particularly advantageous in markets exhibiting slow to moderate price movements, as expected with the current Dow Jones trend influenced by UFO resistances.
2. Cost Efficiency
Reduced Net Cost: The cost of purchasing options is offset by the income received from selling options, reducing the net cost of entering the trade. This can provide a more affordable way to leverage significant market positions without a substantial upfront investment. The Net Debit paid is 403.4 (690 – 143.3 – 143.3) = $2,017 since each YM point is worth $5.
Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts.
3. Profit in Multiple Market Conditions
Versatile Profit Scenarios: Depending on the setup, Ratio Spreads can be profitable in a stagnant, slightly bullish, or slightly bearish market. The key is the strategic selection of strike prices relative to expected market behavior, enabling profits through slight directional moves while protected against losses from significant adverse moves.
4. Flexible Adjustments
Scalability and Reversibility: Given their structure, Ratio Spreads allow for easy scaling or reversing positions depending on market movements and trader outlook. This flexibility can be a critical factor in dynamic markets where adjustments need to be swift and cost-effective.
Risk Management in Ratio Spreads
While Ratio Spreads offer several benefits, they are not without risks, particularly from significant market moves that can lead to potentially unlimited losses. Here’s how to manage those risks:
Stop-Loss Orders: Setting stop-losses at predetermined levels can help traders exit positions that move against them, preventing larger losses.
Position Monitoring: Regular monitoring and analysis are crucial, especially as the market approaches or reaches the strike price of the short options.
Adjustments: Being proactive about adjusting the spread, either by buying back short options or by rolling the positions to different strikes or expiries, can help manage risk and lock in profits.
Conclusion
Ratio Spreads, particularly in the format of Bullish Call Ratio Spreads demonstrated with E-mini Dow Jones Futures, offer a sophisticated strategy that balances potential profit with manageable risks. This approach is suited for traders who have a nuanced understanding of market dynamics and can navigate the complexities of options with strategic finesse.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
World Coin Weekly AnalysisWorld Coin (WLD) emerged as the standout performer of the week, registering a remarkable surge of 29.76%. In March, WLD reached its peak at $12.034 before undergoing a correction to $3.698, finding significant support at the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Presently, WLD is exhibiting a double bottom pattern on the daily timeframe, indicating bullish momentum. Resistance is evident at $6.540, with a potential breakout signaling a move towards $7.5 or higher. Weekly moving averages portray positivity, while oscillators remain in a neutral position. Both daily oscillators and moving averages are signaling buy calls, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
$APPLE - Lickely to visit 155 usd?We wake up with the news that Warren Buffet has sold a grand part of his $APPLE shares. Looking at the graph, the price has "casually" printed several bearish patterns and divergences, and it's currently potentially reacting to the 0.709 fibo of the bearish pullback, in order to look... lower prices?
A double top with bearish divergence is a very strong bear signal, I guess bulls will let the price go lower until around 152-155 usd that is a high demand zone and where the Weekly EMA 200 passes through.
Let's see how it goes.
Curious fact: Warrent Buffet sold almost 30% of his $APPLE shares since the start of the year. The price did the second top on December 2023, so Warren did a perfect move from a trader technical point of view.