DOW JONES Top of its Channel. Sell opportunity.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 41000 Target as projected on our last analysis (July 10, see chart below) and reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Channel Up:
The Bullish leg competed a rise around the same levels as the previous one (7.87% against 7.65%), so we can assume the symmetry will continue to shape within this pattern and affect the Bearish Legs too.
The previous Bearish Leg made a -5.14% decline. Our Target is 39200, marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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Dowjones
Dow Jones surges to record highs on Fed easing expectationsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ascended to record highs on July 16th, 2024, fueled by mounting expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift towards a more accommodative stance.
Fundamental Drivers:
Federal Reserve Policy: The CME FedWatch Tool currently suggests a near-certain likelihood of at least a 25-basis point interest rate cut by September, with the upcoming July FOMC meeting potentially maintaining current rates. This anticipated monetary easing is bolstering investor confidence, particularly in sectors sensitive to interest rate fluctuations, such as industrials and small-caps.
Economic Data: Recent economic data releases, including stable retail sales figures, point towards a potential "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. This reinforces optimism and supports the ongoing market rally.
Sector Rotation: Investors appear to be strategically shifting away from large-cap technology stocks, which have thrived in a low-interest-rate environment, and allocating capital towards sectors anticipated to outperform under rising interest rates.
Confirmation: The significant rise in UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) on July 16th (up 6.11%) exemplifies the strength in non-technology sectors.
Looking Forward: The Dow Jones' momentum remains robust, and further upward potential exists if upcoming economic data continues to align with the Fed's potential easing narrative. Investors will be keenly focused on forthcoming economic releases and the July FOMC meeting for any insights regarding the timing and magnitude of potential rate cuts.
US30 / Consolidation Continues Between Key LevelsTechnical Analysis: US30
The price has reached the resistance level of 40420, as mentioned in the previous analysis, and has since dropped, consolidating between 40060 and 40420.
Current Outlook:
The US30 is expected to decline as long as it trades below 40420, targeting 40060. A break below 40060 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to stabilize above 40420, with confirmation coming from a 4-hour candle closing above this level.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below the resistance line at 40420, it is likely to test 40060. A break below 40060 would indicate a downtrend towards 39790.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 40220
- Resistance Levels: 40420, 40620, 40940
- Support Levels: 40080, 39880, 39600
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40060 and the resistance at 40420.
Note:
Today's earnings reports, particularly from NYSE:UNH , NYSE:BAC , and NYSE:MS , are expected to impact the indices market.
previous idea:
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Trend Continues
US30 index updated the ATH this week.
The market managed to violate a resistance level
based on the last higher high and close above that.
The Index has a nice potential to go higher.
Next resistance - 40800
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#DJIA to 40k!We are in a BULL MARKET so the risks are to the UPSIDE,
one of an explosive rally as fund managers who have badly gotten the market wrong
panic buy propelling the Stock market driven by #FOMO rather than reasoned analysis to far higher than people can imagine.
New bull market highs should arrive during summer 2023!
All whilst indecision reigns supreme on the likes of twitter in a perpetual waiting for a magic signal with the goal posts constantly drifting as those who failed to act when the knives were fast falling desperately cling onto hopes of the likes of #SPX 3600 and lower to buy
Even though if it ever happened they would once more be too fearful act just as they were the last time S&P traded down to S&P 3600 :)
My base case is we already had the recession, during the corrective moves of 2022.
Dow Jones Sustains Growth: Short-Term Bullish Strategies in PlayDuring the Wednesday session in London, the Dow Jones continued its upward trajectory. After experiencing a pullback at the $39,000 mark, the price resumed its ascent, forming a bullish candle. Our analysis suggests that the price is likely to continue rising until it reaches the Supply area, where we anticipate a potential correction.
In the meantime, we are focusing on short-term positions on lower timeframes to capitalize on this bullish continuation. These positions are aimed at taking advantage of the ongoing upward momentum as the price approaches the Supply area. By carefully monitoring the market and adjusting our strategies accordingly, we aim to maximize our gains from this bullish trend before any potential reversal occurs.
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US30 ( CPI ) ( 4H )US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade above turning level at 39,480 , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a black line between resistance and support level around 39,480 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a black line above turning level around 39,713 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price trade above turning level reach this level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a black line below turning level around 39,137 , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to dropping a turning level around 39,480, after rising to the resistance level around 39,713 , then stable above this level reach 39,931 , if the price breaking turning level reach a support level by 39,137 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 39,734
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 39,713 , 39,931
SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,137 , 38,734
Dow Jones Dollar Index daily TF The Dow Jones has exhibited a bearish trend for the past nine days, following a break from its bullish channel. Historically, during its last two bullish channel periods, the index experienced a bearish phase lasting 7 to 8 days before finding support and moving higher. I anticipate a similar pattern this time, expecting the index to reach one of my areas of interest before initiating a downward swing. Once it undergoes a healthy pullback and begins to decline, a close below 12,963 will signal a significantly bearish outlook.
US30 - Dow Buy OpportunityThe Dow Jones (US30) has reached a critical support zone, aligning with an support trend line. This confluence of support provides a strong foundation for a potential upward move. If the price holds above this zone, we can expect a rise towards the resistance. Traders should watch for bullish signals and consider long positions with appropriate risk management strategies.
DOW JONES Looking to break above the 3-month Triangle.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has been consolidating within an Ascending Triangle since the April 01 High and recently is being supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since June 17.
As long as it continues to hold, there are higher probabilities to finally break above the Triangle's top (Resistance 1). If it does, the pattern will transition into a Channel Up that will aim for a new Higher High.
The first Bullish Leg extended to as high as +7.52%. The 1.382 Fibonacci extension is technically the break-out target on these occasions, so our Target is in the middle of those levels at 41000.
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EUR/USD : Potential Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By reanalyzing the EUR/USD chart on a 2-hour timeframe, we observe that after an attractive rise, this currency pair encountered selling pressure upon reaching the supply zone at 1.083 and is currently trading around 1.08120. If the price can stabilize below this level, we will likely see further declines to lower levels. This analysis will be updated!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBP/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart, we observe that after gathering dynamic liquidity in the 1.26650 to 1.27 range, the price faced selling pressure and corrected to 1.2615. As you can see, this area is an important demand zone, and the price responded positively to this level. Currently, GBP/USD is trading around 1.2672. If the price stabilizes above 1.26400, we can expect further growth. The targets are the liquidity pools identified on the chart (LP).
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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US30 Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30 , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
📉 Strong Reaction to Fair Value Gap
As observed from the chart, there was a strong reaction to the Fair Value Gap ( FVG ) marked, which also established the previous month's high ( PMH ) after the rejection.
📊 Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Analysis
If you draw your Fibonacci Retracement tool from the previous month's high ( PMH ) to the previous week's low ( PWL ), you will see that the current price range indicates the optimal trade entry ( OTE ) aligns with the Fair Value Gap , marked earlier, and the price reacted remarkably to it.
📉 High-Probability Short Scenario
We can anticipate the price to expand lower, targeting the previous week's low ( PWL ). The price action shows a low-resistance liquidity sweep, a Fair Value Gap, and the OTE levels, presenting a high-probability short scenario.
📈 Conditions for Long Positions
For any long position scenario, we need to see the sell-side liquidity taken out before considering any potential setups.
📅 Impact of Fed Chair Powell Speaking
Additionally, keep in mind that there are high-impact news events this week, especially today with Fed Chair Powell speaking . His speeches can significantly impact markets, so be cautious with your positions. Depending on his remarks, we might see rapid price movements, particularly in interest-sensitive assets.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.