Nice Short From Resistance LevelA simple trade;
Met with daily resistance from the channel's resistance line. The candlesticks are being more than generous this time by showing their act.
A good short, increase the stop loss a little more if you want to be more conservative, avoid any RR below 5.
Don't go for the take profit near the support channel line because the price can bounce back to a supply zone from the white rectangle as the demand is strong there.
Avoid risking more than 0.5% on the trade, apply a good risk management rule.
I will try my best to increase our capital by 10% per week.
Let's see how it goes.
Downmove
BTC | Bearish SignalSeems like a Bearish Flag pattern on the horizon. Let's consider the situation.
There are several signs on the Chart telling us that we are going to drop, but market can keep a special surprise for you, and you have to keep that in mind.
Start with first signal which is a Bearish Flag pattern, this signal can work because now is a perfect environment for it, as I wrote in my previos idea we are facing a Mid Term downtrend ( one exception: Retracement from the level we have on current is able to change this environment. But chances are reducing because time is going and we are not seeing any actions to the Upward ).
Ichi Cloud indicator looks bearish too. Price is below the Cloud which means the trend is down, I think it is an obvious thing even without this indicator. But this indicator also shows us that this trend is strengthened . With this indicator the trend may be considered as strengthened when the bottom of the Cloud moving down ( in the same direction as the price ).
As an example you can take a look on the period of Growth and see how the Cloud worked. ( I marked this moment with blue arrows )
Moving averages :
65 Moving Average suits to this conditions the most, you can see that this line served as a Dynamic resistance in the past. On this Chart this line has two functions:
First : it can continue to serve as a Dynamic support in case we fall
Second : it can save us from losses in case the Price will choose another direction, by crossing with 25 MA .
( If there is a crossove r between these MAs we will have to estimate behavior of this two lines, because price might change the direction not for long, or two lines will move very close to each other if there won't be a volatilite. That's why we can't make a conclusion that direction will change after Crossover . It will only make a good sign that we are not falling for Short term , and it's better to wait and not initiate the trade. )
Conclusion : As I said above we have a good enviroment for this downmove to happen (please read my previous idea about the enviroment). But you should keep in mind that something can go wrong. ( as an example it can be a retracement )
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The information given is not a Financial Advise.
Shorting From RetracementGBPJPY failed to breakout from the zone making three tops that provide sufficient resistance.
Falling was accompanied by another attempt to move up, acting as retracement providing additional space to continue move further down.
Weekly chart provide sign of piercing through lower structure - potential to further down move.
Cumulatively nice opportunity to ride one more move down to the nearest structure approved by potential trend reversal and weekly timeframe confirmation.
BVSP - Gartley PatternFor our brazilian friends out there in the market.
Bovespa stocks market has just completed a Cypher Pattern on a daily chart. It is also possible to see a double top before it started the movement down.
This might give us a signal that this market will retrace back into 382 Fib retracement (confluence with X point which is previous resistance level) and maybe further down 618 Fib retracement (confluence with B point which is previous resistance level).
MACRO VIEW: S&P500 REESTABLISHES DOWNWARD RISKIN OUR PREVIOUS IDEA ON SNP WE STATED THAT THE INDEX CANCELLED DOWNWARD RISK, AS IT TRADED ABOVE 1ST STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM 1-YEAR AND QUARTERLY MEAN AT ABOUT 197
HOWEVER, MARKET PROVED US WRONG!
PRICE HAS FALLEN BACK BELOW THE KEY LEVELS, THUS IS NOW OPEN TO MORE DOWNSIDE
AT THIS STAGE WE CAN ONLY CONCLUDE THAT THE TRUE CANCELLATION OF DOWNWARD RISK WILL BE ONLY TRIGGERED BY PRICE TRADING ABOVE 1-YEAR AND QUARTERLY MEANS, NOW CONVERGED TOO AT 205