DUST
The case for QUAD-digit silverIs it so difficult to imagine silver going 10x over the next 3-4 years? That would put the price over 290 per oz. What about a 30-40x move to over 1000 per oz? I can make an easy case for triple & quadruple digit silver over the next decade just by looking at the silver : M2 money supply. The creation of our currency = inflation. While this inflation (expansion) tends to go into financial assets first, it will catch up with the real economy in time. I believe deflation is temporary and the lag that we're witnessing is similar to the count down before a rocket takes off. Take a look at the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. We have a problem and it's going to catch up with us quickly. Look at the chart below of SILVER:M2 to understand where silver price is in relation to M2 money supply and how historically cheap silver actually still is..
GOLD ascending triangle$gld $gdx $nugt $dust $jdst $jnug $gdxj $slv $sil
I'm bullish on gold no matter what technical patterns are at play. This is an interesting pattern I've not spotted until the last few months. Looks like a legitimate ascending triangle and measured breakout. Will it break above and never look back or will it correct and land on top to test the triangle? Doesn't matter to me. Either you hold it or you don't.
Golden Title MatchThe Spring season ends within a few weeks. Golden bulls and bears are about to go head to head for season champion.
Bulls will surely win next season, but this season is still close. Bears have a chance for a final round comeback.
Bulls will try to go for the kill this week with a break out of H(1) wedge, while bears try to extend the match to the larger H(4) wedge.
I think the match will not be decided until the end of the month.
Bearish on Africa Gold minerWhy the Bearish on Gold miner?
Africa is shut Down for 14 days!, all mining activity shutdown!
Most Africa based miners are DOWN!!
Pending follow up with more EURO shutdowns.
sooo?
SOOOOO, This company is up because Gold is UP, Please buy it because they think it's GOLD!
EVEN So, people only buy gold due to fear of recession bets and fear of the weak dollar.
But guess what? GOld will crash if we have a flash crash anyways!!!
that means, we will win, if market crashes hardcore, and we would win if market continues to rally up and cancels recession fear.
Win WIN
AU- Short Shares
IDEAL on Short entry - $24.50
Buy to cover $16.23
buy to cover Trailing stop $4
GDX/DUST: Gold miners still looking overboughtDon't get me wrong, I love gold/precious metals and the miners but sometimes a little perspective is needed. The miners index is in nosebleed territory with 92% bullish and negative divergence on the RSI(5) and MACD. Then I started looking at DUST, an inverse ETF and a large bullish wedge is appearing.
Short GDXJShorting GDXJ from $37.17 with a target of $27.86 to $30.00.
---------------
I believe that with markets potential to fall we will likely see another round of weakness, even if briefly, for the miners and gold in general. The potential for more profit taking or selling for margin have been greatly increased with the rapid rise in GDXJ over the past week and with markets at approximately 50% retracement levels from the highs respectively. If you feel unsure about shorting gold in this bull market you are smart, this is for risk oriented traders. If you are not going to short you may want to take profits for the time being in hopes of buying in lower. I would not look buy back in until either lower prices or up trend is certified by price action as intact (potentially even breaking past prior high). One can short directly, via puts, or even through JDST. Happy trading!
----------------
WEEKLY AND DAILY RSI DIVERGENCE (BEARISH)
WEEKLY CANDLE'S NOT LOOKING GREAT
DAILY CANDLE HAS GAPPED BELOW THE 200 EMA CONFIRMING A BEARISH BIAS
ALL THE GLITTERS IS(NT) GOLDWhats up traders,
I think there is a 5-10% downside potential in gold over the next week or two.
The Technical's:
Divergence between the volume and price action
50/200 period cross over (theyre now intermingling)
Head and shoulders pattern
The Fundamentals and Gut:
I like gold longer term here, but, for the short / swing term, i see a pull back coming.
Additionally, i think the overall market is due for a major pull back, but Im done trying to call that. I think if that got lucky and timed just wright with this trade, it could add a lot of value here as well.
Good Luck.
Im checking out the Leveraged ETF's here DUST and DUST CALLS (Depending on liquidity)
GOLD (XAUUSD) preparing for MAJOR SELLOFF before true breakout!!Cycles analysis indicates one more major deflationary move to occur. A selloff approaching for XAUUSD down to support levels near 1380, as well as a retest lower for gold miners. To be followed by a longer term major buy setup for gold. Let's remain objective and not get too excited just yet!!