Value buying opportunity S&P has completed a perfect 50% correction of the 2020 crash.
Currently as explained in charts. The best point to buy is 3897 - 3860 for target upto 4200. Sl will be 3850.
For any query contact me.
Dowjonesindustrial
DJI re-testing previous resistanceWhile DXY is falling to previous support DJI has broken above the falling pennant pattern. We should expect it to re-test last resistance to form a lower high and continue lower from there once the DXY finds support. See my idea on the DXY
DOW JONES BOTTOM OCTOBER 2022in 1988 one bottom have created, and in 1990 2 years later this created new dow jones new bottom on october.
in 2020 one bottom have created, and in 2022 2 years later created new dow jones bottom on ( october?????)?????.
probabily long years.
Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.25% which declined from 3.45% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 55th percentile, and according to VXD we are on 30th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a stable market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 20.7% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 33385
BOT: 31160
This can also be translated as a 79.3% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
35% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 33100
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 31700
US30 Weekly Analysis 7/11/2022 to 11/11/2022Price currently moving in an uptrend in LTF while making another swing inside a HTF Downtrend channel. And the price aslo has a resistance at 33039 & support at 31846. now if price closes below the support, then it would make a breakout of the uptrend & price might continue pushing down for another swing low respecting the HTF downtrend channel to come down to the next key levels at 31110 or 30447.
However if we see price closing above the resistance, then it could make a breakout of the HTF downtrend channel to continue pushing up to retest the next major resistance at 34200.
Down Goes The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI)Today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1M linear scale chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI).
In the chart, I added in the Keltner Channel (KC), RSI and MACD as well as review the Great Recession history to get an idea of where the DJI is headed. It seems that the DJI has been moving up an ARC with a possibility to come down and touch it again. It is currently inside a descending channel with the DJI about to touch the median line of the Keltner Channel. Based on the KC median line history, there may be a strong chance DJI price gets rejected. If DJI price falls as much as it did during the Great Recession, it could come down to the $18K level where there is strong support. The RSI and MACD could support that type of drop as both of them are no where near the oversold region. If the DJI price goes above the KC median line, there is a stronger chance to see the price go to $33K-$34K.
This is presented on the monthly chart so please have patience.
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Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #millionaireeconomics
US30 3/11/2022the price after strong bearish run and a HTF bearish engulfing candle close, formed a small structure with some ranging on small TF by facing support at 32041 & resistance at 32234.
Now if price makes a break & closes below the recent support in atleast 30m-1hr TF then price might continue its bearish run towards next support at 31719 or all the way to 31193.
However if we see price closing above the recent resistance, then it might continue pushing up towards the HTF Resistance at 32371.
US30 2/11/2022Price after a retest on HTF resistance, its currently on the pre stage of forming a build up or ranging phase. So wait for the price create more highs & lows forming a proper support and resistance in that ranging phase. After such structure is formed, then we can look for trades on the breakout of such structure anticipating if price could continue moving bullish in that uptred or make a breakout of that uptrend to continue pushing bearish on a higher timeframe point of view.
DOWJONESDowjones made double bottom pattern 0n an hourly chart & confirmed it by breaking/trading above 30454 which happens to previous swing high.
If everything(russia-ukrain & china-taiwan) goes well & dowjone break/trade/close above 31021 level then it ll xplode & get ready for one way rally of 32500 in 5-6 trading sessions.
US30 Next Week's AnalysisUS30 currently retesting the HTF downtrendline on a major key level with multiple retests at 33039 which could act as a resistance for the price. And US30 also has a support with multiple major retests at 32212 where price might also come to make some small pullbacks.
So if price closes above the resistance, then we can look for long trades & if price closes below the support then we can look for short trades as shown in the chart.
US30 weekly analysis. October month was extremely bullish. In-fact, it was the single most bullish month is all of US30.. at 4350 pips!... Successfully taking out Septembers highs just last week. It could possibly make a reversal this week or continue to take out Augusts highs as well since that's only about 600 pips away. Will watch Monday and see how it plays out. probably will push to take out August high and then reverse on Friday for NFP.
US30 28/10/2022The price currently moving in an uptrend channel while its also facing support at 31851 & resistance at 32125. Now a breakout of the support could mean a breakout of the uptrend channel. so if price continue to respect the resistance & closes below the support on a 30m TF atleast, then it could continue pushing down to the next support zone at 31612.
Similarly if price respects the support & closes above the resistance then it could continue pushing up to the previous high at 32307.
Dow Jones ( DJI ) Next MoveDOW JONES INDUSTRAIL AVERAGE ( DJI )
Time Frame - H1
We have ELLIOT IMPULSIVE WAVE ( Bearish ) in Long Time Frame #LTF
Completed " 123 " Wave and Forming " 4th " Impulsive wave will Reject from Fibonacci Level ( 50% - 61.80% )
BULLISH CHANNEL Pattern in Short Time Frame #STF need Rejection from the Upper Trend Line #UTL
ELLIOT TRIPLE WAVE COMBO in Short Time Frame #STF and completed the " Y " Wave
Sell After Rejection from the Demand Zone ( 31908 - 32176 )
Dow Jones Analyze( Road Map/Scenarios)!!!🗺️Dow Jones Industrial Average Index technical analysis (DJI) moved as I expected it 👇✅.
DJI was pushed back from the resistance zone & SMA 20 (monthly TF) as I expected.
Now, we have Two Scenarios here:
Scenario 1: DJI will make the Expanding Leading Diagonal.
Scenario 2: DJI has passed the corrective waves by Double Zigzag Correction, and We have to wait for breaking the Resistance Zone by DJI (Low Possible).
❗️ Note ❗️: If DJI touches 31885$ , we can verify the first scenario.
Dow Jones Analyze (DJIUSD), Timeframe Daily⏰( Log Scale )
🔴Resistance zone: 33700$ until 33260$
🟢Heavy Support Zone: 31260$ until 29680$
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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US30 20/10/2022US30 currently ranging in between 30793 as its resistance & 30266 as its support while also retesting a HTF downtrendline. Now a breakout of the ranging Phase might determine whether US30 will continue moving down in respect to the downtrendline or make a breakout of the trendline to continue pushing up.
So if the price makes a break & close below the Support zone of the ranging phase, atleast on 1HR TF, then we can start to look for trades on the short side in short TF like 15 to 30 MIN TF in hopes of price continue to push down in respect to the downtrendline to retest the next support level at 29620.
However if price respects the support of the ranging phase & closes above the resistance, then it would be a breakout of the downtrendline & we can look for trades on the long side expecting price to continue pushing up all the way to retest the next HTF key zone at 31660.
Dow Jones: Bar ExercisesOur athletic Dow Jones! After it has hopped from line to line, all the while finishing not only the overarching downwards movement in the course of wave iv in magenta but also waves (i) and (ii) in blue, the index has continued its fitness training with some bar exercises at the resistance line at 30513 points. We expect it to upswing from this mark, rising into the blue zone between 32567 and 33685 points to complete wave (iii) in blue, before starting a countermovement. However, there is a 45% chance that Dow Jones could lose its grip and drop below the support at 29640 points, thus triggering further descent below the next mark at 28635 points.
DOWJONES this week?!We saw on Thursday the market broke the structure and on Friday went for a retracement so I think we have a nice buy entry between 29400 - 29100 price it might go lower than that for stop loss hunt aka sell side liquidity smart money is Going to fill their bags at 30900-31200 levels.
US30 Analysis and Trade IdeaCPI Data on Thursday will clear things up.
A hot inflation report will bring the market tumbling down.
The FED is signaling they will continue their hawkishness... so the USD will remain bullish . A cooler CPI report may get them to consider an adjustment
to their data driven decision making.
We'll see.
Expect some sideways action until Thurs.
I am looking for sell setups, as this is the prevailing trend, personally. Waiting until news day to enter this market is best, imo.
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Will Dow Jones fall to 27k this year?My outlook for the stock markets this year is bearish and, in fact, I have expected a fall for around 6 months now. Although it didn't happen, YET, let's try to see the bigger picture and understand what's happening.
For the past 9 months, Dow30 was trading in a range. You may argue that we have higher highs in place, but this, in my opinion, is window dressing. In fact, Dow was trading at an average of 35500. Yes, indeed, 34k support held for 6 times, but recoveries after touching it are anemic, highs are marginal and this support held not because there was much buying power there, just lack of selling by big players.
My true opinion is that in this past 9 months we have had a large distribution, when " they" are done distributing is hard to say though...
In conclusion, I expect a drop for Dow (and indices in general) this year, and my target is 27k
Dow Jones Industrial Average relative strength on the riseThe overall US equity market is still having a hard time stabilizing and catching its footing, however, if we examine the major US indices closer we do notice more and more relative strength coming out of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
This past week it never took out its September lows, the MACD momentum oscillator continues to climb aggressively, and on Friday we remained in the top 1/3 of Thursday's bullish engulfing bar.
I started a position on Thursday and will keep a tight leash risk managing it going forward. More notes on the chart.
Dow Looking Week On The Chart Follow Lower Low PatternDow Jones Industrial Average Index View Spot Cmp - 29941
Dow Looking Week On The Chart Follow Lower Low Pattern In The Chart
Important Levels
Above 30572 Go Long For Target 32000 ++
Below 30428 Go Short For Target 28000 ++
US30 (HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETP SOON)On Tuesday, U.S. indices closed in greens for the second consecutive session as Treasury Yields fell & investors grow hopeful that the Feds will decrease its aggressive tightening policy amidst jobs data, US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) rose 825.43pts (2.8%) to 30316, we believe the UPTREND move will be resuming this coming days & weeks due to the November 08/2022, midterm elections in the U.S.
At the mean time, Here we can see clearly the next move for US30 in H1 time frame, we have our EP & our TP, keep a close eye US30, happy pip hunting traders.
DJI - God Help Us All... Welcome to the Great depression 2022 Dow Jones industrial average index has lost its February 2020 support. As this support did not hold i am convinced that the oldest US index has begun the great depression, not recession but depression. You can already see what fiat pairs with the USD are doing.
The run up was just phenomenal to say the least. We've been essentially parabolic since 2009, with the total run up since 1987 flash crash. Since then economy was on steroids.
The first sign of realism came with the dot.com bubble. It was especially hard on the S&P 500 index which lost more than 80% back then. Then came 2008 financial crisis which was seen predominant in the DJI. After that it was just up up up, sideways and up.
Covid dump just showed how laveraged this market is and sparked asset inflation on steroids. .... NOW ... Will see what happens.
DJI could still drop by 1k points, but not much lower for now as it is expected to go into a retracement first, if it doesn't go already. This retracement could drag out for year or two before continuation down. Where you might think?... below 2008 bottom is quite realistic, but for that it can take 10-30 years to play out. Again its a depression not recession, remember that. We are clearly not dropping like in the 1929-1932, therefore i think we will bleed slower.
Aftermath could be ... who knows... 20-30% of people out of job.... in 1930s there were around 25-30% of them on the streets.
During DJI retracement there could still be a rotation in the stock and crypto market, with little projects reaching new ATHs, but still lets not expect to much, and rather realize that the US economy has POPPED.
DISCLAMER:
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well.
TVC:DJI
