$EURUSD Appears to have failed below the #FOMC high, carving a lower high around 1.0950. Shorts valid with stops above swing high, targeting the bottom (1:2.5 Risk:Reward), continuation. Stop should be trailed if aiming for continuation.
My longterm target is done. Faster then expected, but I was sure it will. Now it was hit. But. Right now, I can see no end. Two possible points in the chart, but no signs that would support any of them. Basically the 1,07 is a "good" looking target, the 1:1 is the magic number target. But. I am totally unsure where this will end. When I am sure Part 7 will...
EUR/USD has crushed 2005 low and now I would expect him to reach 0.38% fib (1.1212) or 1.0743 which has been a important level. Keep watching this 2 levels. However, I do not recommend to sell in current levels especially with Draghi speaking on Thursday. Bellow the 0.50% (+triangle line) I am bearish: 1.2133 Good luck! Thiago...
The EURUSD is currently trading in a multi-year demand zone on the weekly chart. Since 2004, the pair has reached this area four times, each resulting in a nice upward trend. On the other hand, if this zone is broken, the pair could freefall. If the euro can muster enough support within this zone (which extends to 1.1685) the pair could see a rather nice pullback...
Mr. Draghi keeps helping us sneak closer to our 2nd target. He must be reading our posts ;) Nonetheless, we have pulled stops down to where our first target was hit. We are so close to the 2nd target that we need to tighten things up. It would be foolish to get this close and let a huge swing take us out. This has been a great trade and has paid us nicely. ...
SHORT SWING TRADE he EURUSD is in a really good trend right now. It has been in this range on the 60m chart for the last 3 weeks trending lower. I think that this is a good trend and will be trending this way for the next week in the very least. The average trade swing length is roughly 36-60 hours with an average swing of about 100 pips. I will be going in...
It's been a rough go around for pattern trades as of late (I'll talk more about that in my Weekend Review tonight www.youtube.com) But if the pattern is valid and meets you ROE's then you've got to pull the trigger. I'm still holding the 2nd half of my position on a EURUSD short from earlier in the week, but today we've got both a bullish gartley and a bearish...
After BCE draghi announcement and break structure of 1.30 and chanel. We might go down until new structure support at 1.2770
As can be seen in the chart the red marker was spot on. I do not paint these things just for fun, but when they hit the mark like this, it is extremely fascinating. :)
As in the title there are 2 base scenarios for EUR/USD for few next weeks (Yeah I'm a wizard and I know it can go up or down :P ) Let's start with the short scenario Techs : Just simple plain Price Action.. new lows after new lows and then another new lows for 3 months ? Why would we try to catch falling knife.. Every support present on daily chart was...
The ECB monetary policy press conference is almost here. I believe that Draghi will use this opportunity to push the Euro lower. The inflation rate doesn't look good at all. I believe that he will say nothing in the first part of his speech, creating some volatility and drag the euro down in his second part (or so I hope :) ). From the technical perspective the...
We saw that the uptrend from the end of 2013 got destroyed just by one sentence: "We are going to manage the strenght of the Euro against the Dollar in June." The market got in a really overextended selling rally. Additional to that "market panic" positive US ecenomy values got released and Ukraine crisis destroyed stocks and indices of the european countries....
In principale market has already priced ECB interst rate decision i.e to lower the interest rate and refi rate to negatif. Therefore is no decision is taken, Eur will jump high against USD. If the decision of ECB is limited to interst rate cut, then, there may be a swift move down to 1.355 or even bellow to 1.352 but the buyers will come back on the market,...
For a few weeks I was writting about the Trend of EUR and making some daily updates sinceApril on twitter and since I am a member of tradingview. Therefore to recall, since Early April , The first part of my trading plan was to enter a long on EURUSD from 1.37until 1.40. We didn't arrive exactly to 1.40 but 1.3990XXX And then, the move down with a...
A short squeeze will be on the cards the closer we get to the ECB announcement and/or immediately after the announcement. I firmly believe you do not do extreme measures with stocks at all time highs. They will do enough not to be laughed at by the markets and this may include the negative interest rates but they will leave a lot of powder dry and i suspect a ...
Looking for a move above 1.4000 in coming months as the Jawboning of the ECB become less effective and the USD slow burn continues. Expect this to continue as current account remains positive in Eurozone. Dangers to this forecast include -- 1) May stock Correction which could lead to an EUR/JPY correction. 2) Current account surplus falls as Spanish/Italy/greek...