DOW
UDOW a triple leveraged ETF of the DOW indexUDOW is shown here on the 30-minute chart rising over the past month in an ascending
parallel channel. The chart shows the price currently situated near to the bottom of
the channel which is the support trendline drawn onto the chart with the resistance
trendline as well. My trading plan is I will take a long trade of 50 shares with a stop loss
immediately below the support trendline. I see a targets as $ 62 and $ 65 making for
a very favorable reward for the risk taken. For the entry, I will use the 5- minute chart
and enter when the HA candles are green and the RSI is above 50. I realize that the DOW
has less volatility than the S & P or NASDAQ but with that is less overall risk of reversals
and pullbacks. I tend to take higher-risk trades but see this as having a balancing effect
in my overall portfolio.
DOW JONES Crossed under the 4hour MA50. Short term sell signal.Dow Jones has crossed under the 4hour MA50 and hit the bottom of the short term Channel Up.
Since December, every closing under the 4hour MA50 has been a sell signal (8 times) with a decline ranging from -1.66% to -4.74% from the moment of crossing.
As long as the Channel Up holds, buy and target Resistance A at 34900.
If the Channel Up breaks, sell and target Support A at 33400.
Then since that Support is near the bottom of the long term Channel Up started in March and represents a -2.00% decline from the MA50 breaking moment, buy for the medium term and target again 34900.
A very consistent buy signal is when the 4hour RSI enters the green Oversold Zone. That has issued a rebound back to the 4hour MA50 on all 7 occurrences since December.
Previous chart:
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DOW JONES on the 4H MA50 on the Channel UpDow Jones touched the 4H MA50 and bottom of Channel Up 2 that is dominating June's price action. Naturally, the 1D technicals are bullish (RSI = 63.354, MACD = 250.370, ADX = 14.024) and the 4H ones marginally neutral, which indicates a short term buy opportunity.
With the 4H STOCH RSI making a Bullish Cross inside the oversold zone, that is technically a buy signal at least on the short term. The next technical Resistance is R2 and that's our target (TP = 34,950), which is also the Top of December 13th 2022.
If the candle closes under the 4H MA50 though, which would also mean crossing under Channel Up 2, we will short targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 33,500).
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (17/06/2023)The DOW looks bullish and might be preparing for a Wave 3 to the upside. However, minimum requirements for a Wave 2 to the downside were not fullfilled. As long as we do not take out the Wave 1 high, it could be that we still make a new low as a Wave 2.
💾 DJIThe Dow Jones have been left behind compared to the SPX and NDX but the chart still looks pretty good.
We have a hammer 25-May after a months long correction, followed by a full green candle. This is a reversal signal with confirmation the next day.
We just need to see follow up on Monday but looking at the three major indexes together, SPX, DJI and NDX, we are going to call it bullish.
The blue spaces on the chart is the strong support.
The DJI is trading within a long-term higher low.
The bias is 100% bullish.
We will see how it goes but we expect it to grow in the short-term based on the current look of the chart.
This can change if the support levels break.
If support remains intact, up we go!
Namaste.
DOW JONES rebounding on the MA50 (4h) aiming at 34750.Dow Jones has had a strong rebound on the MA50 (4h) since the Fed low yesterday and maintains the short term Channel Up.
There is still much room for the index to rise inside the long term Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. If the price crosses under the Channel Up, buy on the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 34750 (Rising Resistance).
2. 34900 (Resistance 2).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) has its own Rising Resistance to be mindful of. The last two contact points with it, formed Higher Highs on the short term Channel Up.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 15/06/2023Although the DOW looks bullish in the higher timeframe, we expect a pullback in the lower timeframe. In the 1 hour, we see 5 waves up and wave 5 is clearly ending with divergence compared to wave 3. If the divergence is not erased, we would expect a pullback. Traders can initiate a short (against the higher timeframe) or go long after the pullback (aligned with the higher timeframe).
US30: Price levels and pattern analysis post-FMOCToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Ascending Triangle, low rejection, Resistance
Possible targets – 35,260 - 33,255
Support – 33,790
Resistance – 34,310
Today we have looked at the US30 after this morning’s FOMC. The Fed held rates but commented that we could see two more rises this year.
With price bouncing back after testing lower, could we see a new shot at resistance, or will we see sellers make a new test lower, breaking the current uptrend? If the trend is broken, could this set up a new move back to test the long-term pattern base?
On the other side, could buyers make a new move to test or break key resistance? With rate raises back on the agenda will this maintain the current key resistance and hold price in its overall pattern?
Good trading.
DOW JONES The closing of the 1day candle can send it to 34900Dow Jones/ US30 hit yesterday Resistance A (34260) but closed the candle under it.
If it closes over it, especially if the Fed assists with favorable news today, buy and target Resistance B at 34900.
Until it closes over it, a rejection is equally possible, with the 1day MA50 being the lowest buy entry in the event of a pull back.
The 1day MACD is still on a Bullish Cross, showing a healthy bullish trend.
Previous chart:
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 14/06/2023Although the DOW looks bullish in the higher timeframe, we expect a pullback in the lower timeframe. In the 1 hour, we see 5 waves up and wave 5 is clearly ending with divergence compared to wave 3. If the divergence is not erased, we would expect a pullback. Traders can initiate a short (against the higher timeframe) or go long after the pullback (aligned with the higher timeframe).
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 13/06/2023Although the DOW looks bullish in the higher timeframe, we expect a pullback in the lower timeframe. In the 1 hour, we see 5 waves up and wave 5 is clearly ending with divergence compared to wave 3. If the divergence is not erased, we would expect a pullback. Traders can initiate a short (against the higher timeframe) or go long after the pullback (aligned with the higher timeframe).
SPY - It's Life or Death For BearsIn this post I would like to remind everyone of two critical points:
1. Overall market fundamentals are not very good because the situation in the whole world right now is not very good. The Millennial-themed Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was ultimately little more than a pretext to drop economic stimulus under because the economy was already #rekt in 2019.
2. The three major indexes have been in a bearish market impulse, but not in a bear market. Just because something goes down, even for several months, doesn't mean it's a "bear market."
==
A Caveat:
The situation in Mainland China under the Chinese Communist Party is not something you can see from the English Internet, or the other languages' Internet, or even the Chinese Internet.
What's really going on is extremely dangerous.
There's the dueling threats inside the world's oldest country of the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic and the collapse of the CCP.
By the time the news hits the west, most of the dominos will already be collapsed and the gap down will destroy every bull there is, everywhere, including banks and governments.
The 24-year persecution, genocide, and organ harvesting of Falun Gong by Jiang Zemin and the CCP is looming like the Sword of Damocles over Xi Jinping's head, and if he's smart, he'll dump the Party and the Babylon toads in the middle of the night.
If Xi Jinping is a fool, Gods will dump him and all of them all together at once.
It's coming very, very soon. It will be sudden. You are likely to be asleep when it happens because of the time difference between Beijing and New York.
==
I see on Twitter and in some other venues that there are people flexing about how they're goin' hard short at $445 and dumpin their whole portfolio. This area also happens to be the 79% retracement level of the most recent monthly dealing range.
The problem is that shorting a bounce at the 79% is either really optimal or total suicide. What determines which one it is has a lot to do with whether the MM has begun to take sellside liquidity.
The problem is that following the insane COVID QE, the markets had a 120% rally in only 22 months and really never formed any monthly pivots for funds to place their stops behind.
Monthly
Whatever the markets did last year was nothing more than an elementary retrace to the 2020 manipulation order block, which means that the MM's ultimate target is 100% the 5,000 psychological level and even possibly a David J. Hunter-style run higher.
So, we're really at a key point right now. The keyest of the key points. There's really only one question, in my opinion:
Do the indexes set a new ATH this year, or in 2024?
Two things to consider:
1. Markets have gone straight up since January, printing their Low Of The Year only a few days into '23.
(This is usually consistent with a very bullish or bearish impulse)
2. 2024 is the U.S. Presidential Election
So where we're at right now is make or break:
Weekly
For bearish anything to work, you need to see Friday's price action, which swept the August high by a few cents, to form a double top that can be targeted later.
Or you need to see it make a slightly higher high and very quickly retrace.
If you were to get a bearish drive, the target would be $365, setting a LOY, but holding the 2022 pivot, marking the lowest prices the market will see before they set their ultimate all time high in 2024.
However, if the markets hang out in what I call "the monthly zebra," a price area that is of significant note based on the monthly bars, then you can expect these markets to pump to new heights in short order. Shorts will be dead.
It would be one of those cases from Diary of a Stock Operator where "there's no price too high to pay" applies because it's going up and you need some Bank of Japan intervention in the JPYUSD-level stuff to break the momentum.
What this means is that if you missed the move in the markets up, there is no dip to buy.
If you missed the move on the way up, any kind of significant dip now is a short setup.
The long case for a new ATH would be to pay more in the $450 area.
But it's very dangerous. Things can change in this world at any time. Wall Street and the globalist controllers believe they are in control and are very attached to their power, but ultimately, Heaven will show its hand sooner than later.
Since human beings, especially today's modern atheists who believe in the laughable Theory of Evolution, only "believe in what I can see," then the Cosmos will show you reality.
But once reality unfolds before your eyes, it's too late for regrets.
It's the same as how when you're at the casino playing poker, neither the Dealer nor the House lets you keep betting after the River and everyone's Cards are turned Face Up.
Will the DOW break through or bounce back?The DOW is at an interesting level now.
It nearly touches the upper side of a triangle. If it breaks through, there is a resistance zone waiting.
What's next?
Will the DOW break through the triangle and resistance zone or bounce back?
Will this be a short chance while summer is looming?
Disclaimer:
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 12/06/2023Although the DOW looks bullish in the higher timeframe, we expect a pullback in the lower timeframe. In the 1 hour, we see 5 waves up and wave 5 is clearly ending with divergence compared to wave 3. If the divergence is not erased, we would expect a pullback. Traders can initiate a short (against the higher timeframe) or go long after the pullback (aligned with the higher timeframe).