EURUSD 17/11/24As we head into this week, we maintain a bearish bias on the EUR/USD pair. This aligns with last month’s trend, where we consistently sold this pair to the downside. Without a shift in bias, we expect this bearish momentum to continue.
Looking at the chart, we’ve identified two key areas of interest for potential selling opportunities. First, there’s a short-term high located around the middle of the current range. This is also a 4-hour high that swept previous short-term highs. Above this, we see an area of unmitigated supply that triggered the last major break of structure, along with a liquidity high just above it. If the price pulls back, it could interact with this supply zone and possibly take out the liquidity highs.
However, this pullback would be a counter-trend move. Our primary expectation remains for the price to continue its downward trajectory toward the lows. Last week, the price swept a daily low, highlighted by an arrow on the left-hand side of the screen. This sweep led to a notable upward push, which, while counter-trend, could serve as the catalyst for the pullback we anticipate.
The market open will be interesting to watch. If the price gaps upward, it could indicate an intent to move higher before potentially filling the gap later in the week. This would align with the bearish continuation we’ve forecasted.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
DXY-SELL
SELL GOLDAfter yesterdays FED decision we saw price set an all time high and pull back down. In todays session we will be monitoring for a sell opportunity in GOLD. Our first entry is at current price 2588.70 second entry will be at 2606.228. Our stop loss will be above 2622.226 and Targets will be as low as 2528 level. Use proper risk management. Cheers
XAUUSD 23/6/24Gold this week has a similar outlook to last week. We have an extreme POI (Point of Interest) within the market, a higher time frame order block, and a fair amount of liquidity below the structural lows established last week during our pullback.
If you are up to date with last week's markup that we posted on TradingView, you would see that it has played out almost perfectly as expected. Following this, if we pull higher into the area of supply before dropping, we would expect a longer-term sell move. Conversely, if we sell off sooner, we will expect a bullish move later in the week.
If this fails, we expect the 4-hour low to be closed out completely and the price to move bearish. The main points to focus on this week are selling away from the area of supply and capturing the liquidity that sits below the lows.
Trade safe stick to your rules!
Bullish DXYMonthly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. price took buy side LQ
2. A good Displacement
3. price coming for sell side LQ
Weekly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. price respected the weekly FVG
2. a good displacement
Daily:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. good FVGs created.
2. Good displacement candle
3. BOS to the up side
4H:
Doesn't look clean.
GBPUSD 14/4/24GU showing us the same here a super clean cut move for more sell side on this trend into our new daily low, we called this way back and we are all now seeing this play out perfectly so we follow our bias in hope that this will continue! Now looking for a new daily low to come into play for a trending move to tale the pair back into the same move we have above. New low followed by a shift back up into an area of supply to then drop lower again carrying on our trend giving us our overall structure we have been waiting for. We have 2 areas to watch here firstly our nearest OB marked by red line at its 50% ad secondly the daily OB that caused the shift overall!
Look for the bearish move to carry over and the trend to continue!
Trade your plan and use the correct risk! have a great trading week all!
US30: Potential Buy Setup at 38030 with DXY Bearish MomentumIn tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on US30 as we identify a potential buying opportunity around the 38030 zone. US30, representing the Dow Jones Industrial Average, is currently in an uptrend but experiencing a correction phase, with the price approaching the critical support and resistance area at 38030.
Adding to our analysis is the bearish momentum observed in the DXY (US Dollar Index), which has a negative correlation with indices like US30. This bearish momentum in DXY typically favors rallies in indices, including US30. Therefore, the combination of US30's technical setup and the downward movement in DXY presents an intriguing opportunity for buyers.
GBPUSD 19/11/23Starting this week off with GU From last Friday we've been playing within a large foolish range all of these structures that we have tracked from last week have been internal with some nice long moves lining up with our range bias we are looking for the range high to be taken and we are going to be looking for lungs into this week again if we break down the internal structure we may look for low risk counter trend sell entries but overall we are predominantly looking main target being 1.25060.
within our bullish range we are still waiting for a SWH to form.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
USDJPY 27/8/23UJ honestly i don't have a huge amount to say about this pair or about this range, if you have looked over our other USD related pairs you will know the story by now.
A news range with honestly a poor structure overall, liquid has built higher and lower meaning we may push up then shift lower, as you can see we have a reverse of our other USD pairs as in this case the USD is our primary.
so you guys know what we are looking for, either a shift higher to give us a new range or a confirm entry for our NEWS created POI, on the other end we may have a sweep of our low to give us a bias the is opposite to what we have currently.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
EURUSD - OverviewPrice has been pushed down to create an equal low.
0.50% Fib retracement has fulfilled from Thursday's high to Friday's low.
I anticipate 0.618% to fulfil as this aligns with 4H FVG as marked, before a continuation of price weakening.
Targets are as exposed. Both liquidity stops which also align with bullish orderblocks.
This is speculative and not financial advice. Do your own due diligence!
Dollar Index Next TargetThe Dollar Index is currently in a downtrend on the daily, after break of trendline we saw a pullback into supply for an M pattern formation which led to a bearish market last week, we are currently approaching supply as marked on chart and I will be waiting for a correction into a point of interest on the smaller timeframes to find possible entries to go short,
NAS100 14TH MAYThe Nasdaq 100 is the last market we'll be discussing this week, it follows the same overall bullish narrative as the other pairs we've posted about today. Our analysis from last week was correct with direction and we expect this to continue. Our analysis this week indicates that the order flow is shifting towards a bullish direction, and we're looking for a possible shift lower into our swing low before price continues higher in line with the overall direction of the DXY. We'll be following the first bullish range established in either our lower or higher zone, or the first bearish range established in our higher zone. Our expectation is for a bullish continuation, but we still have a lower zone marked out which we could visit if price decides to travel bearish. As always, we refer to the DXY for more context on the trend, but we'll be watching the price action closely and waiting for a new high to be established along with a low before finding our trade setup.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
US30 SHORT BIAS (UPDATED)!Hello all!
US30 Idea for you!
I will be looking to sell Dow to 32250. From there a Strong DEMAND zone would be mitigated.
This isn't my exact entry on this pair, as i will look for confirmation due to the BUY volume (Looking at hourly TF)
Monitor LTF and execute the SHORT position accordingly! Will only enter aggressively if the POI is mitigated during US news tomorrow!
Take care!
GBPUSDsellIDEAWell here. This is my idea. I feel like this will work as a trigger entry for supply sells. The reason for this entry is that the prices originally entry was back on 1.13072. Then you would be able to place a 1:1 entry from a proper good sl to tp which makes it 1:1. Hope it made sense in a way.
The hardest part is understanding how it would be a potential entry at 1.13072, and I think the easiest way to explain will be that in my strategy, I start by finding three (bos) and on the final bos, you need to place entry on a pullback halfway from bos to bos.
Another thing that helps you understand is are with the circles I made. It kinda demonstrates the way I think structure goes on this chart.
Understandable if you didn't understand it all, but hope it helps.
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