DOW
US30 Holds Above 44500 – Bullish Momentum in PlayUS30 | Technical Overview
The price action continues to reflect a bullish bias, supported by strong earnings reports and solid U.S. economic data. As long as the index trades above 44500, the upward momentum is expected to continue.
Technical Outlook:
Price remains bullish above 44500, with upside targets at 44640 and 44760.
A confirmed 1H close below 44500 would shift momentum to the downside, exposing support levels at 44350 and 44215.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 44500
• Resistance: 44640 / 44760 / 44920
• Support: 44350 / 44215 / 44075
US30 | Bearish Pressure Builds Below 44,170 — Breakout or BounceUS30: Eyes on Earnings and News
US stocks edged higher pre-market after Trump denied plans to fire Fed Chair Powell, easing market concerns. With corporate earnings in focus, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.
Technical View:
The price holds bullish momentum above 44170, targeting 44280 and 44500.
A 1H close below 44170 may lead to a drop toward 44075, and breaking below that would open the path to 43960 and 43630.
A 1H close above 44280 strengthens the bullish case toward 44500.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 44280, 44410, 44500
Support: 44075, 43960, 43630
previous idea:
DOW JONES formed 1st 1D Golden Cross since 2022!Dow Jones (DJIA) completed on Monday its 1st Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since December 12 2022! This powerful bullish pattern comes with the price close to its All Time High (ATH).
Being inside almost a 3-year Channel Up, the current rise is the pattern's latest Bullish Leg following the April 07 2025 bottom (Higher Low). Both previous Bullish Legs rose by +39.96% before forming a Higher High.
Based on the Fibonacci retracement levels, last time the previous Bullish Leg was within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci Zone, it formed a Re-accumulation Phase for 3 months. As a result, we shouldn't dismiss the fact of trading sideways for the rest of the Summer and then picking up the pace. Our end-of-year Target remains 50000.
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US30 – Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms US30 – Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms
US30 rallied and successfully reached our resistance target, as expected in the previous analysis.
However, with today’s CPI release, the market is likely to see increased volatility. As long as the index trades below 44,500–44,570, the bias remains bearish, with downside targets at 44,210 and 43,960.
• If CPI prints below 2.6%, we may see a bullish breakout toward 45,100
• Above or equal to 2.6% supports continuation of the bearish move
However, we expect a 2.7% reading, driven by tariff-related price increases, which would support the bearish scenario.
DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders!
The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level.
The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight.
Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically.
In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs.
This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well.
Best of luck on your trading journey!
US30 Bearish Below 44490 – Watching 44180 US30 Analysis
US30 remains bearish below 44490, with downside targets at 44180 and 43960.
A 1H close below 44180 would confirm continuation toward 43630.
To turn bullish, price must break above 44490.
Pivot: 44430
Resistance: 44460, 44550, 44760
Support: 44180, 43960, 43630
Dow Jones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 44,270 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it down, if we get dips below the trend we will be looking for a potential retrace towards further downsides.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dow Jones Extends Rally Toward New HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 1%, approaching the all-time high zone near 45,000 points. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, supported by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that a rate cut may occur later this year, despite renewed concerns over a potential reignition of trade war tensions. If buying pressure holds in the short term, this could fuel further upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to new record levels.
Consistent Uptrend
The recent bullish swings have sustained a steady level of investor confidence, allowing the upward trend to remain unbroken. So far, there hasn’t been any significant selling correction strong enough to break the structure, meaning the dominant long-term uptrend remains intact. This continues to be the most important technical pattern to monitor, although the index is once again testing previous highs, where short-term selling corrections may emerge.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line is hovering near the overbought level around 70, suggesting that buying momentum has created an imbalance in market forces. This may open the door to a potential technical pullback as the index approaches historical highs.
ADX: The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral 20 level, maintaining a steady upward slope in recent sessions. If this trend continues, it could indicate increasing strength behind the current uptrend, especially if key resistance levels are broken.
Key Levels:
44,970 – Major Resistance: This level marks the all-time high and serves as the most important short-term resistance. A breakout above it could strengthen the bullish bias, open the door to new record highs, and further confirm the ongoing uptrend.
43,863 – Intermediate Support: A technical indecision zone seen in late February. A drop below this level may trigger a period of short-term neutrality or sideways movement.
42,756 – Critical Support: This zone aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages, making it a key technical area. A break below this level may signal the end of the current bullish trend and initiate a deeper correction.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US30 Consolidates Below Resistance – Tariff Risks LoomUS30 – Market Overview
The price is currently consolidating within the range of 44490 to 44180, awaiting a breakout to determine the next directional move.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 44490, we expect bearish volatility to retest 44180.
A confirmed 1H close below 44180 would open the path toward 43960 and 43760.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price closes above 44490, it will likely trigger a bullish move toward 44750, with potential extension to 44970 ATH and beyond.
Note: Market sentiment remains sensitive to tariff-related developments, which may drive sharp moves in either direction.
Pivot Level: 44490
Support: 44180, 43960, 43770
Resistance: 44750, 44960, 45100
DOW JONES repeating May's pattern.Dow Jones (DJI) has been testing its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since yesterday, following 2 straight weeks of trading strongly above it.
If it holds and rebounds, the pattern will draw even more similarities with May's Channel Up, which after the May 06 Low, it resumed the uptrend to peak on a +9.27% rise from the bottom, before breaking below the 4H MA50.
Since the current rise is -0.70% weaker (+4.94% against +5.66%) from May's fractal, we can assume that as long as the 4H MA50 holds, we can expect a peak at 46400.
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Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones.
Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears.
Technical Outlook:
Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum.
A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960.
However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond.
Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770
Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100
Note:
Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices.
Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
Can Dow hit new highs?While the likes of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are already record highs, the Dow has not achieved that target yet. It continues to make higher highs and higher lows, and the momentum seems to be getting stronger. Soon, it may even flirt with fresh all-time highs, as investors ride the tailwinds of a robust rally that kicked off in early April. There have been a few catalysts behind this rally. First, it was Trump hitting pause on reciprocal tariffs; then, a wave of optimism washed over markets following a sudden de-escalation in the Middle East. The bulls took charge, and markets haven’t looked back since. But with 4 July celebrations on the doorstep and Wall Street due to close at 1pm NY time, today’s shortened session has a singular focus: the all-important US non-farm payrolls report. Will we have enough time to see the Dow march to new highs? The key levels are marked on the chart.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DOW JONES This is how it hits 50000 by the end of the year.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 03 2022 market bottom and since the April 07 2025 Low, it's been unfolding the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
Ahead of an emerging 1D Golden Cross, the first since December 13 2022, the price action looks more bullish than ever strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
In fact, it is not that different from the fractal of that last 1D Golden Cross, which traded inside a neckline before the Bullish Leg broke upwards and completed eventually a +39.96% rise.
We expect a 50000 test towards the end of the year at the top of the Channel Up, which is still marginally below the tolerance levels of a +39.36% rise.
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DOW JONES: Final phase of bullish wave has started.Dow is practically overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.306, MACD = 518.450, ADX = 36.217) but that should little affect the heavily bullish price action on the long term. The reason is that after the April bounce on the 1W MA200, Dow entered the final phase of the Bull Cycle that started on the October 2022 bottom and according to all prior bullish waves inside the 16 year Channel Up, it should rise by a minimum of +71%. That gives a TP = 49,000.
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DOW JONES: Technical pullback possible but 43,700 target remainsDow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.550, MACD = 276.720, ADX = 11.070), extending the bullish wave of the 1 month Channel Up. This is only the second such wave of this pattern and its first pulled back to the 0.5 Fiboancci retracement level after making a +3.75% rise. It is possible to see such a retrace start either now or tomorrow but on the medium term the bullish target on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is intact (TP = 43,700).
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DOW JONES about to skyrocket based on the Gold/Silver ratio!Dow Jones (DJI) has been basically consolidating for the past month or so, following the massive April 7th bottom rebound but there is a very distinct indicator that shows it is about to skyrocket.
That is the Gold/ Silver ratio (blue trend-line). Gold (XAUUSD) as a safe haven, attracts capital in times of market uncertainty. Silver (XAGUSD), as a metal of industrial use, attracts capital in times of economic boom and prosperity.
In the past 6 years more particularly, every time the Gold/ Silver ratio declined, Dow started rising aggressively (exception July-Aug 2019, when the market rose straight after), as investors clearly showed their risk-on appetite by buying Silver (optimism) at the expense of Gold (fear).
Dow's current consolidation indicates that there may be high accumulation in the past month and the ratios extended decline suggests a skyrocket move is up next.
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Dow Jones Gains on Rate Cut Hopes and Ceasefire Relief US30 OVERVIEW
Wall Street Rises on Fed Rate Cut Hopes and Geopolitical De-escalation
The Dow Jones (US30) remains under bullish pressure, supported by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year and a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, which has eased market tensions.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – US30
The price maintains a bullish bias as long as it trades above the pivot level at 42,810, with upside potential toward the key resistance at 43,210.
A short-term bearish correction is possible toward 42,810 or even 42,670, but the broader structure remains bullish above these levels.
Resistance Levels: 43,060 → 43,210 → 43,350
Support Levels: 42,670 → 42,420 → 42,160
A sustained break below 42,670 could signal deeper correction, while a clear move above 43,210 would confirm continued bullish momentum.
Falling towards major support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 41,520.25
1st Support: 40,653.80
1st Resistance: 43,238.47
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Great Depression 2.0 Starting in 2030?Looking at the Dow Jones, we can see clear cycles forming on this index. I believe we could see one more major run on the Dow between now and 2030, followed by a repeat of the Great Depression. I could easily be wrong, but the charts suggest this is a very real possibility.
So, between now and our potential top in 2030, we have an opportunity to make a significant amount of money in markets like crypto.
As always, stay profitable.
– Dalin Anderson
DOW JONES 15 year Cycles are coming to play.Dow Jones (DJI) is consolidating on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past month. Based on a remarkable cyclical frequency as the Time Cycles show, every time this 1W MA50 consolidation takes place since October 2011, it turned into the long-term Support that supported rallies of at least +40.94%.
As their 1M RSI readings also sync, we can expect the current consolidation to end soon and drive the market to at least a +40.94% rise from the 1W MA50. Our long-term Target on this is 59000.
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DOW JONES: Will the 4H MA200 produce a rally?Dow is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.949, MACD = 356.820, ADX = 20.639), trading between its 4H MA50 and MA200 in the past 2 days. The price just hit the 4H MA200 for the 2nd time again at the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it holds, the pattern can initiate the new bullish wave. We exepct it to repeat the +3.74% rise of the one before, TP = 43,550.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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