Dow Jones Industrial out of GasWhen I started with trading over 3 decades ago, I was told that the DJI is often the forecaster of the bigger market direction.
This week, it looks like the DOW is out of Gas.
Struggling at the U-MLH indicates the need to find balance. Balance is at the Center-Line, so DOW(n) we go.
With end of year staring at us, it's time to reduce exposure, or at least adding to the Portfolio hedge, specially when VIX is low.
Dowshort
Dow to Consolidate and Move Down from HereYM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . . there is your 300 points. Notice the resistance on the 4 hour from above . . . You also have the top of the BBs on the 4 hour up there. So, it makes sense that it would be a good place to sell off from. Obviously, our stop is back at B/E but, if we wanted too . . .beyond this 4 hour level would also be a good place for a stop. More downside for YM could develop if we bust through the 39900 level if this wedge gives out.
Dow failed to breakout of the 1929 & 2000 Trend - Crash IncomingThese are serious setups, I found a trendline that connected to the Feb 2020 top and it drop from there the next day. This is BIG we failed to breakout of the trendline connecting 1929 to 2000, it went above and came back under, this is VERY Bearish. First target 26000 under that it gets nasty.
40 Bar Cycle Chart - Dow Jones DIA DJIA - Updated 121722This last week, markets initially rallied on the release of the "cooler" than expected November CPI (Consumer Price Index) — only to be smacked back to reality on the comments via Federal Reserve Chairman J. Powell during the December Interest Rate Decision (FOMC) meeting this last Wednesday as "higher for longer" is the communicated pathway forward for the FED and financial markets.
Whether this is all talk to put some intentional downward pressure on markets, as financial conditions have eased as of late — or this is the actual pathway forward and the bond markets are mis-pricing the projected Terminal FFR (Fed Funds Rate, now >5% into 23'), some indicators such as our (40-Bar Cycle Chart) 📉 are highlighting what is likely another leg down in financial assets as QT ramps up and higher interest rates take their toll on real economic activity. Keep in mind that behind the scenes, the FED in coordination with the U.S. Treasury are working their magic 🧙🏼♂️🔮 in terms of FED Net Liquidity to keep things "(dis)orderly".
Here is the updated 40-Bar Cycle Chart for DIA DJIA, which seems to be sitting on some major support. Given the structure of the markets after losing the $330 DIA / $33,000 DJIA, along with J. Powell and other FED speaker comments post-FOMC on Friday, is the hopes for a year-end 🎅 🎄 rally wishful thinking?
DIA Daily Chart Template
www.tradingview.com
Which camp are you in on the short-term (end of year into Q1/23') direction of markets?
Camp A: We are likely we headed for new lows in Q1/23 (Fluctuating Inflation + Persistent Price/Wage Pressures + Hawkish FED).
Camp B: We are likely to break the downtrend into the start of Q1/23' (Peak Inflation + Deflationary Forces + Dovish FED).
Let me know your prediction in the comments below! 👇🏼
SDOW | Easy Money | DOW Bear ETFThe fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index is a price-weighted index and includes 30 large-cap, "blue-chip" U.S. stocks, excluding utility and transportation companies. The fund is non-diversified.
Dow Jones Index(DJI) Short trade 15MTF 200EMA Rejection Indicators:
200EMA, Bollinger Bands, 200EMA & RSI
Trade Convictions:
15MTF 200EMA Rejection
Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis,
major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI
registered member. Information shared by me here for educational
purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment
purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning,
how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your
financial advisor before trading.
Please do review, analyse and share your comments as well.
Let us work and win together. Wish you a very happy, healthy & profitable trading day ahead!
Disclaimer: I have analysed the data based on my limited knowledge.
I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose.
Please don’t trust me for trading as it may lead to financial losses.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
US 30: Intraday Technical AnalysisAs mentioned in intraweek analysis that the trend for coming week is down and we are planning short positions above 31000. The price of US30 took resistance from 30250 and it is no testing the support of 30450. My idea for intraday is to book profit of shorts at 30500 and then make an entry again at 30835 and 31000 with targets of 30450. My idea for intraweek is support of 29000.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics
US30 : Intraweek Technical AnalysisThe Dow index took a pull back support from 30400 and it is now testing resistance of 31150. My idea for intraweek is that the price action of US30 will take rejection at somewhere between 31000 and 31150. My goal is to go short on intraweek trades with target of 30450 and 30000. Key levels for entry are 31150 and 31700 in case of a false breakout.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics
Channel Break To The Upside?US30, Daily failed to close below previous structure & we have a nice change of character on the 4H, I really want to see this channel break out to the upside, we have an unmitigated zone down in the lower demand (Which price could target before this move potentially happens just above the gap that's not completely filled yet)
Will be trading this in both directions on the LTF!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Waiting for confirmation...US30 - Waiting to see what price does, currently in a PRZ but looking like it's going to break that level and head up to the next supply zone, SPX looking bullish too (Failed to break the previous low), let's see, waiting for confirmations, ideally looking for sells today after the HTF BOS yesterday, if price breaks down and we get failed lows/breaks up rejects from current supply i'll be looking for buys too.
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Bounce or breach the swing low?US30 - Looking for rejection from the demand zone close to the swing low tomorrow before a potential up-move.
If the swing low breaks we could continue down, but I really want to see a strong up-move first if price does continue down on the HTF, to clear that imbalance created at the beginning of this month!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Short then Long?If this supply holds ill be shorting down to the trendline break!
Let me know your thoughts! |
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
DJIA1! - Dow Screams Trouble AheadWhat we see here is a red pitchfork, catching price at the center and the upper extreme.
After the drop, we see the sharp run-up.
Price got rejected exactly at the confluence point by the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel).
Tomorrow is friday and - this is a weekly chart. If pirce is closing down that much, it screams "Trouble Ahead" for the Stock Market.
Target?
The Centerline for the first portion of the position and then the L-MLH for the second portion.
Potential Deep Crab 🦀Potential deep crab forming, looking for a bearish push down to the last S/D zone before a bullish rise towards the D point, (looking to take this short then long on the Intraday) But it all depends on the LTF momentum/PA!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Dow Jones - YM1! at decision pointAttaching the lines to the closes of the bars.
This is a technique Allen Andrews was teaching when using the Mini-Medianlines. But I find that specially in the longterm Charts, there's often value in this style.
Dow is now at a decision Point at the Centerline.
From here, up or down is possible. But from the past stats we know that there's a good possibility that we turn south from here.
Let's find out and observe.
DOW JONES SHORTas we can see, and as I previously posted, price is going to reverse.
It just touched a reversal area and if we took a look back price does respect that area,
for the past two days, all we saw were bears in the market, and addition the support that price have been making oven the last uptrend got broken.
plus, the price is showing a rejection, the next couple of days will show us what this year is gonna close like. ?!! bad s%^&.
E MINI Dow Jones SHORTDow has broke a support/resistance line.
and it's also a channel, it did a pullback already, but there is a really good entry that price is doing right now, price never returns after this pattern
as you can see, the HMAs are following each other, and working as a support for the price and each other.
Crab still valid 🦀US30 - Crab Still Valid, HTF PA is still bearish even after the last push to the upside yesterday.
(This was expected to cover previous imbalances, we can also see a HTF Double top forming, now the LTF is Bullish)
I expect a small push to the downside to clear the liquidity, before a retracement then a continuation from the PRZ (Red dot), I will analyze PA on a smaller TF and take action accordingly!
Happy Friday 🤘