Downtrend
BTC BOTTOM 81500 ? Liquidity Hunting
BTC has been in a recent downward trend leaving traders dazed after our recent bonanza in price movement on the king crypto, alts have also made gains however we are seeing some winners emerge out of the pack.
BTC will always dominate market cycle and this continues to drive market price direction in all digital assets leaving bitcoin as our compass if you are trading. Investment is and can be unbound by btc on larger market cycles for long term hodl'rs
There is Liquidity in them there hills someone shouted as everone made there way to the PC for the Digital GoldRush, AI algos, Bots, Copy Trades, Big institutional cash injections and ETF's , it is a new day but liquidity will always be where the smart money trys to move the market on your dime.
We have overhead FVG from a 4hour, a large one that if we bounce off soft resistance at ~101,500 we may see smart money Sell into that area and if we do it seems to reason the whales are after all those unfilled orders in the 80k zone. Will we see BTC swing towards 90k - 81500? If we get movement into the bearish FVG above and cannot make new high market structure and a trend reversal we will ride this down trend into the 80's
Happy Trading
CADJPY Downtrend Analysis: Bearish Momentum ContinuesThe CADJPY remains in a strong downtrend after completing its first wave structure to the downside. The corrective wave offered no signs of a trend reversal, confirming the sellers’ dominance.
Yesterday, during the Tokyo session, a new bearish wave structure began, breaking below the first wave's momentum low. Wave 2 formed as a correction to Wave 1, creating an opportunity to look for short trades below 108.614. A break below 107.65 (momentum low) is expected, with a Fibonacci target of 61.8% as a likely end for the current wave.
Key levels to watch:
Entry: Below 108.614
Target: 107.65 and Fibonacci 61.8% level
Stop Loss: Above 109.05
Selling above 109.05 is not recommended.
Like, comment, and share your thoughts. Happy trading!
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to flat, where it some time traded between $1.0460 level and top part of flat.
Later, when price reached top part of flat again, it turned around and started to decline, and soon broke $1.0460 level.
Price exited from flat and continued to decline in falling channel, where it some time traded near resistance area first.
Next, Euro dropped to support level, after which at once bounced up to resistance line of channel and then fell back.
Also, price fell to support line of channel, but soon backed up and now trades close to $1.0260 level.
In my mind, Euro can fall to support area and then bounce up to $1.0380 support line of falling channel.
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GBP_NZD MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading in a
Local downtrend and the pair
Made a pullback and a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 2.1900 and is going down
Already so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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NZDUSD → The bearish trend may get its continuationFX:NZDUSD failed to realize the chance when the dollar went into correction. Buyers do not believe in the realization of the bullish scenario at the moment. The price continues to succumb to pressure
On the weekly timeframe the price approached the strong support level 0.5545 - 0.55. Accordingly, a reaction in the form of a small correction is possible. Small, because the dollar continues its bull run, and Trump's policy allows to keep this scenario in the medium term.
On H4, the price continues to test the support at 0.5588 and a local descending triangle is forming amid pressure from the bears. Possible retest of the channel resistance before further decline.
Resistance levels: 0.563, 0.567
Support levels: 0.5588, 0.5511
Technically, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.5588 will provoke further sales against the background of the current local and global downtrend.
Regards R. Linda!
America's 500 correct Trump inauguration and second termDonald Trump's inauguration for his second term will shake the market to adapt to his fringe trade policies. The upcoming Trump Administration already announced to impose tariffs which will advance the cause for more domestic production, but as the general cost of goods will rise, so will inflation. The first correction of the market will set S&P500 below its 200-day average. As it is unclear which role the most influential billionaire of the world, Elon Musk, will have on government policies, the market will at least frown on this uncertainty, if not react to his announcements, that "it needs to get worse before it gets better" with overall sellout.
Meanwhile, major trading counterparts in the world, namely Mexico and the EU prepared for a second term of the loathed-by-leaders protectionist. China, currently in unsettling nationwide economy cooldown, braces for upcoming conflicts with the sole remaining 20th century super-power, as the inevitable Battle for Taiwan would be the longed-for distraction and a cause to get the increasingly incredulous chinese people behind the ever-scrutinized leader Xi Jinping. The conflict will further impact the High Tech industry of the west, as despite measures to recess from dependencies with the powerful Chinese economy, certain resources and products are not yet available anywhere else. Leading analysts don't see a conflict with China happening for another 2 years, opening the chance for China's economy to recover and further depress the urge of its leading powers to find a unifying cause.
AUD-CAD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair made
A retest and the pullback
From the horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8910 so we are
Bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Downtrend if it passes my strong support trendline Look at the daily chart and peep the support trendline if it breaks that trendline look to the left on the 4hr time frame you will see a huge Fair Value Gap that has not been filled in a while and price is being a pulled to that area -
Unless you get a full closed canlde that passes that line (DO NOT TAKE THAT TRADE ) if it does be patient and wait for a complete closed candle and a resistance on a smaller time frame and look for an entry for a SELL !
Pay attention to the FAIR VALUE GAP it will help
Possible downtrend for $MSTRWe observe that NASDAQ:MSTR is breaking out of a zone that could determine the downtrend. This is also visible in the Dynamic RSI, which shows a continuous decline. Additionally, the current news for BTC is not favorable, suggesting that BTC could gradually decrease. This might mark the beginning of an Altcoin season. Since NASDAQ:MSTR holds a significant amount of BTC, this has a substantial impact on its stock price, potentially causing it to fall into the resistance zone.
DOW - TIME FOR RECOVERYTeam,
I hope you all enjoy the festive season and look forward for our trading success in 2025 with all of you
we are looking to enter LONG DOW at 42757-42472
STOP LOSS at 42385
Target at 42515-35—Once it hits the first target, take a partial 50%- 70% and bring the stop loss to the ENTRY LEVEL.
Target 2 at 42576-42609
BTC Headed to $90K? Sell NowThis isn’t my full analysis—I'm keeping that to myself for now. But what I can tell you is that Bitcoin is in a downtrend, showing a steep, short-term decline in the already ongoing downtrend. According to many indicators, BTC could drop to at least $90K. I’ve opened a short position and will share further updates about my sell strategy soon.2
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
Sell Recommendation Note for Dow Jones IndexSell sINGAL
Current Price: 44,800
Stop Loss: 45,150
Target: 43,400
Disclaimer:
This note is for study purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor and evaluate risk exposure before taking any action. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal.
US30 Short Setup: Riding the Retrace to Key Support Levels!Since the elections, traditional markets have been climbing to new highs, showcasing strong bullish momentum. However, I’m now eyeing a short opportunity on the Dow Jones (US30) as it retraces to key support zones around 44,400–44,500. This area appears to be a strong support zone, and my plan is to capitalize on the retracement for a potential long setup near the 44,000 price range.
Currently, US30 is trading below the FibCloud, suggesting room for a retrace to the 44,800 level before continuing lower. My strategy here is to profit from the retracement, then re-evaluate for a long trade based on market conditions near the support levels.
Key Levels:
• Support Zone: 44,300–44,500
• Resistance Zone: 44,800
• Take Profit: 44,440
• Stop Loss: Above 45,100
Market Outlook:
With tomorrow being a U.S. bank holiday, volume may vary significantly. I’ll closely monitor price action and market reactions for further confirmation. This trade aligns with the broader market behavior while taking advantage of shorter-term retracements.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC/USD Bitcoin bull-run peak and the next 1-2yr downtrendI haven't posted anything in a very long time so here goes:
We can clearly see that BTC/USD is still continuing to follow a Cycle Pattern of 8-Bars (8x 6 month candles) so around 1461 days of a full cycle. Note that each half cycle is between 730-731 days.
Following this pattern, technically the BTC/USD Bullrun should peak on the 6 month candle starting July 2025. This does not mean that the upcoming 6 month candle before starting 1st Jan 2025 has to be bullish, only that the next 6 month candle starting 1st July 2025 ends bullish or at least creates a new ATH within that 6 month candle.
If this pattern holds true, the 6 month candle starting 1st Jan 2026 will take us into another 1 1/2 year to 2 year long downtrend until the cycle reverse to the uptrend on the 6 month candle starting 1st July 2027. But as we can clearly see, the bottom of a downtrend can potentially be on the previous 6 month candle before the upwards Sign Wave such as we have seen previously on the 1st Jan 2015, 1st July 18 and 1st July 2022 6 month candles.
That's it.
Enjoy.
GBPJPY potential drop from the resistance levels crossingThe CHF/JPY pair is retracing towards the 172.500 resistance level following a notable decline. If the price fails to surpass this resistance and the accompanying descending trendline, which serves as a swap zone, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. The repeated testing of this level underscores its significance as a resistance area. A clear bearish signal, such as a prominent long-tailed bar, could suggest a liquidity grab above this zone, indicating increased selling pressure and a potential opportunity to enter short positions. The target for such a move would be the support zone near 170.300
DOW/US30 - HOW FAR DOES IT REACH THE CEILINGTeam, we have not been providing any trade signal since last week,
however, we did some scalping trade during the week,
but now we are looking the chart, and it is time to consider
We are shorting the DOW at 44860-44935, STOP LOSS at 45035
Target 1 at 44796-44806
target 2 at 44636-65
target 3 at 44336-52
Once the target 1 hits, take some partial and bring stop loss to BE.
DOW/US30 - WHAT SHOULD WE DO?Team, last night we successfully short the DOW/US30 - hit both target more than 300 points
Another 3 hours, we are shorting DOW/US30 again at 44186-44232 ranges
with STOP Loss at 44432
Target 1 at 44132-18 - Once the first target hit, bring STOP LOSS to BE
Target 2 at 44096-86
Target 3 at 440.32-54