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Downtrend

Crypto Heat Check: Anticipating a Cooling Off in the MarketThe crypto market's temperature seems to be rising, indicating a potential need for a healthy relief bounce. While the altseason may not have concluded, it's prudent to brace ourselves for a corrective move downward. Taking a closer look at the SUIUSDT example, we can witness the market's respect for the supply area. Particularly noteworthy is today's occurrence—a clean bounce off the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level, signaling a palpable downward pressure. This could potentially translate into a 15-20% price drop. Don't get overexcited and be ready for any scenarios!
Short
by CryptoPAMM
4
ETH, Where to Buy the Dip ? ETH is most likely correcting 5 years up going wave ! is the correction over? Most probably NOT. ETH at ATH more than likely completed an impulsive section of a wave cycle and currently is in the corrective section. Normally in simple form, corrections have 3 legs with two legs down and one leg up in between. As shown on the chart , it is very possible for ETH to be in the third leg of the ABC form of correction (C) after completion of first two legs (A and B). ETH got hammered at 50 % Retracement of down going wave A which is acceptable and also typical for a zigzag correction. If we skip some unusual types of zigzag correction, ETH should normally make a new low at lower Retracement levels shown on the chart. So, Our " Buy the Dip " targets will be 1863 and 1046 USD corresponding 0.618 and 0.786 Retracements of 5 years up going wave respectively. After end of correction, if we are going to have a normal ascending wave cycle , there will be a shining chance to invest on ETH. It may see some unbelievable targets above 10000 USD ! I have to emphasize what has been discussed is the most probable scenario . We know that waves, especially in corrective phase, can take many complicated forms. Should it need any update, we will provide in appropriate time. Hope this to be useful and wish you all the best.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by SaeedSajedi
7
NIO - more downside soon? Target 5.50I am following NIO with one eye, now switching to two eye. Even though NIO could have a bright future for the long run (years), I see more downside incoming. The formed head and shoulder within the symmetrical triangle broke to the downside (breaking also the triangle), and as expected retested the HOS neckline (and the triangle). As expected, it got rejected, also bumping into the 200 SMA (4hr)with a huge rejection, confirming it is still in a strong bear-trend now. We are also way below on the 200day SMA, and also the 200week SMA. On the weekly, we are loosing momentum, but some upside is expected on the short-term. I assume (but price actions will tell), this short term uptrend will help to finish the smaller formation on the new Head and Shoulders, which I highlighted with paintbrush in white. Currently, we are in the consolidation zone, chances are, we are going up a bit to create the top of the right sholder with the target of 9.40-9.60, then going back down to the consolidation zone. Also, there is a possibility we have a very shallow right shoulder almost formed already, going down directly, I will wait for confirmation. We are also below the 9day&15 day MA, and also below the 21day EMA. All theese will possibly be huge resistance. Very short-term : uptrend target - ~9.40 Short-term: downtrend target: ~8.80 Low Mid-term: downtrend target: ~8.00-7.70 High Mid-term: downtrend target: ~7.10 Long-term: downtrend target: ~5.50
NYSE:NIOShort
by tommtajlor
94
DIA in downward trendSPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF Tr (DIA, $381.37) RSI Indicator left the overbought zone on January 31, 2024 This is a signal that DIA's price could be shifting from an uptrend to a downtrend. Traders may consider selling the stock or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor looked back and found 43 similar cases where DIA's RSI Indicator left the overbought zone, and in 35 of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success: 81%. DIA in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on January 22, 2024 DIA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 35 of the 39 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 90%. Price Prediction Chart Technical Analysis (Indicators) Bearish Trend Analysis The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIA moved out of overbought territory on January 31, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 36 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 84%. The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected. Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%. Bullish Trend Analysis The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 18, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DIA as a result. In 67 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DIA just turned positive on January 30, 2024. Looking at past instances where DIA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%. Following a +0.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIA advanced for three days, in 315 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%. The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 266 of 336 cases where DIA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
AMEX:DIAShort
by Serhii_Bond
Can DraftKings Overcome Key Technical Levels?Primary Chart : DraftKings Inc. Weekly Price Chart with Fibonacci Levels and Downward Trendline from All-Time Highs DraftKings Inc., an innovative sports-betting company, has been one of the hottest stocks of this week after it beat earnings expectations and raised revenue guidance. Many are likely chasing the stock's price here without any discipline whatsoever, being driven by fear of missing out and the possibility of untold gains from a former darling of growth investors. The magenta trendline on the primary chart, which is logarithmically scaled by the way, shows that the downtrend remains intact despite today's powerful rally. This downward trendline could be broken, by the way, if momentum is sustained by bullish seasonality and tailwinds into year end in a pre-election year. But a shorter-term down trendline has been decisively snapped with today's upside push, and this suggests near-term strength for DKNG. Supplementary Chart A And DKNG gapped above its key 50-day SMA today as well. Supplementary Chart B But this post does not recommend shorting or longing this stock; instead, its purpose is to analyze NASDAQ:DKNG and consider its current position in light of a severe bear market in 2021-2022 and a euphoric bull-market run in 2020-2021. With discipline, some trading profits might be made long or short given this stock's inherent volatility—the stock rose about 15% today and about 25% this week alone. But without risk management, this stock could easily obliterate anyone attempting to gather quick profits on a short-term to intermediate-term time frame. The stock is extended here after it gapped above key moving averages. It also has reached critical resistance at the .618 Fibonacci retracement after breaking above the 50% retracement on October 31, 2023. The .618 Fibonacci retracement lies at $34.25, a few cents above the high of the week and the day today. A bit of consolidation of today's move may provide traders with a bullish view into the new year (a time frame of about 2 months) a reason to buy the dip. But caution is warranted into 2024 and 2025—can technological innovation and earnings surprises be enough to sustain this stock? Your comments on this particular question are welcome. There may be room for some debate as macro headwinds cannot prevent rallies like the one seen in equity indices like SP:SPX and some growth stocks. But there is a decent likelihood that macro headwinds may work against DKNG as long as interest rates remain high and inflation does not disappear. The Federal Reserves funds rate is now at 5.25% to 5.50%, a 22-year high. And quick look at the TradingView's Financial overview shows that DKNG has not had positive net income yet. And its financial history is not that long yet: It was founded in 2011, and it has only been public since 2020. So despite the major earnings beat and positive guidance today, DKNG still lost $0.61 per share. Unprofitable growth stocks do not perform as well in high-rate environments. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
NASDAQ:DKNG
by SquishTrade
24