DOW JONES: Short term decline started.Dow Jones is still on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.232, MACD = 275.500, ADX = 55.346) but today's red 1D candle, being the strongest since February 13th, is a first hint that a short term correction is starting. The price has almost made a HH at the top of the 18 month Channel Up, so the probabilities of a technical pullback are getting stronger. Both prior HH touched the 1D MA200 and the middle of the Channel Up. As a result a -6.90% decline (like December 20th 2022) seems a modest target (TP = 37,300) as it will hit the middle of the Channel Up, even approach the S1 level.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DOW
The right shoulder of the Dow’s Inv H&S is its own inv h&S!!We are looking at the Dow jones on the daily here and can see 2 distinct inverse head and shoulder patterns have formed here. The larger one I have indicated with a lavender neckline and the smaller one with a green neckline. Price action is currently above both of them and overall this is looking very bullish, however we must remember that the daily timeframe is less effective in traditional stock markets than in the crypto market because the market is much more mature. That being said , I’m pretty certain the larger of the 2 inverse head and shoulder patterns would qualify as a weekly pattern or possibly even a monthly timeframe pattern so if we can get a few weekly and maybe a coupe monthly candle closes above the lavender neckline this will be a very bullish development for the Dow and greatly increase the likelihood of these patterns validating their breakout. For now though, it’s looking awfully ripe. *not financial advice*
DOW JONES: Make or break at the top of the Triangle.Dow Jones rebounded on the 4H MA200 and the HL trendline of the Triangle pattern and turned bullish again on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 61.324, MACD = 179.870, ADX = 45.459). As the 4H MACD is on a Bullish Cross, we have a clear sequence to follow, bullish if it closes over the LH trendline (TP = 39,450) and bearish if it doesn't (TP = 38,700). The targets are the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and the HL trendline respectively. From a fractal point of view, the MACD looks much like the January 19th 2024 bullish breakout.
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Dow Inc.: Knock Knock…✊The price of the Dow Inc. is currently trying to overcome the resistance at 57.74. We expect that the price will succeed and continue the uptrend until the magenta wave (Y) reaches its top. In the short term, there is a 36% probability that another corrective low will be made, which will be confirmed if the support at $52.64 is lost.
DOW JONES Head and Shoulders formed. Potential visit of Feb lowsDow Jones (DJI) had formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and ahead of the first 4H Death Cross in 7 months (since August 21 2023), the probability of a short-term correction seems stronger than ever.
Technically H&S patterns target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension but we will settle for a slightly higher target on Support 1 at 38050.
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US30: Thoughts and Analysis post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation range
Support – 38,550
Resistance – 39,165
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 daily.
Yesterday's CPI didn't cause any serious moves but did show that inflation remains stubborn. Today, we have run over what we are watching on the US30 and the current main levels that are forming a price pattern.
Will we see a new test and break of resistance, or could we be in for further consolidation?
Good trading.
AriasWave Market Update - DOW - ASX - BTC - XLM - XRPIn this video, I aim to provide an overview of my observations regarding the approach toward a potential market peak.
I'll offer some perspective by comparing the Dow Jones to the ASX (Australian Stock Market) and discuss the possibility of a significant downturn in global markets, comparable to a collapse. I'll outline various factors contributing to these considerations.
Viewing the markets from this angle, one begins to recognize parallels with the tech stocks of the 90s, many of which peaked and experienced a decline of at least 90%, with some becoming worthless.
I see a similar scenario unfolding with cryptocurrencies, where survival will be selective, and many may not endure.
AMD About To Go For 300% Blowoff Before Multi Year CorrectionAMD looks like it still has a lot more steam left. More so than NVIDIA. If I was holding NVIDIA I would sell and put it into AMD probably now.
I see a move up into the $600 range, hard telling what a top would be but that rising channel resistance will probably hold. Once rejected off that resistance itll be a slow and steady decline back down to double digits. The stock market and the overvalued stocks will slowly bleed out into Bitcoin and the Crypto market over these next ten years. A lot of these stocks are waaaayyy overvalued. Like stupidly overvalued. Its a bubble about to blow.
None of this is financial advice its just my opinion. Thank you
NVIDIA NASDAQ Topping Out Multi Year Correction IncomingNVIDIA and the whole stock market is topping out. I see a crash coming perhaps within the next month or two. NVIDIA has weekly bearish divergence on the RSI so a drop is imminent and a possible multi year downtrend as the chart shows. The valuation is over 2 trillion, thats a little ridiculous as are most valuations on these companies. This blowoff in the stock market is now the whales who bought at the bottom unloading their bags onto the new investors. I can see it in the comments. As soon as I read on a live stream that NVIDIA is going to save the world and go to 20k by some randinos, that indicates to me that its the top.
THIS BELOW IS A NEAT LITTLE READ, NOT MY OWN THIS IS BY Justin Gabriel | Feb 17, 2023
In 1929, at the height of an economic boom in America, Joseph Kennedy Sr. (father of JFK) was working as a stockbroker on Wall Street. As the story goes, Joseph was walking around when he decided to sit down for a shoeshine. While polishing his shoes, the young worker gave Joseph some of his favorite stock picks. When Joseph heard the shoeshine boy giving out stock tips, he figured the party was about to end, and it was time to get out of the market. Joseph proceeded to exit his positions in the market and bought short positions that bet on the market going down.
Shortly after that, the stock market entered a free fall. On Monday, October 28, 1929, the market dropped about 13%. The next day it fell another 12%. These became better known as Black Monday and Black Tuesday, and ushered the United States into The Great Depression.
DOW JONES Strongest sell signal since August!Dow Jones / US30 has hit the top of its Channel Up.
Once the 1day MA50 breaks (has been in support since November 2nd 2023), we will have a sell validation.
In addition, the 1day RSI is on the strongest Bearish Divergence since February 2020 and the start of the COVID crash.
Sell than and target 36700 the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the top.
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DOW JONES: Mega sell signal formed.Dow Jones has hit the top of the 18 month Channel Up and is already being rejected, turning neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.769, MACD = 112.170, ADX = 21.784). This is a rejection that can evolve into a full bearish reversal as the 1W RSI broke under its MA trendline. This is important because every time this break out happened (dashed vertical lines), the index had technical corrections.
Inside the Channel Up those initially hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we can target at least the S1 level (TP = 37,030) but it is equally likely to reach even below the 0.382 Fib and contact the 1W MA50.
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#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy
I'll Think Its Time to short Gold ;-)
In the monthly time frame, it looks like we have the third collision and the completion of the monthly divergence.
What you think!?
Related Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
DOW JONES Short-term correction has began.Dow Jones (DJI) has had yesterday the strongest red 1D candle since February 13 and 2nd strongest since the October 27 2023 bottom. Just as recently as last week (February 26, see chart below) we called for a 'very clear bearish signal' as not only was the price near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Up but also the 1W MACD was on a Declining Histogram similar to the August 2023, December 2022 and August 2022 tops:
To get a better idea of the shorter term implications of that signal, we view Dow today from the 1D time-frame, where the 1D RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs against the index' Higher Highs) December 19 2023. Again within the structure of the Channel Up, the same RSI pattern was formed during the August 01 2023 and December 2022 Higher Highs. Both declined by virtually the same percentage (-9.25%).
Such a decline would push the price as low as 35650, which is where the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) currently is. Instead we would like, as mentioned, to keep a shorter term perspective here and time a 3-4 week target. Once the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, it will be the most optimal sell confirmation, with a conservative short-term Target being Support 2 at 37120.
Notice that this would be near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel and if it takes place in early April, it will be as close to the 1D MA200 as possible. In any case, the 1D RSI touching the 30.00 oversold barrier, is technically always a solid level to start buying again for the long-term. Note also how the current top is virtually the same rally % (+21.00%) as December 13 2022. This shows that we shouldn't neglect the symmetry of waves within this long-term Channel Up.
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The Dow Jones index fell
By examining the trend in the four-hour time frame, the Dow Jones index has an important support range in the range of 38,799-38,645, and it seems that if it is maintained, the rate can increase up to the resistance of the middle level of the upward channel at the limit of 39,509.
The whole market looks bullishBitcoin has a insane large descending triangle or wedge which already broke out from the upside and will have a bullish continuation until end of the year most likely.
S&P, Dow, Nasdaq have all a large descendinge broadening wedge which is ultimately bullish. Momentum is being built up and we can foresee a sudden but steady rise as well.
Gold has been hammering on the 2000 usd/ounce resistance for the 3th time, but might have a break out as well.. though it could have an averse effect if the stockmarket and cryptomarket turns bullish.
Nothing more to say.
Place your bets.
#BAT #BATUSD #BATUSDT #Analysis #Eddy#BAT #BATUSD #BATUSDT #Analysis #Eddy
(("All the relevant areas and explanations on the chart are clear and clear, the trading setups need to get confirmation to enter, if you don't know how to get a trigger and confirm entering into transactions, this analysis is not suitable for you, the above analysis is for professionals. and if you are a beginner, my suggestion is that you don't destroy your capital and first learn technical analysis and basic trading along with psychology and risk and capital management from reputable sources and courses, and then enter the financial markets."))
(("The above analysis and setups and points and areas are combined with most of the combined styles such as price action, supply and demand, RTM, ICT and also with the analysis of important indicators such as Dominance Tether and Bitcoin.
If you are familiar with the mentioned styles and know how to get approval to enter the above styles, use the above analysis.
This is not an investment proposal and only my opinion, please act based on your experience and decisions."))
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I also suggest you to view my #Analysis of #Bitcoin from the link below :
#JTO #JTOUSD #JTOUSDT #Analysis #Eddy #JTO #JTOUSD #JTOUSDT #Analysis #Eddy
(("All the relevant areas and explanations on the chart are clear and clear, the trading setups need to get confirmation to enter, if you don't know how to get a trigger and confirm entering into transactions, this analysis is not suitable for you, the above analysis is for professionals. and if you are a beginner, my suggestion is that you don't destroy your capital and first learn technical analysis and basic trading along with psychology and risk and capital management from reputable sources and courses, and then enter the financial markets."))
(("The above analysis and setups and points and areas are combined with most of the combined styles such as price action, supply and demand, RTM, ICT and also with the analysis of important indicators such as Dominance Tether and Bitcoin.
If you are familiar with the mentioned styles and know how to get approval to enter the above styles, use the above analysis.
This is not an investment proposal and only my opinion, please act based on your experience and decisions."))
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I also suggest you to view my #Analysis of #Bitcoin from the link below :
DOW JONES Very clear bearish signal.Dow Jones (DJI) is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the the 1.5 year Channel Up, while flashing a very unique medium-term sell signal. That is the 1W MACD Histogram, which is declining, a Bearish Divergence that during that period of time, has initiated 3 declines of more than -9% each.
Given the fact that the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up has extended to almost 21.9%, which is almost as high as the October - December 2022 sequence, we are expecting a medium-term correction back to at least the middle of the Channel Up. Target is 37120 (Support 1) and if a 1W candle closes below the middle, we expect a bottom around the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) at 36000 (Support 2).
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DOW JONES: Still bullish inside the Channel Up.Dow Jones has turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.990, MACD = 135.700, ADX = 29.049) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and is on a lengthy consolidation phase inside the two month Channel Up. The 4h RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, which doesn't mean much unless the 4H MA200 breaks, as the very same divergence emerged during the December - January consolidation. If the 4H MA200 breaks, we will prepare our short under the S1 level and target the top of the S2 zone (TP = 37,200). Until then, the Channel Up favors buying (TP = 39,500).
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Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to 61.8% Fibo 37810.Dear colleagues, the price has gone down. I believe that the price has not yet finished its downward movement and wave 2 will go even lower. I assume that the price will reach the 61.8% Fibonacci level of 37810.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
AUDCZK - 1D - LONG ENTRY & SHORT ENTRY - DOW THEORYIn this Pair we see a visible Trends in DAILY time frame, in which you can see a Declining Phase, Accumulation phase and then currently in Bullish trend.
THE DEFINITION OF DOW THEORY IS WINNING.
So currently we plan a small SHORT ENTRY of around 170-200 pips
as the Short TP hits we take a LONG Entry from there for 200 pips more.
HAPPY TRADING.
Dow Jones H4 | Potential bullish breakoutDow Jones (DJ30) is rising towards a potential breakout level and momentum could potentially carry price towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 38,448.86
Why we like it:
There is a potential breakout level
Stop Loss: 38,048.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 38,891.09
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
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