Dow can drop another 10%Like all stock indices, also Dow is not "feeling well", with the index starting the year badly and now trading again near support.
The recovery attempt started in March failed hard in the 35k zone and the selling power become very clear 2 weeks ago with a red candle that engulfs one month of trading.
As I said, Dow is trading near support now and I expect a breakdown
My target for this index is the 30k zone.
Sell rallies is, in my opinion, a very good strategy and I will be bullish only if the price pass above 35k
Dow30
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 MAY 02 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 MAY 02 Week
If no exception, market will likely continue toward 32427-32167 Scenario1 extension
from last week's analysis.
Wait for price reaction.
Play scenarios mapped out:
1) Test of 34220 breakdown, and continue toward 32167-32427 region
2) 32167-32427: If level is broken and later market returns to this area,
and is supported, next may be an attempt for an upward move
3) Market not ready for downward move toward 32427, return to clear
demand between 34220 - 33081 region
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
36446 35750 35330
34945 34367 34220
33066 32492 32167
Weekly: Average volume down bar close at low = weakness
with some demand
Daily: Ave volume down bar closing at low = weakness
H4: High vol down bar closing off low = minor strength
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 APR 25 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 APR 25 Week
Scenario1 Rotational play between 34220-35330 yielded good result.
On Friday we saw Scenario 2 with breakdown of 34220 short.
Market should be attempting 33433 next, and then the 32427-32167
region.
Should market reach 32427-32167, wait for price reaction.
Play scenarios mapped out:
1) Test of 34220 breakdown, and continue toward 32167-32427 region
3) 32167-32427: If level is broken and later market returns to this area,
and is supported, next may be an attempt for an upward move
3) 33433 is supported and market attempt higher levels.
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
36446 35750 35330
34945 34367 34220
33427 32492 32167
Weekly: Average volume wider spread down bar close off low = weakness
with some demand
Daily: High volume down bar closing off low = weakness with some demand
H4: UHV bearish absorption + high vol down bar closing at low = weakness
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
DOW JONES starting new rally to 36000.Dow Jones (DJI) has been correcting inside a Channel Down ever since the March 29 Top. This was the top of the March rally that broke emphatically much higher than the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), effectively confirming that this was the market bottom during the Ukraine - Russia war and the ongoing battle with inflation.
During uptrend technical structures, short-term Channel Down corrections are considered to be Bull Flags that serve as opportunities to buy for the continuation of the long-term bullish trend. The last such Bull Flag pattern, after a market correction of similar structured magnitude, was in May 2020 following the March 2020 correction due to the COVID pandemic market crash. Note that in both cases, the 1D Death Cross pattern (when the 1D MA50 crosses below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)) was formed on the market bottoms.
As you see, both Bull Flag patterns formed around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and corrected as low as the 1D MA50 inside the Red Ichimoku Cloud. In 2020, shortly after the Bull Flag broke to the upside, the 1W MACD formed a Bullish Cross. On the current (2022) pattern, the 1W MACD is very close to forming that Bullish Cross, potentially meaning that we are currently on an early buy signal.
When the Bull Flag broke to the upside, the 2020 pattern made its next Higher High just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. On the current pattern, the 0.786 Fib is just below 36000. That is our target on Dow for the medium-term.
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Dow jones = don't pick sell, looking for buy in deepdow clearly break red trendline , now it try reach 36500 support
fibo 161% show dow can reach 40.000 in next 6 month
don't pick reverse sell on it , looking buy in deep (15min chart 📊) for hold 3-4 day to high
if you have sell , close it now or put hedge buystop (size=1.5*total sell) on high(day high)
good luck 🎲
DOW JONES broke its 1D MA200 but may consolidate for a whileDow Jones (DJI) broke today above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since February 16. However, as the Ukraine-Russia war isn't yet over, this rally will seek reassurances from this week's high impact macro-economic reports, namely Wednesday's GDP and Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls.
If the index closes a 1D candle above Resistance 1 (35150) then the next target will be Resistance 2 (35875). If not and the price shoots back below the 1D MA200, look for a multi-week consolidation within the 1D MA200 and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which will be a good scalping opportunity.
The new long-term buy Zone is around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level but a closing below it should seek support on the bottom's Higher Lows trend-line. However I have to give the advantage to the long-term bullish case, as the RSI just broke above a multi-month Lower Highs trend-line, which is an indication of a long-term rally for 2022.
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break low can crash dow to 30.000 on 1 hour chart , dow reach fibo 61% and i belivel dow have buy now !!! to red trend line and green fibo 61% =34400
but on bad news ,if low break ,dow can crash to 29700(buylimit place) support
advice = above low, looking for buy with SL= last low ,,, try hold it 10-15 day minimum to 34400
if low break, dont inter sell , wait buy pinbar comes on 60-240-1440 min chart
if you have old buys,,,100% put hedge sellstop in low
DOW : double bottom pattern and coming butterfly pattern despite today go down , we advice put buystop on high (sl= today low , wait time 7 to 2 week) and dont close your buy sooner than fibo 61% 34400 area ok?
if low not break (need big bad news) dow in coming days can fly up
if low break , dow cant go down too much ,,, dont forget daily chart main trend is very +++ so dont alow red candel force you sell !!!
if you have open sell , 100% put sl on yesterday high , break high mean + up trend will start
good luck
ALERT= SELL ON GOLD , DOW , DAX ,NASDAQ ,SP500 IS VERY VERY DANGROUS , NEVER REMOVE SL ON SELL,,,, THEY LOVE + UP TREND ,UNDERSTAND?
Be patientlet's catch those onion pips
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This is Not Financial Advice, JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.
testing the order block strategy 9testing the order block strategy 9
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1:8 RR
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Black lines are where you can Take Profit
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This is Not Financial Advice, JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.
testing the order block strategy 6testing the order block strategy 6
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1:7 RR
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This is Not Financial Advice, JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.
testing the order block strategy 4testing the order block strategy 4
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This is Not Financial Advice, JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.
testing the order block strategy 5testing the order block strategy 5
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1:10 RR
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This is Not Financial Advice, JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.
testing the order block strategy 3testing the order block strategy 3
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This is Not Financial Advice, JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.
2 place we must buy dow and hold until 37000above green arrow 2 time we must pick buy (low size) with SL in low 33000 wait time =10 day
and
buystop on high is good idea with trailstop=80
(25% possible ,need big bad news) break low can crash dow to new low around 30.000 so above low until 37000 we must looking for buy and dont pick sell (near 37000 low size sell posible)
net order by big banks on dow futures (until 1 week ago)
prnt.sc
daily chart pinbar will push up dow to fibo 61% =35400see dow daily chart exactly , in daily and 4 hour pinbar comes , so red arrow is dow next targets
note= AC daily going to turn green, we will see big + trend soon (if pinbar low not breaks by big bad news)
so looking for buy in 15 min chart deep with SL in pinbar low
good luck , strongly advice dont pick sell until red arrows (with sl and trailstop 80)
DOW Target doneWe have shared detailed DJI chart that you can see below in the link.
After breaking trend line support DJI met both the target and took support lower trend line and closing above the same trend line.
FED meeting ahead and we can expect high volatility near future.
Based on chart and price action a bounce back from current level is on the card.
Buying the DOW dipDOW fell to the bottom trendline where buyers have entered before, this big of a dip gives a great price to buy now. Market might drop a bit more but the odds are good that market can pump. Many stocks have lost a lot of value in the dip when the fundamentals for those companies are still the same and now they are on sale.
we pick buy now for hold 20 day to new high dont fear pick buy above green arrow (low size and SL ) and hold it minimum until fibo 61% even higher to 38000
dont forget like gold , dow love buy and go up too and daily chart main trend is very +++
if you have old buy, dont fear ,only be patient , soon or late dow will fly up ,if you have fear , near 35000 hedge them (lot=50% of total buys)...
good luck