DIA DOW ETF ShortDIA tracking the DOW widely in an ETF format on the two hour chart had a 7% rise in the
past month which was widely followed in the investment media. I believe that it was a bull
trap. In the past week price action has been sideways while the Stochastic RSI shows
bearish divergence as does the zero lag MACD. Tradign Volumes has fallen off since
burst of buying volume in mid and late November which pushed the price up 7%.
In the past week, relative volatility has fallen off in general and now negative volatility
exceeds positive. I believe that this is a top for the time being. A short position will be
taken of 10 shares with a stop above the top at 363 The target is 342 just above the POC
line, where high liquidity and volatility will return as long positions, would pile back in there
and get a bounce or even a squeeze. This would be about a reward of 8 for a risk of 2, which
seems reasonable. I will however take a 1/3 partial at 350 where the Fibonacci retracement
comes into play. The SDOW ETF would be another way to play this idea.
Dowjones
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 06/12/2023We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong but so far we are only seeing three waves. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the upward move is corrective. As long as the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat. If we start to turn down from the current area without making 5 waves up, we will favor the expanded flat scenario.
DOW JONES Sell signal at the top of the 1 year Channel UpDow Jones hit the top of the 1 year Channel Up, achieving an unprecedented High of overbought conditions on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 75.323, MACD = 557.860, ADX = 77.014). The first signs of exhaustion are given by the Stock RSI, which is pulling back. So far this can only be a short term sell signal so we are only aiming for the minimum retrace of the 0.236 Fibonacci level (TP = 35,550). Beyond that we need to see a closing under it in order to make an extension to the 1D MA50 (technically) but that would negate a seasonal Christmas rally. So for now take we keep only a short term horizon.
See how our prior idea has worked:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Dow Jones Overall Wave AnalysisHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #US30 #DowJones for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 05/12/2023We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong but so far we are only seeing three waves. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the upward move is corrective. As long as the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat. If we start to turn down from the current area without making 5 waves up, we will favor the expanded flat scenario.
DOW I Continued strong development is indicatedWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** DOW Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Dow Jones ETF (DIA) ~ December 4H SwingAMEX:DIA chart anaylsis/mapping.
DIA ETF on relative strength compared to recent SPY/QQQ performance, indicating potential market rotation.
Trading scenarios:
Continuation rally #1 = top range of Fib.
Shallow pullback #1 = ascending trend-line (white) / ascending trend-line (green dashed) / gap fill confluence zone.
Shallow pullback #2 = gap fills / descending trend-line (light blue) / 78.6% Fib confluence zone.
Deeper pullback #1 = Golden Pocket Fib / 200MA confluence zone.
Capitulation #1 = 50% Fib / ascending trend-line (light blue).
Capitulation #2 = gap fills / 38.2% Fib confluence zone.
Capitulation #3 = gap fills / 23.6% Fib confluence zone.
INTC: Bullish Shark and Breaking Back Above The 200 Month SMAIntel has made a full reset down to the PCZ of a perfect Bullish Shark Harmonic on the Monthly Timeframe and it went below the 200 Month Moving Average to do so but it was short lived as price only a month later managed to get back above the 200SMA and close above it. I now believe that we could atleast see price test the 50% - 61.8% Retraces above but if the Dow reaches all time highs as i am somewhat leaning towards then we may see Intel make an even more surprising and extended move to the upside from here beyond the .618 retracement.
🔥 XAUUSD : There's a Chance that the price will Fall ! By examining gold in the 12-hour time frame, we can see that the price is trading in the range of $2035 and has taken on a downward trend. If the price manages to penetrate below $2031, we may see a further drop in gold! Its possible targets will be $2029, $2020 and $2004! The assumptions of the previous analysis are still valid! This analysis will be updated!
Please share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me and support us with your likes and comments.
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 01/12/2023 (+ HTF)We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong but so far we are only seeing three waves. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the upward move is corrective. As long as the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat. If we start to turn down from the current area without making 5 waves up, we will favor the expanded flat scenario.
DOW JONES One final push before correction.Dow Jones / US30 made a new High on its November rally today.
This is all part of the bullish sequence from the bottom to the top of the 1 year Channel Up pattern.
The last blow off top rally that formed the July 27th High completed a +6.30% rise from the moment it tested and held the 1day MA50.
That would now be at 35960, above both Resistance A and B levels.
As a result there is still time for you to buy and target 35960 for quick profits.
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
The 1st and 2nd grade impulse pattern is being completedGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success.
Best regards,
Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to support area 34200.Dear colleagues, I decided to update the idea. In principle, there are practically no changes. I believe that the price may retrace the high of 35250 again, completing wave 5. Then I still expect the price to decline. The nearest target is the support area 34200.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DOW JONES - Resistance Becomes Support 📈Hi Traders !
The US30 Price Broke The Resistance Level (34850.00 - 35096.70).
This Resistance Level Becomes a New Support Level.
Currently,
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure !
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement !
------------
TARGET: 35450.00🎯
📉 #Dowjones : Waiting for a Correction ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Dow Jones chart in the daily time frame, we can see that the price is trading in the range of 35320, and I think that after the strong growth that we have seen in the last month, it will finally be stopped to some extent! The range of 35400 to 35700 is an important supply zone and I think the price will be corrected after entering this RANGE! If this is confirmed, I will update this chart and talk about its possible targets in more detail! Everything is clear on the chart and those who know my technical and analytical methods can use it very much!
Please share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me and support us with your likes and comments.
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DOW JONES Pull-back or Santa rally?It's more than 2 weeks since we looked into Dow Jones (DJI), giving a bullish rebound signal on the 1D MA50 (see chart below) that quickly hit its target:
The price is now significantly above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is roughly where the previous bullish wave of March - April took a medium-term pause and pulled-back first to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The % rise so far though (+9.50%) is almost the same as April's (+9.03%).
With the 1D RSI however printing a sideways sequence on the 70.00 overbought mark, very similar to April's, it is worth attempting now a sell targeting the 1D MA50 and the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 34300. Since however we are very close to the (seasonaly bullish) Christmas period, if Resistance 1 (35700) breaks, we will take the loss on the short and instead buy towards the top of the 12 month Channel Up and target 36300, as part of the so called Santa's rally.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
S&P500 INDEX (SPY): Bullish Outlook
Update for S&P500.
We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout.
The market is preparing to test the broken structure one more time.
4520 - 4543 is the area from where we will anticipate a bullish reaction.
Goal will be 4596
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️