DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 17/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, it looks like we are moving corrective and that we have not started wave 5 yet. We could be close to complete another WXY structure.
Dowjones
Three waves in a larger degree? Continuation of Bullish MarketDear FRIEND,
I hope you're doing well and that the new year has started on a good note for you. I wish you success in your business endeavors and a happy new year with your loved ones.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it to be a valuable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
I am sharing my analysis with you. However, please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My goal is to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions.
In the attachment, I have included my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily).
I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished.
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DOW JONES: Top is being formed, 1D RSI Bearish Divergence.Dow Jones has been trading sideways since the December 28th 2023 High, having tested that Resistance after another three times. Naturally the 4H timeframe is neutral and the 1D technical outlook is about to as well (RSI = 56.255, MACD = 185.180, ADX = 33.836). The 1D RSI in particular is under a LH trendline, which is of the same shape as August 1st 2023, May 1st 2023 and December 13th 2022, all major market tops of the past 13 months.
This is a strong technical Bearish Divergence and consequently we expect a pullback to at least the 1D MA50. Based on those past peaks and corrections though, we should be expecting at least a 0.382 Fibonacci pullback, thus our target is near the S2 level (TP = 36,000).
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Buying is now Detected on All 4 Major US Indexes DOW and Russel showed Buying in the few sessions in the LAST WEEK and today S&P500 and NASDAQ have joined in. UMVD or Unusual Market volume Detector is showing GREEN for all 4 Indices today. Also, US Market Strength Index (US MSI) is showing green in todays session.
Now TREND IS STILL DOWN as seen with the Red TrapZones so, Bulls have a lot of work to do still.
US30 H1 / TWO POINTS OF INTEREST / POSSIBLE SCENARIOS FOR LONG✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to US30 H1. I see two possible scenarios where I will look for a long entry in case of confirmation of retracement.
You can see two resistance zones from where I expect US30 will go bearish. In case of confirmation of retracement from the resistance zones, I will execute long trades until the price of 37760.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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DowJones on the Radar: US30 Technical Analysis at 37300Hey Traders, in the coming week, our focus is on the US30, particularly around the 37300 zone. The DowJones has been on a solid uptrend, showcasing its resilience in the market. As we enter the new trading session, we find the index in a correction phase, edging closer to the critical 37300 support and resistance area. This level has historically played a significant role, often acting as a pivot point for the DowJones.
Examining the technical indicators, the current correction appears to be a healthy retracement within the broader uptrend. The 37300 zone aligns with key Fibonacci levels, adding an extra layer of significance. Traders keen on trend-following strategies might eye this as a potential buying opportunity, anticipating a continuation of the upward trajectory. However, it's essential to keep a watchful eye on market sentiment, geopolitical events, and any unexpected developments that could influence the DowJones in the upcoming sessions.
In summary, the technical outlook for US30 around the 37300 zone suggests a strategic approach, emphasizing the importance of this level in the context of the broader market trend. As always, trade safe, and stay informed about the evolving market dynamics throughout the week.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 15/01/2024 (+ HTF)We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, it looks like we are moving corrective and that we have not started wave 5 yet.
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 3/2024)
First Thing First: This analysis is for “general overview only” as it is solely based on price action. That’s why it is called momentum analysis in the first place. Support/Resistant, Volume Macro view nor any other factors are not used during write up. Refer to the individual pair analysis for a more comprehensive write up.
XXX/USD: Slightly Bullish
Gold & Silver: Slightly Bearish
XXX/JPY: Mixed
Stock Indexes: Bullish
BitCoin/ETH: Mixed
Week 3 (13/1/2024)
US30 H1 - Short SignalUS30 H1
Lots of opportunity here on US30 over the last few days, we are really pushing that extreme resistance price and all time high of 37800. And then seeing some aggressive rejections, forming this healthy 300 point from from circa 37750 to 37450.
I still anticipate a bearish breakout. This would be really healthy and attractive for us, if we break 37,000, there are 1000’s of points up for grabs and some huge profit potential.
DOW - At ATH's 38k next Target. BLACKBULL:US30 is sitting at the top of the move with what is looking like one more move higher into 38k before we see a decent retracement.
In the smaller TFs there is a pattern setting up giving us potential upside targets.
I go into more details of these levels to watch in my group.
Once the high comes in we look at the retracement to see if its going to be bullish or bearish. But first we need a top, then we can go from there.
I hope this helps. Enjoy the week.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 12/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, it looks like we are moving corrective and that we have not started wave 5 yet.
DOW JONES (US30) - Long for new ATH ⁉️Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure, so after price filled perfectly the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block, I expect price to make new ATH.
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Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to area of 38153.16.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the price will still go higher, completing wave 5. Or the price will continue wave 3. I expect a small correction, after which the target will be reached in the area of 38153.16.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Market Breakdown: EURUSD, EURJPY, BTCUSD, US30
1️⃣ EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The pair is currently stuck within a narrow intraday horizontal trading range.
We are expecting the US inflation data tomorrow and for the market participants
it will be the important trigger.
Monitor the reaction of the price to the boundaries of the range and look for a confirmation.
That will be your signal.
2️⃣ EURJPY daily time frame 🇪🇺🇯🇵
The market is currently breaking a solid daily supply area.
If the price breaks and closes above that on a daily, it will be a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be anticipated to 161.0 level then.
3️⃣ BITCOIN weekly time frame ₿
BTC nicely respected a major weekly structure resistance.
After its test, we see a strong bearish reaction.
I would anticipate a continuation of a correction for now.
4️⃣ Dow Jones weekly time frame
The market set a new historic high before it closed on Christmas holidays.
Now it looks quite overbought.
I would recommend waiting for a pullback to one of the underlined supports.
They can provide perfect points to buy the index from.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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Dow Jones Big Move ?Pair : Dow Jones - DJI
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line. Completed " ABC " Corrective Waves. Break of Structure and Strong Divergence. Symmetrical Triangle as an Correction in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of Lower Trend Line.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 10/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing a finished WXY corrective structure. This could mean the start of a wave 5 up.
U.S Equity Index’s Overview – A Repeating PatternU.S Equity Index’s Overview – A Repeating Pattern
The Bull Thesis – Ascending Triangles
The 200 day (blue line on each chart) is squeezing price up towards each red resistance line making each chart look like an ascending triangle (evident on every chart). With the 200 day as underside support for price and the 200 day sloping upwards, things remain positive.
The Bear Caution – Throw overs, Transportation Lag and the Hidden Wedge
We need to be aware and cautious of a throw over top on each chart which is always a possibility. Price on each chart would need to fall back below the red support line (pricing having only been thrown over the red line to come back down again).
The DJ:DJT – Transportation (Chart 1) is lagging behind all the other charts and has not taken out its Nov 2021 or Jul 2023 highs. This relative weakness in Transportation is worrying as this index offers an early indication of potentially less manufacturing and goods being transported, with this chart lagging and failing to take out its highs, it could be an early indication of a more pronounced slowdown in the economy. This chart we need to keep a very close eye on. If DJT fails to rise above its red line and loses the 200 Day, this could be a very bad signal.
We also need to be aware of how one important chart is showing a rising wedge pattern (Chart 3 – Major Market Index TVC:XMI ). This old school chart is watched by the OG traders and investors as a more general market chart. Lets keep an eye on the upper diagonal on the rising wedge for resistance on this one. A rejection here could be something of an early warning sign and obviously losing the red support line would confirm this.
Charts 4 - 6
4. S&P 500 SP:SPX
5. NASDAQ NASDAQ:NDX &
6. US Small Cap 3000 TVC:RUA
All these charts appear to be about to break into all time highs, however they are slightly lagging the Dow Jones Industrials TVC:DJI and the Major Market Index TVC:XMI which have broken all time highs. In the Charts 4 - 6 break out above their red lines (above recent all time highs), this could be another confirmation signal of bullish momentum. Obviously a rejection at this level does not bode well.
SUMMARY
In this hard to navigate market environment we need to pay attention to DJT (Chart 1) and XMI (Chart3) as they provide clear boundaries that we can watch for hidden bear signal warnings. On the contrary, in the even these charts and charts 4 - 6 breach their respective resistance levels mentioned above we can be assured that the wind is at out back in this currently confusingly bullish market.
If you like this overview please let me know and I will complete similar overviews for other markets and indices.
Thanks for reading
PUKA
DOW JONES Correction has started. Where can it stop?Dow Jones (DJI) started a strong decline since our December 29 2023 sell call (see chart below), the strongest since the remarkable rally started on the October 29 bottom:
On today's analysis, we want to look into the same market dynamics and the pattern we drew 10 days ago but this time on the 1D time-frame. What stands out the most is that this time on the January 02 2024 High, the RSI peak that was made a few days back on December 19 2023 (hence the Bearish Divergence) was a (much) Higher High that the previous two (red arrows down) on the Higher Highs trend-line (July 26 2023 and April 13 2023), that was made on the vastly overbought level of 87.50 (highest since January 11 2018).
Our short-term target remains 36750, which represents the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the Jan 02 High. The other feature on this 1D chart that stands out is the 38.50 1D RSI Support, which provided rebounds on May 25 2023 (long-term) and August 24 2023 (short-term). That RSI Support reveals where our first buy attempt should be. Price-wise that could be as low was the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (35100) of the October 27 Low. By the time it potentially makes contact with it, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) could be there as well.
A medium-term candidate is also a -4.50% range from the Jan 02 High, which would give us 36150 and is where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed right now.
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US30Late trigger but it was amazing forecast and mid analysis.
Here we are now looking to scale in and do more. Move SL into profits we do not run a non profit.
37600 - 37630 (Area of significance)
- bounce and rejection, with candlestick confirmation is a move up
- impulsive candlesticks down and rejection means we are drowning price again.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 09/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing a finished WXY corrective structure. This could mean the start of a wave 5 up.