Get started

Dowtheory

UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service #UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator. An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate it would give your non confirmation Top Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
NYSE:UPSShort
by BallaJi
14
USDCAD - Sell Stop on Break of Previous Higher LowTrade Analysis Currently, there is a bearish divergence and 4-hour resistance indicating a potential trend reversal to bearish. Confirmation of this reversal will be evident if the price breaks the previous HL. As it breaks the HL, it will also break the support levels. Consequently, this support will turn into resistance and will be used as the SL. Trade Plan Entry: 1.37012 Stop Loss (SL): 1.37095 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.36929 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.36846
Short
by asadamalik
In-Depth Arbitrum Analysis: Current Trends & Insights✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs. 📅Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the crypto market and the Arbitrum project. 🗂 About the Project : Arbitrum is a blockchain project in the crypto space, known for being one of the popular Layer 2 Ethereum solutions. It helps reduce transaction fees and increases speed and security. Arbitrum launched as a Layer 2 blockchain in August 2021 and also conducted a major airdrop, which significantly boosted its popularity over its competitors. 📦 Arbitrum Airdrop : In March 2023, Arbitrum introduced the ARB token and simultaneously airdropped 12.75% of the tokens to its users. This large distribution excited many in the crypto community. 🏅 Airdrop Impact : The airdrop significantly increased trust in the blockchain. Currently, Arbitrum has around $3 billion in TVL (Total Value Locked) and ranks fifth in the market. Its token has a market cap of $2.3 billion and holds the 41st position on CoinMarketCap. 🌱 Project Ecosystem : Given the high TVL, Arbitrum's ecosystem is very active. Major platforms like AAVE, GMX, UNISWAP, PENDLE, and RENZO support this blockchain. There are also specialized platforms that operate solely on Arbitrum, such as Camelot, a DEX that has greatly contributed to the project's growth. 🗡 Camelot Project : As mentioned, Camelot is one of the exclusive projects in the Arbitrum ecosystem. It is a DEX where you can swap tokens in a decentralized manner and become a Liquidity Provider to earn rewards. 📈Here is the chart for the GRAIL token, Camelot's official token. Camelot rewards you with this token for providing liquidity. As you can see, after hitting the resistance at 2675 and breaking the upward trendline, the price entered a downtrend, dropping to 709 and forming key levels at 1008, 1252, and 1418, which could act as strong barriers to price growth. ⚡️Now that we have reviewed the project and its ecosystem, let's analyze the ARB token chart from a technical perspective. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In this timeframe, after the token launch and airdrop, the price pumped initially and corrected to the 0.7654 level. Alongside Bitcoin, it started an uptrend reaching 2.1782. The price tested this resistance several times but failed to establish above it. Following the entry of selling volume, the chart exited the Distribution Zone and started to drop, now even losing the 0.7654 support and reaching 0.6482. 🛒If you had already bought this token, I hope your stop-loss was triggered. If not, I hope you managed your investment well to avoid significant losses. For spot purchases, I would wait for the RSI to break above 34.79 to confirm that the downward momentum is out of the market. Afterward, we can buy based on our personal strategy once the price stabilizes above key levels. 📅 Daily Timeframe In this timeframe, after reaching the 0.6216 support, the price is correcting upwards with decreasing volume, indicating the strength of the downtrend. Despite the RSI losing the 40.13 resistance, upward momentum has not entered the market. This is because the SMA25 is directly above the price, serving as a major resistance. 📉If the SMA25, which coincides with the 0.7654 resistance, pushes the price down, it could reach the S1 pivot monthly level. Should the price continue to make lower highs and drop further, the 0.4826 level (S2 pivot) would be a logical target. 📈If the price stabilizes above the SMA25 and breaks through the 0.7654 level, with increased buying volume and upward momentum, we can confirm an uptrend in this timeframe. 🔑 Key levels in the daily timeframe for ARB are: Supports at 0.6216 and 0.4826 Resistances at 0.7654, 0.9264, 1.2669, and 2.1782 ⌛️For short-term analysis of this token, let's move to the 4-hour timeframe for more detailed insights. 🔍In the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe a Low Wave Cycle. After hitting the 0.6263 support, the price has made higher highs and lows twice. According to Dow Theory's definition of an uptrend, we can say this timeframe is in an uptrend. However, we must also consider another crucial point. According to Dow Theory, volume should confirm the trend and align with the price. As seen in the chart, volume diverges from the price, so we cannot declare an uptrend in the 4-hour timeframe as it lacks the primary Dow Theory confirmation. 📈For an uptrend, I suggest waiting for the price to stabilize above 0.7654, a significant level observable in the daily timeframe. Additionally, buying volume should increase to gain Dow Theory confirmation, allowing us to trust the price rise. If the trend becomes bullish, the resistances ahead are 0.8449 and 0.9264. 📉For a market downturn, since higher timeframes are bearish, we can use riskier triggers to confirm the entry of downward momentum, as these risky triggers align with the trend and are more reliable. The risky trigger level is 0.6822, and the main support is 0.6263. Note that the 0.6822 trigger, being risky, is not entirely reliable, and there's a higher probability of fake moves and traps. If the market turns bearish, the target, as seen in the daily timeframe, would be 0.4826. ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
by itsparham96
1
What is Dow Theory?The Dow Theory is a financial concept based on a set of ideas from Charles H. Dow‘s writings. Fundamentally, it states that a notable change between bull and bear trend in a stock market will occur when index confirm it. The trend that is recognized is considered valid when there is strong evidence supporting it. The theory states that if two indicators move in the same way, the primary trend that is identified is genuine. However, if the two indicators don’t align, then there is no clear trend. This approach mainly focuses on changes in prices and trading volumes. It uses visual representations and compares different indicators to identify and understand trends. Dow Theory: The Dow Theory originated from the analysis of market price movements and speculative viewpoints proposed by Charles H. Dow. It served as a fundamental building block for technical analysis, especially in a time when modern software-based technical analysis tools did not exist. Robert Rhea’s book “The Dow Theory” thoroughly explores the evolution and significance of the theory in speculative endeavours, closely examining the Wall Street Journal editorials written by Charles H. Dow and William Peter Hamilton in the 19th century. This theory represents one of the earliest efforts to comprehend the market by considering fundamental factors that provide insights into future trends. The main version of the theory primarily focuses on comparing the closing prices of two averages: the Dow Jones Rail (or Transportation) (DJT) and the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). The premise was that if one average surpassed a specific level, the other average would eventually follow suit. Dow used an analogy to illustrate this concept, likening the market to the ocean. He explained that just as waves rise to a certain point on one side of the beach, waves on another part of the beach will eventually reach that same point. Similarly, in the market, different sectors are interconnected, and when one sector shows a particular trend, others tend to follow suit as they are part of a larger whole. The Paradigms of Dow Theory: To comprehend the theory, it is essential to grasp the various rules formulated by Dow. These principles, often referred to as the tenets of Dow theory, serve as guiding paradigms Three major market trends: The tenets of Dow Theory classify trends based on their duration into primary, secondary, and minor trends. Primary trends can be either upward (uptrend) or downward (downtrend) and can last for months to years. Secondary trends move in the opposite direction to the primary trend and typically last for weeks or a few months. Minor trends, on the other hand, are considered insignificant variations that occur over a shorter time span, ranging from a few hours to weeks, and are considered less significant than the primary and secondary trends. Primary trends have three distinct phases: Bear markets can be divided into three distinct phases: distribution, public participation, and panic. In the distribution phase, there is a gradual selling off of assets by investors. The public participation phase occurs when more individual investors start selling their holdings, leading to a broader decline in the market. The panic phase is characterized by widespread fear and selling pressure, often resulting in a sharp and rapid decline in prices. On the other hand, bull markets experience three phases: accumulation, public participation, and excess. During the accumulation phase, astute investors start buying assets at lower prices, anticipating an upward trend. The public participation phase occurs as more investors join the market and buy assets, contributing to the market’s upward momentum. The excess phase represents a period of exuberance and speculative buying, often marked by overvaluation and unsustainable price increases. Stock market discount everything: Market indexes are highly responsive to various types of information. They can reflect the overall condition of an entity or the economy as a whole. For example, any significant economic events or problems in company management can impact stock prices and cause movements in the indexes, either upward or downward. Trend confirms with volume: When there is an uptrend, trading volume rises and decreases while a downtrend starts Index confirm each other: When multiple indices move in a consistent manner, following the same pattern, it indicates the presence of a trend. This alignment among indices provides a strong signal of market direction. However, when two indices move in opposite directions, it becomes challenging to determine a clear trend. In such cases, conflicting signals make it difficult to deduce a definitive market trend. Trends continue until solid factors imply the reversal: Traders should be careful of trend reversals, as they can often be mistaken for secondary trends. To avoid this confusion, Dow advises investors to exercise caution and verify trends with multiple sources before considering it a genuine reversal. How Does Dow Theory Work in Technical Analysis? The Dow Theory played a crucial role in the development of technical analysis in the stock market and served as its foundational principle. Which, approach to analysis highlights the importance of closely observing market data to identify trends, reversals, and optimal entry and exit points for maximizing profits. As the market is considered an indicator of future performance, the application of technical analysis based on the Dow Theory helps investors make profitable trading decisions by identifying established long-term, mid-term, or short-term trends. By using this approach, investors can gain insights into market dynamics and make informed decisions to enhance their trading outcomes. In conclusion: The Dow Theory has significantly influenced technical analysis in the stock market, serving as a cornerstone for its development and advancement. By analysing the careful examination of market data, this theory helps traders to identify trends, spot reversals, and determine optimal buy and sell points for maximizing profits. The market itself is considered a reliable indicator of future performance, and technical analysis aligned with the Dow Theory assists investors in making profitable trading decisions by detecting established long-term, mid-term, or short-term trends. By using this analytical framework, investors can gain valuable insights into market behaviour and make well-informed choices to improve their trading outcomes. The Dow Theory’s enduring impact continues to guide traders in their pursuit of success in the dynamic world of stock market investing. ___________________________ 💻📞☎️ always do your research. 💌📫📃 If you have any questions, you can write me in the comments below, and I will answer them. 📊📌❤️And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by khushaljain023
SAVMUSDT Primed for Breakout: All-Time High Incoming?SAVMUSDT is on the verge of a significant breakout, with its sights set on a key resistance level at $12.268. This potential breakout coincides with the upcoming launch of the SatoshiVM mainnet alpha on Friday, March 15th Technical Analysis: Resistance: $12.268 Support: $10.666 (Weekly R2) Dow Theory: Confirmation of Uptrend Key Observations: SAVMUSDT is exhibiting bullish momentum, with the price poised to break above a critical resistance level. A successful breakout could lead to a new all-time high. The launch of the SatoshiVM mainnet alpha this Friday adds a fundamental catalyst to the potential price surge. Applying Dow Theory principles, the recent price action suggests confirmation of an uptrend. We can see this through the establishment of a new higher high and the previous high acting as support after being broken. These key resistance zones are also aligned with the weekly and monthly resistance levels on the chart. If the price faces rejection at the new high, it may find support at $10.666, which coincides with the weekly second resistance level (R2). A breakout above the current resistance could lead to further gains. Conclusion: The upcoming price action for SAVMUSDT is highly anticipated. A breakout above $12.268, coupled with the launch of the mainnet alpha, could propel the price towards a new all-time high. However, if the price encounters resistance, the $10.666 support level could provide a buffer. This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Long
by behnoudt
2
📈 Aave's Weekly Analysis: Potential Breakout from Prolonged Con🔍Aave's price action in the weekly timeframe indicates the possibility of breaking out of its 658-day consolidation phase, potentially initiating an upward trend. ✅After breaking its trend line, the price has surged by 100%. Although it faced rejection from the 110-120 supply zone initially, a second attempt with significant volume and bullish candlestick patterns suggests a breakthrough. ⭐️The recent candlestick closure above this zone also validates the bullish sentiment, supported by Dow Theory principles. 💥Furthermore, the RSI oscillator entering the overbought zone indicates potential upward momentum, while the SMA25 indicator, alongside the price action, has bounced back after rejection from the supply zone. 🛒For investors considering adding Aave to their portfolio, setting a stop-loss at a minimum of $82 or a more conservative approach at $52 is recommended. As for targets, holding until the all-time high (ATH) could be a strategic option. 🧠💼This is not financial advice, and it is only my personal opinion on this cryptocurrency. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Long
by itsparham96
1
📈Atom's Weekly Breakout Watch: Chart Signals Bullish Momentum⚛️🔍In the weekly timeframe, Atom's price action has remained within consolidation since May 2022, without a breakout for over 660 days. However, recent developments show a significant breakout of the trend line, supported by confirmation signals based on Dow Theory principles in the preceding candlestick. 💎The Fixed Range Volume Profile indicator complements the Dow Theory trigger, confirming the uptrend with increasing volume. 💥Furthermore, the RSI oscillator has breached the 65.11 level and reached the overbought zone around 70, indicating potential heightened volatility. ✨Despite these bullish signals, Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) and High Wave Cycle (HWC) ranges continue to exert influence, with a robust supply zone observed between 14.6 to 16.2, posing resistance even against all-time highs. 🛒For traders seeking aggressive positions, entering a long position upon the close of the current candle or in the spot market may be viable. Alternatively, conservative traders may opt to await price reaction within the supply zone and confirm the trend in subsequent candles. 📉In the event of a reversal from the supply zone, potential buying opportunities may emerge within the range of 9.5 to 11, pending confirmation of candlestick patterns.
Long
by itsparham96