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Dowjones

DOW JONES: Support Zone intact. Buyers are favored short term.Dow Jones is volatile on the 4H timeframe (RSI = 37.485, MACD = -170.620, ADX = 29.943) after almost testing the S1 level (32,813) yesterday but following a 4H MACD Bullish Cross formation, it is a low risk buy opportunity. The rejection of the previous rise took place on the 4H MA200, so that is our target again. Buy and TP = 33,700. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
TGGI WEEKLY CHART ANALYSISThe weekly time frame looks bullish as it breaks upward in Bollinger bands. However, it is taking resistance at.0072. Once it crosses above .0072, almost upward territory will open (approximately 169% returns). Further crossing above .0186, still 57% upside is left. Below, look at the RSI (refer to the yellow arrow); it is also above 60, which looks bullish and ready to move upward, which is also a positive sign for trading in this stock. Read more at : evtsn.com
OTC:TGGILong
by eventseernews
3
Macro Monday 17~Bear Market Confirmed? Macro Monday 17 The Dow Theory Confirms Bear Market Today’s post may be thee most important Macro Monday of 2023 as it may be a key moment where we received technical confirmation of a change to a bear trend. What’s Got Me Rustled? Manuel Blay, the lead economist and editor from the Dow Theory has recently confirmed an S&P500 bear trend change to his subscribers. Why is this so important? Historically, the Dow Theory has provided some of the best signals for market participants. From 1920 to 1975 the Dow Theory signals captured 68% of the moves in the Industrial & Transportation Averages and 67% of those in the S&P 500 Composite Index. Over recent years I have been keeping an eye on The Dow Theory’s predictions and they were one of the few who signalled a warning in early 2001 before the Dot.Com Crash in Sept 2001, and they signalled a warning prior to March 2020 COVID-19 Crash. They were also one of the few who turned bullish on the market from November 2022 when bears were out in their droves. The Dow Theory has a proven track record of outperforming the stock market with significant drawdown reduction (less skin in the game during downturn periods). The Dow Theory is one thee most top ranked investment letters and people will pay very close attention to this recent release by Manuel Blay. What is Dow Theory and How Does It Work? There are many elements to the Dow Theory and I am going to try and explain some of the basics with the help of some charts. In basic terms the Dow Theory is a technical framework that predicts when the market is in an upward trend if one of its averages (Such as Dow Jones Transportation Average) advances above a previous important high, accompanied or followed by a similar advance in another corresponding average (such as Dow Jones Industrial Average). The theory is predicated on the notion that the market discounts everything, consistent with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Efficient Market Hypothesis is something I live by, it is the hypothesis that states that share prices reflect all information, price being the aggregation of everything that’s happening. Price over everything, over the news and any other outside factors. Consistent alpha generation is possible focusing only on price. This hypothesis chants “the market knows best” or “trust the intelligence of the market/price”). The Dow Theory uses a combination of markets to help achieve agreement for the overall market trend using price. In such a paradigm, different market indices must confirm each other in terms of price action and volume patterns until trends reverse. This means that one chart can lead another. It also means that if multiple charts are confirming a particular trend, this adds weight to the probability that that the new price direction is the new trend. This is important to understand as today we will see that out of the four most common charts used by the Dow Theory, three of them are confirming the bear trend and the fourth is leaning bearish (the final confirmation outstanding). “The Dow Theory for the 21st Century” by Jack Schannep should be your go for a more detailed understanding of the Dow Theory or visit the TheDowTheory.com and become a subscriber. The Bearish Signals are here As noted above the Dow Theory mainly focuses on the price movements of four major market indices all of which we will individually cover on today’s Macro Monday: 1. S&P500 – Three Bearish Signals 2. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index – Three Bearish Signals 3. Dow Jones Transportation Average Index – Three Bearish Signals 4. NYSE Arca Major Markets Index – Two Bearish Signals (one pending) S&P500 - SP:SPX The price and price structure on the S&P500 chart has provided us with 3 key bearish confirmations (see Chart 1 Above) Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - TVC:DJI The DJI is significantly more bearish than the S&P500 as it failed to make a new high since its high in Jan 2022 whilst the S&P500 broke to new highs in July 2023. We could consider this as a negative divergence with the DJI providing us an advance warning due to its failure to establish a new high in July 2023, instead it confirmed a lower high. The price and price structure on the TVC:DJI Chart has provided us with 3 key bearish confirmations also (see Chart 2 Below). Dow Jones Transportation Average Index - DJ:DJT Similar to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), the DJT also confirmed a lower high in July 2023 compounding the bearish signal already observed in the DJI. These could also be considered double tops with a lower high for the latter two. The price and price structure on the TVC:DJI Chart has provided us with 3 key bearish confirmations also (see Chart 3 Below). NYSE Arca Major Markets Index - TVC:XMI Similar to the S&P500 the XMI chart made a higher high in July 2023 however this was a false break out followed by a throw over with price then falling through the 21 week moving average. The price and price structure on the TVC:XMI Chart has provided us with 2 key bearish confirmations with the third pending confirmation, however with the 21 week moving average sloping downwards and with the three other charts above already having breached the diagonal resistance line, it is highly probable that the XMI will follow suit and breach its diagonal support line (see Chart 4 Below). As you can see all charts are strongly suggesting that we have started to turn into bearish trend and all have an heir of a double top pattern. To be clear, this is using the Dow Theory approach which historically has been very effective at getting us on the right side of probability but there are no guarantees, there are times the Dow Theory has been completely wrong. Given that three of the charts are in complete agreement with the fourth looking liking to confirm a similar bearish path, probability strongly in the favour of the bears. For those who appreciate this theory they would now start to make some changes to their portfolios to protect themselves from a drawdown event, as noted in the introduction protection from drawdown events is where The Dow Theory really shines. The Halloween Effect might fool us all The Halloween effect on the markets is based on the historical tendency for the stock market to perform better between Halloween Oct and May Day (the "winter" months) than in the other six months of the year ("summer" months). It closely related to the oft-repeated advice to sell in May and go away. In particular the months of Oct – Dec are some of the best return months impacted by the Halloween effect. I will follow up with a chart in the comments that illustrate the % return of the Halloween effect versus the summer months. In the past the Dow Theory and other market indicators have provided confirmation of a bear trend and the market has made higher highs thereafter only to be thrown over into a longer bear market many months later confirming the original bear trend thesis. The point being is that it is probable we are going to see some impact from the Halloween Effect and this could in fact press prices higher in the short term, and in some cases we can even make higher highs. We need to be extremely cautious if we make reasonable progress during the Halloween Effect period, perhaps this could be seen as an opportunity to take some profits and de-risk some of your portfolio. I have covered the XMI, DJT, XMI and DJI charts in detail previously on Tradingview and here. Please review them if you would like to get more familiar with their components and historical performance. As always folks, stay nimble in this market and reduce risk where possible PUKA
SP:SPX
by PukaCharts
2
💎 Dowjones (US30) : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining this chart in the daily time frame, we can see that if the price stabilizes above the range of 33,900 to 34,000, we will probably see higher targets , the possible targets of this Bullish move will be 34,300, 34,550 and 35,000 respectively! If today the price stabilizes below this supply zone , the Bearish targets of this scenario will be 33550, 33110 and 32820 respectively! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BLACKBULL:US30
by ArmanShabanTrading
30
Example of Winning Price Action from a Live Trading SessionPrepping a market and having a defined directional bias coming into a trading session, is the key for a winning day. In the video I talk through a Live Trading session we had with our group and the reasons why we were bias short. I talk through the areas our traders hit sell entries and Where and Why I was happy to enter the market short once my ideal Price Action setup gave me all the confirmation that I needed. ** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material ** ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by TradeTheStructure
DOW JONES The bottom isn't in yet.Dow Jones may be trading inside a long term Channel Up but the medium term pattern is a Bearish Megaphone. The last Bottom of the Channel Up was closer to the 1week MA200, this time the MA level is even closer, a strong candidate for a bottom. The previous correction leg made a -10.15% extension, a new one of this size meets almost perfectly the bottom of the Channel Up and a little over the 1week MA200. Sell to 32400 then reverse to buying and target 33600 (1week MA50). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TheCryptagon
Dow Jones Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
SKILLING:US30Short
by ShahedZare
Analysis of the psychology and Price Action of a momentum moveIn this video I take a look at the psychology of a phase of Price Action that we traded in out Live Trading Room. I review the key price action that I am looking for to get involved in the action for a new momentum push up/down. Our aim in trading is always to enter a trade in the 'unknown' as traders start to realise they are on the wrong side of the action...this gives us the biggest payouts. Intraday Trading is a process of doing the analysis, reviews and having confidence in your read when LIVE trading. ** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material ** ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by TradeTheStructure
DOW JONES: Strong short term buy signalDow Jones is on a range with the 1H timeframe neutral (RSI = 46.672, MACD = -41.790, ADX = 29.739), giving us an opportunity to buy the decline of the last three days and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 34,000). Technically this consolidation, even on 1D RSI structure which is inside a Rectangle, mimics early September. The medium term trend remains bearish inside a Bearish Megaphone but the long term bullish inside a Channel Up. See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
DOW JONES Inverse Head and Shoulders signals for a new buyDow Jones (DJI) has completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern and this week's pull-back, caused by a rejection on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), may be the last before it starts rising to a new Higher High. We are taking this opportunity to buy for the short-term and target the top of the dashed Channel at 34200. The IH&S can complete its long-term target on the 2.0 Fibonacci level (35000) after it breaks above the Lower Highs trendline. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
US30 D1 - Sell zone from 35,000US30 H8 We indicated the 34000 sell zone yesterday, and we have since seen a tame 1.5R from this area. Speaking with a few followers, this is something they've capitalised on. That being said, the concern for DXY downside throws a spanner in the works, and the chances of US30 pushing towards 35000 is becoming more and more. 35000 is certainly a preferred sell zone, psychological price, D1 resistance and supply, 2 previous tests. Also, this would tie in with US100 15500 target pace too.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
DOW JONES On the verge of a new bullish break out.Dow Jones is testing the MA200 (4h) today, after holding the MA50 (4h), extending the rebound that was generated at the bottom of the Channel Up. This is so far replicating to a good extend, the March 15th rebound-bullish leg. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the MA200 (4h) break out. Targets: 1. 34850 (Falling Resistance). Tips: 1. The MACD On the (1d) time frame is past a strong Buy Cross, much like March 22nd. It shows that we are on the same level as when that bullish leg tested the MA200 (4h). Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingBrokersView
2