US30 Bearish Momentum | Key Support Levels in FocusUS30 Analysis | February 21, 2025
The price has broken below the pivot line of 44,404, confirming a bearish momentum. Now, it is testing the support zone at 44,051, and a continued failure to reclaim the pivot will strengthen the bearish case toward 43,763 and 43,212 support zones.
For bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 44,404 and break the resistance zone of 44,500 to initiate a potential recovery toward 44,756 and 45,099.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 44075
Resistance Levels: 44190 – 44404 – 44650
Support Levels: 43763 – 43520 - 43212
📉 Directional Bias: As long as the price remains below 44,404, US30 remains bearish, with a high probability of testing lower support levels.
Dowjones
US30 I Bearish Continuation Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 344,295.65, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 43,313.48, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is set at 45,048.64, a swing high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30 | Consolidation or Breakout? Key Levels to Watch! 📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025 📉📈
The US30 has been consolidating around the pivot zone (44,404 - 44,550), showing signs of a potential breakout.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price stabilizes above 44,560, we can expect a continuation toward 44,756 and 44,926.
A breakout above 45,000 could trigger further bullish momentum toward 45,323.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
A 4H close below 44,404 may signal weakness, with downside targets at 44,204 and 43,763.
If 43,763 fails to hold, further decline toward 43,212 and 42,769 is possible.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Pivot Zone: 44404 - 44550
🔹 Resistance Levels: 44756 | 44926 | 45323
🔹 Support Levels: 44204 | 43763 | 43212
💬 Will US30 break 44,926 and rally higher, or will it pull back for a correction? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
Dow Bullish sideways consolidationThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 44460, the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44460 level could target the upside resistance at 44835 followed by the 45060 and 45140 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44460 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44265 support level followed by 44160 and 43980.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 stalls amid Fed uncertainty and trade policy risks
Macro:
- The Dow remained in a prolonged sideways trend within a tightening range, navigating Fed policy uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and evolving trade policies.
- Markets expect it to stay range-bound until the Trump administration finalizes tariff measures early next month.
Technical:
- US30 is trading in a tight range at the previous top level and awaits an apparent breakout to determine the potential trend.
- If US30 breaks above the resistance at 45000, the index may continue rising to 47146, the 100% Fibonacci Extension level, which is confluence with the Ascending Channel's upper bound.
- On the contrary, a closing below 44000-44200 may prompt a further correction to restest the following support at 43300.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DOW JONES 1D MA50 supporting huge Inverse H&S push!Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 15 months. The pattern that could be the strongest driving force however in the coming weeks is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which is about to complete its Right Shoulder.
As you can see this is being strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the past 30 days and every such IH&S pattern in the last 2 years broke to the upside and hit at least its 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
The 1D RSI sequences between those IH&S fractals are identical and the current RSI Bearish Divergence matches perfectly all previous Right Shoulder formations that preceded the 1.382 Fib push.
As a result, a 46400 Target would be an ideal technical Higher High for the Channel Up.
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DOW JONES Rectangle bottom formed. Bullish.Dow Jones hit today its MA200 (4h) and rebounded.
This has come too close to the bottom of the Rectangle pattern that dominates the price action in the past 3 weeks.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy again if the price closes above the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 44450 (MA50 4h and Falling Resistance).
2. 45000 (top of Rectangle).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold and rebounded like on the February 3rd Low. Strong buy signal.
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DOW JONES: Triangle about to break out.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.474, MACD = 190.020, ADX = 26.060) as it is trading inside a Triangle pattern, sideways around the 4H MA50. A crossing over the R1 level will be a long aiming at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP1 = 48,000), while a crossing under the S1 level will be a short aiming at Fib 0.0 (TP = 42,000).
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Dow INTRADAY coiling energy buildup The Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 44460, the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44460 level could target the upside resistance at 44835 followed by the 45060 and 45140 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44460 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44265 support level followed by 44160 and 43980.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Holding Above 44,404 – Breakout to 45,099 or Pullback FirstUS30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025
The US30 (Dow Jones) is currently holding above the pivot line at 44,404, indicating a potential bullish move. The price is consolidating within an ascending channel, and as long as it remains above this pivot zone, the trend remains bullish.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above 44,404, it is expected to push higher toward 44,756. A breakout above 44,756 would confirm a continuation toward 45,099 and 45,323.
Bearish Scenario: If 44,404 fails to hold, a downside move toward 43,763 could occur. A confirmed break below 43,763 would push US30 further down to 43,212 and 42,769.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 44,404
🔹 Resistance Levels: 44,756, 45,099, 45,323
🔹 Support Levels: 43,763, 43,212, 42,769
📈 Directional Bias: The price is expected to test 44,756 before deciding whether to break higher or reject toward 44,404. Holding above this level keeps the bullish trend intact.
💬 Will US30 break resistance for new highs, or pull back first? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥
US Presidents' Day holiday, US markets closedMonday, February 17
Data: Japan December capacity utilisation, Tertiary industry index, Italy December trade balance, Eurozone December trade balance, Canada January housing starts, December international securities transactions
Central banks: Fed's Harker, Bowman and Waller speak, ECB's Nagel speaks
Earnings: BHP Group
Other: US Presidents' Day holiday, markets closed
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps.
- Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales.
- President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023.
- As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done.
- Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully.
- Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls.
- Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
US30 | Holding Support – Ready for the Next Leg Up?📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Outlook:
Price is trading within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish bias while above key support levels.
The pivot zone at 44,404 is acting as a critical level to maintain bullish momentum.
A break above 44,756 - 44,926 will confirm further upside potential.
🔥 Bullish Scenario:
✅ As long as price holds above 44,404 - 44,570 → Bullish trend remains intact!
📌 Targets:
📍 44,756 (first resistance)
📍 44,926 (next key resistance)
📍 45,099 - 45,323 (major resistance zone & ATH area)
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
❌ A 4H close below 44,404 could trigger a deeper correction.
📌 Support Targets:
📍 44,260 (first support zone)
📍 43,910 (strong demand area)
📍 Below 43,763 = deeper pullback likely
🔑 Key Levels:
📍 Pivot Zone: 44,404 - 44,570
📍 Resistance: 44,756 | 44,926 | 45,099 - 45,323
📍 Support: 44,404 | 44,260 | 43,910
📌 Conclusion:
✅ Bullish momentum holds above 44,404, targeting 44,756+.
🚀 Break above 44,926 will open the door for a test of 45,099 - 45,323.
⚠️ Drop below 44,404 = possible correction to 44,260 - 43,910.
💬 Do you think we push to new highs or see a pullback first? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
DOW JONES is completing a Bull Flag to jump to 46700.Dow Jones / US30 is posting a Bull Flag pattern on the 4hour timeframe, currently between the 4hour MA50 and MA200.
The last time we came across this pattern was with the early September Bull Flag.
Both patterns started after a +8.20% rise on the index.
If the new one repeats September's, then we should see an immediate rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci.
Buy and target 46700.
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Dow (US30) coiling price action after increase in US PPI dataThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. Today, Thursday 13th February 2025 the US (PPI) Producer Price Index data was published showing the increase to 3.5% on a yearly basis in January. The annual core PPI rose to 3.6% in the same period, surpassing market forecasts of 3.3%. On a monthly basis, the PPI and the core PPI rose 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.
The key trading level is at 44206, the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44206 level could target the upside resistance at 44980 followed by the 45080 and 45200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44206 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44000 support level followed by 43740.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow awaits US inflation reportThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 44206, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44206 level could target the upside resistance at 44980 followed by the 44080 and 44200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44206 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44000 support level followed by 43740.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES One last drop below the 1D MA50 is possibleDow Jones (DJIA) has found itself in an uncomfortable spot as it's been trading sideways within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance 1 of the December 2024 High, for the past two weeks.
The 1D RSI has already started trending downwards on a Bearish Divergence while the 1D MACD just completed a Bearish Cross. The times we've seen all those conditions fulfilled within the 2-year Channel Up, are in mid-May 2024 and early May 2023.
On both occasions, the price got rejected on Resistance 1 and pulled back below the 1D MA50 to form a Higher Low. After the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, the price confirmed a technical reversal and targeted the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back.
As a result, you might want to keep a buy order waiting for a sub-MA50 drop and buy once a MACD Bullish Cross is formed to target 46500 (Fib 1.5 ext).
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"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (44,000.0) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 44,600.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 43,000.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚪Fundamental Analysis
The US30 index is influenced by the overall performance of the US economy, including GDP growth rate, inflation, and interest rates. Currently, the US economy is experiencing a moderate growth rate, with a slight increase in inflation.
🔴Macroeconomic Analysis
The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, with interest rates expected to remain high in the short term. This has led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which may impact the US30 index.
🟢COT Data Analysis
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders are net short, while non-commercial traders are net long. This indicates a potential trend reversal.
🟡Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment is slightly bearish, with 55% of traders holding short positions.
🟤Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional traders are holding short positions, while corporate traders are holding long positions. Banks are maintaining a bearish stance.
🔵Market Sentiment
- Institutional Traders: 60% bearish, 40% bullish
- Hedge Funds: 70% bearish, 30% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
🟣Overall Outlook
The US30 index is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a slight bearish bias due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. However, the index's movement will largely depend on the overall performance of the US economy and global economic trends.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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