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DXY

GBP/USD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3320 2nd Resistance – 1.3369 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
DXY – Key Level Broken, More Downside Ahead?Hello Folks , Long time no see . The US Dollar Index (DXY) just broke below 106.5, and things are getting interesting. The trend has been weakening, and price is now sitting at a crucial zone. 📌 Here’s what I’m watching: 107.66 is the big resistance. If price can reclaim it, bulls might have a chance. 105.48 & 104.46 are the next major support levels. 👀 My Take: If we stay below 106.5, I expect more downside towards 105.4 and maybe 103.3. If price bounces and reclaims 107, I’ll reconsider. What’s your view? More downside or a bounce coming? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥 🚨 Disclaimer: Just sharing ideas here—this isn’t a trade advice . Everyone sees the market differently, and the goal is to improve our analysis, not tell anyone what to do. At the end of the day, your trades are your call, your responsibility. Trade smart! 🚀📊
TVC:DXYShort
by QuantumFusion
1
S&P 500 Index Goes 'Death Crossed' Again, Due To Unruly EconomyThe "Death Cross" is a technical chart pattern signaling potential bearish momentum in the US stock market, occurring when a short-term moving average (typically the 50-day) crosses below a long-term moving average (usually the 200-day). Despite its foreboding name, historical data shows its implications are often less dire than perceived, serving as a coincident indicator of market weakness rather than a definitive predictor of collapse. Historical Examples and Market Impact The death cross gained notoriety for preceding major market downturns: 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: The Nasdaq Composite’s death cross in June 2000 coincided with the burst of the tech bubble, leading to a prolonged bear market. 2008 Financial Crisis: The S&P 500’s death cross in December 2007 foreshadowed the 2008 crash, with the index losing over 50% of its value by early 2009. 2020 COVID-19 Crash: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2020 amid pandemic-driven panic, though markets rebounded sharply within months. 2022 Ukraine's War Crisis: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2022 due to proinflationary surge on Ukraine's war and Arab-Israel conflict, leading to a prolonged bear market within next twelve months, up to March quarter in the year 2023. These examples highlight the pattern’s association with extreme volatility, but its predictive power is inconsistent. For instance, the 2022 death cross in the S&P 500—its first in two years—occurred amid Fed rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, yet the market stabilized within weeks rather than entering a prolonged downturn. Perspectives on Reliability and Use Cases While the death cross reflects deteriorating short-term momentum, its utility depends on context: Lagging Nature: As a lagging indicator, it confirms existing trends rather than forecasting new ones. The 50-day average crossing below the 200-day often occurs after prices have already declined. False Signals: Post-2020 data shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 6.3% one year after a death cross, with Nasdaq Composite returns doubling typical averages six months post-cross. Combined Analysis: Traders pair it with metrics like trading volume or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to validate signals. Higher selling volume during a death cross strengthens its bearish case. Strategic Implications for Investors For market participants, the death cross serves as a cautionary tool rather than a standalone sell signal: Short-Term Traders: May use it to hedge long positions or initiate short bets, particularly if corroborated by weakening fundamentals. Long-Term Investors: Often treat it as a reminder to reassess portfolio diversification, especially during elevated valuations or macroeconomic uncertainty. Contrarian Opportunities: Historical rebounds post-death cross—such as the 7.2% Nasdaq gain three months after the signal—suggest potential buying opportunities for risk-tolerant investors. Fundamental Challenge Stocks Extend Drop as Powell Sees Economy ‘Moving Away’ From Fed Goals Powell sees economy ‘moving away’ from job, price goals due to Trump's tariff chainsaw. Fed well positioned to wait for policy clarity. Strong jobs market depends on price stability, he adds. Stocks extend declines, bonds rally as Fed chair speaks. Conclusion The "Death Cross" remains a contentious yet widely monitored pattern. Its dramatic name and association with past crises amplify its psychological impact, but empirical evidence underscores its role as one of many tools in technical analysis. Investors who contextualize it with broader market data—such as earnings trends, interest rates, and macroeconomic indicators—are better positioned to navigate its signals. While it may foreshadow turbulence, its historical track record emphasizes resilience, with markets often recovering losses within months of the pattern’s appearance. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎 // Think Big. Risk Less
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
DXY - Is a relief bounce to the 4-h FVG coming?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a clearly defined downtrend over the recent period, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows. During its latest downward move, the DXY formed a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with a significant gap in price action. This confluence of technical factors marks a strong rejection area, and from a trading perspective, it presents an ideal zone to consider short positions, especially if bearish price action confirms the setup. Currently, however, the DXY is sitting at a major support level. This level has historically acted as a demand zone, and given the extended move downward, a bounce or retracement to the upside is a realistic scenario. Traders should stay alert for signs of bullish momentum or reversal patterns, as the potential for a temporary recovery from this support is not unlikely before any continuation of the broader trend. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TVC:DXYShort
by Youriverse
31
The DXY shows a downward tendency.In the long run, the implementation of tariffs will prompt trading partners to take countermeasures 😡, resulting in a contraction of the global trade scale 😔. American enterprises will face higher import costs for raw materials, and their export markets will be restricted, thus curbing the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will put depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉. U.S. Tariff Policies Since April 9th, the United States has levied tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions. These tariffs cover crucial sectors like automobiles, steel, and semiconductors 😒. Countermeasures of Various Countries China: On April 4th, China declared that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. Then, on April 9th, the tariff rate was further hiked to 84%, applying to all U.S. goods 😠. The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods as of May 16th 😤. Canada: On April 9th, imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles, while exempting auto parts 😏. 💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰 🎯 Sell@ 100 - 101 🎯 TP 98 - 97 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗 👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 👉
TVC:DXYShort
by PearlMichael
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point. Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs. A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
Short
by JoeChampion
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USD/CHF? On the weekly timeframe, USD/CHF has broken below a major support zone that has acted as a key reversal area multiple times over the past two years. This support zone,  has now been clearly breached. Additionally, price has also fallen below the long-term ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure. A corrective move (pullback) back toward the broken support zone is expected, after which the pair is likely to resume its downtrend. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
6
USD/CAD Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.4034 2nd Resistance – 1.4131 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉 🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204. However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch 3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup. 311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend. 🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment. Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated. 🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios. Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns. Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels. 💡 Conclusion Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in. Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
Why Gold bullish ?? Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after completing a clean retest of the breakout zone near 3200. Price action confirmed this level as new support, and we are now seeing price bounce back with conviction. This structure is a classic continuation setup, and as long as price holds above the retest zone, the next leg higher toward the 3265–3300 range looks highly probable. Technically, the 8H chart displays a strong impulse move followed by a controlled pullback into a demand zone. Price formed a higher low and immediately pushed back into bullish structure, signaling continuation. If gold stays above the 3200–3180 level, I expect buyers to maintain control, and the market could drive further upside targeting the previous swing high and beyond. The rejection wicks and volume spike at the base of the retest add to the bullish conviction. From a fundamental standpoint, gold continues to benefit from a combination of factors including global uncertainty, persistent inflation, and dovish sentiment from major central banks. With US inflation data keeping rate cut expectations alive and the dollar softening slightly, gold remains a preferred hedge. Additionally, increased demand from central banks and institutions continues to support gold's long-term uptrend. This setup is one of the most closely watched on TradingView right now due to its clean structure and strong confluence. With macro and technical conditions aligned, this bounce off support could lead to another wave of bullish momentum. As a professional trader, I’m staying long-biased above 3180 and will look for momentum confirmation to scale into the next bullish wave.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
6
Last Week’s FX Recap: April 7–11 (Zone Reactions & Trade Notes)📈 Weekly Forex Recap – Market Reactions & Lessons (Apr 7–11) Last week there were about +320 pips of reaction potential (excluding Gold, which I was completely off on). There were multiple opportunities to capture solid intraday or swing setups. 3 out of 6 weekly targets were hit. 5 out of 6 trend biases were either accurate or neutral —meaning no major misreads, aside from one or two volatile zones. The only pair that really got me was Gold. Let’s run it back real quick: ✅ AUDJPY Bearish bias accurate. 30 pip reaction off zone with just 1 pip drawdown. Weekly target hit. ✅ NZDJPY Bearish bias accurate. Weekly target hit, though price never reached the watch zone. No setup triggered, but direction was respected. ⚠️ EURUSD Range-bound bias played out majority of the week. Gave about 90–100 pip drop from the hot zone mentioned. Weekly target came close but didn’t hit. ⚠️ GOLD Watch zone completely failed. Short-term bounce gave 480 pip reaction—but that volatility was tough to catch cleanly. Directional bias wasn’t helpful here. Gold was chaos. ✅ EURGBP Cleanest setup of the week. Bias was bullish, price tapped the buy zone and ran 100 pips. Weekly target hit. Textbook move. ⚠️ GBPUSD Consolidation-heavy. Watch zone gave 100 pip reaction, but weekly target didn’t hit. Bias was unclear—no real conviction either way. 📉 Total Zone Reaction Potential: 320 pips 🎯 Weekly Targets Hit: 3/6 📊 Trend Accuracy: 50% (3 clear hits, 2 neutral, 1 miss) But that’s done now. Whether you hit it last week or fumbled the ball, let it go. We trade forward. Eyes up. Mind clear. Time to dive into the new week. Let’s get it. 👊
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by elevatedinvestor
USDCADHello Traders! What are your thoughts on USD/CAD? After its recent decline, USD/CAD has reached the bottom of the descending channel and a key support zone. This area may act as a strong support, and we expect a bullish reaction from here. We anticipate a bounce from this support zone, with the price potentially rising at least toward the specified target level. Will USD/CAD hold the support and rebound, or break lower? Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
27
top is in for the dxygm, this idea has been in the works for years, ever since we topped out 3 years ago. there has been quite a bit of variations of this idea, but this one right here has been my primary idea for a very long time. initially i imagined the dxy coming up to 111-113 before topping out, and i reckon it still can, but the worst is behind us, relatively speaking. --- if my count here is correct, the dxy will begin extending down into wave c into the last days of 2025 where a major low will be put in place . this will create a hyper-parabolic bull phase for risk assets, in conjunction with declining rates. --- if you've been waiting for a signal to buy alts this is your signal. 🌙 --- ps. view my private idea from last year via: 🌙
TVC:DXYShort
by notoriousbids