Dowtheory
Basics : Ethereum Weekly Timeframe BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Weekly analysis of BINANCE:ETHUSDT observed a low, 880, has been made in Jun22.
In Nov22, a higher low has been formed at 1072.
With current formation, no new lower low has been made by BINANCE:ETHUSDT suggesting another higher low after it crosses 1300.
Getting above its daily cloudGetting above its daily cloud.
We have to wait to see if the price closes above it.
The price might go back to 16203The price has got below its daily Ichimoku forecast line.
The chikou span has got below its daily Ichimoku forecast line.
BUT : the chikou span is above its Kijun sen line.
The price might go back to 16203 = The low of the japanese candlestick from which the Daily IFL was drawn.
Possible resistance before going to 16203 is 16432.8 = the kijun sen level below the chikou span.
Current price = 16668.
GOING SHORT IN GBPJPY BY TRADING STRATEGYBearish Indications (BIASED SHORT)
1. Bearish Flag Formation and it breaks its support line as well
2. BXY is in a Bearish/Sideways Trend
3. JXY is in Bullish Trend
4. Broken flag support trend line
Bullish Indications
1. Currently Price is at its major support level in Higher TFs
Neutral Indications
1. No divergence was found as RSI and the chart is in sync
GOING SHORT IN NZDUSD BY TRADING STRATEGYBullish Indications
1. Higher Highs and Lows
2. 8 out of 12 years December remains bullish
3. Trend is bullish on 1D TF
Bearish Indications
1. Shooting Start at Higher High
2. Broken Trendline
3. Bearish Divergence on 4H and 1D
4. Price is exactly bounced back from the previous rally LH
5. Trend is mature enough
Seasonal Data
Dec 10 => Green
Dec 11 => Red
Dec 12 => Green
Dec 13 => Green
Dec 14 => Red
Dec 15 => Green
Dec 16 => Red
Dec 17 => Green
Dec 18 => Red
Dec 19 => Green
Dec 20 => Green
Dec 21 => Green
GOING SHORT IN XAGUSD BY TRADING STRATEGYBearish Indications
1. Trend is Mature Enough
2. Bearish Engulfing
3. Retest Resistance Level
4. Bearish ABCD Pattern
5. Bearish Divergence
Bullish Indications
1. Dow Theory Higher Highs and Lows
2. If it breaks the resistance it will continue its rally
3. According to seasonal data silver remains bullish in December
Going LONG EURJPY By Trading StrategyBullish Indications
1. Higher Highs and Lows
2. Tweezer Bottom and Bullish Engulfing on HL
3. Break 0.5 fib support level
4. Break Upper Resistance Trendline
5. Formation of Bullish Flag
6.12 out of 16 years December remains bullish
7. Trend is not mature enough to make it a reversal
Seasonal Data for the Past 15-16 Years
Dec-06 => Green
Dec-07 => Green
Dec-08 => Green
Dec-09 => Green
Dec-10 => Red
Dec-11 => Red
Dec-12 => Green
Dec-13 => Green
Dec-14 => Red
Dec-15 => Green
Dec-16 => Green
Dec-17 => Green
Dec-18 => Red
Dec-19 => Green
Dec-20 => Green
Dec-21 => Green
#GBPNZD selling opportunityPrice has been trapped in a rangy market for quite some time, but as it can be seen finally managed to break the consolidation area to the downside which means more downside move can be followed. this kind of formation base on DOW theory area called line formation and by the way they are considered as very important when they break to the one side.
As it can be seen we are already in down trend and breakout of the range area from below shows that a trend may potentially resume. But also it should be in mind that the breakout can always turn to be fake signals and also price can still come higher and take out liquidity from above too.
But for now and to keep things simple we need to be looking at the nearest resistance area to the price which is a structure point, because it used to provide support for price before and now that price broke this area to the down it could provide resistance. and as you can see price already came back to this area once and rejected from.
Now and in the second try if price reject to the downside from this area after a liquidation you can say that this area would hold and selling is an option.
GOING LONG IN NZDUSDI am taking a long position in NZDUSD due to the formation of an inverse head and shoulder pattern as we saw in the chart it also broke the resistance trend line as well as break the neckline so we have confirmation of the pump equal to the length from the head to the neckline
The Head and shoulder is a reversal pattern so it can change the trend also from bullish to bearish after retesting the height as we expect it to touch
Let's see what happens
Entry: 0.63030
SL: 0.62629
TP: 0.63390
Lots: 0.4