The Walt Disney Stock Future Goes 'Shining Bright as Never'The Walt Disney Company’s stock (DIS) has demonstrated robust performance following its Q2 2025 earnings release a week ago, with both fundamental and technical indicators reflecting positive momentum.
Here’s a detailed analysis:
Fundamental Perspective
Disney’s Q2 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong execution across its entertainment, streaming, and experiences segments. Key financial highlights include:
Revenue Growth. Revenues rose 7% year-over-year (YoY) to $23.6 billion, surpassing estimates of $23.14 billion.
Profitability Surge. Adjusted EPS jumped 20% YoY to $1.45, beating forecasts of $1.20. Net income swung to $3.3 billion from a $20 million loss in Q2 2024.
Streaming Strength. Disney+ added 1.4 million subscribers (reaching 126 million globally), defying expectations of a decline. Combined Disney+ and Hulu streaming operations generated $336 million in profit, a sevenfold increase from $47 million YoY.
Guidance Upgrade. Disney raised its fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to $5.75 (up 16% YoY), citing confidence in double-digit operating income growth for entertainment and sports, and 6%-8% growth for experiences.
Growth Drivers:
Entertainment. Segment operating income rose $0.5 billion YoY to $1.3 billion, fueled by streaming profitability and box office success (e.g., Moana 2).
Experiences. Theme parks and consumer products saw higher attendance, guest spending, and cruise demand, though international parks faced headwinds in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Strategic Initiatives. The upcoming Abu Dhabi theme park and ESPN’s direct-to-consumer launch are expected to drive long-term growth.
Technical Perspective
Disney’s stock firstly reacted positive to the earnings beat, reflecting renewed investor confidence:
Price Action. Shares surged 10-12% post-earnings, hitting an intraday high of $103.31. Over the past month, DIS gained 31%, including a 20% rally in five days.
Valuation. The stock trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 2.1x sales, a premium to industry averages but below its historical norms.
Analyst Sentiment. The average price target stands at $126.50 (14% upside), with a Street-high target of $148 (33% upside).
Technical Indicators:
Momentum. The breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $100) signals bullish sentiment, supported by high trading volume.
Volatility. Beta of 1.01 aligns with market volatility, while short interest remains low at 1.24% of float.
Risks and Considerations
Macroeconomic Uncertainty. Disney acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs and global economic conditions.
Valuation Premium. While growth prospects justify some premium, prolonged macroeconomic stress could pressure multiples.
Investors challenge
Disney’s Q2 2025 results underscore its ability to execute on streaming monetization, theme park innovation, and content-driven growth.
Fundamentally, raised guidance and streaming profitability signal a turnaround, while technically, the stock’s breakout suggests locally bullish momentum.
Following historical patterns we are Bearishly tuned at this time, with targets to fill the gap at $92.17 per share (left after Earnings report), and drilling all the way below.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Dowjonesindustrial
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### Latest Real-Time Data (UTC+1, May 16, 2025) 📊
*Data sourced from reliable platforms like Financial Juice and official market feeds.*
**Indices** 📈
- US30 (Dow Jones): 42580.0 | +0.18% 😊
- S&P 500: 5720.5 | +0.12% 😄
- NASDAQ 100: 20150.2 | +0.25% 😊
- FTSE 100: 8250.3 | -0.05% 😐
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### Latest COT Data (Updated Friday, May 9, 2025) 📑
*Commitment of Traders (COT) report for US30/Dow Jones futures, sourced from CFTC.*
- **Non-Commercial (Speculators)**:
- Long: 45,200 contracts | +2,500 😄
- Short: 38,900 contracts | -1,200 😊
- Net Position: +6,300 (Bullish bias) 🟢
- **Commercial (Hedgers)**:
- Long: 82,500 contracts | -1,000 😐
- Short: 90,700 contracts | +800 😐
- Net Position: -8,200 (Bearish hedge) 🔴
- **Open Interest**: 165,400 contracts | +1,200 😊
- **Key Insight**: Speculators are increasing bullish bets, while hedgers lean bearish, signaling potential volatility near resistance levels like the Yellow ATR Zone. ⚠️
---
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (40800) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Warning Signs Flashing: Dow Jones Breaks Key SupportThe Dow Jones Index has officially broken its rising trendline support, signaling a possible shift in the medium-term trend. After losing this key ascending structure, price is now hovering near the psychological support zone of 40,000, which has historically acted as both resistance and support.
This level is crucial. If it holds, we could see a temporary bounce or consolidation. However, if the 40K zone fails to provide support, the index may head toward the next major support area around 38,000, aligned with the longer-term trendline support.
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THANK YOU
Dow Jones 3-daily OutlookLooks like a confirmed double-top, might turn into a Head/Shoulders even.
Head Shoulders:
A common scenario with these is, it looks like a double top, then has a strong reclaim of the neckline, which is around 41.9k, and then a 2nd loss of it shortly after w/ yet another re-test with failure to reclaim.
Double Top:
Another common scenario is just a re-test and failure to reclaim, and this is a textbook double-top.
50/200 3-daily EMAs and MAs:
After losing the 50 EMA and MA, we keep dropping below the 200 EMA and MA on the 3 daily chart during stronger dips, and then finally recovering back above both.
Recovery or Recession?
Recovery:
If we want to see a recovery, we need to do that again. So, a strong move back above the 200 and 50 EMAs/MAs after losing both, down to around 38.5k and then 37.5k, possibly as low as 36.3ish.
Or, for a more immediate flip to bullish, we need to reclaim ~41.9k during any re-tests, and then head to a new ATH above 45k.
Recession:
If we don't bounce from just below the 200 EMA and MA, we might see an extended move down or even a recession.
Dow 200 Points from Major SupportThe Dow Jones is just about 200 points from major support. I should caution there's often a move through support and slightly below, but this is where all the buyers are.
(I should have drawn the arrow to hit the next major resistance/support around 2031 lol, but you get the idea)
Good luck!
Dow Jones: Neutrality Strengthens Around 44,000 PointsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has fluctuated within a 1% range over the past few trading sessions, encountering a neutral barrier near the 44,000-point zone.
For now, investors remain cautious as uncertainty grows amid trade and diplomatic tensions from the White House with multiple countries. This prolonged uncertainty has reinforced a neutral bias in recent price movements.
Persistent Neutrality
Currently, the Dow Jones remains trapped in a sideways range, with:
45,000 resistance at the upper boundary.
42,300 support at the lower boundary.
The price remains in the middle of this range, reinforcing the market’s indecision. As long as price action stays within this zone, the neutral structure may extend further in the coming sessions.
MACD Indicator
MACD movements confirm the current neutral market outlook. Both the MACD line and signal line remain oscillating near the 0 neutral zone.
The histogram also remains close to 0, indicating low momentum. As long as these conditions persist, price neutrality is likely to continue in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
45,000 – Key Resistance:
Upper boundary of the sideways range.
A breakout above this level could mark new highs, potentially reviving the long-term uptrend that has been stagnant in recent weeks.
43,000 – Neutral Zone:
Converges with the 50-period and 100-period moving averages.
Also aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
The most important short-term barrier that could limit any short-term bullish attempt.
If price fails to reclaim this level, bearish momentum could grow.
42,000 – Critical Support:
Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A break below this level could create a stronger bearish bias, potentially threatening the long-term uptrend that has been in place since last year.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Target 40000sChart analysis can be simple.
We take our tools, surround them with rules and follow them.
The rules and the framework of the Medianlines are simple, but not easy to follow every time.
The Shiff-Fork catches the resistance and support very nicely. Especially at the Center-Line.
Above the Upper-Medianline-Parallel, at the extreme where the stretch became clear, price had a job to to do, to trade up to the Warning Line. But it failed twice so far.
When price fails to trade to the next line, comes back into the Fork, Chances are >90% that we go to the Center-Line. The first time, it failed (10% fail). The second time, with these market sentiment, I'm even more convinced to follow the rules.
Target at the Center-Line around 40'000ish.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction.
Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations.
Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings
The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including:
- Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department
- Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis
These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage.
Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day?
Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery:
- S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell
- Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance
- Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC)
Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve.
Conclusion
The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
Dow Jones - Trading 2025 Is Pretty Clear!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create another green year:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past 15 years, the Dow Jones has been respecting two significant rising trendlines. With each of the previous cycles being around +80% and corrections always starting with the new year, everything is pointing towards another phenomenal stock market year.
Levels to watch: $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DJI - 1590 Points and Running!This is a long trade setup on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) on the 15-minute timeframe. The trade was initiated on January 14th, 2025, and has shown a significant upward move since then. As of today, the position is currently sitting at a substantial profit of 1590 points.
Trade Confirmation Rules:
The Risological Dotted Trend Line turned green, indicating a bullish trend or a change in trend direction.
The Risological Options Trading Indicator turned green with a bullish crossover, suggesting favorable conditions for long options positions.
DJI - ACCURATE TREND CAUGHTDow Jones Industrial (DJI) Accurate Trend Caught Using Risological Options Trading Indicator .
After a one sided 1100 points (SHORT side)
We are now seeing a Bullish reversal in the market, with 350+ points open P&L so far, and running.
The past two weeks have been painful for many traders and investors worldwide.
Share your personal experiences below.
All the best.
US Stocks Surge as Trump Takes Office: Will the Rally Continue?The US stock market is buzzing with excitement as President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20 approaches. On Friday, January 17, the major indices saw significant gains, with:
● S&P 500 SP:SPX rose 59 points, or 1%
● Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI increased 335 points, or 0.8%
● Nasdaq composite NASDAQ:IXIC surged 292 points, or 1.5%
◉ Major Sector Driving Gains
The technology sector, particularly the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, has been instrumental in this upward momentum.
◉ Investor Sentiment
Investors are optimistic about Trump's policies, but concerned about potential inflationary pressures. Experts believe Trump's administration could lead to significant growth due to:
1. Increased Government Stimulus: Trump's background as a real estate developer may result in policies designed to stimulate economic growth.
2. Technological Innovation: Rapid advancements in technology are expected to create new industries and opportunities.
3. Lower Interest Rates: There is speculation that Trump may implement lower interest rates to further encourage economic expansion.
Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic, with investors closely monitoring Trump's policies.
DJI Short Trade Nets $2100 Dip: A 4.7% Market Move!Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): $2100 Drop Captured
On December 11, 2024, the Risological Options Trading Indicator provided a clear signal to initiate a short trade on the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). This trade capitalized on a significant bearish move, capturing an impressive $2100 dip, equating to a massive 4.7% decline from the entry point.
The trade was identified using the Risological Options Trading Indicator, which accurately captured the strong bearish momentum. The red overlay in the histogram confirms increasing selling pressure, coinciding with the downward trajectory.
This setup highlights how the Risological Options Trading Indicator leverages market structure to pinpoint high-probability trades. The captured $2100 move reinforces its precision in navigating even the most volatile markets.
All the best!
Namaste.
DJIA Index. Shake it. Bake it. Booty Quake It. Roll It AroundMarkets were shaked this Friday after the December employment report came in much stronger than expected.
The economy added 256,000 jobs in December, well above the average economist estimate of 155,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 4.1% from 4.2% in November.
The Nasdaq 100 immediately dropped by about 1%, while the 10-year US Treasury yield spiked nearly 10 basis points to 4.785%, representing its highest level since October 2023.
The strong payroll report further strengthened the case for no more interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, at least for 2025.
The moves in stocks and bonds are a continuation of what's been seen in recent weeks: Following a period of euphoric optimism, investors have started to anticipate higher inflation stemming from President Donald Trump's proposed trade and fiscal policies. If the upward move in bond yields continues, Americans will feel it in a big way.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets now expect just one 25-basis point interest rate cut this year, down from expectations late last year of as many as three. The chances that there will be no rate cuts in 2025 more than doubled Friday morning to 28%.
Dollar index TVC:DXY rockets to the moon, while the 10-yr TVC:TNX strongly above 4.5%.
Endogenously, the market has been preparing for such a turbulence, as it's been discussed in earlier posted idea "Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking Point" .
I remember, the financial market has had a tough weeks in last December, 2024, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025, as I noted those time.
The market was on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it was clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting — and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead.
Dow Jones Futures has ended 6th straight RED WEEK in a row - the quite rare event.
The historical back test analysis over last 25 years indicates, it could lead to further (at least) 10 percent decline for Top-30 stock club.
The major technical graph indicates on a bearish trend in development, where major 200-week SMA support is nearly 35'700 points in this time.
Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): SHORT TRADETrade Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) chart presents a strong short trade setup on the 1-hour timeframe. Using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , this trade successfully achieved TP1 (43,779.69) through TP3 (42,180.27), with TP4 (41,686.05) remaining highly probable based on prevailing market trends.
Key Levels:
Entry Price: 44,273.91
Stop Loss (SL): 44,673.77
Take Profits:
TP1: 43,779.69
TP2: 42,979.98
TP3: 42,180.27
TP4: 41,686.05
Market Sentiment:
The trade reflects bearish momentum, supported by broader market conditions indicating reduced risk appetite. The Dow Jones continues to exhibit a descending trendline and weaker market confidence.
The Risological Indicator identified precise entry, stop loss, and take-profit levels, enabling a disciplined and profitable trade execution. With three targets already achieved, the setup remains poised to capture further downside momentum.