Mass Hysteria example: The CoronaVirusNot sure what chart to use to post this but I think gold is a good one, no element has caused so much emotional reactions in humans so it's quite fitting.
Fearmongerers (I wonder how many are just looking for attention) are using the emergence of this virus for making doomday predictions & getting likes from "the crowd".
Paranoia spreads on social networks. We are supposed to have access to more information with the internet but all I see going up is mass hysterias, ponzi schemes, misinformation... Althought it also seems alot of people think critically and are able to seek out and learn the truth thing they were not able to do in the past when they smelled something fishy.
What is it really?
Coronaviruses are viruses that cause common colds type of diseases in mammals and birds. In humans, most forms are light, but a few can be lethal: SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome or SARS-CoV), MERS or MERS-CoV (Middle East Respiratory Syndrome), and the latest one named nCoV (for now, the n is for novel I think).
SARS appeared in late 2002 and no case have been reported since 2004. Most of it happened in china & hkg. Some chinese ate some bats or something and the virus mutated in the human host.
So first of all it is not new, maybe a new mutation. This time it would seem that a chinese ate a snake.
With SARS 8000 people got infected and close to 800 died so the death rate was almost 10%, with the new one the rate is probably 4-5% but it spreads more easilly.
It's not nearly as big as ebola and aids. But the herd is treating it as a new zombie apocalypse.
And as always... racism. Since the chinese bring those virusses to humans because they eat bats dogs snaked bugs etc, people are pointing it out. And news are complaining about it. But I mean... it's not like the little ice age violent scapegoating (in particular witches aka single ladies getting burned alive and also jew mass murders). And they ARE transmitting those viruses to humans because they eat "other" animals.
This is alot of what trading is: while the monkeys get all excited and believe in nonsense and/or overexagerate reality, the smart speculator keeps a cool head and makes money from it.
This phenomenon (mass hysterias/euphorias) has always existed and was recognized for millenia.
In 1841 the book "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" was published, and it has remained a reference.
Back in the 1920s it is said a famous financeer, Bernard Baruch, required anyone that was going to work for him to have read it, he sold all of his stock before the 1929 market crash and claimed lessons from this book made him do it.
Imma just copy this from wikipedia:
Same story over and over. We can just look at how this story develops and learn more about this phenomenon.
There's some phases but does it always have to work the same way?
1 People learn about it and don't really care
2 Fearmongerers or shills spread their nonsense around
3 Sheep start noticing other sheep also talking about it and be afraid or excited so as they want to fit in they start caring
4 The herd goes full hysteria/euphoria and no this does not mean it's instantly over as it can last a while
5 It flops and the dumb money (or we can just call them complete braindead morons) is in denial
6 Two possibilities: Over a very long period it fades, OR the herd gets bored and looks for something else (hysteria crashes very fast)
This is how I would describe it, for my first attempt.
Here are the subjects the book I mentionned studies:
Fascinating.
Here are the first few lines from the book:
I am eager to see mass panic over this new virus mutation with at least 0.00000000000001% odds of catching it and dying and spectate how crazy the sheeple becomes and how many lies spread and most of all how idiotic and grandiose they are :D
A last word:
I.
LOVE.
BITCONNNEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEECT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
;)
Dumbmoney
A reminder to my bigger plan = The big shorter Hedgehog ;)So I wanted to remind you guys my bigger bearish picture which i was talking about since June when we reached 12k-14k....
Are we entering the final phase? 16/12/19 is very important date, this week/month should show us the direction BTC chose for the next few months:
- Either we test the weekly cloud and bounce up and start new trend line with higher highs and higher lows...
- Or we fail to bounce and crush below it to sum up my entire conclusion towards the last most important support at 5-5.5k (which is also above the weekly e200)
*** Dont forget that
* 16/12/17 BTC was at top: 19-20k
* and on the 16/12/18 BTC was at bottom: 3.1k
* This is why I think that 16/12/19 entire week should show us the next 4-6 months path.. (PS: Bloody Monday anyone xd)
- Halving: was already priced in at 14k
- Most people/communities/groups paid/free believe this is going to explode and bring the next bull run, but when most think X, usually Y happens, I go against all... and thus I think we will have a nice good falling months...
- Halving scarcity real impact happens after real smart money accumulated the fallen "dumb money", smart money will start the next bull run a few months after halving, this is also when the OSTs will start rising up and replace ICOs age, 90% of Crypto out there wont participate in them and will die out slowly and painfully, only rare few will rise together with BTC, so choose well which can benefit from OSTs.
* My only concern is the big depression and how will it effect Bitcoin?
- Will OSTs rush for the biggest and fastest dot com push before all collapses?
- Will OSTs have much less of an impact on Crypto, and institutions will prefer cash out?
- Will the big depression will have any impact on BTC at all?
* No one can be 100% sure, and those who tell you otherwise are lying to you, but I will recommend this:
- If we are going to see this month that we are going down? then accumulate anything you the lower we go the more you accumulate, but don't go all in in now way!!, accumulate every 250$ drop, I'm starting to look and change my bearish bias to bullish when we get to 5-5.5k, this is where I will start accumulating BTC big time, if we go lower then that? i will keep accumulating monthly, even if we get to 1-3k with big crushes due to the big depression i will keep accumulating, because I always believed that BTC has still the potential to get to 35-50k, and then 80-120k, and who knows, if its technology improved (as for now, last 2 years it was disappointment in fundamentals) then we can easily achieve mass adaption within 10 years and get to 1-10m$$$.....
- If we are going to see this month that we are going up? then I will start looking to change my bearish bias at 8-12k only if we create a 'fan' of higher and higher trend lines... (and some other confirmations that I'm looking to mark on my list)
BTCUSD Short-Term ShortEveryone on TV is predictably long BTC. So, naturally, here is my short.
Supplementary reasoning: Most people who trade BTC will be out trick or treating and partying this week, so big speculators (are there any in BTC?) will run the market to a new low.
"The safe way to double your money is to fold it over once and put it in your pocket."
LTC/BTC - Monitoring the 1D ChartLitecoin doesn't make a lot of sense to Bitcoin fans, and is seen as some kind of 'regular cola' imitation thing.
But it's friendly image, attractive price and pole position on Coinbase makes it popular with the dumb, unthinking first time gamblers who waddle in to the crypto casino.
For that reason I want to keep an eye on it while we wait for an (inevitable!) resurgence in altcoins.
Will update this regularly with thoughts on how it develops. Expect a relief bounce at one of the old support levels that are detailed with the blue lines.
Could it be now that we see this ponzi scheme collapse?Beyond Meat, Net Income...
Q2 2019: -$9.4 million
Q1 2019: -$6.6 million
Q4 2018: -$7.4 million
Q3 2018: -$9.3 million
Q2 2018: -$7.4 million
Q1 2018: -$5.7 million
Q4 2017: -$7.0 million
Hu Hu Hu.
Beyond meat market capitalization (14B) places it above 30% of S&P500 companies.
Not overvalued at all. Scaaaaam. What idiots bought? Robinbros?
Beyond Ponzi just announced a secondary share offering of 3.45 million shares.
I wonder what could go wrong?
The GoPro experience (another CNBC favorite):
Reminds me of ripple also (aaaand another CNBC favorite), with founders (also early adopters still up 10,000% with the price down more than 90% from ath) just dumping since their ponzi made them billionaires.
I am eager to see the clowns that joyfully and aggressively bought get slapped in the face and learn a harsh lesson about reality.
There are still people buying this ponzi scheme :oI thought every one figured out this was a blatant ponzi scheme.
Insiders did make up fake partnerships. Insiders (cost basis of zero btw) did keep selling in plain sight.
Incredible... They sure don't call it "dumb money" for nothing.
From 3.50 to 0.0005 LOL! This will be hilarous.
Probably bounces on the way down, but ultimate fate is ZERO.
I see a big buy with no stop loss at sub 1 cent. Stop loss is zero, target is *10 or more. At minimum *5.
When I say big I don't mean the position size but how I view the trade, as a "big one".
No point having a stop loss, might as well hold bags. Risking 1 to make 10. No point trying to risk 0.5. This is how I see it.
The lower it goes, as long as it does not go straight to zero, the harder it will bounce and go to 1 cent or more at least (even if it falls another 50%).
If this scam gets banned by then or exit scams all at once the trade is invalidated.
I have no interest in the 10 cents and 5 cents supports. Staying away.