Down Goes The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI)Today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1M linear scale chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI).
In the chart, I added in the Keltner Channel (KC), RSI and MACD as well as review the Great Recession history to get an idea of where the DJI is headed. It seems that the DJI has been moving up an ARC with a possibility to come down and touch it again. It is currently inside a descending channel with the DJI about to touch the median line of the Keltner Channel. Based on the KC median line history, there may be a strong chance DJI price gets rejected. If DJI price falls as much as it did during the Great Recession, it could come down to the $18K level where there is strong support. The RSI and MACD could support that type of drop as both of them are no where near the oversold region. If the DJI price goes above the KC median line, there is a stronger chance to see the price go to $33K-$34K.
This is presented on the monthly chart so please have patience.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #millionaireeconomics
Dowjonesindustrialaverageindex
US30 (High Probability SELL Setup Soon)Here we can see clearly the next move for US30,
* Prices have continued the bullish move higher & resulted in 3 consecutive positive days.
* This has resulted in signals for sentiment being at overbought extremes & we look for a move to the downside.
* A lower correction is expected.
* A break of 31690 bis needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
* We got our EP (blue line) & our TP's (golden lines).
* Keep a close eye on US30 today,
* Happy pip hunting traders
US30 (HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON) Here is a new update from our previous post on (US30 High Probability Sell Setup) on Friday Oct 20 / 2022, which didn't take place on that day or yesterday as investors this week remain laser focused on earnings from the biggest technology companies for further clues into the health of the U.S. economy, with the CB Consumer Confidence Index is released today at 3:00 pm (+01:00,BST), while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is struggling for a certain direction since yesterday, but here we can see clearly in our H1 time frame a clear divergence from the actual price action on the chart, we still got our EP (blue line) & our TP (golden line) from our previous post on October 20 / 2022,
Keep a close eye on US30 today,
Happy pip hunting traders.
Dow Jones: Bar ExercisesOur athletic Dow Jones! After it has hopped from line to line, all the while finishing not only the overarching downwards movement in the course of wave iv in magenta but also waves (i) and (ii) in blue, the index has continued its fitness training with some bar exercises at the resistance line at 30513 points. We expect it to upswing from this mark, rising into the blue zone between 32567 and 33685 points to complete wave (iii) in blue, before starting a countermovement. However, there is a 45% chance that Dow Jones could lose its grip and drop below the support at 29640 points, thus triggering further descent below the next mark at 28635 points.
US30 (High Probability Buy Setup Soon)Here we can see clearly Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is forming the perfect ( H&S) Reversal Pattern, we're using 15M time frame for a clearer view of our analysis, so we can't predict which time frame for our Setup to Happen, Keep a close eye on US30 today, happy pip hunting traders.
Dow Jones: Wow Jones 😯Wow – sorry – Dow Jones has impressed us with some really fresh moves! It has virtually jumped upwards and thus has already come quite close to the upper orange zone between 33714 and 34565 points, where it should soon finish wave iii in orange. After completing a countermovement into the lower orange zone between 32863 and 31912 points, Dow Jones should continue to dow – sorry – wow us with more upwards action. To achieve this, though, it shouldn’t drop below the support at 31867 points.
DJI - longterm Pitchfork Pattern is still valid since July 1932With all this talk about another great depression like stock market crash happening in the very near future, i thought i’d join the fun and take a look and analyse the DJI Monthly Chart.
Using an extended Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), we can clearly see that the DJI has been in an Upwards Pitchfork Pattern since the Month of the 1st July 1932.
Chart wise, you can see The Wall Street Crash of 1929 which started the Month of the 2nd September 1929 and ended the Month of the 1st July 1932. History says the crash ended on 13th Nov 1929 but chart wise it didn’t, because the bottom turned out to be around $40 on the 1st July 1932 not $195 on the 13th Nov 1929.
Chart wise, the 2020 Covid-19 crash started in the Month of 2nd Jan 2020 with what’s looks like a Monthly Shooting Star Candle which then lead to 2 more Bearish Monthly Candles. The Candle from the Month of 2nd March wicked all the way down to the depths of hell & found strong support from its Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line, the price then managed to close back above its Upper Light Green Pitchfork Support Line.
Note that the last time the DJI closed a Monthly Candle below its Pitchfork Median Line was the Month of the 2nd Feb 2009. The Price eventually made it its way back ABOVE its Pitchfork Median Line on the month of the 1st April 2009.
At the moment, DJI has found strong resistance from its Upper Light Blue Pitchfork Resistance Line. What is interesting is that this Pitchfork Resistance Line served as strong resistance from the Month of the 3rd May 1999 - 3rd Jan 2000, note that the DJI failed to close a Monthly candle above this level and has not closed a Monthly candle above this Pitchfork Resistance Line since the Month of the 2nd Sept 1929.
If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is curving downwards and if it crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a potential sell signal on this 1 Month timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line since the Month of 1st Sept 2010.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum has weakened on this 1 Month timeframe with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 23.82 and Negative Momentum has risen with the -DI (Red Line) at 14.94. Note that the Trend Strength is sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 21.93 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 21.05. If the -DI (Red Line) ever crosses back ABOVE the +DI (Green Line) then that would mean that Negative Momentum has become DOMINANT over Positive Momentum on this 1 Month timeframe.
If we look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped out of the Overbought Zone at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is also below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of weakness for Positive Momentum on this 1 Month timeframe.
Note that we also have DIVERGANCE with the Price and the RSI on this 1 Month timeframe.
The Wall Street Crash of 1929 dropped to around -89%. A drop of -89% from the price level at the moment would take DJI Price to around $3,800.
The Covid-19 Crash of 2020 dropped to around -38%. A drop of -38% from the price level at the moment would take the DJI Price to around $21,550.
Here is a closer look at this 1 Month chart.
Note that if DJI does drop massively again then it has potentially 4 Pitchfork Support Levels to support it before it reaches the Pitchfork Median Line.
Note that the Upper Dark Green Pitchfork Support Line will be a crucial level to watch as it has acted as support & resistance on multiple occasions over the last 121 years.
I hope this post has been helpful with your trading ;-)
On a funny note, some may wonder whether or not the 1929 crash happened to mark the conception of a certain individual called Warren Buffett ;-)
US30 15M IDEA NEW IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR SHORT TERM TRADEUS30 15M IDEA NEW IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR SHORT TERM TRADE
US30 IDEA NEW IMPORTANT LEVELS 4H DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGEUS30 IDEA NEW IMPORTANT LEVELS 4H DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE
US30 Moving back into CHANNEL 4H DOWJONES INDUSTRIAL INDEX DOWUS30 Moving back into CHANNEL 4H DOWJONES INDUSTRIAL INDEX DOW
US30 REBOUND EXPECTED AS PER NEW CHANNEL 4h DOWJONES INDUSTRIALUS30 REBOUND EXPECTED AS PER NEW CHANNEL 4h DOWJONES INDUSTRIAL
US30 Dow Jones Industrial Average Weekly support resistanceUS30 Dow Jones Industrial Average Weekly support resistance
US30 INTRADAY TRENDLINE 15MIN CHART - Range bound #DOW #DOWJONESUS30 INTRADAY TRENDLINE 15MIN CHART - #DOW #DOWJONES
Disturbing Dow Forecast. YM could hit tubulance.Well, the Dow tracks transports right? Well not that many people are transporting things haha. This fractal was taken as a "bars pattern" of the first leg down. The 3 levels I choose are important levels where price will go to if we have a dump similar to the size of the last. How do I know that? The fractal taken was not modified at all and when attached to current price it hits my targets dead on. When using the fib based retracement/ projection tool, to make all the confluence even nuttier- I seem to have found a pivot at 1.00 that is so close to the other mentioned areas of interest it is just creepy. I hope this is not the case, but if it looks like it is- Here is a HTF long term roadmap you can use. Oh and including the second leg peak to trough is 50%....
Just Hoping for the best- Planning on the worst.
Please like, comment, share, and ask questions guys. I promise I will get back to you in detail.
....If it is the right question.....
The above is not financial advise and should not be acted upon because I was with Lucy meeting up with Kitty having fun in time tunnels when I made this. (Seriously)
One Love.