Dump
TRX Tron Potential Death Spiral similar to Terra LUNAHistory repeats itself for those who haven't learned from it.
SEC Charges Crypto Entrepreneur Justin Sun and his Companies for Fraud and Other Securities Law Violations.
Eight celebrities also charged for illegal touting of Sun’s crypto asset securities. But let`s say the market doesn`t care about he Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit, like we can see reflected in TRX price right now, but...
The reason for the potential collapse of TRX Tron is their stablecoin, USDD.
According to their website, USDD is secured by the over-collateralization of multiple mainstream digital assets (e.g. TRX , BTC , and USDT). The total value of collateralized assets is significantly higher than that of USDD in circulation with the collateral ratio set at 120%.
This is the USDD collateral:
TRX 10,929,535,279
BTC 14,040.6 = about $313Mil
USDT 29,964,253
USDC 39,719,839
so besides TRX , the total amount of other collateral is $383Mil for a stablecoin that has a mk cap of $724Mil.
Now let`s say TRX drops to the Covid level of $0.0072, which is not unrealistic in my opinion.
Then the TRX collateral of 10,929,535,279 coin will be worth $78,692,654.
Assuming that BTC won`t go lower, then still the liquid collateral of USDD will be around $462Mil for a mk cap now of $724Mil, which will result in a huge depegging od the "stablecoin".
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
WTI - GAP CORRECTIONThe Biden administration said the surprise oil output cuts announced on Sunday by Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ countries were not advisable. The west is not excited by the price development and we can expect an answer to keep the black gold in a reasonable range. Mid-70s is working well to reduce inflation and keep the economy running, that's why a logical move is to boost production supply as a corrective measure.
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🔥 Bitcoin Dumping On Silvergate Contagion FearsYesterday, the share price of Silvergate, a cryptocurrency-focused US bank, dropped by nearly 50% in early trading after it delayed publication of its annual report and announced a fresh sale of assets to repay debts, while warning that it was assessing its ability to continue as a going concern. The delay and warning were prompted by its exposure to the collapse of crypto exchange FTX, which it said could hit its profitability, and the possibility of further regulatory scrutiny and legal action. Major partners, including crypto exchange Coinbase, have dropped Silvergate in response.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Naturally, this is bad news for crypto. A lot of fears about FTX and contagion have been re-awoken and investors decided to dump their tokens.
In my view, Bitcoin looks bearish in the short- to medium-term. In my previous rising wedge analysis I mentioned that a bearish break out could lead us to $21,500, but now I think we can even go lower because this is not a "technical" dump, but a news-related one. Once word gets out that big crypto players got hurt by Silvergate, we might see more (forced) selling ahead.
FTM/USDT SHORT IDEAFTM/USDT SHORT IDEA
FTM puked along Bitcoin
If we can reclaim the line above CMP I expect some consolidation before spiking up and filling the FVG above
afterwards I expect a rejecttion to the downside
If price gets above the HTF downtrend (trendline) we could move higher. (invalidation point)