Could the price bounce from here?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 107.14
1st Support: 106.57
1st Resistance: 108.11
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DXY
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)I said on yesterday’s update that during extreme market volatility, Gold can possibly push up towards $2,868 - $2,883. This morning we saw that extreme move up & Gold has now aggressively rejected our $2,882 resistance zone🔥
Even though more upside MIGHT happen, overall Wave 5 is close to completion. Look left on the chart & you’ll see Wave 5 is now above our Wave 3 high of $2,790 which formed in November 2024. The 5 wave bullish cycle is complete or close to completion.
DXY on the verge of a bearish reversal - The Trump EffectDXY has finally started to give bearish indications from HTF monthly supply and i think history is likely to repeat itself here, similar to trumps last term, where he wanted to weaken the dollar and is wanting to do the same again this term! With this in mind, the technicals are also aligning with this thesis as DXY looks more and more topped out as it hits crucial key levels and supply, giving breakdowns from the daily timeframes.
Its gave a 1,2 and 3 day bearish MS, confirming the monthly supply with this bearish breakdown. From here I want to see continued downside momentum into a weekly bearish MS as marked up on the chart with a body close below this level to really give HTF confirmation of this HTF reversal from supply, leading to a full bearish reversal in DXY and a changed macro outlook as EU, GU, AU all flip bullish on their HTF, fuelling a continued bullish phase in BTC as DXY breaks down with their inverse correlation they hold.
Id expect to see DXY target the SSL on the HTF range lows and come into HTF 6 month and 1 year demand ranges below this to act as key HTF reversal levels in the future. If we see the 1 weak bearish structure flip in DXY from here, its likely we start a new HTF downtrend in DXY for the foreseeable until it hits the SSL on the range lows as a minimum, which will result in a positive outlook for crypto.
Trump has also publicly stated he wants to weaken the dollar and did so in his last term too, where the dollar pulled a HTF bearish reversal putting in the high and starting a bear trend for the following 400 days after his entrance to office as you can see on the chart. This only supports the HTF bearish reversal and thesis here and what im seeing on the charts!
Weakening of the dollar results in many benefits to the USA and global economy:
Trump's push for a weaker dollar boosts U.S. exports, reduces the trade deficit, and makes debt easier to manage by inflating it away. It also drives stock market growth and attracts foreign investment into U.S. assets. However, it risks higher inflation and weaker purchasing power.
For crypto, a weaker dollar is typically bullish—investors seek alternative stores of value like Bitcoin and gold to hedge against currency devaluation. A falling USD also fuels liquidity into risk assets, driving higher speculation in crypto markets. If Trump weakens the dollar aggressively, BTC and alts could see significant upside.
DXY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY has been making some
Pretty wild moves on the
Recent geopolitical news
Lately so we need to be
Trading this index with
Caution, however, the
Dollar index is approaching
A horizontal support of 107.000
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 107.486.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 108.791 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold’s Got Game!Gold’s Got Game: Why This Metal’s Making Fiat Look Like Monopoly Money 🤑
Introduction
Gold isn’t just shiny—it’s sassy. While fiat currencies are busy falling apart like a cheap IKEA table, gold’s over here flexing in style. The chart? Oh, it’s a thing of beauty—a perfectly behaved ascending channel, the kind that makes traders weak in the knees. But wait, there’s more! Let’s dig into why gold’s the MVP of this market. Spoiler: It doesn’t involve a billionaire tweeting 🚀.
Trendlines So Sexy, They Should Be Illegal
Look at that chart. Just LOOK at it. Perfect lines, clean swings, and a channel that’s so disciplined it could teach your trading account some manners. Gold’s not just going up—it’s strutting. This isn’t your everyday pump-and-dump nonsense; this is a long-term glow-up.
Gold’s Secret Sauce 🍯
Why is gold moonwalking its way to the top? Glad you asked:
Inflation’s Revenge 😡
Central banks printing money faster than you can say “quantitative easing”? Classic. Every dollar you hold is depreciating, but gold? It’s sipping tea, whispering, “Stay poor, fiat.”
Geopolitical Chaos 🎭
From trade wars to actual wars, the world’s on fire 🔥, and gold is the fireproof safe. Every time a headline screams “uncertainty,” gold gains another point.
Chart Patterns: Gold's Glow-Up Timeline 🌟
The Breakout Bounce (Feb–May): A breakout so clean it probably eats kale salads. Gold smashed through resistance and said, “Later, losers.”
The Mid-Year Flex (June–August): A pullback? Sure. But even then, it respected the channel like a disciplined trader.
The Current Power Move (Feb 2025): Now we’re seeing that next-level push, eyeing $2,900 like it’s a Black Friday sale.
And let’s not ignore the elephant in the room: that arrow aiming straight for the top. Whoever drew it, we get it. Moon or bust 🚀.
The Real Question: Are You Late to the Party? 🥳
Short answer: Nope. Long answer: If this channel holds (and it’s been rock-solid so far), gold’s got room to run. But don’t just take my word for it—check the fundamentals. Oh wait, they’re screaming “BUY” too. 😏
Gold isn’t just moving—it’s making a statement. In a world full of financial chaos, it’s the one asset that doesn’t flinch. While fiat currencies play hot potato, gold’s over here saying, “Come at me, bro.” So, are you going to keep watching from the sidelines, or are you ready to get in the game? Your move.
Gold’s making moves, and the chart isn’t lying. So, are you ready to listen—or are you still clinging to that “cash is king” nonsense? 🤔
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 05.02.2025Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action
Market Overview
The Gold shows a bullish trend in gold prices with a recent upward move.
Key levels of interest have been marked for potential buy opportunities.
The price action suggests a retracement is expected before a continuation to the upside.
Key Levels
First Buy Zone: $2,843 - $2,845
A minor retracement into this zone could present a buying opportunity.
If price reacts strongly at this level, it could continue upward.
Second Buy Zone: $2,830 - $2,833
This is a deeper retracement zone, aligning with a strong support area.
If price fails to hold at the first buy zone, this becomes the next high-probability entry.
Resistance/Take Profit Targets:
First target near $2,859 - $2,865 (recent highs).
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Buy from $2,843 - $2,845
Entry: $2,843 - $2,845
Stop Loss: Below $2,837
Take Profit: $2,859 - $2,865
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 or better
Scenario 2: Buy from $2,830 - $2,833
Entry: $2,830 - $2,833
Stop Loss: Below $2,822
Take Profit: $2,850 - $2,859
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3
Conclusion
The overall bias remains bullish, looking at Trumps press talk yesterday.
The strategy involves waiting for pullbacks to key demand zones before entering long positions.
Price action near these levels should be monitored for confirmation signals (e.g., bullish rejection candles).
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The Stablecoin Revolution: Is the Dollar's Reign Over?
The Future of the Global Cryptocurrency Market: Navigating the Rise of Stablecoins and the Shifting Sands of Global Finance
The cryptocurrency market has exploded in popularity over the past decade, evolving from a niche interest to a global phenomenon. While Bitcoin remains the dominant player, the landscape is rapidly diversifying, with stablecoins like USDC and Tether playing an increasingly crucial role. This article explores the future of the global cryptocurrency market, examining the growing influence of stablecoins and their potential impact on the traditional financial system, particularly in relation to the US dollar and the DXY index.
The Rise of Stablecoins: Bridging the Gap Between Crypto and Fiat
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar. This stability makes them attractive for everyday transactions and as a safe haven within the volatile crypto market. USDC and Tether are the two largest stablecoins, with market capitalizations in the tens of billions of dollars.
The appeal of stablecoins lies in their ability to combine the benefits of cryptocurrencies – such as speed, low transaction costs, and 24/7 availability – with the stability of traditional currencies. This makes them ideal for a variety of use cases, including:
• Remittances: Sending money across borders using stablecoins can be faster and cheaper than traditional methods.
• Payments: Stablecoins can be used for everyday purchases, both online and in physical stores.
• Trading: Stablecoins provide a stable asset for traders to use when navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market.
• Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Stablecoins are a key component of DeFi protocols, where they are used for lending, borrowing, and trading.
The Impact on the US Dollar and the DXY Index
The growing adoption of stablecoins has raised questions about their potential impact on the US dollar and the DXY index, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of other major currencies. Some analysts believe that the widespread use of stablecoins could weaken the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance.
However, it's important to note that most stablecoins are currently pegged to the US dollar. This means that their value is directly tied to the dollar's performance. As a result, the rise of stablecoins could actually strengthen the dollar's position in the short term.
In the long run, the impact of stablecoins on the dollar will depend on several factors, including:
• Regulation: Governments around the world are beginning to pay close attention to stablecoins. The regulatory frameworks that are developed will play a significant role in shaping the future of these digital assets.
• Adoption: The widespread adoption of stablecoins will be a key factor in determining their impact on the dollar. If stablecoins become a major force in global finance, they could challenge the dollar's dominance.
• Competition: The emergence of other stablecoins pegged to different currencies, or even central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), could reduce the reliance on dollar-pegged stablecoins.
Opportunities and Challenges in the Cryptocurrency Market
The future of the cryptocurrency market is full of opportunities and challenges. The continued growth of stablecoins is likely to play a significant role in shaping this future. Other key trends to watch include:
• Institutional adoption: More and more institutional investors are entering the cryptocurrency market. This is bringing increased legitimacy and liquidity to the market.
• Technological innovation: The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and applications being developed all the time. This innovation is driving the growth of the market.
• Regulatory clarity: As governments around the world develop clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies, this will help to reduce uncertainty and encourage further adoption.
However, there are also challenges that the cryptocurrency market must overcome, including:
• Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, which can make it risky for investors.
• Security: There have been a number of high-profile hacks and scams in the cryptocurrency market, which have raised concerns about security.
• Environmental concerns: The energy consumption of some cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, has raised concerns about their environmental impact.
Conclusion
The future of the global cryptocurrency market is bright, with stablecoins playing an increasingly important role. While the impact on the US dollar and the DXY index remains to be seen, it's clear that stablecoins are changing the landscape of global finance. As the market continues to evolve, it will be important to keep an eye on the latest developments and to be aware of the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 107.57
1st Support: 106.51
1st Resistance: 108.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Is the Dollar Index (DXY) Rolling Over?Chart Analysis:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has pulled back from its recent highs after testing the 110.00 resistance level. The index remains within an established upward channel, but the latest price action suggests a short-term loss of momentum.
1️⃣ Uptrend Intact but Testing Support:
The index has been trading within a rising channel (highlighted in green).
Recent price action shows a rejection near 110.00, with a sharp pullback testing the lower boundary of the channel.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Support:
50-day SMA (blue): Currently at 107.76, acting as dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Trending at 104.80, confirming a longer-term bullish structure.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Weakness:
RSI: At 47.53, below the neutral 50 level, indicating fading bullish momentum.
MACD: Slightly positive but showing signs of flattening, suggesting a potential slowdown in upside momentum.
What to Watch:
A break below 107.50 could accelerate selling pressure, leading to a deeper retracement.
Holding above the 50-day SMA may support a rebound attempt toward 110.00 resistance.
A confirmed breakout above 110.00 would reinforce bullish continuation, while failure to reclaim the highs may lead to further downside testing.
The U.S. Dollar Index remains within a bullish structure, but the recent rejection at resistance calls for caution. Traders should monitor price action around key support levels to gauge the next move.
-MW
DXY - "Pullback or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!"📉 Price Action Update: Key Levels to Watch
Currently, the price is trading within the 108 – 107.800 range. There are two potential scenarios to anticipate:
1️⃣ If the price continues to decline, we could see a drop toward 106.950.
2️⃣ Alternatively, a pullback from 108 could push the price toward 108.500 – 108.700 before resuming its downside move.
This analysis is based on DXY's price action on February 3rd, where it faced monthly timeframe resistance. Such a significant resistance level often leads to a short-term downtrend, especially on lower timeframes like the 1-hour chart.
📊 Stay alert to price reactions at these key levels! 🚀
EURUSD - gap is filled, what’s next? Buys? Sells?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
Now the main focus everyone has is the “ GAP ”. Yes the gap has been filled but sellers who tried to take advantage of it, have experienced drawdown today. EURUSD still has a chance to dig deeper into that gap potentially giving us better entries OR breaking to the upside. So here are the possible scenarios on EURUSD we have pre-planned for the following days .
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break of 1.04334
- We broke above 1.04334.
With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside. Even though we are extremely bearish on EURUSD for quite some time, short-term TVC:DXY weakness can cause the pair to see possible higher levels.
Scenario 2: SELLS
- We dug deeper into the “gap price” or we stayed below roughly 1.03462.
With sells we have several possible entries. We can expect a deeper dig to the upside potentially giving us better entries. On the other hand, if we don’t experience that, and stay below 1.03462 we can expect more sells to come.
KEY NOTES
- EURUSD is overall still bearish.
- DXY (USD) experiencing short-term bears.
- Breaking above 1.04334 would result in more upside.
- Staying below the gap fill, would result in sells.
- Possible deeper digs to the upside before the sell off.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
DeGRAM | DXY dollar strengthened againThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price has already reached the upper boundary of the channel and the dynamic resistance, which previously acted as a pullback point.
During the growth in the channel, the chart formed a gap.
We expect a pullback.
-------------------
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DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀
📈 Breakout in Progress:
The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum.
📊 Trend & Structure:
Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend.
Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years.
📉 EMA 200 Support:
The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level.
🔮 Future Projection:
A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels.
Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone)
🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline)
💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
EURUSD 0140 Reversal Swing Trade Setup BULLS strong upside🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for EURUSD. Weekly open gapped down so expecting more losses in this market before potential reversal off the lows on Wednesday/Thursday this week.
🔸Revised/updated outlook point C is 1.13 extension at 0140, other points include X at 0595, point A at 0220, point B at 0510, point D/PRZ at 0700.
🔸Currently most points validated, point C/PRZ still pending 0140, so traders should wait until we hit C before buying.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: wait for pullback/correction
to complete at point C near 0140, buy/hold, SL 60 pips, TP1 +200 pips TP2
+400 pips Final exit TP at 0700. BUY/HOLD at point C/PRZ at 0140. swing trade setup. only invalidated if we break below 0140 on high volume. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Levels discussed during livestream 3rd Feb 20253rd Feb 2025
DXY: If price stays above 109.30, could see it trade up to 110, beyond that 111
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5530 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6080 SL 30 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2230 SL 40 TP 120 (hesitation at 1.2164)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0160 SL 50 TP 150
USDJPY: Buy 156 SL 35 TP 70
EURJPY: Sell 159.40 SL 50 TP 100
GBPJPY: Sell 191.70 SL 50 TP 110
USDCHF: Wait and look for reaction at 0.92 resistance level
USDCAD: Sell 1.4655 SL 50 TP 100
XAUUSD: Look for reaction at 2790 resistance (break upwards to 2812 on recessionary/reinflation/trade war fear) or reject down on DXY strength (inverse relationship)
Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 4thIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.