DXY:Seize the opportunity to sell short at high pricesThe situation in the Middle East is clearly deteriorating, which undoubtedly has a huge stimulating effect on the global risk aversion sentiment. More funds have started to seek safe havens. However, the best choice at present is not the US dollar. With the continuous rise of the East, more and more capital will favor this side of the East. Therefore, the pressure on the US dollar index is actually increasing, and it will be very difficult for it to rise.
Regarding the trend of the US dollar index today, although the current situation exerts great pressure, the actions to support the market of the US dollar index still take effect from time to time. So the price will not keep falling, and there will still be some oscillatory patterns. However, even if it moves in an oscillatory pattern, the upward pressure on the US dollar index will be significant. Therefore, when the price reaches the effective resistance level, it will be an excellent opportunity to short the US dollar index.
DXY Trading Strategy:
buy@104.500
TP:103.500
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DXY
EURUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY IT!In this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures for the week of March 31 - April 4th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The bias is bullish for now, but the April 2nd tariffs can flip the markets upside down. Be careful. Let the market tell you which direction it's going, and trade accordingly. Allow the markets to settle on a bias before you jump in.
NFP on Friday, btw.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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ICT Concepts for FX and GOLD traders: 2025 edition🔍 ICT (Inner Circle Trader) is a trading methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston. It focuses on market structure, smart money concepts (SMC), and how institutions manipulate liquidity to trap retail traders.
📚 It's not about indicators or over-complication — it's about reading the price action like a pro, understanding where liquidity is, and trading with the banks, not against them.
📐 1. Market Structure
Understand Highs & Lows: Identify break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH)
Follow the macro to micro flow: D1 > H4 > M15 for precision entries
🧱 2. Order Blocks (OBs)
An order block is the last bullish or bearish candle before a major price move.
Banks and institutions place large orders here.
Smart traders look for price to return to these areas (mitigation), then enter with tight stop losses.
👉 Think of OBs as institutional footprints on the chart.
💧 3. Liquidity Zones
Equal highs/lows, trendline touches, support/resistance — these are liquidity traps.
ICT teaches that price often hunts liquidity before reversing. That’s why many retail traders get stopped out.
Learn to trade into liquidity, not off it.
🔄 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Also called imbalances — when price moves too fast and leaves gaps.
Price often retraces to "fill the gap" — a key entry point for ICT traders.
🥇 ICT for Gold & Forex in 2025
💰 Why It Works for XAUUSD & Majors:
Gold is a highly manipulated asset, perfect for ICT-style trading.
It responds beautifully to liquidity grabs, order blocks, and Asian–London–New York session transitions.
Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.) are also ideal since they’re heavily influenced by institutional flow and news-driven liquidity hunts.
🕐 Timing Is Everything
Trade Killzones:
📍 London Killzone: 2AM–5AM EST
📍 New York Killzone: 7AM–10AM EST
These are high-volume sessions where institutions make their moves.
📈 Typical ICT Setup
▪️Spot liquidity zone above or below recent price
▪️Wait for liquidity sweep (stop hunt)
▪️Identify nearby order block or FVG
▪️Enter on a pullback into OB/FVG
▪️Set tight SL just past the recent swing
Target internal range, opposing OB, or next liquidity level
👨💻 Why FX/GOLD Traders Love ICT
✅ It’s clean, no indicators, and highly logical
✅ Great for part-time trading — 1 or 2 trades a day
✅ Feels like "leveling up" your understanding of the market
✅ Perfect for backtesting and journaling on platforms like TradingView or SmartCharts
✅ Easy to integrate into algo-based systems or EAs for semi-automation
If you’re tired of indicators and guessing, and want to trade like the institutions, ICT is a game changer. In 2025, more prop firms and traders are applying ICT concepts to dominate markets like gold, forex, and even crypto.
🧭 Master the method. Understand the logic. Ride with the smart money.
🔥 Welcome to the next level of trading.
$USPCEPIMC -U.S Core PCE Inflation Rises More than ExpectedECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC
(February/2025)
source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The US PCE price index rose by 0.3% month-over-month in February, maintaining the same pace as the previous two months.
The core PCE index increased by 0.4%, the most since January 2024, surpassing the forecast of 0.3% and up from 0.3% in January.
On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE inflation remained steady at 2.5%, while core PCE inflation edged up to 2.8%, above the expected 2.7%.
DXY:It is about to witness a quarterly declineBecause concerns about tariffs causing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth have pushed down U.S. Treasury bond yields, the stock market, and the U.S. dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar is likely to experience a quarterly decline next week, and we can seize the opportunity to short on rebounds.
Trading strategy:
buy@104.500
TP:103.500
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
GBPUSD Dusting 350+ PIPS in Choppy Waters - Breakout is Brewing?Technical / Chart Analysis:
Double Top Formation: The chart clearly exhibits a potential double top pattern around the 1.30564 resistance level. This is a bearish reversal pattern that suggests a potential trend change from bullish to bearish.
Breakdown of Uptrend: The preceding price action shows an uptrend, which has now been halted by the double top.
Key Support Level: The most crucial level to watch is the support around 1.28642. A confirmed break below this level would validate the double top pattern and signal a potential strong move downwards.
Monthly Performance: January saw a +180 pip move, followed by February with a +230 pip gain. This demonstrates the potential for significant profits in GBPUSD through swing trading.
Swing Analysis: February's +230 pip move consisted of 3 upward swings and 2 downward swings, highlighting the importance of capturing both upward and downward momentum in this pair due to the Choppy Price Action.
Conclusion:
FX:GBPUSD is at a critical juncture. The potential double top formation suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is needed. Traders should closely monitor the key support level at 1.28642 for a potential breakdown and look for LONG Trades on breaking key levels to the Upside
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD's potential for swing trading? Do you see a breakdown or a bounce? Share your analysis and comments below!
Weekly Market Analysis - 29th March 2025 (DXY & EURUSD Only)Here is my DXY & EURUSD analysis for the upcoming week and month.
I share what I think will happen in terms of anticipating price using the concepts of liquidity and efficiency as mostly taught by ICT.
I hope you find it useful in your perspective of the market.
- R2F Trading
$DXY IdeaWhen analyzing the weekly DXY chart, we identify the presence of two CRTs: one bullish and one bearish. However, the bearish CRT has a low probability of success due to the candle formation and the fact that the price is still in a discounted region within the range.
Given this, our initial expectation is for the price to drop at the beginning of the week to seek liquidity in the equilibrium region of the daily range, which coincides with the 50% level of the bearish CRT. This movement may act as a correction within the predominant trend, pushing the price up toward the premium region of the weekly range. From that point, we will once again look for selling opportunities, as the market may resume its downward movement.
Based on this analysis, we initially seek selling opportunities down to the equilibrium region. Once this level is reached, we will wait for confirmation of a bullish reversal to look for buying opportunities up to the 50% mark of the bullish CRT.
Dollar Bullish To $118?!During the last market analysis I said I remain bullish on the DXY for the upcoming future & that bias still remains the same. After the strong bullish rally from October - December 2024, The Dollar started off this year with an ease off, seeing prices drop for the first quarter of 2025. However, this cool off has not changed the long term perspective for the Dollar as we still remain bullish. This correction (sell off) this quarter was simply a dip.
The Dollar has completed its Wave D consolidation phase & is now getting ready for further upside towards Wave E. Wave E being priced around $116 - $118.
3.28 Gold breaks new high again, holding on is the keyGold price hits a new record high of 3086, and today's low is the key
Gold price hits a new record high of 3086, which is in line with our bullish thinking of restarting strength since Tuesday
Now the price has also broken through the upper track of the green channel line. The next focus is on keeping low. Keeping low and breaking high will accelerate. Breaking the low point will easily return to sweeping
Today's low point defense position has two, the first is the early trading low of 3054, because it is a direct rise in the early trading to break the new high, and the afternoon continues to break the new high. In this case, it is particularly important to hold the early trading low ;
The second is the position along the green channel line, 3063-3061, which is also the position of the acceleration starting point
Then, next, hold the position along the green channel line, and switch upwards for at least 50-70 US dollars, corresponding to the resistance of the 3100-3115 area
The key point is to hold low, hold low and break high to see acceleration, and break the low point to turn to sweep
As shown in the figure, this wave of confirmed support began to rise, starting from breaking through the green dotted line suppression. After the breakthrough, repeatedly stepping back to confirm the 3015 upper and lower areas Support, then stand up and stabilize in the 3033-3030 area, and start an upward breakthrough
In the process, it is accompanied by a deep squat of 18-20 US dollars. After the leverage is completed, it will rise by more than 40 US dollars to break the new high
For the market that directly rose in the morning, there was a second sprint to break the high in the afternoon, so refer to 3068-3066 as support to continue to layout the bullish sprint to the 3080-3082 area
The price also accelerated the sprint and rose, and slightly exceeded the range of 3086
: Suppression line Under pressure, enter adjustment, squat 18-20 US dollars, confirm the support and continue to pull up more than 40 US dollars (what needs to be considered and verified at this moment)
For this pressure position, the focus is on the 3082-3085 area (now the excess range has reached 3086), using this as a suppression to find a space range of 18-20 US dollars, corresponding to the 3062-3060 range
The short position in the 3082 area fell to 3072-3070 as expected
Verify the conjecture step by step, time is the best verification tool!
Today is Friday, still the old rules, only provide information reminders for cooperative friends, if you need, you can find us, looking forward to the good news you have received!
Dollar Bullish To $118?! During the last update I said I remain bullish on the Dollar for the upcoming future & that bias still remains the same. After the strong bullish rally from October - December 2024, The Dollar started off this year with an ease off, seeing prices drop for the first quarter of 2025. However, this cool off has not changed the long term perspective for the Dollar as we still remain bullish. This correction (sell off) this quarter was simply a dip.
The Dollar has completed its Wave D consolidation phase & is now getting ready for further upside towards Wave E. Wave E being priced around $116 - $118.
DXY Monthly Analysis: Key Support Holding, Bullish Move Ahead?📊 DXY Monthly Chart Analysis (March 27, 2025)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 104.267, with notable resistance ahead.
Price is consolidating within a key demand zone (~102.5–104) after rejecting higher levels.
Technical Levels:
Support Zone: 100.2–104 (Highlighted in purple)
Resistance Zone: 112.5–114.7 (Highlighted in purple)
Major Resistance: 114.77 (Previous high, acting as a supply zone)
200-MA Support: Located below current price, offering a long-term bullish confluence.
Market Structure:
Price remains in a higher time-frame bullish trend but is experiencing a correction.
The "BOSS" level (Break of Structure) suggests a prior bullish breakout.
If the demand zone holds, a bullish continuation towards 112.5–114.7 is possible.
Projected Move:
A bounce from 102–104 could trigger a rally toward the upper resistance zone (~112.5).
A break below 100.2 could indicate a shift in trend and further downside.
Conclusion:
DXY is at a critical decision point. Holding the current support zone (~102–104) could fuel a bullish continuation toward 112–114, while a breakdown below 100.2 would weaken bullish momentum.
DXY:Today's Trading StrategyTrump signed an executive order announcing a 25% tariff on all imported cars, aiming to force the return of many automotive manufacturing and related industries through the "tariff stick." However, the actual situation is more complex. Currently, there are significant issues within the US domestic industrial chain system, with declining quality and craftsmanship, failing to meet the needs of many automotive manufacturing enterprises. As a result, this measure is unlikely to achieve the desired effect and may even harm the US itself. The US Dollar Index is the first to bear the brunt. Upon the market's confirmation that Trump has officially signed the order and tariffs will be imposed, the pressure on the US Dollar Index suddenly emerged, squandering the hard-earned advantages accumulated yesterday. This led to a sharp decline in the US Dollar Index early today.
Regarding today's trading strategy, it is recommended to adopt a trading approach based on the market's oscillatory trend. One can seize the opportunity to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs and buy non-US currencies at lows, as the current market demand indicates that the US Dollar Index cannot truly rise, nor will it experience a significant decline for now. Therefore, it is advisable to find opportunities to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs during the market's oscillation.
Trading strategy:
buy@103.70-103.80
TP:104.50-105.00
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (26.03.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3054
2nd Resistance – 3066
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Dxy aka usd 26 Mar 2025updated uptrend channel, price still bullish for usd as price break out earlier and stay above neckline, looking for more upside, ideally towards the supply region
Which if come true, eur, gbp etc should continue falling
If price do close below channel strongly, it could suggest a shift in trend.
Good luck
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Strong Bullish Sentiment
As I predicted yesterday, Dollar Index continued growing.
Analyzing the intraday price action today,
we can see that the market established a nice rising channel on a 4H.
I think that the Index will keep rising within a channel and will reach 105.0 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD H1 Market Update: Bear Trap / liquidity sweep BUY DIPS📊 Technical Outlook update
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸3050 USD Resistance Heavy
🔸3000/3040 Trading Range
🔸2990 potential Bear Trap
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3100 USD - 3150 USD
🔸Recommended Strategy: BUY DIPS 2990
📊 Gold Market Summary – This Week
💰Gold Price Surge: Gold prices soared above $3,000, prompting Bank of America to raise its price target.
💸Profit-Taking Pressure: After the surge, mild profit-taking caused a slight price correction.
🛡️Safe-Haven Demand: Gold continues to show strength, supported by safe-haven flows amid economic uncertainty.
📅 Economic Data Impact: U.S. economic data (e.g., 0.9% rise in durable goods orders) is influencing gold prices, pushing them to session highs.
🔄Consolidation with Bullish Outlook: Gold is consolidating but remains bullish due to favorable U.S. dollar performance and Federal Reserve policies.
🌍Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S.-Russia tensions continue to support gold’s status as a safe-haven asset.
💎 Summary:
Gold remains resilient with strong demand, positive economic indicators, and geopolitical tensions supporting its value, despite minor price corrections.
EURUSD
Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EURUSD entered a corrective phase after hitting the anticipated resistance zone and was rejected from this area, as previously analyzed. The price is now approaching a key support level. At this support level, there is a possibility of a new bullish move starting, which could lead to a breakout above the previous resistance and push the price toward the next identified target.
Will EURUSD hold the support and push higher, or is there more downside ahead? Let us know your thoughts!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
DXY Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 104.402.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 105.208 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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