Transports Break SupportTransportation stocks have been unusually strong this year, but that might have changed yesterday.
The main feature on this chart of the Dow Jones Transportation Average is the September low at 13,947. Prices managed to remain above this level throughout the market’s correction as other indexes like the S&P 500 and Nadaq-100 knifed below the same respective points on their charts. DJT lost that distinction yesterday as it suffered its biggest drop in almost two years.
Second, the index broke out above its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) in mid-March as the broader market rebounded. But then it reversed and made lower highs at both SMAs in April and May.
Third, that price action dragged the 50-day SMA below the 200-day, resulting in a potentially bearish “death cross.”
Given the importance of “Dow Theory,” which uses Transports to judge moves in the broader market, yesterday’s price action could have bigger implications for sentiment. Traders may now view it as confirmation of a bearish trend.
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Dowtheory
ETHUSDT GANN RESISTANCE HI,,,,,
Today I will show you my analyze about the next resistance that eth will have,,,,
eth now is having a good resistance at 3039.76 but till now eth did not break it so we hope eth could break it with volume and daily close above it
after this resistance we will have a cluster Gann angle + fib extension at 3113.1 to 3187
NOTE: after 1 good day close above 3193.84 we will be in a bullish Secondary trend by DOW theory (Positive)
after this price levels if we have a good bullish candles with volume we might go to 3491 to 3496 and we have a small correction and break it up and start a very good bull year market
*** in my opinion bull market is coming soon because a lot of coins are starting to break a very important Gann resistances even BTC has started to break his Gann resistance but I hope that these coins can do daily close above these resistance because few of them closed above there resistance BTC till now is not of them ***
if you have any opinion pleases share it in the comments below
if you like my analyze please give me a like and follow for more of Gann analysis
Have a nice day :)))
AUDCHF BullishWhen the bullish downtrend breaks resistance we can call it a reversal movement plus the chart made a new higher high point. However, we need to wait until new smaller bullish pattern shows up. After all those expectations goes exactly same as i predicted, then we can finally open a long position with risk entry.
NZDCAD AAD bullish If you take a look at the chart it shows that perfect sample of DOW theory, when the trend breaks out the previous high point and makes the new higher low point, then it might be the sign of that trend has been reversed but we cant open a position immediately. It is always better that we wait until the price comes back to the trendline and check the resistance (it gives us the opportunity that can open a position with higher R&R ratio plus much safer trade.
LCID: This pattern might REVERSE the trend for good!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how LCID is doing today!
In the 1h chart, we see a clear bear trend, and LCID is trading below its 21 ema. However, there’s hope for it. The most important key point is the red line at $ 29.05. This point is the trigger of a Double Bottom chart pattern (Adam & Eve type).
The technical target for this pattern is the next resistance, which is at $ 47.59 (black line).
It is interesting to notice that in the 1h chart LCID is already doing higher highs/lows, and if it keeps doing this, eventually, it’ll reverse the trend in the mid-term.
It has an open gap to fill (earnings gap), and this might help the bullish thesis on LCID, at least for a while. Another thing that is important to pay attention is the volume, as it must increase as it goes up. Remember: The volume must confirm the trend (Dow Theory).
For now, let’s pay attention to the $ 29.05, as this is the most important key point for us now. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates.
Does Anyone Remember Charles Dow?Something interesting happened with the Dow Jones Transportation Average recently. Or, more precisely, didn’t happen. The S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and Dow Jones Industrial Average all breached their October lows amid this year’s pullbacks. But Transports haven’t even come close to those levels.
Notice how DJT bottomed last week over 14,000. That was 1 percent above its trough near the end of the third quarter and start of the fourth quarter.
Turn back the clock a little further to the late 1800s, when Charles Dow famously noticed that railroads and shipping stocks could confirm moves in the broader market. In the current case, “Dow Theory” may be providing non-confirmation of weakness . And that could be bullish.
Second, consider the converging trendlines as DJT eased lower. Is that a falling wedge, another potentially bullish reversal pattern?
Finally, you have the bigger picture because Transports are a classically cyclical part of the market that often benefit from a strong economy . With Covid cases falling, the U.S. reopening and the spring/summer approaching, investors may view Transports as a potential beneficiary.
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TradingView is not affiliated with TradeStation Securities Inc. or its affiliates. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
SPX: Buy amid panic? Let's see...Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today!
First, in the 1h chart, it lost the support level we mentioned yesterday, however, it seems it just dropped to its next support, and now we see a very good reaction.
In the 1h chart, the index filled the previous gap, making it an Exhaustion Gap, and it is triggering a pivot point as well. These are signs of bullish reversal, but the situation is still very dangerous.
The index is still under its 21 ema, and it seems it needs more bullish structures to confirm a true short/mid-term reversal. If this happens, the gap at 4,472 would be its next target.
When we look at the daily chart, we see a powerful candlestick today, closing above the last two support levels, and this is another bullish sign. The volume is starting to increase again too, and this is important. Remember, the volume must confirm the trend (Dow Theory 5th tenet).
Since I always had this contrarian style, when I see movements like this, or when I see people panicking, usually I find the best opportunities around. As Nathan Rothschild once said: "But when there’s blood in the streets". Use the emotional traders and investors in your favor.
However, we must do this calmly, with caution, and using a proven methodology. Personally, I see many amazing opportunities right now.
I’ll keep you guys updated every day on this, so, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates.
SP500 short updateus500 broke the channel down and showed LL after hitting resistance twice. Planning to open short position after it hits 4200's resistance.
Target 1: 4400
Target2 : 4275
DOW Target doneWe have shared detailed DJI chart that you can see below in the link.
After breaking trend line support DJI met both the target and took support lower trend line and closing above the same trend line.
FED meeting ahead and we can expect high volatility near future.
Based on chart and price action a bounce back from current level is on the card.
XAUUSD Bullish CorrectionI predict gold market will make bearish correction movement. Because the price is already touched 2 cluster fibonacci area.Then the price has been in the oversold area for too long So it's time to the price left the oversold area, and try to reaching overbought area. I will assume the price will goes up until 1812.903. Because there's minor resistance over there.
NZDUSD LONG 1DAs you can see, the photo shows everything detailed this is a classic sample of Dow Theory. You can take a look at the bigger time frame by yourself because this bullish chart pattern seemed like a correction movement. Now I believe that there might be an impulse movement. If you're following my idea, then manage your risks as always thank you.
S&P 500 Reclaims the Trend LineThe S&P 500 broke a 10-month uptrend about seven weeks ago. Now it may be trying to reclaim that line.
This chart updates some patterns from our September 24 idea . The rising wedge pattern was bearish at the time – not a surprise given fears about inflation, the delta variant and a tapering Fed. But those forces have played out and investors are more focused on strong earnings and the improving economy.
Speaking of the economy, a key sector that tracks the business cycle just broke out: Transports . The Avis Budget short squeeze may have triggered the last surge, but other parts of the index like railroads and truckers were already rallying. This provides potential “Dow Theory” confirmation to the broader market’s new highs.
Returning to SPX, another interesting chart pattern is the price action in late October. Notice how quickly pullbacks were bought on October 22 and 27. These bounces also occurred near the September peaks, which suggests old resistance became new support.
Finally, consider VIX’s close at 15.09 yesterday – its third lowest close since coronavirus slammed the market in late February 2020. Also notice its lower high and quick rejection around 17 this week. This key metric refused to “return to normal” during the entire pandemic. But now that the Fed is tapering, it may be time for the fear index to get less fearful.
If that does happen, it could instill more confidence and spur more risk taking. So while the market has run a lot and bounced sharply, there may still be reasons to think the move will continue.
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PLTR: Just filled a gap! What's next?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how PLTR is doing today! We had a Red Monday yesterday, and PLTR crashed along with the rest of the market. Now, what’s for us here?
First, let’s keep in mind that PLTR just filled its gap at $ 23.19, and now we have the beginning of a bullish reaction. This candlestick pattern could be a Harami, which is not the best reversal pattern, I agree, but since it is near such a good support level, the odds of a reversal increases dramatically.
In addition, PLTR has been dropping since Sep 24, but the volume was below the average. This is another sign that PLTR has been dropping just because it has been following the market. We still don’t see any meaningful bearish structure that could sustain this drop for too long.
In fact, there’s a good chance that we just hit the bottom for now. What we must see is a clearer bullish structure in the 1h chart:
If PLTR closes above the previous support level at $ 23.67, it’ll be a good sign, but what we really must see is a bullish structure. So far, PLTR has been doing lower highs/lows, and as Dow would say: Trends persist until a clear reversal occurs.
This week is going to be decisive on PLTR, and if you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates.
Have a good day!