Being a little crazy and bold here - short crude, long drip"Golden Cross" of SMA 100 intersecting the SMA 111 acts contrarily to standard Golden Cross implications and could signal a correction as seen in January. As the relationship decreases in price, Crude down, DRIP up. Looks like it might break down vs SMA 350 (gold colored line) as well. An answer should be given within the next week given prior timelines.
DRIP
DRIP long ideaWith the OIL cycle coming to an end, 50 + days, I am watching DRIP as a possible counter trade. If the price can get over the 50 and break the trend line this could be a good runner. Maybe we get a repeat of March? You could buy here with a stop below the current price. The only draw back is that the OIL producers may not trade directly with OIL.
GUSH Long IdeaThe price of GUSH is finally moving sideways instead of down. The price is being supported by the lower long term trend line. Very high selling volume, maybe reaching an end. I still don't have a buy signal for GUSH yet but its close. What interests me is the BUY signal I got in USOIL . If OIL moves higher, and it appears as if it is, can GUSH not be far behind?
DripI believe for most of us who have traded there have been times when we recognize when we had an urgency to take a trade in a very unclear market when we knew in a conscious or subconscious manner that this was a very uncomfortable trade we were about to make. Even if we have systematic ways to judge risk and reward and trade management, something inside of us is very uncomfortable about a trade we are about to take, and about to lose money. For most of us we know there are times when we felt the urgency and simultaneously felt the threat of a trade that we are about to take. We can even put a lot more time and analysis, and this can perhaps compel us that we must take a trade even though we don't feel much better, but we worked hard and did our best to reach a trade decision. We all know how this can turn out.
This video is about simple notation on a chart with much less detail that I would normally add to a chart in order to see how different high opportunity set ups look compared to more ambiguous and lower opportunities. The fact is systematically electing to find a trade in problematic markets generally will lose money, and it will not generally give you the best reward in my opinion. Each of us has to decide about markets in a very personal way. My belief is that some behaviors are much more reliable and give greater profit, and I believe simple notation can result in more clarity and better outcomes. I believe it is better to be a flea sitting on the back of an elephant then being a flea running headlong into an elephant running the opposite direction.
See what you think about the few lines that are on this chart, and if it resonates with you or might be something you think deserves more attention: then add Trip to your watchlist, and draw the basic lines as there are not many and then follow this market. You may have a market that you normally follow, then consider placing lines like this on one of your charts for that market and follow it for a while. If you don't draw the lines, you simply won't use this kind of analysis. If your impression is that this analysis has no value then there's no reason to draw the lines.
GUSH Long ideaIf you have been watching oil and the energy sector you've seen quite a decline lately. It could be that the energy sector bottomed 2 days ago. Look at that lower trend line. touched several times and very nice gains after ward. I would be willing to bet the bottom is in for GUSH. I usually like to wait to see the price regain the 10 sma and get above the supporting moving averages. BUT, if your brave. A low risk setup because you can set your stop at the recent low.
How does WTI Crude look in terms of looming economic crisis?We all know it is coming. To chart the pattern of the crisis look to the incoming 5g technology deadlines. 2020 is the deadline. Go back to 3/4 g deadlines and upgrades. 3g=1999-2000. 4g=208-2009. Look it all up and do the math. Everything is at the top in terms of the market. Commodities are coming off bottoms. How hard is this to see? Not hard unless you are blind.