DJI Running on hopium of a new VaccineDouble top on the Dow, has failed thus far to reach the 61.8 retracement level in hopes of the market making a recovery, According to the wall street cheat sheet id say we are between the "Complacency and the Anxiety" stage, Its just a dead cat bounce IMO, Although some restrictions are slowly easing in some country's, the world is in turmoil, the recession as we know it we are only at the tip of the ice berg, Sell-offs that we have seen in March will make the next wave look like a hiccup, The Dow is running on hopes of a Corona Vaccine that will hopefully make the world into a better place again and things will go back to normal, The vaccine is still in testing stages which could make it 12+ months until its ready to go. This recession will make "The Great Depression" look like a speed-hump, Just wait until the Q2 data comes out, There will be millions more that have filled for unemployment. Oh no thats ok tho, The fed have the money printers working over time, = Inflation, watch global currencies die out
"We are in a recession and there is a global pandemic happening at the same time" The world is not going back to normal anytime soon.
Dowjonesshort
DOW JONES - Say Good-Bye to the Good Times - Short at WillThe Dow Jones is about to embark on a journey down the rabbit hole.
No new high made because this is Wave 2.
All I can say is that its going to be a rough ride for many.
Hasta La Vista
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#DJI.. SELL IN MAY AND RUN AWAY!.. I think that there will be a long-term correction wave in the global markets on a macro scale, and it is getting closer.. Markets will become very interesting in the coming years, we will wait and see..
For DJI, the structure I expressed in the chart is very important and should be watched carefully.. I firmly believe that, we will observe wedge pattern in the chart of many markets in the big correction wave..
What I wrote is about strong possibilities that most investors and analysts do not express or expect.. Please do your own due diligence when it comes to trading.. Invest at your own risk..
I wish you all the best..
SDOWI noticed a few things happening in the markets.
1. The DJIA has dropped from 29k all the way down to 18k in couple days.
2. SDOW has hit record lows while DJIA puts in lower Highs
3. VIX is still above 30 and has been above 60 during this crash.
The market is pumped up by all these stimulus packages the Don keeps creating, but is still struggling to get back above 25k, while the SDOW is priced as if the DJIA is above ATH's on the DJIA, mix this with the large div between the VIX & SDOW got me thinking when the market crashes (when I said) SDOW will need to play catch up, even if the crash is not as bad % wise as the most recent crash. I am looking for $24 to enter but may close all my longs and enter soon, depends on how the market reacts today. We could stay flat today then open on Monday for 1 last pump to 26-27k next week or we could just start crashing B4 this. So I am monitoring all this as we speak.
My Outlook On The DOW (DJI)Ascending wedge break to the right of long term upward support with highs being hit at 24150 key area of Resistance to test for an attempt at an upward breakout.
23000 is support area for the current range.
Weekly crossover for bullish shift and the ema dots are firing green.
But, keep in mind that we don't have a close on the weekly till may 4th.
Overall the weekly is in development and trying to recover from the crash.
We want to watch the open and see if it can push through 24150 with good volume pushing on the books.
Currently the one hour is green. If I get a Crossover on the 1 hr to the downside from rejection I'd than look for a 24000 break for a short to test 23000
If breaks to the upside your going to want to see it push towards the old wedge support and see if it rejects as new Resistance. That would be a good place to take profits.
We need to keep in mind that the monthly and the 3 month are overall bear pressure.
We now scout the weekly to try and find a good long term position to enter here, but it results in if we want to make higher highs or lower lows on the smaller timeframes
We still have to be conservative with the higher timeframes.
If this ranges breaks down than it could be a Distribution play and could result in a good size drop.
I hope this helps, I wish you all the best of luck trading this week!
Have a blessed day. 😁
Dow Jones - US30 Short Trade IdeaPrice has retraced to 50% Fib level and previous broken structure. Watching Price action for sell setup on 4hr.
If this gives away the next stop for sell is at 61.8% Fib and confluence of multiple support and resistance.
Fundamentally it's a bear market and considering all the companies are literally closed for business and some of them already out of business, the next move is only to the down side.
US30 / DOW JONES - BEAR TRAP!On a technical basis, we believe this short term bull rally is a massive bear trap. Price has reached key level 24000 resistance. This area has acted as major support on the daily/weekly/monthly time frames.
Feds are pumping money into the markets causing strong optimism, but will this cure this down fall?
If we have major negative catalyst, we can expect price to break below our trend line to bring price to the down side to 21000
Daytraders, Are You Ready? (DJI)Symbol: DJI
This post is for all the day trading junkies out there. I am showing the 30 min time frame with a cross over to the downside. If I double that timeframe and go to the hourly, I'm at a tipping point in thr market. We would enter to short till 30 min and hourly line up to go back to the upside. We are putting our money on red. We will watch closely on the market open . If we see a change in our indicator and strategy than we will have to play break to top. But, for the most part we are short here.
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Dow Jones now at 20941, Long Term Target is below 10000Long Term Dow Jones Industrial Average target is below 10,000
This is not a forecast I want to make, but this is what my longer term analysis shows. I hope the forecast does not come true but this is what my analysis shows, which is based on multiple time frame analysis of volatility and momentum.
Best strategy according to this analysis is to look for sell signals after every strong rally loses momentum, unless and until this high probability pattern is invalidated.
If You're Feeling The Pain, Here Comes Your Chance To Exit!The DOW is finally moving into it's dead cat bounce after losing nearly 40% from it's ATH .
My peak is conservative, so don't be surprised if we go ~1200 points above it before we enter the long term bear trend.
Incidentally, if my timeframe is accurate, this rise and fall will line up well with the 'end' of the lockdown followed by the horrifying realization that two weeks was not long enough as New York's hospitals become overwhelmed and the US mortality rate begins to more closely resemble that of Italy & Spain.
This revelation will likely strike the markets first and lead into another (HOPEFULLY LONGER) lockdown.
DOW sparks will flyCatalysts for bull runs have been seen including symmetrical triangles, and three clear bullish divergences. A broadening wedge within a broadening wedge is present, these 52% of the time (according to bulkowski's chart patterns) result in a breakout downwards. Most often this chart pattern is found in bull markets. A clear cut case is the DOW. Going off purely TA a breakdown is likely from these high levels back towards the mean of the wedge , possibly even forming a symmetrical triangle or a falling wedge within the wedge to hold it. Monthly chart. If you are looking to buy, entering is fine as long as you are prepared for downsides and want to go long, as you can see the chart is clearly bullish .
DowJ Looking to fall Dec. 31 2019 and bounce starting 2020DowJones is aiming u to fall roughly 250 points Dec. 31 2019, before the new year. Volatility Index (VIX) is screaming for new highs, sending the bears to eat up, and giving the bulls for room to take profit. Expect a bounce at previous support from the 28200 level and potential breakthrough of that 28200 level.