Gold Eyes $2,604 and $2,562 TargetsGood morning traders,
Trust your day is off to a great start. Take a moment to read my analysis of the Gold market, and give your view.
Overview
Gold is currently trading at $2,662.25, caught between a bullish and bearish triangle range. This follows an impulsive upward movement from Friday’s low of $2,612.89, driven by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. However, the upward momentum appears to have stalled, with price action signaling potential reversal patterns.
Idea
The price formation resembles a double top, a bearish pattern, with a strong resistance zone above, suggesting a possible downward move. If the price breaks below the neckline, it would confirm bearish momentum. Key support levels to monitor include $2,604.59 and $2,562.67. Conversely, if the price breaks above the $2,689.29 resistance level, the bearish scenario would be invalidated, signaling a continuation of bullish momentum.
Conclusion
Gold's current price action presents a mixed outlook. While the double top and resistance zone hint at a bearish move, the market must confirm this by breaking the neckline.
Cheers and happy trading!
Doubletoppattern
Long-term Cup & Handle PatternA long-term cup & handle pattern has formed in Nintendo (I have been buying during the "handle" formation). It's not a perfect setup as the top of the "handle" is higher than the high near the end of 2007, although that's in the chart adjusted for dividends. It looks a lot more clear on the chart that's not adjusted for dividends (I will post an update with that). Additionally, the "cup" formation is pretty deep, which likely limits upside from here. Therefore, I think a 50% rise is possible if it can decisively break out above $16 on a monthly closing basis. (This would be a price target in the mid-$20 range; more may be possible, and would be welcomed, but at some point I would have a stop loss in mind and hopefully it would continue to run for a while. I will update this idea if/when that happens.)
EURGBP can we see higher bearish
OANDA:EURGBP structural analysis, we are have double top, and price is break first zone of double top pattern, currently price is on second zone, it's make bounce, testing currently, expecting here to see bounce continuation
SUP zone: 0.83500
RES zone: 0.828000, 0.82600
USD/CAD 4H Bearish Double Top with RSI Divergence Trade SetupUSD/CAD 4-hour chart is forming a bearish double top pattern near a resistance zone, signaling a potential reversal. The RSI shows bearish divergence, with the price making higher highs while RSI trends lower, indicating weakening upward momentum. This setup suggests that a bearish move is likely if the price breaks below the key support level at 1.38138, which is the designated sell entry level in the plan. The stop loss is set above the double top, at 1.39624, to protect against a breakout above resistance.
For targets, Take Profit Level 1 is set at 1.36665, while Take Profit Level 2 is positioned at 1.35443, aligning with lower support levels that could serve as points for a potential reversal or pause in the downtrend. The plan projects the double top breakdown using a red line labeled "Projection of DT," indicating the estimated move downward if the pattern completes. This trade strategy utilizes confluence between price action, RSI divergence, and a clear breakdown structure to establish a high-probability short trade setup.
SolUsd Weekly Double Top about to break above much higher
SolUsd is not giving much away at the moment in terms of short term profits. It's price has been moving in this massive double-top pattern that extends to the weekly charts at least.
But price on the intraday is moving away and to the right of this double-top & price will be free to drift sharply upwards. But I see its price capped short term until the last part of Solana is finished on this weekly double-top system.
In other words, you can't make a break-away with a 'head' and no body for example 'arms and legs', if you get my analogy.
Regardless, it seems a squeeze on Solana's price in the interim for a short while, will serve to give it a massive momentum shot when it makes a complete move from D.Top.
Bitcoin - DOUBLE TOP Weekly TimeframeA Double top in the weekly timeframe is never a good sigh - however, all is not yet lost.
One final pattern remains to be seen - and that is the Bump and Run method. Perhaps we can bump that diagonal support around 65k, retest the bulls' determination - and then make the final impulse wave up.
There is a fakeout observed on Dogecoin as well, and alts that have increased alongside BTC over the past week will likely fall pretty hard IF Bitcoin cannot keep closing ABOVE 65K.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Tata Consumer - How the Crash was Predictable Despite ResultsTata Consumer Products - Monthly Vs Weekly Comparison
1. On Monthly - the price formed Double Top pattern at 1,235 level on Sep 2024 and started falling 1.5 months ago. The Neckline is 1,017 level and when it breaks below - it will go down to 865, 698 levels
2. On Weekly - the price once again formed Double Top pattern at 1,222 level on 16th Sep and started falling for 5 Weeks already before today and has a target of 1,017 (which COMPLETED today)
One basic / Logical Question - When the price forms Bearish Patterns back-to-back on Multiple Timeframe Charts - How do you even expect the Results (Positive or Negative) to come and save it ????
And Watch today (Oct 21) - the price opened Gap Down - right below the Monthly Double Top Pattern's Neckline (at Candle Body Level) at 1,047 and took the hard Resistance and fell down -8.5% Intraday
But despite the fall - what saved it from Crashing further to LC or ending below -8% ? the same Monthly Pattern's Double Top Neckline (at Wick Level - 1,017)
Now the price is sandwiched between Wick & Candle Levels of Double Top Neckline
Now - Let's review the same situation from a different Source of Truth. A Comparison of Nifty_Tata_25 Index, Nifty FMCG Index
1. Nifty_Tata_25 index is going thru a Falling Parallel Channel and it ended up right below Resistance yesterday. So Obviously TATA Stocks were set to fall today - but Which one of those ? Today there were multiple Tata Stocks disclosing their Quarterly Results. Some Strong, Some Good, Some Weak - but net result the overall Tata Group stock had to go down - That's the destiny
2. Nifty FMCG Index - the price is again going thru Falling Parallel Channel since Sep 26 and today it opened right at the support level of 60,840 and within few mins it crashed below.
Now that FMCG sector is crashing and Nifty_Tata_25 Index has to Fall - which of the 22 Tata Group stocks will take the Brunt of the Fall ???? - Simple - One and Only Tata Consumer Products
Todays' Tata Group Performance
1. Tejasnet +11%
2. Tata Chemicals +9%
3. Tata Investment +3.3%
4. IHCL (Hotels) +3%
These are the best performers today - and all 4 belong to 4 different sectors. Now let's look at the worst performers of Tata Group
1. Tata Consumer -7%
2. TRF -4.2%
3. Rallis -3.5%
4. Voltas -2.5%
Again - these 4 also belong to 4 different sectors and these 4 sectors are different from the best performing 4 sectors.
So, When Tata Group Index HAD TO FALL - its Obvious that Tata Consumer is the Only One to Take the Worst Hit Logically. Makes Sense ????
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Now Next Steps.
1. Nifty Tata Index - ended right at support level
2. Tata Consumer - took support of the Falling Parallel Channel bottom and bounced from -8.5% to -7% (Blue Arrow)
So, its clear that Tata Consumer will Rise tomorrow.....But the rise would NOT be enough for Bullish Reversal - Why ? read below
As you can see on the Weekly Chart, the Double Top on Weekly's target is already achieved and hence the fall stopped temporarily, but the target of Monthly Double Top is 865 and 698.
So, tomorrow when the price rises, it would take a resistance from 1,050 levels again and go sideways for few days and then fall below to 865
Read the Blue Path which explains the extrapolated path it would take to fall down to 865 and even to 698 if needed
2281: Watchout_Double Top Formation2281 is moving nicely in an ascending parallel channel taking support from a long-term trendline support continuously.
Price has shown breakout from parallel channel and has formed double top at a critical resistance of 140.
Bulls need to break the resistance of 140 to continue the bullish trend or wait for correction.
PEPE forms DOUBLE TOP with H&S on right peakPEPE has formed a double top, broken through previous low of 0.0000116 and is now retesting from below.
To add fuel to fire, the right top has formed a head and shoulders pattern, with the shoulder line being broken at 0.0000116.
Main technical pivot point for PEPE is set at 0.000009, however should we see the reflection of our double top measurement, we'd be looking at a 0.0000108 - 0.0000106 profit target for a nice little short
NASDAQ 100 Analysis!NASDAQ:NDX Analysis on a 4Hr Timeframe!
Double Bottom/M Pattern Formation in NASDAQ100!
RSI Divergence in NASDAQ100!
Evening Star Candlestick Pattern at Resistance Level!
I have done all Analysis on the chart please have a look!
Disclaimer = Consider my analysis for Educational Purpose only.
Before entering into any trade -
1) Educate Yourself
2) Do your research and analysis
3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio
4) Don't trade with full capital
GOOGL to Low $100s?Overview
Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is in the dangerous territory of a double top formation. I've discovered this same macro-pattern with a few other assets as well. In combination with a rise in long-term Treasury Yield Curve rates since December 2023, I think a rush of selling pressure could be around the corner.
Technical Analysis
Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels along with historical supports & resistances, the $126-136 range appears to be a key level in the share price. The double top formation is a bearish reversal pattern that resembles the letter "M" and, when valid, the second peak is greeted with significant selling pressure. According to technical indicators GOOGL is beginning to reveal the symptoms of a bearish reversal.
The share price has risen on dwindling volume, Money Flow Index (MFI) is approaching overbought territory, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still under a ceiling created in March 2022. A rising wedge is also visible on the hourly charts with a micro Head & Shoulders in development. Should a high volume breakdown occur then I believe a price target range between $109-126 is probable, however, I am expecting adequate support around $126 as it correlates with both a 61.8% Fibonacci level and has history as a key area of support & resistance.
Speculations
Earnings season is a great time to profit from derivative trading, however, it can also be more treacherous due to the volatility most stocks experience in the days leading up to and immediately following their Quarterly Releases. Because GOOGL is having their Earnings Call in the next few days, I would not be surprised to see sharp price movements in either direction regardless of the current trends. Concrete stop-losses and price targets should be determined before entering any positions.
Mr. Double Top is that you?Following a contracting triangle breakout today, NIFTY zoomed up with a fair amount of pull backs which denote more than just a regular retracement. Over a larger time frame, one can observe NIFTY ultimately forming lower highs since it made the last all time high. Today, near the closing bell NIFTY made a double top and slipped down from what one would consider a healthy retracement. These sharp pull backs show the power of bears to cause a dip and trap for buyers hoping a fresh bull run.
However, patterns can break so keeping in mind the risks you should not stick to any particular pattern assuming the holy grail to market formations. On the right axis is Fibonacci retracements we can observe if a sharp fall occurs if the double top pattern holds true.
S&P500: Moving to the DowOverview
I decided it was time to start taking control of my own retirement account. For years my account has been pulling in mediocre gains and the only reason I've put up with it for so long is because: 1) it took me years to hone my trading skills and 2) my employer matches my contributions.
Well, after reviewing my available fund allocations and performing a quick technical analysis of the respective funds, I decided to pull completely out of the S&P500 ( SP:SPX ) and placed them into the Dow Jones ( DJ:DJI ).
Technical Analysis
SP:SPX
A double top has appeared on the 1W chart. Combined with dwindling volume on top of increasing value, I think it's ready to fall. Utilizing Fibonacci retracements I believe a good time to re-enter the S&P 500 will be in the range of $2200-$3200 USD.
DJ:DJI
While it is still slightly early to confirm, it appears that the Dow Jones has escaped the double-top and in my opinion looks coiled up and ready to spring. Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels -- supported by increasing volume with rising value -- $56.8K appears to be a practical price target.
BTC / USDT - Bearish Signals at 4H TimeframeBTC / USDT - Bearish Signals at 4H Timeframe
Technical Analysis:
Double Top Break and Retest: price is showing signs of weakness with a break below the double top neckline followed by a retest, suggesting potential bearish pressure.
VWAP Break: The VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) has been breached, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potentially favoring the bears.
Bearish Divergence: A bearish divergence is observed, adding to the indications of potential downside movement.
Weakness Confirmation:
If the price fails to hold the critical level at $41,666, it could trigger further downside movement.
Target:
The initial target is set at the 200 moving average (MA), acting as potential support in a bearish scenario.
Risk Management:
Consider implementing risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect against adverse market movements.