Dowjones
Dow jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 40050 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 40050 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Combined US Equities Since the last heads up analysis before the bearish pullback, some more new developments came into play, particularly how the equity market turned bullish...
1. Heads up given for RISK ON in the green ellipse. The weekly chart is actually very obvious with a long tail candlestick;
2. The latter part of that week finished with a combination of a long bullish candle, breaking and closing above a resistance trendline;
3. Then continued by another breakout of a range; and
4. This week closed with another colid bullish candle that closed the gap resistance, with another bullish candle to boot.
5. MACD and VolDiv indicators are bullish since the early part of the week.
Can easily expect a revisit to the last high of 906.50, but not before a retest of the gap support.
$IBM Support Levels HoldingNYSE:IBM did not have a great earnings report for the 1st Quarter 2024, but 2nd quarter improved. The stock has one of the better charts in the Dow 30 components. It has held up better than most of the Dow components, except for those stocks that are in buyback mode. It has been tapering off its buybacks for 2 quarters. So the gains holding above the support lows are not from buybacks. There are accumulation patterns and pro trader activity in the mix. One to watch for swing trading potential.
SHORT NASDAQ BEFORE WEEKEND..
I just open short position in Nasdaq, the reason is 2:
1) Price is now at the very strong zone: supply zone & fibo level
2) The rally for past several days is not backed up by volume, so i don't believe it's a strong uptrend, but a correction/ consolidation.
Let's go.. CHEERS!
XAU/USD : Potential Sell Positions ! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the 2-hour gold chart, we observe that after yesterday’s drop from $2480 to $2438, the price stabilized a bit in the $2438 to $2444 range. With increased demand, it has managed to rise to $2466 so far! The purpose of this rise was to fill the liquidity gap that was created yesterday. Keep an eye on the price’s reaction to the two levels of $2466.6 and $2470.7 for potential Sell Poistion !
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30 / DJ30 / DOWJONES Market Bearish Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers & Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist US30 / DJ30 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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S&P500 from the Elliot Wave perspective, BEAR should continueFrom EW perspective, it's at the a-b-c correction for the wave B now, means next possible movement is to the downside to complete it's wave C.
However the B could possibly extended to the next fibo levels, i just opened my partial sell from this level and i am looking for average sell if the price goes higher.
CHEERS!
DowJones - 4H Bearish SetupBLACKBULL:US30 has been exhibiting signs of bearish pressure, despite recent upward movements. The chart shows a significant decline below the ascending trendline. The recent upward movement appears to be a pullback, potentially setting up for further declines. Two key resistance zones have been identified on the chart, where the index may face renewed selling pressure.
Fundamentally, the broader economic environment is contributing to the bearish outlook. The possibility of a recession looms large as the Federal Reserve has postponed rate cuts in response to persistently high inflation. Rising unemployment claims are another concern, signaling potential economic weakness. These factors are creating an environment where risk assets like the Dow Jones are likely to struggle, and any rallies may be short-lived.
The current pullback in the TVC:DJI could provide a better entry point for those looking to short the index. The key resistance levels identified on the chart could serve as optimal zones for initiating new short positions, with the expectation that the index will continue its downward trajectory.
Given the macroeconomic uncertainties and technical setup, traders should remain cautious and consider the potential for further declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This cautious stance is supported by both the chart analysis and the broader economic fundamentals.
XAU/USD : Be Ready for another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the #gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that last week the price closed at $2431. I expect that with the market opening, after an initial rise to the range of $2442 to $2455, the price will likely decline again. The potential targets for this decline are $2417, $2405, and $2400, respectively. This analysis will be updated tomorrow.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Dow Jones to be bullish next 2 daysDJ is expected to be bullish today and test the order block on D1 at 50%Fib level. The expected move is demonstrated in the chart.
The last D1 candle was a bullish engulfing candle which finished the two day consolidation and now the price is expected to target an order block on D1 which is expected to be a strong one as it is coming off from a previous order block. Next two days is expected to be bullish on DJ and we will see some bearish move on coming Friday.
Good luck and use proper risk reward
This idea is for educational purpose only and not a financial advise .
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to resistance area 40071.Dear Colleagues, in the last forecast the price almost reached the target 41680, but sharply started to decline. This means that the price is in a complex correction (WXY).
I expect that the price has almost finished the downward movement in wave (Y), and will start an upward movement soon.
The level where the price may come to is 38799, but in general I expect an upward movement at least to the area of 40071.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DOW JONES New Bullish Leg to beginLast week (August 07, see chart below) we made a long-term case of why Dow Jones (DJI) is poised to technically start a new aggressive rally 'right under our nose' and before that (July 25, see chart below), why at the time the correction wasn't over:
As you can see, the index found support on our low tier near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and as the April 19 Low, it touched the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the 2-year Channel Up (chart 2 above).
Back to today's analysis, the price has already rebounded at the bottom of April's Channel Up and has found its first Resistance on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The final confirmation of this Bullish Leg will be when the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross as it did on June 18 and April 25.
Since the Bearish Legs of this Channel Up have been almost the same percentage wise (-6.84%) we expect the Bullish Legs to be too. With the first Bullish Leg being at +11.13%, our medium-term Target is 42400 (just below a potential +11.13% rise).
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NASDAQ - US100 Facing Bearish PressureThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index is currently facing significant downward pressure, largely due to mounting concerns about the U.S. economy. The potential for a recession is growing as recent data points to an increase in unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve has decided to delay interest rate cuts. This has created uncertainty in the markets, as higher unemployment could lead to reduced consumer spending, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates is also weighing on investor sentiment, making the stock market, particularly tech-heavy indexes like NASDAQ, more vulnerable to declines.
Technically, the BLACKBULL:NAS100 index has been following a clear pattern of reactions to its trendlines. The index recently fell and touched the third trendline support, which has historically been a critical level for determining market direction. After this touch, the index attempted a recovery, moving back towards the second trendline, which now acts as a breakeven point. However, the failure to break through this level and the subsequent rejection suggests that the bears are firmly in control. The pattern indicates that the index may face further declines, particularly if it breaches the third trendline support.
In conclusion, both fundamental and technical factors are pointing towards a bearish outlook for the NASDAQ index. The rising possibility of a recession, driven by increasing unemployment claims and the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, has dampened investor sentiment. On the technical side, the index’s inability to reclaim key trendline supports indicates that more downside is likely. As a result, investors should be cautious and prepared for potential further declines in the NASDAQ index in the coming weeks.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Support and Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important key support and resistance levels to pay close attention to.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 38250 - 38550 area
Support 2: 38015 - 38105 area
Resistance 1: 39500 - 39700 area
Resistance 2: 39800 - 39960 area
Resistance 3: 40900 - 41415 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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US30 Buys !!!!US30 Buys
**Trade Idea:**
- **Instrument:** Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index
- **Timeframe:** 1 Hour
**Setup:**
- The price is currently bouncing off the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
- The 200 EMA (black line) is serving as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
- The formation of higher lows and the breakout above the 50 EMA (red line) further confirms the strength of the uptrend.
**Trade Entry:**
- **Buy Entry:** Enter a long position at the current price level around 39,640, after confirming a strong bullish candle above the 50 EMA.
**Targets:**
- **Primary Target (TP1):** The first target is set near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around 40,520, aligning with a significant resistance area.
- **Secondary Target (TP2):** The ultimate target is near the previous high at around 41,415.
**Stop Loss:**
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Set the stop loss just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, around 39,207, which coincides with recent lows and provides a good risk-reward ratio.
**Risk Management:**
- Ensure that the risk-reward ratio is favorable, ideally at least 1:2.
- Adjust the position size to maintain proper risk management based on your trading plan.
**Additional Notes:**
- Monitor the price action closely as it approaches the 40,520 level. If the price shows signs of rejection, consider securing partial profits or adjusting the stop loss to breakeven.
- Be aware of any macroeconomic events or news releases that could impact market sentiment.
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This trade idea is based on technical analysis and should be executed with caution, considering all potential risks involved.
DJI Weekly Rising Narrowing WedgeDow Jones Industrial Average has not shown many signs of slowing in its growth.
Here is a bearish biased shape playing out on the weekly chart in the form of a rising narrowing wedge.
Strictly PA, strictly structure. Keep an eye on this.
Looking for a Macro correction to reach to the .236 or the .382 on a corrective movement.
This is a follow up to a macro long idea on the DJI posted back in March 25th 2023.
NFA
Do your own DD
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Dowjones Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 38900 zone, US30 was trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 38900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dow Jones Index (#US30): Your Trading Plan Explained
Dow Jones is currently stuck on a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
The price is trading within a narrow range on that on a 4H time frame.
Your confirmation to sell the Index will be a bearish breakout of the support of the range.
A 4H candle close below 39325 will confirm the violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 38890 then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined blue resistance
will push the market higher.
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