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Double Top or Bottom

Simple13 Trading IdeaTechnical Setup: The stock is trading near its 52-week low, which suggests it might be oversold. The RSI is also in the oversold area, increasing the likelihood of a potential rebound. Financial ratios show PE at 21 and ROE at 22%, indicating that the stock’s fundamentals remain strong, and it may be undervalued at current levels. Entry Strategy: The buy zone between RM 1.10 and RM 1.16 represents a favorable entry point based on current support levels and the stock’s oversold condition. Profit Taking: If the price rises to RM 1.35, take profit as this represents an approximately 16.4% upside from RM 1.16, a reasonable resistance level in the current market condition. Profit-taking decisions should also consider individual trading goals and risk tolerance. Risk Management: If the price drops below RM 1.00, consider cutting losses, as the pullback could extend further than expected and breach important support levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any trading decisions, as market conditions can change rapidly. MYX:CTOS
MYX:CTOS
by Simple13_Trading
NZDJPY breaks 200-day SMA; downward movement imminent?The New Zealand dollar to Japanese yen currency pair (NZD/JPY) saw an uptrend on the daily chart from March 2020 to July 2024, gaining 66.58% over the four-year period. Recently, however, the pair broke below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. The 200-day SMA, which had served as support for four years, now appears to be acting as resistance. Additionally, the NZD/JPY formed a double top, indicating that buyers were once more unable to push the price above the 92.00 mark. This double top region coincides with the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci. Upward trend in NZDJPY driven by RBNZ-BOJ interest rate differential The strong upward trend had been driven by the interest rate differential between the New Zealand dollar and the Japanese yen. New Zealand, like many countries around the world, slashed interest rates during the COVID-19 pandemic to stimulate its economy. However, as the economy began to recover, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) moved to raise rates to control inflation and avoid rampant price increases. With inflation now under control, the RBNZ has started cutting rates, with yesterday marking the third consecutive cut, as the central bank reduced New Zealand’s key interest rate from 5.25% to 4.75%. Japan, on the other hand, followed the opposite path, keeping its interest rate below 0 while other countries raised borrowing costs to control inflation — which is why the JPY has depreciated so much in recent years. However, in its most recent meetings, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) — Japan’s central bank — changed its stance and raised interest rates for the first time since 2016. With New Zealand’s interest rate declining and Japan’s interest rate increasing, there is potential for a medium-term devaluation of the NZD against the JPY. Downward movement in NZDJPY possible in coming months From a technical perspective, the following factors are at play: 1. Break of the uptrend on D1. 2. The 200-day SMA, which previously acted as support, is now serving as resistance. 3. A double top has formed on the daily chart. 4. The 50% Fibonacci region is bearish. Considering these technical factors and the diverging monetary policies of the central banks in Japan and New Zealand, a downward movement in NZD/JPY is possible in the coming months. If the price manages to break below 89.75, it is possible that it will fall to the 86.70 region in a few days. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
Is MYROUSDT Setting Up for a Bullish Breakout, or Is It a Trap?Yello, Paradisers! 🚨 Are you prepared for the potential bullish move on MYROUSDT? 💎MYROUSDT broke out of a key resistive trendline and is now consolidating. Within this consolidation phase, a W pattern appears to be forming. 💎If MYROUSDT breaks and closes above the resistant zone, this will validate the W pattern and significantly increase the likelihood of a strong bullish move. However, caution is essential! The broader market trend, especially BTC’s price action, will play a crucial role. If BTC shows signs of strength, it will further support our bullish bias. But if BTC starts turning bearish, it’s better to avoid this analysis. 💎On the flip side, if MYROUSDT breaks down and closes below the support zone, this would invalidate our bullish outlook completely. 🎖Always remember, Paradisers, disciplined trading and patience will set you apart from the crowd. Stick to your strategy and wait for the highest probability setups. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
GBPCAD SHORTGBPCAD SHORT ENTRY 1.78718 STOP LOSS 1.7915 TARGETS 1.7822 , 1.77925 AND 1.7753 The market trend is bearish, with lower lows and lower highs on the daily chart, and the market is now approaching resistance. On the 1-hour chart, a double top has formed, and its breakout occurred at the start of the London session, which is a strong signal to sell. For extra confirmation, a rising wedge pattern has also formed, with its neckline aligning with the double top's neckline. Both have broken out, so we will take the trade on the retest.
Short
by ArtOfTrading33
XAUUSD: Double Top/Head and Shoulders From a broader perspective, gold currently resembles a head and shoulders pattern. However, if we focus on a smaller scale, it appears to be forming a double top. For now, we will base our market analysis on this smaller pattern to guide our trades. Typically, after a double top forms, a rebound often follows. This is one of the primary reasons why I recommended a buy position before yesterday's close. When bullish momentum is strong, the price tends to rebound towards or even above the resistance level. In cases of weaker bullish strength, the rebound peak may fall below or only reach the resistance level. Given the current state of the market, the bulls still hold decent power, making it likely that the rebound will test or even surpass the resistance zone around 2629-2638. This area can be considered as a potential exit point for long positions and an ideal entry point for shorts. For short positions, the initial target can be around 2596, which was a previous resistance level during the uptrend. The mid-term target aligns with the low formed during the left shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern, around 2558. The final target would be near 2518, the starting point of the head and shoulders formation. Every trader has their own preferred strategy, but the key is to align with the overall trend. Even if short-term volatility creates challenging situations, staying patient and trusting the broader market direction will lead to success in the end. The process may involve several tests, but perseverance and timing are crucial.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Technical Analysis of Nike (NKE)Looking at Nike ’s stock on a monthly timeframe, we can clearly observe that it has been in a downtrend since November 2021, following the formation of a Double Top pattern, confirmed by the development of a Shooting Star candlestick. The downward movement has currently paused at a support level (SUP) in the $70 area, where the stock has shown a reaction. At the moment, the stock is trading near a crucial volume level, the Point of Control (POC). Above this level, up to $110, there are significant volumes that could make upward movement more challenging. Bullish Scenario For a bullish scenario, the stock needs to break above the current POC level and the descending trendline. The first target could be the resistance (RES 1) around $110. If it successfully breaks through this resistance with strength, the second target could be the $130 area (RES 2), which has acted as both support and resistance in the past. Bearish Scenario However, if the stock lacks the momentum to break through the POC and the entire high-volume area up to RES 1, the downtrend could continue, with the next support (SUP1) located around the $50 area. This analysis outlines both bullish and bearish scenarios for Nike's stock, offering a clear view of the key price levels to watch.
NYSE:NKE
by Giovanni_Bandini
long $HAL on double bottom pattern, bullish sentiment for crudeI am going long NSE:HAL via options for the following reasons: NYMEX:CL1! closed the week before last at the second lowest level of the year. The following week, i.e. last week, oil emphatically rejected these lows with a 10% gain, showing the highest weekly trading volume of the year. This move continued today with another 3.7% gain. I believe that drilling activity is close to a bottom. Last week Baker Hughes reported 479 oil rigs in operation in North America. That's the second lowest weekly number since the beginning of 2022. I don't see Western countries ending their embargo of Russian oil any time soon, there's the potential for Israel to strike Iran's oil export infrastructure, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve continues to hover near 16-year lows, and there's always another hurricane brewing in the Gulf of Mexico. With all that going on, I believe that US producers will be smart to put a few well completions into their back pockets, just in case. NSE:HAL is the cheapest of the big three oil services companies on a fwd EV/EBITDA basis. Management expects 2024 FCF to grow at least 10% from 2023 (analysts penciled in 20% growth), and they expect drilling activity to increase in 2025 from 2024H2 levels. NSE:HAL currently presents a double bottom pattern on the daily chart. Since 2021 these patterns have had a very high probability to hit their target for $HAL. I think this trade is attractive on multiple time horizons. Mine is relatively short (I expect to be out before the Nov 7 earnings release). This is no recommendation, of course. Please do your own research.
NYSE:HALLong
by matthias
1
Sellers unable to push USDCHF below 0.84; possible upward move?The U.S. dollar to Swiss franc currency pair (USD/CHF) had been trading sideways above a key support level on the daily chart, marking the lowest price since 2015. In addition, a double bottom pattern has formed, signaling that sellers have been unable to continue pushing the price below 0.8400. On Friday, Oct. 4, the USDCHF broke out of its sideways pattern on the daily chart, indicating potential buying momentum. A possible upward movement could take the price to the 0.8800 level in a few days. Hot US jobs report, lower-than-expected unemployment favours the dollar From a macroeconomic standpoint, Friday’s US nonfarm payroll (NFP) data came in well above expectations (254,000 actual vs. 147,000 forecast), pointing to a robust labor market with potential incoming growth over the coming months, which tends to favor the USD. The NFP data also appears to have led markets to price out expectations of an outsized 50-basis-point interest rate by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting — which could have led to more weakening in the US dollar. The dollar has also benefited from safe-haven flows amidst rising tensions in the Middle East, with the IDF starting ground operations in Lebanon and Iran unleashing a large-scale ballistic missile attack on Israel for the second time. Therefore, from a technical standpoint, we can observe the following: USD/CHF at its lowest level since 2015. Formation of a double bottom on the daily chart. Sideways movement above support. Friday's breakout indicating a potential uptick in buying activity. From a macroeconomic standpoint, the following factors are in play: NFP data surpassed expectations (254,000 actual vs. 147,000 forecast). Unemployment rate came in lower than expected (4.1% actual vs. 4.2% forecast). Together, these factors suggest that USD/CHF could appreciate, potentially reaching 0.8800 in the near term. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
ROSEUSDT Set for a Major Breakout or Breakdown?Yello Paradisers! Are you ready to catch the next big move on ROSEUSDT? 🧐 Let’s dive in! 💎Currently, ROSEUSDT has displayed a Change of Character (CHOCH) and has formed a W-pattern on a crucial support zone, which previously acted as resistance. After the breakout, this zone now serves as a potential base for a bullish move. 💎But confirmation is critical! ROSEUSDT needs to break above the previous swing high of the W-pattern and close a candle above it. If this happens, it would significantly increase the probability of an upward move. 💎We may see a bounce from the strong support zone below. However, to validate this, we need an Internal Change of Character (I-CHoCH) to confirm a shift toward a bullish market structure. 💎If ROSEUSDT breaks down and closes candle below the strong support zone, it would invalidate the entire bullish setup and could signal further downside risk. Stay sharp, Paradisers! Waiting for confirmation is crucial. In this game, patience and discipline will always set you apart from the crowd. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
EURUSD - When the 2618 Technique Comes Into PlayAfter a wild reaction to end the week, it's time to reevaluate the markets for the week ahead & plan our attack. After violating a previous level of structure to the downside, the EURUSD has ran right back into another level of major structure support & has held. We've already seen a double bottom form at this level so it's a little late to enter based off that classic price pattern. But don't worry I've got an alternative option for you called the "2618 Technique." If you have any questions or comments about the setup (or anything else trading related) please let me know. And I wish you guys the best of luck in this upcoming trading week! Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes