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Downtrend

Downtrend Channel after the FEDCould it be that markets have been impatient? I think so. After watching yesterday's price action, I think the market gets the message now. Or do they? I need to see capitulation before I see a rally. But we're getting close. I've been thinking that the VIX needs to get to 40 or 50, and THAT would be my capitulation. So if that happened...what...we would get to 3000? 2900? I mean, it could happen in the coming weeks. Or maybe we just follow the downward trend line slowly for the rest of the year and no Santa Clause Rally? Remember the scene in the movie "The Perfect Storm" with George Clooney, where the sun starts poking in through the clouds of the hurricane, giving the fisherman a sign of hope? And then the dark storm clouds covered the sun, destroying the hopes briefly had. That's what happened yesterday. Plan for the day: I'll watch the market throughout the day to determine if I should continue to add to my short positions. The market may need a couple more days to digest yesterday. I really don't think anyone is going to want to hold anything over the weekend so if the selling continues today and tomorrow, that would not be good for the week to come. If we continue to go higher, 3970ish, 4010ish will be the area for me to watch closely. Either way, stay disciplined, be patient, trade the market in front of you. Happy Trading!
SP:SPXShort
by MMOTA_
The trend is your friend!Hi guys, This is @CRYPTOMOJO_TA One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange. I post short mid and long-term trade setups too. In this chart, we will present some basic information about the bedrock of technical analysis – the trend. Technical research is founded on one main assumption: market prices move in trends as they are freely traded. Traders and investors hope to buy a security at a low price at the outset of an upward trend, ride the trend, and then sell the security at a better price when the trend stops. While this technique is straightforward, putting it into effect is incredibly difficult. Trends come in all shapes and sizes, from long-term patterns that last decades to short-term patterns that emerge minute by minute. All trends tend to have the same characteristics. Investors must choose which trend is most important for them based on their investment objectives, personal preferences, and the time they are ready to spend watching market prices. Trends are obvious in hindsight, but ideally, we would like to spot a new trend right at its beginning, buy, spot its end and sell. However this ideal almost never happens, except by luck. What exactly is a trend? 1. An uptrend or upward trend occurs when prices reach higher highs and higher lows. 2. A downtrend or downward trend is the opposite: when prices reach lower lows and lower highs. 3. A sideways or flat trend occurs when prices trade in a range without significant upward or downward movement. From the investor/trader’s perspective, a trend is a directional movement of prices that remains in effect long enough to be identified and still be profitable. The most popular method amongst traders to identify a trend is looking at a graph of prices for extreme points, tops & bottoms, and drawing lines between these extreme points. These lines are called trend lines . By drawing lines between tops and bottoms we get a „feeling” of the direction of price movement, rate of change of movement, and also its limits. When those limits are broken, they can warn us that the trend might be changing. Another method for the study of trends is the moving averages which smooth out and reduce the effect of smaller trends within longer trends. The number of trend lengths is unlimited. The ability for trends to act similarly over different periods is called fractal nature. When we say that the trends are fractal in nature we mean that in any period we look at we see trends with similar characteristics and patterns as each other. The trend length of interest is determined solely by the trader’s period of interest. This doesn’t mean that different trend lengths should be ignored. Because shorter trends make up longer trends, any analysis of a period must include an analysis of longer and shorter trends around it. Trends are determined by supply and demand . As in all markets, whether apples, oil , or used car components the economic principle of interaction between supply and demand determines prices in trading markets. Each buyer bids for a certain quantity at a certain price and each seller asks for a certain quantity at a certain price. When the buyer and seller agree and transact, they establish a price for that instant in time, whatever the reasons might be for the buyer wanting to buy and the seller wanting to sell. The technical analyst, therefore, watches the price movement and the rate of change of prices and doesn’t concern himself/herself with the reasons for the transactions because most times they are indeterminable. The number of players and the number of different reasons for their participation in supply and demand is close to infinite. Thus, for the technical analyst, it is futile to analyze the components of supply and demand except through the prices it creates. Furthermore, when someone invests or trades the price is what determines profit or loss, not corporate earnings or Federal Reserve policy. The bottom line is that the price determines success and fortunately, for whatever reason, prices tend to trend. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
3
DXY I Short-term Short from Resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **DXY - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
TVC:DXYShort
by BKTradingAcademy
2
DOW JONES kissed the 200 moving averageDOW JONES kissed the 200 moving average and going down we might see some retracement on dow jones. Lets see --- I cover various stocks which can be profitable based on the stock charts and technical indicators. I try my best to explain as detailed as possible but your feedback is also appreciated Before you enter a trade , one must learn how to master the charts as Stock charts play a big role in deciding when to buy or when not to buy. Technical Trading help in predicting price movements and have a risk management. Stock trading is like any other business and must be taken seriously. Lot of people lose money because they don't educate themselves and end up placing trades blindly which results in big losses Stock charts is the major component day traders, swing traders, core traders use. Times and technology has changed and if you cannot adapt to the new methods , there is a high chance you will be left behind Millions of shares are traded now using desktop , laptop or gadgets and stock charts is what majority of traders look at. So , if you want to be a daytrader , swingtrader or coretrader learn how to read and interpret charts. There are lot of great books out there like Thomas Bulkowski's Encyclopedia of chart patterns and Steve Nison Japanese Candlesticks interpretation Having someone experienced can also cut the learning curve time for a new trader. Trading does take time and with discipline , hardwork , dedication and most importantly Passion for this needs to be there. Iam posting some of the best phrases from successful people: -All that matters is how you see yourself. If you see yourself as the king, with all the belts and everything, and no matter what no one else says, as long as you see that, and really believe in it, then that’s what’s going to happen -If you believe in yourself and have dedication and pride - and never quit, you'll be a winner. The price of victory is high but so are the rewards. Bear Bryant -We all have dreams. But in order to make dreams come into reality, it takes an awful lot of determination, dedication, self-discipline, and effort. Jesse Owens -In order to excel, you must be completely dedicated to your chosen sport. You must also be prepared to work hard and be willing to accept constructive criticism. Without one-hundred percent dedication, you won't be able to do this. -Patience, persistence, and perspiration make an unbeatable combination for success -Trees and grass need time to grow, and therefore, they symbolize patience. We need time to achieve goals, especially big goals, and this requires patience. ... If we are too impatient, desiring to have immediate results, we might be disappointed and quit our goals. -Courageous persistence is the one quality more than any other that can guarantee success. ... The definition of persistence is the quality that allows someone to continue doing something even though it is difficult or opposed by other people. -Doubt is only removed by action. If you’re not working then that’s where doubt comes in.” -I believe in myself so much that nothing is going to stop me -There’s no talent here, this is hard work. This is an obsession. Talent does not exist, we are all human beings. You could be anyone if you put in the time. You will reach the top, and that’s that. I am not talented, I am obsessed -Approach ev
AMEX:DIAShort
by Composed_Trader
AMD Nears Multi-Month Support, Higher Risk for ShortsPrimary Chart: AMD's YTD Parallel Channel and Short-Term 2.5 Month Parallel Channel This post will provide only a brief update to the more detailed technical discussions of AMD from last week. The more detailed technical analysis is contained in a pair of AMD posts linked on the Primary Chart above. 1. Nothing has changed with regard to AMD's larger downtrend structure. As discussed in last week's analyses, AMD remains in a severe downtrend that has shown no evidence of structural change. 2. Last week's discussions identified a false breakout above the shorter-term down trendline, made especially clear by a Pinocchio bar with a long shadow protruding above this trendline. This foreshadowed the large decline that ensued the next day, with the stock gapping down significantly. Since the Pinocchio bar was identified, the stock has plummeted another -15.0% to -17.1%. Isn't it interesting that when stocks are in a trend in either direction, they can go higher / lower than expected? Stocks that seem very low in a downtrend seem to find their way ever lower. 3. An extremely sharp bear bounce could occur at any time . Just look at the prior rallies in the chart below this paragraph. Many of these bear rallies rise nearly vertically from the lower line of the channel (called the return line). This is typical of bear rallies. They tend to be some of the strongest rallies that happen in markets, and this bear market has been a fascinating learning experience (even if painful for longer-term investors) as these rallies and declines unfold. Supplementary Chart: Measurement of Prior Bear Rallies and Bounces YTD 4. Just because bear rallies can happen doesn't mean that every time the lower channel is tagged that a sharp rally will ensue. But a bullish divergence has formed on daily RSI , meaning that as price made new lows, RSI made higher lows. But a bullish divergence can be erased by price falling rapidly to a new low and pulling RSI with it below its prior RSI low. So it's better to wait for confirmation from price. 5. The lower edge of the parallel channel on Primary Chart shows where price could reach in October 2022. This level ranges from about $55 to $51 over the course of this month. The critical question for AMD is whether (i) price will accelerate its downtrend even further by breaking below this line or (ii) whether AMD will reverse there for a sharp bounce back into the channel. One other alternative is that AMD could whipsaw below the line for a few trading days in an extreme exhaustion move, then snap back above the line, signaling an intermediate term rally. Having identified the key levels that may affect the price action, SquishTrade will not attempt to make bold predictions of either (a) a break below the trendline, or (b) a key reversal that leads to a sharp trip back to the top of the channel. Much will depend on the FOMC minutes and CPI this week and their affect on the interest-rate environment. Given the environment (a severe downtrend) and the levels shown, traders and investors can make their best call with tight stops in place that measure and limit risk—risk is inherent in every trade or investment which is why stops are important for everyone except Warren Buffett—or even better, they can wait patiently for a trend-based setup at resistance. ________________________________________ Author's Comments: (1) Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. (2) This technical-analysis view does not constitute a trade recommendation or trade setup. Instead, it attempts to offer technical commentary that describes and analyzes price levels, trends, price action, or the broader technical environment as of the publication date. Technical-analysis commentary does not equate to trade setups or recommendations. Within a given price environment, traders bear responsibility for their own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and time frame, and for any due diligence associated with such trades. (3) This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice, e.g., when price violates a key level of invalidation for a particular view. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. (4) To the extent countertrend price moves are discussed, consider that countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, remains higher risk and lower probability even for the most experienced traders and investors. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified / licensed financial adviser or other financial or investment professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
NASDAQ:AMD
by SquishTrade
31
Approaching the 2022 downtrend on EUR/USDI suspect success or failure at this downtrend will be key! Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
by The_STA