Copper - The impact of China's support packagesCopper is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. As long as copper is in the range, selling at the ceiling and buying at the bottom of the range will be recommended.
If copper falls due to the release of today's economic data, we can see demand zone and buy within that zone with a suitable risk reward. If the upward trend starts and the ceiling of the range is broken, it is possible to sell copper in the specified supply zone.
Chinese banks have recently reduced interest rates on existing mortgage loans, which amount to a total of 25.2 trillion yuan. This move aims to support the real estate market and bolster China’s economy.
Meanwhile, the CEO of Maersk stated that they do not expect to navigate the Red Sea efficiently until 2025. Additionally, they see no signs of a decline in global demand or transaction volumes in the coming months.
Maersk, one of the largest shipping companies in the world, was founded in Denmark in 1904 and is known for its extensive operations in maritime shipping, logistical services, transport, and financial services.
On Tuesday, the World Bank reported that global commodity prices are projected to drop to their lowest in five years by 2025. In its latest Commodity Markets Outlook (CMO), the bank noted that despite this decline, overall commodity prices will remain 30% higher than five years before the COVID-19 pandemic. Although forecasts vary by commodity, improved supply conditions are cited as a key factor in the overall price reduction.
A Reuters survey predicts that the global economy will grow by 3.1% in 2024 and 3.0% in 2025. These figures mark a change compared to the July survey, which projected 3.1% growth for both years.
According to a recent analytical note from Bank of America, U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) for this month are expected to increase by around 100,000 jobs, a significant decrease from the 254,000 jobs added in September. This decline is primarily attributed to disruptions caused by Hurricane Milton and the Boeing workers’ strike, which likely reduced job opportunities and working hours.
Drcopper
Dr Copper - Copper continue to decline!?Copper is located in a 4H timeframe, lower than EMA200 and EMA50 and is trading in its mid -term descending channel
Short -term copper purchases can be sought if the downtrend continues to reach the demand zone, which is also intertwined with the weekly copper pivot
The upward correction of copper to the specified supply zones will provide us the sell position
Dr Copper - Which direction will copper go!?Copper is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel
The basis of short-term trading can be considered as breaking or maintaining the drawn short-term upward trend line
The failure of this line and copper reaching the demand zone will provide short-term buying conditions for copper
On the other hand, the authentic failure of the downward channel and copper reaching the supply zone, which is also at the intersection with the copper monthly pivot, will provide us with the opportunity to sell it with a suitable risk reward
Dr Copper ~ Snapshot TA / Contraction x Expansion = InflectionIt ain't easy being DR CAPITALCOM:COPPER
Peaked in March 2022, only to crash -38% & bottomed-out in July 2022.
Since then it has fluctuated between Contraction (will Global Economy collapse?) versus Expansion (will Global Economy recover?), while also contending with outlook of China's Economy, yeesh lol.
Copper's price action has also been compressing, as descending trend-line squeezes current Trading Range against ascending Parallel Channel.
This suggests momentum will eventually need to "pop" in either direction...but it could also continue trading sideways a little longer while more data is disseminated by Market Makers to make a confident decision, TBC.
Tick tock, time is running out for the Doctor..
Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :)
AMEX:COPX AMEX:CPER COMEX:HG1! COMEX:HG2!
Elliott wave Analysis of Dr. CopperCopper is in downtrend from the high of March-07-2022, as per elliott wave analysis the copper seems to be in (corrective) 4th wave. If my analysis and wave counts holds good, then the 4th wave should end below the low of wave 1 which is "4.0346". The 4th wave should clearly show the ABC corrective pattern.
The trade idea is to SHORT COPPER in the 5th wave, there is no way to predict exact point when the 5th wave will start and end. But if the copper price keeps going up respecting 4th wave, we will have a good trade.
Possible reversal from 4th to 5th wave can be determined by superimposing Weekly and Monthly Pivot Points on top of the elliott waves, I expect it to happen in early August. I will post an update whether we have a trade or not, until then keep an eye on Dr. Copper.
Copper Long- Breaking downtrend (purple line)
- I am a buyer at confirmed breakout of first Retracement level (yellow line)
- Volume Profile suggest we could see the price move from current levels to 2.83 and even 2.9 with little resistance (according to 1D volume profile)
- This kind of attempted breakout, seems to common amongst the commodities complex.
Counters:
- as always, short squeeze
- DXY strengh
- continued CNY/CNH weakness