XAU/USD : Let's go for SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that today the price faced a correction after reaching the key supply level at $2663 and is currently trading around $2654. Keep in mind that the shadow of war still looms over the market, so it's best to minimize your trading risk. At the moment, I expect further declines in gold to lower levels. The downside targets are $2647, $2644, and $2640, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Dowjones
GBP/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the 1.326 level. Given the current trend, I expect to see further declines in this pair. The first key target is the liquidity pool below 1.32370. This analysis will be updated, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD : Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price faced selling pressure after filling the FVG and collecting liquidity above 1.12. So far, it has dropped over 160 pips down to 1.10500! If the price stabilizes below 1.10700, we can expect further declines in EUR/USD. This analysis will be updated, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Combined US Index - Bullish flip overdone. Retracement now... As previously marked out, the bullish flip was done, and is pretty overdone. Yesterday's close sealed it for a retracement, and technicals (MACD and VolDiv) support that view.
should be seeing a downdraft to the last low visit (yellow ellipse).
Possible stall at blue ellipse, but look for further breakdown.
Exceeding the last low to close below is Bearish.
Let us see...
US30 Short SignalUS30 H1
Like absolute poetry here from the dow jones, responding nicely to that level of resistance which sits t 42,300 price. The hourly timeframe has been amended in line with yesterdays video analysis which was posted around the US stock market close.
Expecting more of the same today, US30 may correct around the time of the stock market open, but we are ultimately, expecting more downside pressure over the coming days to close out this trading week.
DOW JONES Pull-back possible but maintain long-term perspectiveA little more than 2 months ago (July 25, see chart below) we argued that Dow Jones' (DJI) correction wasn't over and called for a deeper buy, setting then a long-term Target of 42400:
The Target got finally hit on Friday, giving us an excellent risk/ reward ratio on our investment. As however the price almost reached the top of the 2-year Channel Up, we have to issue a warning for a potential short-term correction.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has successfully supported on September 11 last time and won't be odd to see another re-test after almost a month. The similarities after all between the first part of the 2-year Channel Up and the second (the one we're currently in) are still noticeable and on 1D RSI terms we may be symmetrically around the November 20 2023 level.
However, we may see this time the Channel Up break to the upside for the first time after the elections. Regardless of the short-term volatility, our medium-term Target as we will be heading into December is 44500. That is the 2.5 Fibonacci extension, similar to where the April 01 High was priced.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US30 H4 - Short SignalUS30 H4
More exhaustion being seen here today, with the dump yesterday of 300-400 points, we are straight back into our sell zone, but we aren't trading much higher than when we started yesterday. That being said, US100 is trading higher, which throws a slight spanner in the works. As long as US30 isn't setting new highs, the DXY is trading above 100 to 101 price, we are still focussed on seeing if we can catch a downside move across stock indices.
US100 analysis to follow, but as we mentioned yesterday, we need to see the break and retest to the downside first, to give us the confirmation we desire. With US30, we could argue we already have it.
US30 (DowJones) - Daily Bearish SetupThe BLACKBULL:US30 index experienced a bullish spike, followed by a period of consolidation within a bullish channel. However, after a fake breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, it appears that the index could be poised for a downward correction. Based on the technical analysis, a fall toward the lower boundary of the channel is expected, providing traders with potential shorting opportunities in the near term.
Fundamentally, stock market volatility tends to rise during September, a historically weak month for stocks. This pattern is often attributed to traders returning from summer vacations, rebalancing portfolios, and increased bond offerings, which divert capital away from equities. In 2024, this volatility is further exacerbated by uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Investors are closely watching labor market data, inflation trends, and the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts, all of which could impact market sentiment and drive further fluctuations in stock prices.
With the TVC:DJI at the top of the bullish channel and signs of weakness after the fake breakout, a pullback to the lower end of the channel seems likely. Traders should stay cautious and monitor key economic events and technical signals for opportunities to re-enter positions at more favorable levels.
A simple RSI Point Of ViewAnalyzing RSI Divergence in US30: Is a Bear Market or Crash on the Horizon?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is a key indicator for global markets. Recently, a warning sign has emerged with a divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) observed from July 16, 2024, to September 27, 2024. This divergence, along with high trading volume, raises concerns about a potential market shift. Analysts are comparing this situation to past financial crises, leading to questions about a possible bear market or crash.
Understanding RSI Divergence in US30
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures price momentum. A bearish divergence occurs when prices make a new high but the RSI does not, indicating weakening momentum. Between July and September 2024, US30 showed this divergence: prices reached a higher high, but the RSI formed a lower high, suggesting a loss of buying strength and potential price declines. Additionally, the daily chart shows a lower high in US30 price and a higher low in the RSI, reinforcing the notion of weakening upward momentum.
Is a Bear Market or Another "Black Thursday" Looming?
The current divergence in US30, along with historical comparisons, signals warning signs. However, it remains uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market (a sustained decline of 20% or more) or a major market crash. Several factors could influence the outcome:
- Macroeconomic Conditions: High inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions may exacerbate the divergence.
- Investor Sentiment: Panic among investors could lead to increased selling and sharper declines.
- External Shocks: Global events like financial instability or political turmoil could further destabilize the market.
Conclusion and Daily Chart Analysis
The RSI divergence in US30 from July to September 2024 is a significant development that warrants attention. The daily chart reveals weakening momentum, with a lower high in price and a higher low in the RSI, indicating a higher risk of market correction or downturn. While it is uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market or crash, traders and investors should stay alert and consider adjusting their portfolios.
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
(DJI) Dow Jones Index Shooting Star Topping TailDow Jones Index has a shooting star topping tail and there is high probabilities this is the top for DJI. It's time for markets to start pricing this upcoming depression. The only thing that would cancel out this topping tail is a close above it.
Welcome to the great depression 20-30 year bear market is coming
Key Breakout at 42,290 to Determine Bullish or Bearish TrendDow Jones Technical Outlook:
The price should break 42290 to start a bullish trend till 42800,
Otherwise, as long as trades under 42290 and 42210 will be a bearish trend toward 41960 and 41775
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42290
Resistance Levels: 42450, 42700, 43040
Support Levels: 42080, 41960, 41770
Trend Outlook:
Bearish as long as trades under 42290
Bullish by breaking 42290
DOW JONES: At the top of the six month Channel Up.Even though Dow Jones has reached the top of its Channel Up pattern, it remains on very balanced bullish technicals on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 62.120, MACD = 487.030, ADX = 32.488). Our trading plan will be based upon breakouts. As long as the price remains under the top of the Channel Up and over the dashed trendline of the August wave, it is a no action (do nothing). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, it's a buy (TP = 43,500) as most likely we will see an extension of the wave to a new +8.28% rise. If the price crosses under the dashed trendline, its a sell (TP = 40,900) to the 1D MA50 at least.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
US30, last trade of the day for meTeam, what an amazing win today for US30, we shorted earlier.
as I predicted it will go this low. So TIME for little recover.
LONG ENTRY NOW 42012
STOP LOSS at 41977
Please do only half volume only
from previous short
Target 1 at 42087
Target 2 at 42129
Once it break above 42057, please bring STOP LOSS to BE, because I could be going to bed
it is 1.25am for me.
i just set target and go sleep with stop loss
SHORT US30/DOW NOW - great opportunityTeam, we find a good short position under the resistance line as per chart
enter short below 42166, STOP LOSS AT 42255
TARGET 1 AT 42117, TAKE 30-50% PARTIAL bring stop loss to 42192
ONCE IT REACH THE SECOND TARGET, 42094, TRAIL STOP LOSS TO BE take another 30%
see you at the bottom of the target !
Buy Continuation for the Dow and then a Sell-Off?A liquidity grab to the downside on the Dow Jones is to be expected in the coming days. I would like to take advantage of a buy position if possible. I see the market topping out in the 43,000 area, which is where I want to look for sells. My analysis is price-action based. I'm not married to a particular bias, but this is what I currently see. #PatiencePays
XAU/USD : Will Gold Reach $3000? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has risen to $2640, marking a new high. These days, we are witnessing gold setting new all-time highs daily, and many analysts, including myself, expect that if the downward trend in interest rates and the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon continue, we could potentially see gold rise to $3000 in the mid-term. However, if the price closes below $2640 today and doesn't break a new high, we could expect a correction down to $2617 as the first target. Gold is currently trading around $2632.