DOW JONES - Long Trade Idea - Impulsive ConfirmationA new low was made since the last video which has altered the count slightly.
A change has been made to where Wave 1 ended and how the correction appears to have played out.
The stop has grown a bit longer but if you want to go long it's not always an easy task if you want to have a short stop.
The entry has already been triggered.
Entry: 31,735
Stop: 31,163
Target: 37,000
Risk\Reward Ratio: 9
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
Dowjonesanalysis
DOW JONES - Tracking Minor Waves - Finding Clues Within WavesIn this video I explain what is going on in AriasWave terms for the Wave (C) in progress.
I also take the liberty of explaining why I call this move a Type-2 expanded Zig-Zag.
Fractal patterns are amazing but I am also starting to cross reference some macro views as shown in the video linked below.
Please do take the time to review these videos in order to understand the bigger picture.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
AriasWave VS Fundamentals VS InflationLately I have felt that I need to touch on how AriasWave and fundamentals are inextricably intertwined.
AriasWave being primarily a technical analysis tool has led me to want to understand how everything operates on the macro level, although it is technical, humans are humans and these patterns are based on psychology and ever since discovering these patterns it has led me to ask more and more questions about how everything connects together.
I am not a financial advisor. This is just my own opinion. I encourage you to do your own research and learn the waves because they fit together, they are one and the same thing.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
DOW JONES - Long Trade Idea - Wave 3 In ProgressIf this count is correct then a long position would be placed here.
Entry: At Market
Stop: 31,236
Target: 37,000
Risk\Reward Ratio: 17
See related ideas below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
DOW JONES - Wave Revision - Wave (C) In ProgressIn this Wave Revision I revert back to the previous interpretation where Wave D ends around this area.
That being the case this sets the stage for another leg up to complete the move since March 2020.
Even though breaking these highs has signaled a buy signal, waiting for a correction to form would be the best course of action.
See related ideas below to understand my long-term view for this market.
Wave Revisions are Pre-Planning\Analysis , not trading ideas.
#DowJones new Breakout ??#Dow Jones heading to 32000 slowly and triumphantly..........
on the verge of fresh breakout on daily chart....
DOW JONES - Wave Revision - NFP's Should Complete Wave (C)What better way to top out the DOW JONES than the Non-Farm Payrolls.
The count has only changed slightly, reverting back to the previous count before this one.
Wave (C) was clearly choppier and more complex than Wave (A) which made it harder to determine the exact high but we should see it happen overnight.
I still believe this market is topping out and it's only a matter of time before we see a break of the lows.
Wave Revisions are Pre-Planning\Analysis , not trading ideas.
DOW JONES\NASDAQ - Tracking Minor Waves - Mania\FOMO Edition.Although I mainly use the waves for my analysis I do often look at other indicators such as how people behave.
Lately I have seen some peculiar behavior.
So far my analysis appears to be heading in the right direction so let's discuss what is happening.
See related ideas below to see how we got here.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
DOW JONES - Why This Could Be A Long Term Top - Let's Talk WavesSo I have given you the less severe scenario in one of my previous ideas linked below. (GFC 2.0)
This is the Great Depression 2.0 version.
The scenario I will show you right here is (in my opinion) the most likely scenario.
The trades you make over the next few years could change your life.
I will link all of the relevant videos below so you can see how we got here.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
DOW JONES\NASDAQ - Tracking Minor Waves - Wave E In ProgressIn this video I make sense of the latest moves in these markets using AriasWave.
I am still bearish these markets and in this video I explain why these moves aren't bullish.
If these markets were going to go higher I would be seeing the evidence but there are no signs of this happening.
I do play devils advocate all the time which is why I am confident in my analysis.
See related ideas linked below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
US30USD 2021 Feb 01 Week
OANDA:US30USD
US30USD 2021 Feb 01 Week
Green/Red zones = preferred entry area
Price returned to a previous accumulation zone.
Hasn't seen any signals to buy yet
Resistant3 = 31526
Resistant2 = 31223 - 31271
Resistant1 = 30900 - 31038
Support1 = 29796 - 29952
Support2 = 29420 - 29465
Support3 = 28668.50
DOW JONES - Tracking Minor Waves - Reversal In ProgressIn this video I breakdown all of the signs which are pointing towards a reversal in the DOW JONES.
I understand that after lots of choppiness and failed trades you may be feeling like shorts get killed.
This usually happens because your knowledge of the waves is poor.
The whole reason why we have Wave Revisions is to prepare for moments like this.
The last thing you want to do is guess frantically as you try to figure out the waves at the last minute because you see a gap at the open on some bad news.
In this case we have been preparing for this for months so the confidence is there and now we are just using other tools to confirm our analysis.
See related ideas below to see how we got here.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
DOW JONES - Short Trade Idea - A Break Of The Lows Will ConfirmFurther to my previous video idea which I have linked down below.
The pattern since the top doesn't quite seem to fit what I would call a correction.
Instead what I am seeing is an expanding leading diagonal with a Wave 2 which expanded to the downside still came back up to retest the break of the Wave 2 -> Wave 4 trend-line from the previous Wave (C) and immediately rejected these levels.
To confirm this view need to see a break of the magenta line start of Wave E at around 30,057. This will confirm that it really is a Wave E.
On the daily chart we have an Evening Star candle pattern with a decent confirming candle.
Also on the daily chart we can also see a rounded top similar to the one we saw last February.
Entry: 30,057
Stop: 30,943
Target: TBA
Let's take it one step at a time. If we break the lows we can discuss targets.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
DOW JONES - Tracking Minor Waves - Is This The Top Of Wave D?There a few signs that this market has topped as per my previous ideas.
I have made a slight wave revision based of a couple of minor waves which give this indication.
We have also seen a break of an important trend-line which should not be ignored.
See related ideas below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
DOW JONES - Analysis - Why The Coming Move Will Be The GFC 2.0In this video I explain how and why this next move will be the GFC 2.0. (See related ideas below)
As long as you are ahead of the curve you will be able to cash in on some pretty crazy moves over the next few years.
Right here is where you will find the insights that help you understand what is going on.
This kind of analysis helps you stay in trades longer so you can let those profits run.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
DOW JONES - Wave Revision - Preparing To Short This MarketIn this video I go through what is the likely path this market will take moving forward.
Things are getting shakier as we progress through this bear market Wave iv since 2018.
We are not quite there yet but there isn't much further to go until it is time to short this market.
Whether you are loading up on some bear shares or simply waiting for some decent levels in order to short this thing.
AriasWave analysis will make sure you know when the time is right.
Wave Revisions are Pre-Planning\Analysis , not trading ideas.
DOW JONES - Do You Know The Long Term Pattern Of The Dow Jones?Have you ever wondered what my wave counts on the Dow Jones and Nasdaq are based upon?
In this video I bring you the the very latest understanding of the entire move up since the Great Depression.
If you don't know the bigger picture then how can you possibly predict the future?
This is the whole reason I created AriasWave, because it gives you absolute understanding of what is going on.
Lately I have been pumping out idea after idea all relating to the same thing.
Every single idea is part of the bigger picture and one idea always builds on another.
I do not like to just push one chart and say I know what is going on, I always give you every single angle possible.
See related ideas below and see for yourself how everything is connected.
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US30USD 2021 Jan 18 Week
OANDA:US30USD
US30USD 2021 Jan 11 Week
Green/Red zones = preferred entry area
Bar A = Effort no result.
We see market marked up and closing at low of Bar A.
Will we see low of Bar A broken for more downside?
Resistant3 = 31525.8
Resistant2 = 31366.5
Resistant1 = 31222 - 31271
Support1 = 30315 - 30359
Support2 = 29796 - 29952.8
Support3 = 29420 - 29465
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DOW JONES - Will My Drink Get Spiked A Third Time?This idea relates to the video linked below "Prepare For Gamma-geddon" and "Mapping Out The Last Wave" for the bigger picture.
Once we complete Wave 5 of Wave (C) of Wave D we should see another rejection of the rising trend-line and then the last Wave E down to complete the larger Wave (B) of the larger Wave D .
They say things come in three's but in the markets this is a very important number.
Due to the way this particular Wave D has expanded and subdivided, it has created a unique pattern in Wave (B) which is nearing completion.
The same way a cobra coils up so it is ready to spring forward and attack, markets also coil up when they are about to make an impulsive move to the upside
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