Dump
S&P looking sketchyThis market has been pumping non stop for a couple years now, but it's foundations are just debt and printed money. I hope that the economy doesn't collapse because, well, that wouldn't be too fun, but with an RSI as high as this and a 25%+ gain YTD in the middle of a pandemic, I don't think this can go much further. Let's just hope that Jerome Powell stop's flushing the American economy down the drain.
BTC couldn't even touch 43k, pathethic. PA similar to 2018. What made BTC go this high?
People bored at home because of lockdown looking for dopamine rush
People who didn't enter crypto thrown their savings money
Stimulus
The endless pump of stocks
But now all of this is ended! Once we dump below 40k I don't expect to reach it for a couple of years
ICARUS PATTERN - WINGS GONEIcarus flew too close to the sun and lost his wings out of selfishness and curiosity. The price action for Bitcoin was insane today, although I didn’t expect it to last. We approached the top of the triangle pattern and rejected $42K as expected…..For Now I remain bearish as the market is due for a massive correction. Stock markets look synthetically pumped up there’s no reason in the world we have such a booming market besides screwing over other countries with sanctions and then inflation which nobody seems to care about until next week when we see a TON of profit taking and dumping. Purely speculative. This growth cannot be sustained, the market makers are literally just waiting for retail dumb investors to buy into Bitcoin and then they will send it back to $20K maybe even $12K some models are predicting the retrace to macro support line. We need a lower low to get above and beyond. Once again, we do not have the common goal aligned to get BTC to $100K because the rich are going to keep us in the market cycle. Currently shorting Bitcoin to $20.5K from here. Good Luck.
BTC and All markets are going to dump hard, be carefulthis ideas shows a potential dump, i believe that this dump is happening in near future, if it does not play out, then we are safe, if it plays out then you have to be ready for it, keep strict stop loss to all trades, collect profits as they happen and do not get greedy, moving averages and bollinger bands analysis on 3 days chart and weekly chart both anticipate the worst case scenario (red), daily chart analysis is mostly playing the best case scenario ( green ) or the yellow scenario
note: constitutional investors are starting to accumulate huge short positions, im playing for the worst case scenario which is 8-18 k Fibonacci extention shows 9128 while fibonacci retracement shows 10617
note: drawn scenarios are seperate from shown dates, it was expanded for the drawing to be clear
stay safe, happy grinding
NVDA 182 PRICE TARGET - BY MARCH 21NVDA should hit a price of 182 on or before March 21st - if this level does not hold, it should continue down near the 160 range.
The Volume and On Balance Volume helps confirm this. As far as patterns go, NVDA seems to be at the top of a strong channel, and has plenty of room to descent.
I will be looking for puts on NVDA in the coming days.
SPY COULD FORM A MACRO WEDGE - INTEREST RATESGet your tin foil hats ready for this one folks. It's a long shot, but just throwing this perspective out there to see how it lands in a few weeks.
SPY loves to form wedges, especially after the breakout of other patterns.
In this case, SPY was forming quite the strong channel since September, until it broke out in January (see chart below)
Now that it has broken out, and volatility is at its highest, one potential outcome is SPY / SPX forming a wedge to calm the storm.
Here is where it gets interesting - charts also love symmetry. The price action on one side of a pattern often times matches the price action on the opposite side as well (time is a factor that affects how this looks on the chart, either squeezing or elongating the trends)
Before SPY dumped in January, it had a stair stepping, wedge-like pattern on it's way up - which took 200 days to reach ATH from $415 (a key level). SEE BELOW
Now here is where the tinfoil hat comes on. So far, SPY has mimicked the double bottom formation first seen on the left side. SEE BELOW
Notice both form a 'W' shape, with the left side having less volatility, and therefore having more time to form price action (30 days)
The right side having more volatility, formed a similar pattern in 10 days. 1/3 of the time
This would make sense if we also look at the volume, which is on average 2.4x higher than last September / October.
Following this same logic, we should reach 415 in approximately 1/3 the time it took for SPY to reach ATH from 415 (200 days mentioned previously.)
That means it would take ROUGHLY 66 days to reach 415 from ATH -- March 11 -- The Friday before the first released rate hike and when the FED will release their interest rate plans. This would put the March 15 - 16 FOMC meeting right at the vertex of this wedge.
The MACD also confirms this in a way. If SPY continues its current MACD trend on the Monthly, it should approach baseline in March, flipping red (Take a look at SPY chart, and what happens when the monthly MACD flips red without a catalyst like the FED meeting.)
It also means we could see a more volatile spike to around 460 in the very short term (first week of February or so) and then a trend down from there.
What are some problems with this perspective? It's based entirely off of connecting dots that may not even be there. Also, with all of the news and volatility happening right now, SPY could do something completely un-organized and un-predictable, but it doesn't hurt to try.
This post was written largely for fun, and I'll keep the analysis in the back of my mind. However, I do not plan on basing any of my strategies or trades on the idea alone.
Let's see how poorly this ages ;)
- Thanks for reading!
BITCOIN FRACTAL. Big Move incoming this Monday. 4hr.As we can see there is a fractal pattern forming on the 4hr timeframe.
Monday is always a false move and we may see a return to the mean reversal in the middle week.
As we can see there was a big pump and dump last week, followed by are small to medium time frame is happening since friday, we may see a big sweep playout this time , dump and pump.
If this plays out, many traders get reked. others will be millionaires.
Trade safe. Sending love to all.
There Are Two Possibilities in the large time frame!Despite how bullish bitcoin is these days as fundamental says, of course, fundamental of the structure of the blockchain and any other technologies, not the WAR News,markets largest crypto would crash as bad as you can see on the chart, yes the blue scenario I mean, the blue scenario would be triggered if you ask me, of course, we’ll wait and see in the next months.
The priority for us in positions is SHORT!
Not a financial Advice, and like always, try to double manage on your capital, and don't forget the sentence,
Whatever can happen on a chart, will happen!
Everything will be fine 🤡Wake up boomers, your pension funds are not safe.
But for real everything looks awful. This is not your "standard correction" like the covid dump in 2020. This is VERY real after we lost weekly support and the momentum to the down side is very strong.
For the ones that are not prepared you are in for a rude awakening.