MACRO VIEW: S&P500 CUTS SHORT TERM RISK - AGAINOver the last week S&P500 has broken above both 1-year and quarterly downtrend borders, marked by the lower 1st standard deviations from the 1-year and quarterly years respectively
It already happened back in September, but this time the downtrends are most likely over - the price tagged the quarterly mean, thus cancelling the quarterly downtrend completely
The positive developments are supported by the related Dow Jones indices (Paper and Transportation - displayed as blue and orange lines on the chart)
So we can conclude that the much feared earnings seasons has actually improved the situation on the key benchmark and can lead to its compete recovery to summer highs.
DSPP
DSPP RISKS TO KEEP FALLING Dow Jones US Paper Index is likely to keep falling if price holds below 1st standard deviation from its quarterly (66 day) moving average.
However traders looking to short the index should be aware of pullback risks if price to hold above recent lows at 157.5. Best short positions are to be found closer to the 1st standard deviation, now standing at ~163.5.