DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 08/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing a potential WXY corrective structure.
Dowjonesindustrial
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 05/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing an ending impulse. The high could hold or alternatively, we might see a fifth wave to end the impulsive structure.
DJI Dow Jones Fell 8.60% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeOn Tuesday, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns over "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred in the wake of last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to secure a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
Following a similar credit downgrade in the past, the DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced an 8.60% decline over a period of 3 months. The downgrade by S&P, one of the three major credit rating firms, took place on Aug. 5, 2011, after another significant debt ceiling battle.
As of today, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
If we are to fell -8.60%, the Price Target for DJI is $32500.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 04/01/2024 (+ HTF)We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing an ending impulse.
TARGET REACHED Dow Jones at 37,242 - Still bullishReverse Cup and Handle formed on Dow Jones.
The price broke up and since then has been rocketing to its first target at 37,242.
Now that it is the new year generally we can expect the January Effect to kick in with enhanced optimism and positive buying.
I don't like the USD looking to strengthen though, that might change the course.
RIght now I don't have a setup or pattern line up. SO we will just go with the momentum and trend.
Let's see if we can hit 40,000.
Market Dynamics: Large Players Enter as Price Reaches Highs
The price has been on a significant bullish rally, breaking historical highs. This suggests that the price has encountered strong buying interest, indicating the presence of buy-side liquidity. From a technical perspective, this suggests that a retracement may be imminent.
As further confirmation, on the daily chart, we can see that the price reached the liquidity of its previous high and swiftly reversed, creating a breaker pattern. If the price continues to decline, it is likely to experience a shallow retracement to prevent buyers from recovering all their losses.
Additionally, in the highlighted area, we can clearly observe a decrease in buying activity and an increase in aggressive short positions. This could be an indication of the involvement of institutional or large traders, and it's something to keep a close eye on.
Furthermore, the catalysts scheduled for tomorrow add more weight to the possibility of a correction. In my experience, this type of price action often occurs before significant market-moving events. A significant correction is highly probable.
For setting stop-loss (SL) levels, I've shared both aggressive and conservative ideas. I've also provided take-profit (TP) levels based on Fibonacci retracement levels at -272 and -618, with the last one indicated by the white line on the chart.
Please note that trading involves risks, and it's essential to use proper risk management techniques and consider your own trading strategy and risk tolerance when making trading decisions. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 15/12/2023We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong and we start to see 5 waves. It becomes less likely that the upward move is corrective. In case the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat.
GENERAL MARKET INDICES REACT POSITIVLY TO FOMCFOMC DAY
All Major Market Indices initially making progress higher and reacting positively to the the FOMC meeting. Whilst these are monthly charts I'm sharing the prices are updated as of moments ago.
Main comments from Powell Today:
🔸TODAY AT FED MEETING MANY PEOPLE MENTIONED THEIR RATE FORECASTS
🔸THERE WAS A GENERAL EXPECTATION THAT RATE CUTS WILL BE A TOPIC OF CONVERSATION GOING FORWARD
🔸LITTLE BASIS FOR THINKING ECONOMY IN RECESSION NOW
🔸ALWAYS A PROBABILITY THERE IS A RECESSION IN NEXT YEAR
The Charts
What originally looked like a series of double tops now appear to be showing significant strength. The top 3 charts have a habit of letting us know where the market is going. At present that appears to be higher albeit the Dow Transportation Index is still lagging a little (Chart 1) and technically one would think this would be leading all others.
We should still be on watch for a throw over double top, but for now we have nothing to suggest this is the case.
If these markets can make support on the red line this could be good solid confirmation signal of price moving higher for longer 😉
Stay Nimble and congrats if your in the green
PUKA
PUKA
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 06/12/2023We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong but so far we are only seeing three waves. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the upward move is corrective. As long as the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat. If we start to turn down from the current area without making 5 waves up, we will favor the expanded flat scenario.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 05/12/2023We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong but so far we are only seeing three waves. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the upward move is corrective. As long as the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat. If we start to turn down from the current area without making 5 waves up, we will favor the expanded flat scenario.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 01/12/2023 (+ HTF)We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong but so far we are only seeing three waves. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the upward move is corrective. As long as the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat. If we start to turn down from the current area without making 5 waves up, we will favor the expanded flat scenario.
DOW JONES - Resistance Becomes Support 📈Hi Traders !
The US30 Price Broke The Resistance Level (34850.00 - 35096.70).
This Resistance Level Becomes a New Support Level.
Currently,
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure !
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement !
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TARGET: 35450.00🎯
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 23/11/2023We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios. If we start to turn down from the current area, we will favor the bearish scenario in the higher time frame.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 17/11/2023 We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios. If we start to turn down from the current area, we will favor the bearish scenario in the higher time frame.
Dow Jones - Important Breakout 📈Hello Traders !
On Wednesday 4 Oct, The Dow Jones Price Reached A Strong Support Level (32578.50 - 32855.30).
The Resistance Level (34145.38 - 33968.84) is Broken and Becomes a New Support Level.
The Resistance Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 34850.00🎯
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 14/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios.
US30 IMPORTANT DECISION Hello traders it looks like its make or break time for us30
the price is on a very sensitive zone A Major key level + a falling trendline.
however it looks to me that the buyers are still keeping strength on the market it is very likely and possible we can see a breakout and a further continuation to the upwards just like the nasdaq100
but the possibility of a rejection and down is still there.
id say its 65 percent probability it goes up and 35 percent it goes down.
the global direction is still unclear no confirmation was shown i will update you guys if i see anything.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 08/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios.