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Downtrend

NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart. If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal. From a quantitative perspective: If we calculate the raw historical success rate using: Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90% In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using: Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83% Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior. Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
5
BNB Ascending Channel (1W)BINANCE:BNBUSDT remains within an ascending channel dating back to January 2024, with multiple strong reactions at both boundaries. After testing the upper boundary and hitting a new ATH last December, it entered a clear downtrend (orange trendline) that led to multiple attempts at the channel's support. Price action is now getting compressed, and we could see a breakout soon. Key Levels • To the upside, the main resistance remains ~$700 area. • Above that, CRYPTOCAP:BNB could have a shot at a new ATH and potentially the channel's upper boundary in the ~$900 area. • To the downside, in case of a channel breakdown, $400 seems the first logical support (important S/R for previous swings). Still very uncertain and in a No-Trade Zone until a breakout is confirmed.
by AliferCrypto
STX Downtrend Breakout + 2x Bull RSI Divergences (1D)BINANCE:STXUSDT broke out of its downtrend after printing two Bull RSI Divergences in a row, and retesting a demand zone dating back to 2019. Key Levels to Watch • $0.45: Main Demand Zone, relevant since 2019. A break below it would invalidate the setup. • $1.20: Arguably the most important S/R throughout STX's history, in place since March 2021 and potentially a strong resistance, also currently reinforced by the 200-day EMA. If reclaimed, it would most likely shift the bias to bullish. • $2.70-$3.00: Main Supply Zone to overcome for new ATHs, dating back to April 2021. Definitely worth taking a look at the chart on the monthly timeframe as well, to grasp the full significance of these levels. All things considered, this seems a high-conviction trade, with a clean invalidation and a very good R/R.
Long
by AliferCrypto
Is gold currently in a bullish or bearish trend?We’ve seen gold surge significantly during times of uncertainty. The problem is, when we look back at the 2008 financial crisis, we notice a similarly exponential rise, which was followed by a 45% correction after reaching its peak. Based on a current price of $3,400, a correction down to $1,800 is possible. This means it’s very realistic that gold could spike again sharply—especially if Powell ends up being fired—and then, once things start to calm down again, we could see a major correction of at least 45%.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by larsnicog
IM BEARISH ON NVIDIA WITH A TARGET OF $55.00. HERE IS WHY:NVIDIA (NVDA) Known for their GPUs, recently has experienced a decline in asset price. Trump tariff's may have been a bearish news catalyst, but do the technicals show a bigger bearish picture? 1 Day chart: While the RSI recently signaled oversold conditions, the RSI line looks to be crossing down the RSI based moving average. Furthermore the 200 Day EMA and 65 Day EMAs appear to be forming a death cross. DMI is still indicating bearish, and the ADX is still above 20. With recent political news, the tech company has been working on bolstering their U.S based production. But with inflation cooling (6 month low) , I believe many high performing blue chip stocks may see a dip as traders and institutions price in deflation, new news and political events. My opinion on a target is $55.00 , and there is significant open interest on long puts for this price that are expiring in the coming months. Will NVIDIA pull out of this downtrend? Or will it become a great value buy for investors? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
Dow Jones Update: Downside Pressure PersistsI currently estimate that the Dow Jones is in the early stage of wave B of wave (B), as indicated by the black label. This suggests that the index may continue its correction, potentially testing the 38,200–39,186 area before rebounding to challenge the resistance zone around 40,791 and possibly filling the gap between 41,173 and 41,629. However, under the more bearish scenario (red label), the selling pressure on the Dow Jones remains significant, which may result in the formation of wave , leading to a deeper correction below the 36,611 level.
TVC:DJI
by herdityawicaksana
2
DXY – Key Level Broken, More Downside Ahead?Hello Folks , Long time no see . The US Dollar Index (DXY) just broke below 106.5, and things are getting interesting. The trend has been weakening, and price is now sitting at a crucial zone. 📌 Here’s what I’m watching: 107.66 is the big resistance. If price can reclaim it, bulls might have a chance. 105.48 & 104.46 are the next major support levels. 👀 My Take: If we stay below 106.5, I expect more downside towards 105.4 and maybe 103.3. If price bounces and reclaims 107, I’ll reconsider. What’s your view? More downside or a bounce coming? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥 🚨 Disclaimer: Just sharing ideas here—this isn’t a trade advice . Everyone sees the market differently, and the goal is to improve our analysis, not tell anyone what to do. At the end of the day, your trades are your call, your responsibility. Trade smart! 🚀📊
TVC:DXYShort
by QuantumFusion
1
XOM - Bearish in 4 months more DOWNTREND The price of XOM has gone too far with the MA200. It will have to return to the MA200 as soon as possible if it does not want to crash. Let's take a look at its price on the WEEK frame. MA50 and MACD support bearish. On the DAY frame, the volume decreased, the price movement was low, the candles were very weak. The possibility of continuing the downtrend is very high. Price target up: $105.94. Price now: $104.56 (11:15 AM, 04.16.25). Price target down: $98.00/ $91.84. The price history will repeat itself as in Q4 2023. IMO amateur trader.
NYSE:XOMShort
by haboston
Bitcoin will continue to fall inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price entered to downward channel, where it once declined to the channel's support line, which coincided with the resistance level and seller zone. Next, the price some time traded inside this area and even little declined below, but then it turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel and made a fake breakout, after which it made a correction. Bitcoin long time traded inside seller zone and then broke 82000 level and declined to support level, which coincided with buyer zone. Then it made upward movement, after which it turned around and declined back to 75000 level. Recently, BTC bounced and started to grow, but in my mind, Bitcoin can rise a little more and then continue to decline inside a downward channel. Bitcoin will break the support level and fall to the 71800 support line of the channel, where my TP is located. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
8
HelenP. I Bitcoin may rebound from resistance zone and fall moreHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After a strong rejection from the second resistance zone between 86700 and 87900 points, Bitcoin lost its bullish momentum. The price attempted to hold within the range but failed to break above the trend line, which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance. This trend line marked the turning point once again, pushing BTC down with increased selling pressure. The price then sharply declined, breaking below the first resistance zone between 78200 and 79500, which is now acting as resistance. This level was previously tested multiple times, making it a key barrier. After breaching this zone, the price dropped even lower and reached the 77000 area, where it found temporary support and began a minor bounce. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just below the resistance zone and remains under the trend line. Sellers are still in control, and the recent bounce looks weak compared to the prior impulse down. Given the rejection from resistance, the position relative to the trend line, and continued bearish pressure, I expect BTC to resume its decline toward 70000 points, which is also my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
13