XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Dowjones
US30 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 40693.92, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 39359.24, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 42215.43, which is a swing high resistance level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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US30 WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 41,000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 40,000
SHORT🔥
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Beyond the Noise: US30 Analysis and Actionable Trade Ideas.Technical Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones)
📊 The US30 index is currently displaying a bearish trend on the weekly timeframe. We're observing a strong rally followed by a pullback into equilibrium when measured against the previous price swing range.
🔍 At present, the index sits in a premium zone, creating conditions where short positions may be accumulating for potential downside movement. However, market sentiment remains highly susceptible to external factors, particularly political statements and social media activity from key figures like Donald Trump.
⚠️ Given this unpredictability, a more prudent approach involves shifting focus to lower timeframes and following price action signals directly. The 30-minute chart presents a defined range that offers potential trade opportunities.
💡 Trade Idea: Monitor the current range on the 30-minute timeframe. A decisive break above the range could signal a long entry opportunity, while a break below may indicate a short entry position.
📈 This range-breakout strategy allows traders to adapt to market conditions rather than attempting to predict overall market direction, which has proven increasingly challenging in the current economic and political climate.
Not financial advice.
Market Update - This Stock Market Analysis Aligns With Bitcoin..What if I told you that the stock market’s pattern could actually reveal what’s coming next for Bitcoin—would you stick around and watch the entire video? That’s exactly what I’m diving into here. I didn’t force this analysis to fit; somehow, over the past week, it just lined up this way.
In this video, I break down exactly why the next market move could be more severe than anything we’ve seen in our lifetime—yet it’s not the end of the world. In fact, if approached correctly, this could be the opportunity of a lifetime. The rebound that follows could be massive.
I’ve always had a gut feeling about this, but now the patterns are speaking loud and clear. This is the reason I created AriasWave—and this is exactly where we are right now.
This also aligns with my latest Euro analysis linked below in related ideas.
Is it going to happen again? My view to the markets right now...CBOT_MINI:YM1!
Is the Dow Jones breaking the downtrend again?
I believe there's a strong chance the markets are setting up for another move higher. From a fundamental standpoint, the recent pause in tariffs is a big deal. It removes an immediate layer of uncertainty that’s been hanging over the global economy, especially for exporters and multinational companies. On top of that, the fact that key tech products have been left out of the latest tariff actions is boosting confidence in the sector that has been leading market strength for years.
Economically, we’re still seeing resilience in key indicators. Unemployment remains low, consumer spending is steady, and central banks are staying cautious with tightening. The environment still leans more towards slow growth than recession, which supports equities over the medium term.
More importantly, my own criteria for a favorable market setup are lining up. Whether it’s sentiment, intermarket signals, or trend conditions—this looks like a solid spot for a bullish stance.
You can see my chart to check out my current viewpoint on the Dow Jones and how I’m positioning based on all this.
Not Financial Advice
Weekly Market Forecast: Stocks Markets Could Push Higher!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and DOW JONES futures for the week of April 14-18th.
The Stock Market Indices ended a turbulent week on a bullish note, and next week could see some continuation. The markets have peeked above the consolidation, and could be on the way to resume the overall bullish trend.
Wait for confirmations of the trend before jumping in! One bad report of tariffs or geo-political news can turn the markets down at any time.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOW JONES: Just triggered the most historic buy signal (1M MA50)Despite the bearishness on the lower timeframes, Dow is neutral on the ultimate long term chart, the 1M (RSI = 51.044, MACD = 1991.530, ADX = 44.038) and that is due to the fact it almost touched its 1M MA50. This neutral technical setting is a great reset for the Channel Up and stands as the most ideal long term buy entry and was tested before on all 4 major market bottoms (September 2022, March 2020, January 2016, October 2011). In all incidents it set in motion the new Bull Cycle, technically the bullish wave of the Channel Up. The most common price increase is +70% and along those lines, we anticipate Dow to hit 60,000 by the end of 2027.
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Dow Jones INTRADAY reaction to China Tariffs HikeKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41100
Resistance Level 2: 42170
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 37554
Support Level 2: 36620
Support Level 3: 35125
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DOW JONES: High volatility but clear picture long term.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.021, MACD = -1063.380, ADX = 32.380) as it is correcting brutally yesterday's gains on uncertainty regarding the 90-day pause of tariffs. We can't overlook however the fact that yesterday's rebound happened on the 1W MA200 and at the bottom (HL) of the Bullish Megaphone. The very same sequence of events unfolded during the last big U.S.-China trade war that bottomed in December 2018. First a Channel Down bottomed on the 1W MA200 and started the Bullish Megaphone that bottomed on the 2018 trade war.
Both trade war corrections were -19% and if what follows replicates the 2019 rise, then we are up for a +35% rally. Potential TP = 49,000.
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Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41100
Resistance Level 2: 42170
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 37554
Support Level 2: 36620
Support Level 3: 35125
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Micron's Time to Be THAT Semiconductor is coming and FastNASDAQ:MU is extremely undervalued, I produced this chart last night. Its time that the market appreciates this monster with such solid fundamentals. Micron since 2022 has been working hard to become a major producer in the United States. I believe that Trump and his government could get behind the only major memory company to be based in the United States.
-----------------------
Balance Sheet:
Cash: $8.22b
Debt: $11.54b
Equity: $48.63b
Total Liabilities: $24.42b
Total Assets: $73.05b
All Stated in $ USD
-----------------------
Valuation:
Price To Sales: 2.72
Price To Earnings: 18.30
Forward Price To Earnings: 6.84
-----------------------
DOW 104% TARIFFS on China activated. Can the market be saved?Dow Jones (DJIA) is almost on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and earlier today President Trump activated 104% duties on Chinese imports. This is far from being an encouraging development especially after Monday's attempt for the market to recover.
Most of the gains were lost yesterday and today it is a wait-and-see game in anticipation of the market reaction on the opening bell of Wall Street.
From a long-term technical perspective however, Dow is on a huge buy level that we've only seen another 4 times since the Housing Bubble bottom in March 2009. That buy level consists of two conditions: price touching the 1W MA200 and the 1W RSI hits (or comes extremely close to) the 30.00 oversold limit.
As you can see that has happened last time on September 19 2022 (Inflation Crisis bottom), March 09 2020 (COVID crash), August 24 2015 (China slowdown, Grexit) and August 08 2011 (first correction since 2009 Housing Crisis). The situation most similar to the current, is the COVID crash as it was the fastest drop to the 1W MA200 and 1W RSI to 30.00.
Despite the brutal correction, it took the market 'only' 43 weeks (301 days) to reach again the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the top of the Blue Zone of the Fibonacci Channel Up that started on the March 2009 Housing bottom. The Blue Zone, consisting of the 0.786 - 0.382 Fib range, is important as it has dominated the multi-year bullish trend and contained the price action inside it, with only a few occasions diverging outside of it.
The longest it took Dow to reach the 0.786 Fib again after such correction was 110 weeks (770 days) and that interestingly enough happened two out of the four times. Practically reaching the 0.786 Fib constitutes a Cycle Top.
So essentially, despite the uncertainty and panic, the market is technically on a Support level that in 16 years we've only seen another 4 times, that's once every 4 years, which is a fair sample of a Cycle size. As a result, assuming stability comes to the world through trade deals (and why not Rate Cut announcements), we may see Dow reaching its 0.786 Fib again (and make new ATH) the fastest by February 02 2026, hitting 49000 and the longest by May 17 2027, hitting 56000 roughly.
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US30 I Bullish Bounce Based on the D1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 36,516.88, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 40,052.43, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 34,049.36, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40617
Resistance Level 2: 42165
Resistance Level 3: 44073
Support Level 1: 37555
Support Level 2: 36620
Support Level 3: 35125
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Are we done with the slide, or not? US indices are suffering right now, but is there light at the end of the tunnel?
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:US500
MARKETSCOM:US100
MARKETSCOM:US30
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps.
- Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales.
- President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023.
- As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done.
- Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully.
- Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls.
- Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
DOW JONES Will the 1week MA200 save the day?Dow Jones / US30 almost reached its 1week MA200 today and immediately rebounded.
Last time it approached it so closely was on October 23rd 2023 and last it crossed under it was September 19th 2022.
The most recent was the first higher low of the 3 year Channel Up and the latter was the bottom of the last bear market.
The 1week RSI hasn't been this low since June 13th 2022, which was again a near 1week MA200 test that caused an immediate rebound to the 1week MA50 before the rejection to the eventual bear market bottom.
As long as the 1week MA200 holds and closes the candles over it, we expect the Channel Up to start a near bullish wave like post October 2023.
Target 45200 (same as the March 2024 rally) which is around the All Time High.
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Just In: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip 1,300 PointsOverview
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also known as the DJIA or simply the Dow, is a market index frequently used to gauge the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. Indexes like the DJIA track the prices of a group of securities.
The Consumer index saw a downtick of 1300 points representing a 5.5% dip. This was days after Donald Trump declared a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading allies.
Tariffs Concern
The US stocks are poised to continue their bloodbath as futures signaled more fear over President Donald Trump's tariffs. Administration officials and Trump himself signaled on Sunday that they won't back down from their aggressive decisions. Meanwhile, an inflation report is due later this week as well as bank earnings.
Wall Street remained in fear mode over President Donald Trump's tariffs on Sunday evening as futures pointed to more steep losses.
The S&P 500 futures also sank 3.9% and Nasdaq futures dived 4.9%. That follows a devastating week that saw the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Similarly, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.906%, and US crude oil prices fell 3.7% to $59.72 a barrel.
Countries affected by the tariff rates are:
China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years.
In an X post on Sunday, Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers cautioned, saying there's a very good chance of more market turbulence similar to what was seen on Thursday and Friday.
Those sessions represented the fourth largest two-day drop in the last 85 years, Summer said. The selloff wiped out about $6 trillion in market cap.
“A drop of this magnitude signals that there’s likely to be trouble ahead, and people ought to be very cautious,” Summers wrote.
Meanwhile, Trump administration and the president himself defended the tariffs.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, the The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip index point is down 5.5% trading in tandem with the support point that aligns with the 38,000 points. On a bearish case scenario, a break below this axis could be canning for the stock market as it will lead to panic selling in the industries concerned.
Similarly, should the bulls manage to thrust the DJI points up to the 42,000 points, we should experience a respite from the bears and possibly increased momentum might sent the stocks soaring higher. With the RSI at 23, this is hinting to a weak momentum with more downside ahead.
Dow Jones - Pivotal moment for the bulls and bears!The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently approaching a critical juncture, as it risks breaking below and staying under the neckline of a potential double top pattern. A double top formation is typically a bearish signal, indicating a potential trend reversal after the price tests a key resistance level twice, failing to break higher. The neckline, which forms the base of this pattern, is the level that traders will be watching closely to determine the strength of this bearish signal.
If the Dow breaks below and stays under the neckline, it could trigger further downside momentum as liquidity is swept from the market. However, it's essential to note that this initial breakdown could just be a "liquidity sweep," a move designed to trigger stop-loss orders and shake out weaker hands. For the Dow to maintain its bullish potential, it must quickly recover and hold above the neckline after this sweep. If it can do so, the market may find stability and begin to look for higher prices again, as the double top formation would then be invalidated, and a more bullish outlook could emerge.
In summary, while the Dow Jones is at a pivotal moment, the key to higher prices will be whether it can hold above the neckline after sweeping liquidity. A failure to do so could signal further downside, but a strong recovery above the neckline would leave the door open for a potential rally.
For now the Dow jones swept the liquidity under the neckline. However, it needs a quick recovery to maintain and find support on the neckline again. The risk that it now faces is the resistance of the 50, 100 and 200-day MA. Staying above the neckline and reclaiming these MA could be a massive bullish signal on the Dow Jones.
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