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AriasWave Market Update - You Might Want To Watch This... Part 1In this video, I'm finally breaking my silence. I can’t hold back my bearish outlook any longer, so I’m launching a series of videos to break down exactly why I see trouble ahead and what it could mean. While I won’t cover everything in this first video, I’m kicking off the conversation now that the floodgates are open—thanks, in part, to the circus in Washington, D.C. (or so you think). From crypto and stocks to bond yields and beyond, I’ll cover it all. Stay tuned so you’re not left chasing false hope in a dead-cat bounce.
TVC:TNX
by AriasWave
Us30 Reversal /Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉 🔹 Market Bias: Bearish 🔹 Key Zones: Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance) Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone) Take Profit (TP): TP1: 40,500 (First support) TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone) TP3: 39,920 (Final target) 🔹 Analysis: Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉 Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️ 🔹 News Event Consideration: If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉 If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄 🔹 Risk Management: Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news. If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias. 🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment! #US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
Dow Just crossed the infamous 200MA - Should we worry?The Dow Jones, continues to underperform international markets in 2025. The Trump Administration is an unstable one which is causing such fear and uncertainty. It seems like the very essence of policies, procedures and compliance are falling out with the ad hoc and sudden decisions being made by a small group of plutocrats. Here is why the Dow Jones might remain to stay in trouble and for further downside to come. Tariff Tensions: Trump's ramping up tariffs on Canadian metals, and it's freaking out investors 😱📉 Recession Fears: Mixed signals about a possible recession have everyone on edge 😬🔻 Tech Trouble: Tech giants like Tesla are tanking, dragging the whole market down 🤖📉 Global Trade Chaos: Uncertain trade policies are stirring global chaos and confusion 🌍🤯 Market Volatility: Investor nerves are sky-high with volatility spiking, making everyone super cautious 😟📈 And the technicals speak for themselves. The Price has broken below the M FOrmation and wait for it... The Infamous 200MA. So the signs of downside are strong. WIll the US markets allow such downside to come, we'll have to see but as things stand - we have a bearish outlook with a target of 36,296. What do you think? Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:US30Short
by Timonrosso
DOW JONES: Starting the final stage of 3year Bull Cycle.Dow Jones got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 29.297, MACD = -550.130, ADX = 76.606) as it is currently testing its 1W MA50. This is a level that has been intact since November 2023 and is of high importance to the trend as it has a key cyclical attribute. The driving growth pattern of Dow since the 2009 bottom is a Channel Up and every time a Bull Cycle starts, the 1W MA50 is the first level of support, with every touch of it being the strongest buy opportunity. When the 3 year Bull Cycle is coming to an end, the 1W MA50 breaks and the index approaches the 1M MA50 during its Bear Cycle correction, which becomes the ultimate buy entry for the new long term 3 year Bull Cycle. The current Cycle should starts getting completed technically after September 2025, so there is a high chance that the 1W MA50 holds here. The three Bull Cycles we've had so far had a fairly similar growth percentage, rising by +70.38% to +76.64%. If the +70.38% minimum range is followed on the current (4th) Bull Cycle, then we're aiming at 48,000 (TP) towards the end of the year. The 1M CCI seems to be printing the exact same build up to the Bear Cycle as in the past. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DJILong
by InvestingScope
1
DowJones INTRADAY Key Trading Levels post CPI dataThe softer-than-expected inflation data has fueled optimism among equity investors, as cooling inflation could alleviate pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain an aggressive tightening stance. The positive market reaction suggests that participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a more gradual approach to interest rate adjustments. With inflation appearing to moderate, the Federal Reserve may be more inclined to pause or slow the pace of rate hikes in the coming months. The data supports the case for a more dovish stance, as policymakers assess the effectiveness of prior rate increases and the risk of economic slowdown. Markets will continue to monitor upcoming economic releases and Federal Reserve statements to gauge the likelihood of a shift toward a less aggressive monetary policy. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 42256 Resistance Level 2: 42600 Resistance Level 3: 43000 Support Level 1: 41150 Support Level 2: 40576 Support Level 3: 40073 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps. - Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales. - President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023. - As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done. - Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully. - Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls. - Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CrashoutCapital
Dow Jones: A Make-or-Break Buy Setup with Smart Money BackingDow Jones Industrial Average - Buy Setup Technical: U.S. markets have struggled recently due to uncertainty over tariffs imposed by President Trump. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have broken key support levels, the Dow remains resilient, holding the critical 41,648 support. A break below would confirm a large double-top pattern, signaling a bearish outlook. This is a pivotal moment. The rebound from overnight lows is encouraging, but with the U.S. CPI release tomorrow, caution is warranted. While speculative, COT and seasonal data favour a short-term move higher. Fundamental: The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increasing long interest in the Dow, suggesting "smart money" accumulation. Seasonal: Historically, from March 12 – May 2, the Dow has posted gains 84% of the time, averaging +3.68% over the past 25 years. Setup: Entry: 41,800 – 42,000 Stop Loss: 41,285 (below the Nov 2024 low at 41,648) Target: 44,290 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Long
by Signal_Centre1
DOW JONES Can the 1W MA50 hold and spark an end-of-year rally?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the late July 2023 High. The decline of the last 30 days can be technically seen as the Bearish Leg that will price its new Higher Low bottom. The price isn't only close to the Channel's bottom but also the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been supporting since the October 30 2023 bullish break-out. As a result, a 1W MA50 hit will be a potential double support test, with the 1W RSI also printing a Bearish Leg similar to the one that led to the October 2023 bottom. On the other hand, the ranged price action since the late November 2024 High, resembles the sideways volatility of the first half of 2024. Both were initiated after Higher High pricings at the top of the Channel Up. The rallies that led to those tops have been +21.00% and +23.72% respectively. If there is a decreasing rate on each Bullish Leg, then the new one should be +17.30% (i.e. -3.30% less than the previous one), which falls marginally below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which is where the November 2024 High was priced. As a result, as long as Dow is closing its 1W candles above the 1W MA50, the 2-year Channel Up is more likely to push upwards again for its new Bullish Leg, potentially targeting 48900 (+17.30%). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
1
S&P, NASDAQ, DOW JONES Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. Markets have been bearish due to mixed numbers employment, Fed statements, and uncertainty in US trade policies. Are the markets poised for a bounce back week? Perhaps. Traders will need to exercise patience before jumping in these volatile markets, waiting for the proper confirmations before we determine a bias. Once the markets tip their hand in that way, we can take advantage. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money
13
DowJones The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Neutral, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range. Resistance: Key Resistance is at 43145, followed by 43600 and 44000. Support: Key support is at 43303 followed by 42000 and 41650. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
DOW JONES MA200 (1d) test on the Channel Up bottom. BULLISH.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Up but lately finds itself on a pull back. This pull back is about to test the MA200 (1d) at the bottom of the pattern. The MA200 (1d) has been holding as Support since November 3rd 2023, so overall that makes it a buy opportunity. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 46400 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is almost oversold and at 35.00 it has turned sideways. Every time the RSI was on this level or belowsince October 2023, it was the best buy opportunity. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingBrokersView
Dow INTRADAY NFP, US Employment data to drive the next moveMarket Context: After a period of heightened volatility, the Dow Jones (US30) has undergone a corrective pullback. Investor sentiment is now focused on the upcoming US jobs report (8:30 a.m. Washington time, 13:30 London time) as a key catalyst for the next move in equity markets. A weaker-than-expected jobs report could raise concerns about a slowing economy, potentially fueling recession fears and triggering another leg lower in equities. Conversely, signs of resilience in the labor market may reinforce risk appetite and support a continued recovery in the index. Technical Outlook: Current Price Action: Sideways Consolidation Resistance: 43145 Support: 42303 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 43145 would signal renewed upside momentum, with initial resistance at 43337, followed by 43636 and 44026 as extended targets. Positive labor market data or market resilience post-jobs report could provide the necessary catalyst for a bullish continuation. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed loss of 42303 support would shift the bias bearish, increasing the likelihood of further downside toward 42000, with a deeper retracement potentially testing 41650. A significant deterioration in job market data could heighten recession concerns, amplifying risk-off sentiment and weighing on equity markets. Conclusion: The US jobs report will be the key driver of market direction. A breakout above 43145 could confirm bullish continuation, while a breakdown below 42303 may open the door for deeper losses. Traders should closely monitor price reactions around these levels for confirmation of the next trend move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation