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Armageddon after the election, huh?Someone yesterday dumped a lot of money into an options portfolio, that's designed to lower the price of December US10-year Bond futures. That automatically means more US 10Y yield, and since there's a strong correlation with the Dollar, it also means the Dollar is going up. The most curious thing is watching how the S&P 500 makes ATH during rising Dollar. Such synchronicity has historically led to powerful corrections, and something tells me that it will not be the Dollar. Now, I ain't saying we should all go out and start selling stocks like never before. But what I am sayin' is that maybe, just maybe, we should take a step back and look at the bigger picture. Maybe the market's got some more room to run, and maybe we should be lookin' for opportunities to get in on the action. So, yeah, the option sentiment's looking a little bearish, but that don't mean we should all be running for the hills just yet. Let's keep our cool, do our research, and see what the market's got in store for us.
CBOT:ZNZ2024
by ClashChartsTeam
Market Sentiment and Trend Prediction System. Predictive Model. The codes listed below (free&easy;), detailed steps to follow for developing the event prediction system: 1. **Collecting Data**: we will need to gather data from various sources. We can use Python-based web scraping libraries like Beautiful Soup and Scrapy to extract data from news websites and social media platforms (scraping exports data from websites, it is safe and legal, but better contact website admins and ask for authorization) 2. **Cleaning and Preprocessing Data**: After collecting the data, we need to clean and preprocess it. We can use Python libraries like Pandas and NumPy to remove duplicates, missing values, and irrelevant information. 3. **Natural Language Processing**: Once the data is cleaned, we can use natural language processing (NLP) techniques to extract insights from the text data. For example, we can use the NLTK library to perform tokenization, stemming, and lemmatization on the text data. 4. **Model Building**: We can use machine learning algorithms like Random Forest, Gradient Boosted Trees, or Support Vector Machines (SVMs) to build predictive models. These models can help us predict the occurrence of an event or the sentiment associated with a specific topic. 5. **Dashboard and Visualization**: Finally, we can create an intuitive dashboard using tools like Tableau or Power BI to display the analyzed data in real-time. We can use interactive visualizations like bar graphs, pie charts, and heat maps to provide users with a clear understanding of the events and their impacts. 6. **Testing and Deployment**: Once the system is developed, we need to test it thoroughly to ensure that it is delivering the expected results. We can use various testing frameworks like pytest, unittest, or nosetests to automate the testing process. Once testing is completed, we can deploy the system to the production environment. 7. **Regular Maintenance and Updates**: We also need to ensure that the system is continuously monitored. The codes : Termux (the app is in playstore, github etc, to excute python files, or commands,for every step, some general commands and libraries that you might find useful: 1. Collecting Data: - To install Scrapy, run `pip install scrapy`. - To install Beautiful Soup, run `pip install beautifulsoup4`. - To scrape data from a webpage using Scrapy, run `scrapy crawl `. - To scrape data from a webpage using Beautiful Soup, use Python's built-in `urllib` or `requests` module to fetch the webpage's HTML. Then, use Beautiful Soup to parse the HTML and extract the relevant data. 2. Cleaning and Preprocessing Data: - To install Pandas, run `pip install pandas`. - To install NumPy, run `pip install numpy`. - To remove duplicates, use Pandas' `drop_duplicates()` function. - To remove missing values, use Pandas' `dropna()` function. - To filter out irrelevant data, use Pandas' indexing functions like `loc` and `iloc`. 3. Natural Language Processing: - To install NLTK, run `pip install nltk`. - To perform tokenization, run `nltk.tokenize.word_tokenize(text)`. - To perform stemming, run `nltk.stem.PorterStemmer().stem(word)`. - To perform lemmatization, run `nltk.stem.WordNetLemmatizer().lemmatize(word)`. 4. Model Building: - To install scikit-learn, run `pip install scikit-learn`. - To instantiate a Random Forest classifier, run `from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier; clf = RandomForestClassifier()`. - To fit the model to the data, run `clf.fit(X_train, y_train)`, where `X_train` is the input data and `y_train` is the output labels. - To use the model to make predictions, run `clf.predict(X_test)`. 5. Dashboard and Visualization: - To install Tableau, follow the instructions on their website. - To install Power BI, follow the instructions on their website. - To create a bar graph in Python, use the `matplotlib` library: `import matplotlib.pyplot as plt; plt.bar(x, y); plt.show()`. - To create a pie chart in Python, use `plt.pie(values, labels=labels); plt.show()`. - To create a heat map in Python, use `sns.heatmap(data, cmap='coolwarm'); plt.show()` (assuming you have installed the Seaborn library). These are general commands and libraries that you can use as a starting point. If you need me to explain how to use termux, let me know.
Education
by Moroccolover
3